Thursday, September 24, 2015

Coffee Prices Are on the Verge of Soaring... / Commodities / Coffee

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: Today, investors hate commodities... and coffee is no exception.

The last time we saw a setup like this, coffee prices rocketed nearly 72% higher in just four months. And over the past decade, these opportunities would have led to 25% average gains in just more than four months.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Why I'm Never Going to 'Two-Bit' China / Politics / China

By: Mike_Shedlock

I would never go to China, even if someone paid for the trip and all expenses.

My reason can be explained in one headline: China Arrests US Citizen for 'Endangering National Security'

An American businesswoman has been formally arrested in China on suspicion of "endangering national security" just days before Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives in the US for his first official state visit.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Germany’s Immigration Challenge / Politics / Refugee Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

This immigration crisis in Europe is a big deal, and it’s a bigger deal for Germany than for any other European country. Germany is directly in the firing line, both geographically and in terms of how many of the migrants want to settle there. Nearly 40% of migrants choose Germany as their preferred final destination, while the only other nation that is chosen by more than 10% of migrants is Hungary, at 18%.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

The Stocks Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Stocks had a horrible day Tuesday…

The S&P 500 lost 1.23%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.09%.

Indices around the world also fell…

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Stock Market Negative Expectations As Global Markets Extend Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Peter Krauth writes: Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, September 24, 2015

The Asian Megaproject Could Make You (and Your Grandchildren) Rich / Companies / Infrastructure

By: ...

Peter Krauth writes: It's obvious that China has superpower ambitions, but now we have, quite literally, a map detailing how she'll get there.

It will be on the "New Silk Road," spanning the entire Eurasian landmass – with links to Africa and Oceania, too.

Such a transport corridor is an ancient concept, but what's being built now will be far bigger and more lucrative than anything the old Han emperors could have ever imagined.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Deflation Signals Abound for U.S. Dollar, Forex Markets and Commodities / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

It appears we maybe entering into another bout of deflation by the looks of some of the charts I’ve been looking at. The US dollar will be the key driver if this second leg down is going to take hold. Many of the commodities charts are looking pretty heavy right now along with some of the commodities based currencies.

Lets start by looking at the most important currency in the world the US dollar. We’ll start with a two year daily chart for the US dollar that shows the big impulse move up that began last year in July and ended in March of this year. That big impulse move up was made up of four small red consolidation patterns two of which were bullish rising wedges which tells us the move is strong. Note how much bigger our blue bullish falling wedge consolidation pattern is vs the smaller red consolidation patterns that made up the impulse move. This is a perfect place for the US dollar to consolidate those big gains made last year. From a Chartology perspective this is exactly what you would like to see. The US dollar is working on its fourth reversal point that won’t be complete until it touches the top rail. At that point the pattern will be complete but we’ll still have to wait for the breakout to occur.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Stock Market Sentiment Plunges Further Still.....Price Action Weak.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

It's really amazing how fear ramps so much faster than froth ever could. Put a good scare into folks and they run for the hills faster than you can blink your eyes, or, for that matter, hit the sell button. Trust won't ever come back the way it had before either. It's been too long with the market going nowhere to down. Very few, if any, strong, sustained rallies, and after a while it becomes a belief that they'll never come any more, thus, of course, they will, but it won't be easy to turn people bullish any longer. They're scared to take any real chances, since they've been burned repeatedly over the past many, many months. So naturally fear took a turn down further after the rough action from last week. Two weeks back we were at minus 2.2%. Last week it went flat at 0%, but now we're back down, and this time it's minus 4.2%. The lowest reading in quite a long time, and the third week at, or below, zero.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

How to Trade Volkswagen Stock Now / Companies / US Auto's

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: When I started Total Wealth I promised that I would give you a blend of tips, tactics, and specific trading ideas to help you maximize your wealth based on the events of the day.

Today I’m going to keep that promise with a look at how to trade beleaguered VW right now, using a brand new Total Wealth Tactic I think you’re going to love.

What I like about this trade is that it’s easy to understand and even easier to implement.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

City Governments Blowing Billions - How to Stop a Pickpocket / Politics / Government Spending

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Los Angeles wants to blow billions of tax dollars…

The Olympics are a spectacle. The athletes are incredible to watch. But hosting the games is a usually a big money-loser for the venue city.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

US Stock Bubble Bursts As The US Fed Begins To Shrink Its Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: I_M_Vronsky

All serious students of economics well know there are several factors that can inflate stock values…and even cause them to soar beyond common sense and corresponding fundamentals. However, there is one factor that dwarfs all others in its disproportionate material effect on pumping up stock prices beyond all historical and reasonable metrics:  AND THAT IS EXCESSIVE GROWTH IN THE FED’S BALANCE SHEET. 

