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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Monday, September 13, 2021

SPX Base Projection Reached – End of the Line? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 until major cycles take over, and it ends.  A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX correction underway.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, September 13, 2021

There are diverse ways to finance the purchase of a car / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: S_N_Chatterjee

Obviously the best solution is to buy a car and pay in cash. But fortunately you can always also take a loan. Is it still a good idea to take a loan to buy a car?

Toyota is the market leader in Poland in terms of the number of new passenger cars bought in Poland in 2021. Individual customers most often choose Toyota Yaris, which costs from PLN 62,900 to PLN 77,900 with basic equipment, depending on the body type and engine version. Dacia Duster (with prices from PLN 48,900) and Toyota Corolla (from PLN 80,000 to PLN 113,000 with basic equipment) also enjoy huge popularity. In accordance with the data of OTOMOTO, when it comes to used cars, those worth from PLN 30,000 to PLN 50,000 and above PLN 50,000 are most popular, with figures reaching 27.3% and 41.4%, respectively. OTOMOTO customers have been looking at Audi A4 and BMW 3 Series as well as Opel Astra and Ford Focus. When considering options to finance car purchase, you can almost always take a loan, no matter if you choose to buy a brand new car or a used one.

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Companies

Monday, September 13, 2021

6 Tips For Wise Investment / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Mark_Adan

Investing your Money Wisely is solemnly a daunting thing. To commence it smoothly and infinitely a basic and prominent Investing knowledge is essential. In addition, patience, and wise counsel are also required to enhance your investments, thus income becoming more positive

Assuredly, you might have heard from your close ones about their investments in the stock market that helped them out to earn torn of money, and influenced you too as you thought it look incredible, isn’t it? 

But in reality, all the victorious millionaires achieved that position by investing their money wisely for a long period of time. 
Most of their strategies can turn out useful to beginners and others. So, here are the tips provided for Wise Investment that is shared by the experienced one.

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Commodities

Friday, September 10, 2021

Gold Price Back Below $1,800! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Gold Price Back Below $1,800!

Easy come, easy go. The yellow metal rallied on Friday just to plunge on Tuesday. What’s your next move, Mr. Gold?

Ugh, the recent rally in gold prices was really short-lived. As the chart below shows, the price of gold increased after the publication of disappointing nonfarm payrolls on Friday. However, it declined as soon as on Tuesday, and on Wednesday it slid below $1,800.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 10, 2021

The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Gary_Tanashian

Our 30 year Treasury yield ‘Continuum’ chart indicates that deflation is the dominant trend, but…

Steve Saville has written a post that got me thinking about carts and horses and more precisely, which comes before which. Is the inflationary horse pulling the deflationary cart up hill or is the deflationary cart leading the horse to drink from the shrinking liquidity pool periodically?

See The Crisis-Monetisation Cycle

In conclusion to this short post Steve asserts…

“The crisis-monetisation cycle doesn’t end in deflation. The merest whiff of deflation just encourages central bankers and politicians to do more to boost prices. In fact, the occasional deflation scare is necessary to keep the cycle going. The cycle only ends when most voters see “inflation” as the biggest threat to their personal economic prospects.”

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Commodities

Friday, September 10, 2021

Silver Price seen tracking Copper prices higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Richard_Mills

As a keen observer of the silver market, something recently caught my eye concerning the relationship between silver and gold (well-recognized) and silver and copper (less so).

Traditionally, silver prices have tracked gold prices fairly closely, which makes sense given that both function as monetary metals, and they often occur together in mineral deposits. The correlation between gold and silver since 1975 has been 0.8876. The 10-year correlation coefficient is 0.7511. However this year, the correlation has dropped significantly to 0.1959.

I suggest the reason is the fact that both copper and silver are being increasingly demanded in green energy applications. The closer correlation is seen below in the similar-shaped line graphs of 6-month spot silver and copper.

This is something we at AOTH will definitely be watching.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, September 10, 2021

The Pitfalls of Not Using a Solicitor for Your Divorce / Personal_Finance / Financial Risk

By: Submissions

In all likelihood, the overwhelming majority of adults who have gone through a divorce considered, at some point or another, foregoing a potentially emotional trip to the solicitors in favour of taking a DIY approach and completing the paperwork alone.

