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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Vietnam Sails Smoothly Through The Commodity Storm / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Submissions

Dylan Waller writes: While the gloom faced in commodity prices has created slowed economic growth throughout frontier and emerging markets, there is one global market in Asia in particular that has not been deterred: Vietnam. Low commodity prices have been gruesome for some companies, and on a much larger scale has led to a global economic slowdown for commodity based economies.  While the current environment has created a flurry of buy opportunities in commodity based economies, investment in Vietnam provides a similar opportunity with substantially lower risk. Vietnam’s economy, driven by its strategic advantage of low cost manufacturing, is continuing to maintain its position as one of the fastest growing economies in Asia, and is poised for stronger economic growth throughout 2025.  

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market THREE is a number, Good or Bad, Well that Depends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Denali Guide writes:

Well are we having fun yet?    Are you serious?  THREE CHARTS.
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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Will Lower Crude Oil Prices Cause the Fed to Delay Tightening? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Bob_Kirtley

The FOMC has been moving towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle for a considerable amount of time. Throughout this year Fed statements and the accompanying press conferences have been preparing the markets for the first rate hike. Since the October FOMC various Fed speakers have signalled to the market that the first hike would come at the December meeting, which is this week.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Hybrid Lindsay Christmas Gift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

My Hybrid Lindsay model calls for a low near last Friday (chart) and a high on Thursday, December 24.  This matches typical option expiration behavior seen this year when equities tend to rally into OPEX (this Friday) and change trend soon after.

In addition, the McClellan Oscillator closed on Friday well below its lower Bollinger Band (200, 1.5). History has shown that a quick dip to just below the lower band usually results in a conclusion of the previous correction.  However, a dip closer to negative 300 (as on Friday) often forecasts a lower low in equities (after a small bounce) or at least a test of that low.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Forex Markets GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Some thoughts on trading forex (and other markets) with Elliott wave analysis

Some of the best stories about global positioning systems (GPS) are the weird detours they sometimes recommend.

A while back, while on a family trip through Great Smoky Mountains National Park, I decided to use my GPS to drive around the park's western boundary to see the wildlife. My old-fashioned map made it look like it would take the better part of the day. But my GPS said the trip would only be about 20 miles long. Little did I know -- until I got there -- that the road from the GPS was only the remnant of an old wagon trail. I had to backtrack and take the path my paper map had originally suggested.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Whither Silver Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

In a bit of a surprise today, crude oil somehow managed to pop high after falling below $35 at one point. It seems like it was more a case of running out of sellers rather than aggressive new buying.

Part of the reason for the move higher was that same pestilential macro trade that seemingly surfaces every single time the Dollar moves lower, namely the macro boyz start buying commodities in general.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Santa Claus Gives Away Top 5 Junior Gold Mining Stock Picks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Thibaut Lepouttre, editor of Caesars Report, knows 'tis the season for generosity, so when we asked him for his top three picks among junior mining equities, he gave us five—four gold plays and a phosphate name. Belgium-based Lepouttre also discusses different "black-swan" events and their potential impact on the gold price, as well as some naughty and nice mining jurisdictions. But this is the interview that keeps on giving, so before he left Lepouttre added two micro-cap oil names he believes would make great "stocking stuffers." He's not Santa Claus but you'll appreciate his magnanimity in this interview with The Gold Report.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market Short-Term Bottom?....Fed On Deck.....Wild Wednesday Coming... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was up last night thanks to actions taken by the Chinese Government to get stock prices higher. We blasted up on the futures, with the S&P 500 not too far from being up 20 points at the top. Things were looking up big time for the market until reality caught up before the market opened for trading. The futures fell and went red, only to come back a bit. Once trading began, we saw a lot of fluctuations before heading lower, with a bit of force. Suddenly, and out of the blue, in a matter of seconds, the S&P 500 futures exploded nearly fifteen points, but then fell right back down again. My guess was that the fed was unhappy about losing 2020, and, thus, tried to get the market flying back up. It didn't work.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Crude Oil Extends Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil lost 3.34% as a bearish report from the International Energy Agency added to worries over a supply glut and affected negatively investors' sentiment. In this environment, light crude dropped to a fresh 2015 low, slipping to the lowest level since Feb 2009. What's next?

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Politics

Monday, December 14, 2015

Sham Paris Climate Agreement / Politics / Climate Change

By: Stephen_Lendman

So-called COP21 discussions from November 30 - December 11 among hundreds of representatives from 196 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) countries were dead on arrival.

They fell short of a whimper, let alone a bang environmental and other civil society groups hoped for - in vain.

Meaningful results were entirely absent - impossible to achieve with America and its key allies unwilling to address a potentially catastrophic future problem without taking constructive action now.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stocks Will Fall Anywhere From 17%-50% Depending on the Fed’s Response / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

A major long-term momentum indicator is flashing, “sell.”

