Saturday, November 21, 2015
Will the Fed Raise U.S. Interest Rates on Monday, November 23, 2015? - Video / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Mario_Innecco
Earlier this morning I spoke about how the Fed will meet on Monday November 2015 even though the next meetings on December 16. They're having an expedited procedure or meeting which means their meeting in no rush and behind closed doors. It will be interesting to see what they do and might even raise rates this coming Monday even though that's very very unusual.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2023. After a big gap down Sunday night in index futures trading the market worked its way back up to open at SPX 2019 – the low for the week. After that the market rallied to SPX 2067 by Tuesday, then dipped to SPX 2046 also on Tuesday. Then after a gap up opening on Wednesday and Friday the market hit SPX 2097. Then dipped to end the week at SPX 2089. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.35%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.85%, and the DJ World index gained 2.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: the CPI, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims declined. On the downtick: industrial production, the NY FED, the NAHB, and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by a FED governors meeting, Q3 GDP, the PCE and more Housing.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Gold And Silver - Value Of Knowing The Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Every once in a while, we reiterate the importance of knowing the trend, in fact, calling the trend the number one piece of information. From it, everything else follows, in terms of knowing in which direction to base trade decisions.
2014 and 2015 were viewed as turnaround years for gold and silver, with expectations that price would rally to new, never before seen prices. In a little over a month, 2015 ends and 2016 begins right after. It is possible that 2016 may bring more of the same: disappointing expectations for PMs performance. It is just a possibility, for no one knows for certain how the future will unfold. What we do know for certain is that in order for PMs to rally, they must first stop going down.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Bracing for Another Breakdown in Gold Miners GDXJ and GDX / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The bear market in the gold miners has been one for the record books but it is not over yet. Last week we noted that precious metals were on the cusp of making new lows while the US$ index was very close to another key breakout. This scenario remains well in play and would certainly affect the gold mining sector, which over the past two weeks failed to rebound or build on any strength.
Saturday, November 21, 2015
UK Footsie Bulls Set To Foot The Bill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Austin_Galt
The UK stock index, the Footsie, has been trending down textbook style ever since the all time high set at 7122 in April 2015. This current rally has all the hallmarks of yet another bear market rally with many starting to become bullish.
Let's see what is in store for these bulls if my analysis of the daily and monthly charts is correct.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
GBP Sterling's 180 Turn / Currencies / British Pound
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Is it finally catching up with GBP? The British pound defied gravity during most of the week, shrugging disappointing figures on inflation, retail sales and the CBI trend survey. A somewhat hawkish speech by BoE MPC member Ben Broadbent on Wednesday may have been among the causes behind the gains. The pound even managed to rally against the US dollar on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of an expectedly hawkish set of FOMC minutes. Eventually, GBP saw the peak on Thursday evening with GBPUSD giving up at the near confluence of the 55-DMA and 200-DMAs at $1.5312 and $1.5336. Unfortunately, our short GBPUSD trade in the Premium Insights (opened on Nov 6) was stopped out at $1.5330, only 6 pips below the high of the week. After that, GBPUSD shed 1.5 cent to settle near $1.5200.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest Rates, the War on Cash and $10 Trillion Bail-in / Politics / War on Cash
By: Ellen_Brown
Remember those old ads showing a senior couple lounging on a warm beach, captioned “Let your money work for you”? Or the scene in Mary Poppins where young Michael is being advised to put his tuppence in the bank, so that it can compound into “all manner of private enterprise,” including “bonds, chattels, dividends, shares, shipyards, amalgamations . . . ”?
That may still work if you’re a Wall Street banker, but if you’re an ordinary saver with your money in the bank, you may soon be paying the bank to hold your funds rather than the reverse.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 21, 2015
UK Housing Market Affordability, House Prices Momentum and Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Most academic housing market commentators focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as the fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, and looking at the graph below it really is very easy to be seduced by something that on first glance appears obvious that house prices really did have a long way to fall to reach the affordability levels of the past.
Friday, November 20, 2015
European Borders May be Redrawn as Europe Embraces Nationalism / Politics / European Union
By: MISES
Ryan W. McMaken writes: In the wake of the Paris attacks, Europe is being pulled in two directions at once. On the one hand is the rise of localist nationalism in the form of border closings, border fences, and Euroskepticism. On the other hand is the rise of renewed militarism as the French state calls for even more aggressive foreign policy from its European allies in the name of security. In some ways, these two trends appear to be at odds, but they are really just different expressions of nationalism.
Friday, November 20, 2015
GDX Gold Miners’ Strong Q3 Results / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The beleaguered gold-mining sector continues to be plagued by monumental universal bearishness. Nearly everyone assumes the gold miners are doomed, that they can’t survive for long in a sub-$1200-gold environment. But this belief is totally wrong, a consequence of extreme fear’s fog of war. The gold miners’ underlying earnings fundamentals remain very strong, as evidenced by their recent Q3 results.
In all the stock markets, corporate profits ultimately drive stock prices. Because a stock simply represents a fractional stake in its underlying company’s future earnings stream, all stock prices eventually revert to some reasonable multiple of those profits. These earnings are truly the only fundamental driver of stock prices. All deviations from righteous valuations based on profits are just the temporary products of herd sentiment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
End of Schengen, Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
EU Seeking End to Passport-Free Travel.