It is entirely possible to be granted a divorce by doing it yourself using the government’s online application form, and many people have opted to go down this route as a result. There are, however, a number of potentially significant pitfalls that make it an unadvisable choice for so many of us to go alone with the process.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 09, 2021

Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

This is third and final part of my recent extensive analysis (Part 1) (Part 2) in advance of Financial Crisis 2.0 as a handful of stocks are driving the indices higher, Apple worth $2.3 trillion, Microsoft $2 trillion, Amazon $1.8 trillion, Google 1.8 trillion, Facebook $1 trillion even that over priced pile of poop Tesla came close to being valued at $1 trillion, we are definitely in a bubble, you only need to go onto youtube and watch the to the moon videos of Cathy Wood, literally everything's going to go to the moon because her barely out of puberty Quants decree it to be so. This is clearly a major warning sign of a unsustainable trend when indices are ruled by such a small clique of tech stocks where the greatest similarity is with the dot come bubble in terms of the valuation of stocks that actually produce revenues unlike the largely worthless dot com's of that time.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, September 09, 2021

This Boom-Bust Cycle in US Home Ownership Should Give Home Shoppers Pause / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

Here's "what happens when a consumption item becomes an investment item"

On a news / talk radio station in my local area, a commercial that frequently runs goes something like this:

"I buy all kinds of houses: big houses and small houses, condemned houses, foreclosed houses, 'my tenant won't pay the rent' houses ..." and on it goes. The speaker says he's a real estate investor and provides his phone number.

Real estate speculation like this helps drive home prices up across the country.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 09, 2021

Stock Market September Smackdown Coming Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 declined, with tech holding up best – the volatility spike is here as real economy deceleration is joined by Evergrande fears. Both paper and real assets took it on the chin, and yields together with the dollar rose. As for greenback and Treasuries upcoming price path:

(…) Treasury yields moved up, but don‘t expect to see them gallop just yet. Slow and steady, orderly grind higher is the most likely trajectory ahead, and even that won‘t propel the dollar higher, or keep it really afloat. Greenback‘s support is at 91.70, and I‘m looking for it to give in over the nearest weeks, which carries tremendous implications for commodity and precious metals trades. And for risk assets in general.

Precious metals, copper and oil bore the brunt of souring sentiment, with cryptocurrencies joining in the slide later through the day. But have the material facts changed, or all we got was a whiff of risk-off? September is likely to be volatile, it seasonally is, and August had been a surprisingly calm month. You know what they say about periods of lower volatility giving way to those of higher readings… Time to buckle up.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 08, 2021

Crazy Crypto Markets How to Buy Bitcoin, Litecoin for Half Market Price and Sell for TRIPLE! / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: HGR

Here's how to capitalise on the crazy crypto markets where one can literally buy crypto for HALF the current market price and then SELL for TRIPLE the price paid all within the same DAY!

Watch and learn how to capitalise on the crazy crypto markets in 2021.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, September 08, 2021

Sun Sea and Sand UK Holidays 2021, Scarborough in VR 180 3D! / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

Here's another unique VR 180 video at Scarbourough beach, fun in the sea given that \It's the Walayat Family tradition to head to the beach for Eliza's Birthday's given that her birthday is in prime holiday season, and so it was for her 7th Birthday where this year we headed for Scarborough after giving the beach birthday a miss last year due to the Pandemic and the preceding years birthday taking place on several Cornwall beaches. So here are some of the sights and sounds of Scarborough, sun, sea, sand. Just goes to show one does not need to go abroad to have a fun holiday and all in VR 180!

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 08, 2021

Bitcoin BTC Price Detailed Trend Forecast Into End 2021 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Today is your lucky day for you gain FULL access to my original full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets that was first made available to Patrons who support my work, of what I expect to happen going into the end of 2021 in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets such as USDT stable coin. Furthermore in this video you are going to get an update of where the Bitcoin price stands in terms of my trend forecast and thus what is likely to happen next during September and for the remainder of this year.

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Companies

Wednesday, September 08, 2021

Hyper Growth Stocks - This billionaire is now using one of our top strategies / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Stephen_McBride

By Justin Spittler : Has billionaire Dan Loeb been reading the RiskHedge Report?

Loeb climbed to the top of Wall Street by achieving remarkable success as an “activist investor.”

In a nutshell, Loeb would buy large stakes in struggling companies… replace management… and make other adjustments (like cutting a dividend) to turn around the company.

That’s how Loeb amassed a $4 billion fortune.

Most people with that much success wouldn’t change their approach. If it isn’t broke, why fix it, right?

