Category: Financial Crisis 2019
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, November 29, 2019
Hidden Failure of SIFI Banks / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Big systemically important banks could be in failure mode. A small group of big Western banks are in deep trouble. The officials might keep it all secret, working feverishly behind the curtains to patch their myriad holes with paper. These SIFI banks are likely major recipients of USFed overnight aid in the form of Repurchase (REPO) and Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) activity, plus gigantic hidden funny money infusions. Beware the advent of chaos, with lost control. Possibly the main markets will remain tame under tight controls, while the precious metals prices zoom to multiples higher. Always keep in mind then when the POMO volume rises significantly, it means that QE has returned. When the volume is tremendous, it means that Infinite QE is here. Since Chairman Powell admitted in May that QE was a permanent feature with monetary policy, we must conclude that we are at the doorstep of Infinite QE Forever. Thus the Gold price will be required to double and the Silver price triple. All in time. It is written; it will be done.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2019
Plethora of Potential Financial Crisis Triggers / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The US-based bond market is in tragic condition. All the bonds in US financial markets reek of rigged prices and inflated values. It is not a single bond sector, but rather all bond sectors that are in deep trouble, against a background of multi-year economic recession. The USTreasury Bonds, given the over $1.0 trillion in supply and widespread absence of buyers, deserves a 10% yield. The stolen missing $21 trillion amplifies the vacant value, from a grand crime scene. It is a wonder that investigator Professor Skidmore of Michigan State Univ has not been charged with financial terrorism. The USTBond market is teetering, kept afloat by overnight enormous slugs of fake money, which in early November was over $250 billion on a daily basis. If it was put onto the USFed balance sheet, on an increasingly frequent basis, then it is called QE. Better get real, and call it what it actually is – INFINITE Q.E. FOREVER. The Gold price is preparing the next launch platform.
Monday, November 04, 2019
Stock Market Warning: US Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem. This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates for corporate and other borrowers. The last thing the Fed wants is another collapse on the lending markets similar to 2008-09.
Thursday, July 25, 2019
Global Banking System Black Hole Being Exposed - PART II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Nearly a decade ago, the globe experienced the biggest banking system failures we had seen in nearly a century. The exposure to risk that was inherent throughout the global banking system was so completely ignored that when the crisis unfolded, hardly anyone completely understood the depth of the risks at play. Could it happen again? Now?
Have foreign banking institutions extended credit and debt risks beyond safe levels again? Are Deutsche Bank risk factors going to complicate an already fractured Asia, China, and Europe? What are the signs we should be looking for in terms of extended weakness or a breaking point?
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Wednesday, July 24, 2019
Black Hole In Global Banking Is Being Exposed / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Almost a decade ago, the global financial crisis of 2008-09 exposed billions of people to the risks within the global financial/banking sector. With all this money flowing around the globe and with banks able to facilitate greater and more diverse risk/derivatives investments, the central banks and insurance companies are left with an incredible “black hole” of exposed risk that is almost impossible to quantify. When we add the shadow/gray market banking risks into this equation and begin to understand the complexity of commodity-backed or Purchase Order backed financing that has become commonplace throughout the planet, we have to ask ourselves one question – “what would it take for these risks to become another crisis?”
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Has Next UK Financial Crisis Just Started? Bank Accounts Being Frozen / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is how the next banking crisis starts - Customers day starts normally with little warning in the mainstream media about banking access issues, but customers trying to transact online find their accounts are no longer able to transfer funds out of their bank, instead are met with a message to call the bank, so begin tweeting about their limited online facilities.
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Bank Branch Staff Shockingly Incompetent / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: N_Walayat
Bank with the Halifax? Then If for whatever reason you find that your access to online banking has been limited or even blocked, then on calling the requisite number are asked to pop down to the local branch with ID.
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Stopping Customers Withdrawing Funds Online - UK Brexit Banking Crisis Starting? / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At least some customers attempting to transfer funds OUT of the Halifax are being met with automatic rejections of their transfer requests in apparent attempts by the Halifax to hold onto customer funds which could be an early sign that the UK is experiencing a new banking crisis starting in the tax payer bailed out bank.
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Wednesday, June 05, 2019
Warning… Sub-Prime 2.0 Is About to Blow Up / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Graham_Summers
For those how pay attention, the Fed has already broadcast what the next crisis will be…
Corporate bonds…
When the Fed cut interest rates to zero in 2008… and held them there for even years straight… it gave the “green light” to corporations to go on massive borrowing spree.
After all… if you’re the CEO of a company… and taking on debt suddenly costs NOTHING… why wouldn’t you start borrowing?
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Wednesday, May 15, 2019
This Unprecedented Credit Crisis Will Redefine How We Invest / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2019
By: John_Mauldin
In the past few years, I wrote a lot about the unprecedented credit crisis I foresee. I call it “The Great Reset.”
I have to add, it isn’t what I think the future should look like or what I want to see. But almost the entire developed world has painted itself into a corner.
It might not be terrible. I don’t expect another Great Depression or economic upheaval, but the change will be profound.
We will have to adapt our portfolios and lifestyles to this new reality. The good news is big changes happen slowly. We have time to adapt.
I don’t see any plausible path to stopping the world’s debt overload without a serious crisis, much less paying it off. So I foresee a tough decade ahead.
Friday, March 08, 2019
Practical Prepping for Financial SHTF Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Preppers – the sort of people who build bunkers, stockpile supplies, and bear arms – aim to survive “SHTF” scenarios.
When war breaks out, when the power grid goes down, when the banks fail, when the U.S. dollar collapses, when social unrest spreads, when the stuff hits the fan… will you be prepared?
Risks are rising.
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists maintains a “Doomsday Clock.” For 2019, it “sets the Doomsday Clock at two minutes to midnight—the closest it has ever been to apocalypse.”
Thursday, March 07, 2019
How Private Sector Debt Bubble Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The $22 trillion official national debt is a much discussed problem, even as politicians exhibit zero motivation to do anything about it. But as big an economic overhang as it is, government debt isn’t likely to trigger the next financial crisis.
Yes, servicing the growing federal debt bubble will depress GDP growth, cause the value of the dollar to drop, and raise inflation risks. But the bubble itself won’t necessarily burst – not anytime soon.
As long as politicians face no political consequences for deficit spending, and as long as the Federal Reserve keeps the Treasury bond market propped up… then many more trillions can be added to the national debt.
Sunday, January 13, 2019
Liquidity, Money Supply, and Insolvency / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Andy_Sutton
Liquidity is becoming of central importance once again. It is frequently mentioned in mainstream media articles, interviews, and ‘educational’ programs. It was a central point of discussion during the financial market blowout in 2008.
The killing off of a little-known (until it was dead!) data series earlier this year by the not-so-USFed has gotten the beehive buzzing once again about a liquidity crisis – or the possible aversion of one in the short term. It has also gotten things buzzing about the longer term as well.
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