In an unprecedented move following the horrific attacks in Paris last Friday the 13th the European commission is reviewing its founding treaty with a view to strengthening border controls. This development goes to show the change in European conscious brought about by the sheer scale of the Parisian death and injury. The vision of the founding fathers of the EU saw the end-game being a Federal “one nation” Europe and progressive treaties over the last 70 years or so sought to bring this “binding” about. I believe that recent events have put a stop to this goal once and for all. If the European Union cannot protect its citizens (and it is obvious it cannot) then the only fallback is the individual state, ergo this state cannot be abolished in this new world of hyper-terror. It would thus now appear that David Cameron’s desire to see the EU revert back to being a common market of independent Nation States is going to come about after all. What negotiation was not achieving it would appear radical terrorism has. Who would have thought? Here is how the Associated Press reported this story:
Friday, November 20, 2015
Gold and the Reverse Goldfinger Effect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
In 1964 Sean Connery starred in the movie “Goldfinger” in which the villain, a wealthy Brit named Goldfinger, attempted to revalue his personal gold hoard higher by a factor of 10. His plan was to detonate an atomic bomb inside Fort Knox making the US gold radioactive for hundreds of years. With the Fort Knox gold hoard, the largest in the world at that time, effectively unavailable the global price of gold would increase at least ten times from the 1964 price of approximately $35.00 per ounce. Bond, James Bond, thwarted the dastardly plot and saved the US gold, the US dollar, and the US government.
Friday, November 20, 2015
Crude Oil Price - Where is it Headed? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Sol_Palha
All this talk and turmoil and noise and movement and desire is outside of the veil; within the veil is silence and calm and rest. ~ Bayazid Al-Bistami
On the 19th of this month, two articles were published at the same time, one stating that oil could go to $26 and the other stating that oil is ready to trade to $80. Which one is it going to be, $26 or $80 and how is the average Joe going to be able to discern which one is a depiction of what lies ahead. This is the problem with today's mass media, in their quest to attract eyeballs, bombastic and often conflicting articles are published simultaneously. One almost feels that most of the major sites have only one agenda, quantity over quality.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
Justice for All and The Curious Case of Zambia / Stock-Markets / Africa
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
This chart is driving everything in the financial markets right now.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
Paris, Sharm el-Sheikh, and the Resurrection of Old Europe / / ISIS Islamic State
By: John_Mauldin
Soon after the Paris attacks, I picked up the phone to talk over the situation with my friend George Friedman. George is one of the truly world-class thought leaders on geopolitics. We had an animated 20-minute conversation. I didn’t particularly like what I heard.
George thinks we face big difficulties in dealing realistically with the ISIS threat. The more I read—and the more I listen to people like George who have worked these issues for decades—the more I think that we, as a culture, need to face reality.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
Silver Prices and The Management of Perception / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Silver prices and the management of perception economics, that's basically what MOPE stands for. I'm not sure if it was Jim Sinclair that coined that acronym. I think it was, but that's where I heard it for the first time. It's appropriate to have a subsection of propaganda for economics and finance, so this management of perception economics. It’s basically a system or an extension of generalized propaganda. You can also call it social engineering. You could call it a public relations campaign. In fact, public relations is just a PC term for propaganda. The specific type of propaganda that is associated with finance and economics is this management of perception economics.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
The End Of The Economic Recovery, In One Chart / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Rubino
One of the questions on analysts’ minds lately is whether stock prices can keep moving up when corporate sales and profits are falling. But the same can be asked about the overall economy. Why would companies hire more people if they’re selling less stuff? The answer is that they probably won’t. As the chart below — put together by good friend Michael Pollaro — illustrates, business sales and employment have tracked closely since at least the 1990s. When sales have fallen, companies have responded with less hiring and more firing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
Stock Market Nifty-Fifty Becomes Fab-Five; Return of the 'Four Horseman' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Mike_Shedlock
Anyone recall the logic in the 1960s and 1970s that suggested there were only 50 stocks one needed to look at, and those 50 stocks could never go wrong?
That theory was labeled the "Nifty-Fifty ".
Nonetheless, the long bear market of the 1970s that lasted until 1982 caused valuations of the nifty fifty to fall to low levels along with the rest of the market, with most of the Nifty-Fifty under-performing the broader market averages.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 20, 2015
Waiting for Goldot Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
In August of 2005 I wrote an article entitled Waiting for Goldot. It seems silly now but the mood of the time was one of frustration for many gold bugs as the S&P 500 was on a robo grind upward and gold was seemingly going nowhere. The theme of the article was to have patience, gold was just fine. Of course, that period was in the midst of a more traditional inflation, when gold and commodities out performed stocks. So any measure of patience then was a tiny thing compared to what is needed today.
Friday, November 20, 2015
A Secret New Government Tax -- Unveiled / Companies / Taxes
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Did you know for one major financial sector the Great Recession never ended?
One look at this chart of the KBW Bank Index and the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, and you can see it for yourself:
Read full article... Read full article...