But Loeb recently made a huge change in how he invests…

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, September 08, 2021

6 common trading mistakes to avoid at all costs / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

 Even small mistakes can cost you big when you’re a trader. Read these six common trading mistakes and learn how to avoid them at all costs. 

No trading career is free from mistakes. In the beginning, most traders embark on a trial-and-error journey. And, even professional traders can sometimes get so caught up in their trading that they forget about severe mistakes they should avoid. Well, don’t be any of them. 

Trading is a very popular activity these days, precisely because it can bring you some massive returns. But it isn’t risk-free. One great way to minimize your risk of losing money is to learn what are the most common mistakes made and how to avoid them. 

Here are six common mistakes traders make and how you should avoid them. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 07, 2021

US Dollar Upswing, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 didn‘t get hammered on the NFPs miss – stocks did reasonably well, saved by the daily rush into tech. Volatility didn‘t spike throughout the week at all, and credit markets maintain their risk-on posture. Still, the real economy deceleration made itself heard, pushing back Fed taper speculations even further from September. Jerome Powell wanted to see more jobs data, and would want even more so now. I wouldn‘t be really surprised if no taper was announced in November.

Markets are thus far unconcerned about a policy mistake in letting inflation get entrenched even more – Treasury yields moved up, but don‘t expect to see them gallop just yet. Slow and steady, orderly grind higher is the most likely trajectory ahead, and even that won‘t propel the dollar higher, or keep it really afloat. Greenback‘s support is at 91.70, and I‘m looking for it to give in over the nearest weeks, which carries tremendous implications for commodity and precious metals trades. And for risk assets in general.

Precious metals thus far remain tame, and should continue chugging along just fine. Commodities such as copper and oil won‘t be derailed, but might panic temporarily in case of really bad incoming data. Copper‘s continued underperformance of the commodity index highlights the growth woes of the day, and even if the red metal might look to some as ready to roll over, the positive stockpile situation should cushion potential downside. In short, I‘m not looking for a meaningful disturbance to the commodities bull, as the inventory replenishment cycle has far from run its course, and inflation is bound to get hotter this year still.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 07, 2021

Dovish Assassins of the USD Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: P_Radomski_CFA

“I’ve got you in my sights” – the USDX heard that a lot over the last two weeks. While it was bullish for gold, the dollar might take revenge soon.

With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell doubling down on his dovish dialogue on Aug. 27 and the Delta variant depressing U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Sep. 3, the stars aligned for a profound decline in the USD Index. However, while the greenback came under fire from all angles, the USD Index demonstrated immense resiliency in the face of adversity. Moreover, the bullish determination helped reinforce our expectation for another move higher over the medium term.

To explain, the USD Index suffered a breakdown below the neckline of its inverse (bullish) head & shoulders pattern on Sep. 3 (following the release of the payrolls). However, once cooler heads prevailed, the dollar basket recouped the key level during futures trading on Sep. 5/6/7. As a result, U.S. dollar sentiment still remains quite elevated, and at the moment of writing these words, the USD Index is trading back (not much but still) above the neck level of the pattern (dashed, thick line) that’s based on the closing prices.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2021

Weak August Payrolls: Why We Should Care / Economics / Employment

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

A disappointing nonfarm payrolls report came. If the Fed postpones the tapering announcement considerably, gold might be able to rally for longer.

They say that September is a good time for gold. Indeed, historically, gold used to shine during the ninth month, and the yellow metal also started this year’s September on a good note. As the chart below shows, it jumped above $1,800 on the last day of August, and it has continued its rebound since then.
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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 06, 2021

A Mixed Stock Market - Still / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 until major cycles take over, and it ends.  A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX correction underway.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, September 06, 2021

Energy Metals Build Momentum; Silver & Platinum May Follow / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: MoneyMetals

Will this September be one to remember in the markets? It is often characterized by rising volatility heading into the fall. September also often ushers in a period of seasonal strength for precious metals markets.

U.S. stocks opened the month heading back up to record levels. Meanwhile, gold and silver traded with little fanfare. Prices bounced around quietly ahead of Friday’s big jobs report.

Despite lackluster performance in the precious metals sector of late, some other metals are taking off. Energy metals in particular are a hot commodity right now. Uranium – the fuel for nuclear reactors – has suddenly gained strength on supply concerns. And metals used in electric vehicles, including lithium and rare earth elements, are surging along with demand for electric vehicles.

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