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Europe’s Refugees Are A Global Crisis / Politics / Refugee Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

At the moment I start writing this, leaders of European nations are in a meeting in which they talk about refugees that, though it was announced over a week ago, was nevertheless labeled an ’emergency’ meeting. The only thing that truly tells you is that Europe still refuses to see the refugee situation as an emergency. And that’s not just semantics.

Of course there’ll be all sorts of bickering about the difference between migrants and refugees, and tons of words about how “we” should separate the two, and send people back, and strengthen European borders, and fight the human smugglers. None of which addresses reality, or at least at best a tiny sliver of it.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

The Big Nasty Deflation Word Is Here  / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Doug_Wakefield

Nomi Prins latest book, All the Presidents Bankers, allows the reader a glimpse into the comments and actions of those sitting at the highest levels of finance on Wall Street since the open of the 20^th century. As I look at where America and the world markets stand today, coming off the top of the 29^th financial bubble in history, I believe that a quick examination of two Wall Street bankers from two past market tops is a worthy place to start.

The first individual was Albert Wiggin, President of one of the Big Six Banks in America at the time, Chase National Bank. Wiggins’ start in banking was most certainly a rise to the top at an early age. In 1892, at age 24 he was married; became the assistant cashier to the Third National Bank of Boston at age 26; at age 31 became the vice president of the New York National Park Bank, and by age 36, was the youngest vice president ever of the powerful Chase National Bank.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Poland, Czech, Slovakia and Hungary Refugee Hypocrisy After Flooding UK with 4 Million Economic Migrants / Politics / Refugee Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The euro-crats obsession with the eastwood expansion of the European Union, one of incorporating former dictatorships stuck in centuries old mind sets is once more being revealed to have been another catastrophic error, one that potentially sows the seeds for the destruction of the European Union. Today, in an attempt at dealing with the refugee crisis facing Europe by means of a drop in the ocean quota of 120,000 refugees to be distributed among EU member states, a quota that is barely 10% of the 1.1 million migrants expected to enter the EU this year. However once more the hypocrisy of the Eastern European states has been exposed as they virulently rebel against any attempts to settle any refugees in their lands, despite the fact that these very same nations have sent several millions of refugees westwards ever since the cold war began and more recently over the past decade flooded western europe with well over 10 million economic migrants, 4 million of whom have settled into the embrace of Britain's welfare state, resulting a huge crisis in social services, schooling and not least Britain's housing catastrophe.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Time for the Monetary Nuclear Option: Raining Money on Main Street / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Predictions are that we will soon be seeing the “nuclear option” — central bank-created money injected directly into the real economy. All other options having failed, governments will be reduced to issuing money outright to cover budget deficits. So warns a September 18 article on ZeroHedge titled “It Begins: Australia’s Largest Investment Bank Just Said ‘Helicopter Money’ Is 12-18 Months Away.”

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Stock Market Decline May Begin Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Mornoing!

SPX Premarket is flat. It closed beneath its daily Cycle Bottom at 1962.59. I had thought that it might go back for a retest this morning, but it doesn’t seem to have the energy.

In a nutshell, SPX may begin to sell off without further warning.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Fed, Central Banks Trapped – Gold Bullion Will Protect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

By David Bryan

The future direction of the planet is between the central bank’s counter-party paper Ponzi currency or the independence of real money.

Foresighted central banker John Exter is famous for his classification of risk assets. Using Exter’s Golden Pyramid the riskiest assets are those at the bottom of the pyramid and situated at the top of the apex is gold bullion – independent from the counter-party risk of central bank’s paper and electronic currency.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Tech Stock Bargains Will Pay Off for the Next Decade… and Beyond / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: Not investing in technology right now means missing one of the greatest bull markets of all time.

Over the last 10 years, the tech-centric Nasdaq Composite Index has beaten the broader market by more than double.

That outperformance will continue. The American economy now runs on high tech – from chips to cloud computing to biotech to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi, these advanced systems form the backbone of our nation's growth.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Federal Reserve Under Yellen / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: BATR

Now that the big bluff from the Federal Reserve that interest rates were poised to start their eventual rise has been played, when will the trigger actually be pulled? Assumptions that the Fed act as custodians of the national trust to balance and maintain the economic stability has been proven wrong time and again. Just how well has their efforts translated into the real economy of business activities that reflects positively for the average American? Obviously, if you are not a hedge fund speculator, your response will be guarded at best.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Indonesian Rupiah Is In Trouble, Again / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The rupiah is plumbing the depth it last visited in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis. The accompanying chart of the rupiah’s value against the U.S. dollar tells the tale. Although the rupiah’s recent plunge is not as dramatic as the post-July 1997 float of the rupiah, it is ugly nevertheless.