Based on the historical significance of this indicator we may be putting in a top and possibly THE top for the bull market that began 2009.

The indicator concerns the monthly moving average convergence divergence or MACD.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, December 14, 2015

The Rand Paul Campaign: Unlocking Liberty’s Majority / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Stephen_Merrill

It is quite a difference a few months of campaigning can make in US Presidential politics.

Take the relative value of the Rand Paul presidential campaign from earlier this year when Senator Paul was winning the CPAC poll compared to the present time that is awash with Donald Trump Republican mania.

The good times were good for Rand Paul for President at its start: the best played Senate filibusters in recent memory, being lauded as the most powerful Senator when he controlled the Senate majority leader’s political life in Kentucky, becoming the only Republican national contender with positive outreach to the young voter and to the truly disaffected voter, the heir of Ron Paul’s liberty movement, the leader of the successful anti-NSA spying forces and media poll numbers for President sometimes beating Hillary Clinton.   

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Game Changing Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

It appears as if the worm has finally turned for the equity markets. The S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly decline since August, and the broader risk markets took a beating. The price of Crude fell under $35 a barrel and high yield bonds took an absolute drubbing. Friday's big decline in equities was on extremely high volume - the highest in 6 weeks - and the volatility index (VIX) jumped 26% in its biggest one-day percentage increase of the year.

This past week's performance notwithstanding, we have been through enough face-ripping reversals in equities to know that, in the end, one move may prove meaningless to the broader trend. Volatility and reversals have been a characteristic of the 2015 market, so we need to consider the current action in that context. But if I can be so bold, I'd like to depart from my normal reliance on evidence to suggest that I have a "sense" that this time might be different for equities.

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Politics

Monday, December 14, 2015

Marine Le Pen Will Reap What The EU Has Sown / Politics / European Union

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Many people are cheering now that yesterday Marine Le Pen and her Front National (FN) party didn’t get to take over government in any regions in the France regional elections. They should think again. FN did get a lot more votes than the last time around, and, though she will be a little disappointed after last weekend’s results, it’s exactly as Le Pen herself said: “Nothing can stop us”.

And instead of bemoaning this, or even not believing it, it might be much better to try and understand why she’s right. And that has little to do with any comparisons to Donald Trump. Or perhaps it does, in that in the same way that Trump profits from -people’s perception of- the systemic failures of Washington, Le Pen is being helped into the saddle by Brussels.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 14, 2015

Ten Market Investors Warning Signs for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

Wall Street's proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 14, 2015

Investors Learn that High Yield Funds are Not Piggy Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is still challenging round number support at 2000.00. The Premarket shows SPX down, but not yet beneath 2000.00.

The tremors are getting bigger and more threatening as oil tumbles below $35.00 while emerging markets and junk bonds increase their turmoil.

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Commodities

Monday, December 14, 2015

Fed, ECB “Monetary Insanity” Is “Frightening” – GoldCore on Keiser Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Max Keiser interviewed GoldCore Research Director, Mark O’Byrne last week and the video was released on Saturday.

Key points and topics covered:

– “Monetary insanity” of ECB and Fed is “frightening”
– “Absolutely nothing has been learned” since financial crisis
– “Financial hypocrisy on a grand scale”
– Ireland was vassal of Bank of England and now ECB

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 14, 2015

Janet Yellen, U.S. Zero Interest Rates - Déjà vu all over Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: James_Quinn

Janet Yellen will increase interest rates for the first time in nine years on Wednesday. She isn’t raising them because the economy is strengthening. The economy just happens to be weakening rapidly, as global recession takes hold. The stock market is 3% lower than it was in December 2014, and has basically done nothing since the end of QE3. Wall Street is throwing a hissy fit to try and stop Janet from boosting rates by an inconsequential .25%. Janet would prefer not to raise rates, but the credibility and reputation of her bubble blowing machine is at stake. The Fed has enriched their Wall Street benefactors over the last six years, while destroying the real economy and the middle class.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, December 14, 2015

Debt Fears for UK Consumers who rely on Credit / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: MoneyFacts

Consumers are living on the edge by relying too heavily on credit and failing to put aside sufficient savings, according to a recent survey*. Moneyfacts.co.uk warns that those who don’t plan their repayments or, in the worst case scenario, lose their main source of income, could therefore find themselves living in fear of their debts as their credit spirals out of control.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Forecast: What Next for the S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 fell last week towards what we think is more than likely support. As we close in on the end of the year it finds itself struggling to print a positive yearly close. We remain bullish the S&P 500 as our forecast shows, however we are cautious as we watch to see how this bull consolidation forms over the next few months.

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