Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Deutsche Bank Abandons Gold Sub $1000 Call, Says Expensive Insurance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

Deutsche Bank Says has thrown in the towel on its call that gold would fall below $1000 Call. Now DB says buy gold for insurance. Here are a few snips of a Deutsche Bank market research report on gold that came my way via email. The title of the report is "It's Expensive, but You Need Some Insurance".

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

New Delhi's Dream of Indian Economy Surpassing China / Economics / India

By: Sol_Palha

"Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come." ~ Anonymous

India has had many aspirations to overtake China, but this is more of a pipedream than reality. India's corruption makes China's corruption seem non-existent. Add in the traffic jams, and filth one has to deal with in parts of Mumbai and Delhi, and the allure of investing in India loses its appeal rather rapidly. This is the reason India continues to suffer such a massive amount of brain drain . Smart Indians understand that their best option is to seek greener pastures. Modi's government had the strongest mandate of any government, yet like all his predecessors he seems to be all talk and little to no action; he has failed to implement any noteworthy changes.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Margaret Thatcher's Warning On The Euro And 'Federal Europe' In 1990 / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: John_Rubino

As the eurozone spins out of control and Britain considers leaving the European Union, this is a good time to recall some of the debates that led up to the current mess. Here's Margaret Thatcher being extraordinarily prescient about the common currency and European integration.

It's safe to say that many in Britain are glad that Thatcher and her intellectual successors opposed "a federal Europe" -- and that a growing number of Italians, Greeks and Spaniards wish they'd had Thatchers of their own.

Monday, February 29, 2016

China's Newest Export: Empty Buildings / Economics / China Economy

By: Michael_Pento

A little over six months ago the owners of the Baha Mar, a $3.5 billion Bahamian resort, filed for bankruptcy. Shoddy construction from the China State Construction Company led to delays resulting from leaking plumbing, porous Chinese concrete and large cracks at critical stress points. The doomed project even led to the death of two Chinese workers. Although the building is 97% complete, the structural deficiencies make it uninhabitable. Given the Chinese proclivity to build ghost towns, it makes you wonder if their construction crews are accustomed to erecting buildings that are never intended to be occupied.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Gold in Zero-bound / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“When you have zero money for so long, the marginal benefits you get through consumption greatly diminish – but there’s one thing that doesn’t diminish, which is unintended consequences.” – Stanley Druckenmiller

Something happened on the way to negative interest rates. Something unexpected. Gold and silver demand went through the roof. The first two months of business at USAGOLD were reminiscent of the 2009 run to gold. In London, where people have the additional concern of a potential exit from the European Union, investors were lining up around the block to purchase precious metals, and reports were circulating that “Some London banks are placing unusually large orders for physical gold.” For the first two months of the year, the U.S. Mint reported gold coin sales running double what they were for the same period in 2015.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Crowded Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Loukas

Even though Gold did not continue higher this week, sentiment still seems to be dangerously elevated. Talk of $2,000 Gold and a new bull market has become common, and Gold seems ripe for a fall, at least in the short term. Don’t misinterpret my point – I see the evidence that a new bull market trend is developing, but that’s in the intermediate term. Shorter term, the current rally is approaching its limits.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Gold's Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

Steen Jakobsen, Saxo Bank CIO and chief economist, emailed a chart of gold last week with his comments on what the chart means. I meant to comment on his comments at the time, but will do so now.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Silver Prices in Five Years? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

What will the price of silver be in 2021?  You can find articles suggesting the price of silver will be over $1,000 and under $10.  Perhaps this is the wrong question.

A better approach:  The global financial system is increasingly unstable and fragile, more so than in 2008.  The important question is: How will governments, central banks and financial systems respond to the ongoing crisis?  Future prices for silver are dependent upon the answer to that question.  I suggest three possible scenarios.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Overseas Stock Markets are Down. SPX Targeted by HFTs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is marginally lower this morning. However, it has not crossed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 142.90, so anything may happen at the open.

The largest influence on the markets appears to be China. ZeroHedge reports, “After the G-20 ended in a wave of global disappointment, leading to the biggest Yuan devaluation in 8 weeks, and sending Chinese stocks into a tailspin on concerns the PBOC has forsaken its stock market as well as speculation the housing bubble is now sucking up excess liquidity which in turn pushed global market deep in the red to start the week, it was the PBOC's turn to scramble in a panicked reaction to sliding risk exactly one month after Japan unveiled its own desperation NIRP, and as reported before unexpectedly cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 0.5% to 17.0%, the first such cut in 2016 and the 5th since the start of 2015.”

Monday, February 29, 2016

Irish Bonds Fall as Election Creates Political and Economic Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: GoldCore

Irish bonds fell today and the yield on ten-year Irish bonds rose to 0.908 pc, up from 0.891 pc in early trading this morning after a divisive general election and inconclusive result threw Irish politics into disarray and created considerable political and economic uncertainty.

Monday, February 29, 2016

First They Came For The iPhones... / Politics / Social Issues

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

The FBI tells us that its demand for a back door into the iPhone is all about fighting terrorism, and that it is essential to break in just this one time to find out more about the San Bernardino attack last December. But the truth is they had long sought a way to break Apple's iPhone encryption and, like 9/11 and the PATRTIOT Act, a mass murder provided just the pretext needed. After all, they say, if we are going to be protected from terrorism we have to give up a little of our privacy and liberty. Never mind that government spying on us has not prevented one terrorist attack.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Average Credit Card Interest Rates Hit All-time High / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring

By: MoneyFacts

The credit card market continues to be inundated with introductory interest-free deals, but behind the scenes the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the average purchase rate on all credit cards has hit an all-time high of 21.6% APR*.

Cardholders with a high interest credit card may not be fully aware of how much they pay over the long term or how much they could save by switching to a better deal. For instance, sticking with a high interest card could mean that it will take almost four years to clear a debt of as little as £1,000.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Tory Elite Risk British Civil War By Stating Intentions to IGNORE BrExit LEAVE EU Referendum Result / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A string of senior tories have been making insidious statements declaring that a vote by the British people to LEAVE in the forthcoming EU Referendum does not necessarily mean that the Tory elite would take Britain out of the EU, instead statements have been made that it would be just used as a bargaining chip in future negotiations ahead of a SECOND referendum, and what if Britain votes to LEAVE again, will there be a third, fourth, fifth until the Tory elite get the result they want?

Monday, February 29, 2016

Another Pull Back in the Stock Market Due? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I was doing what most traders were doing, being swayed by the momentum indicators.  Last time we saw the momentum indicators where they are now we pulled back a little and then continued on up.  That was early October 2015. The problem is, the current e-wave formation has an irregular bottom that formed after the February 8 low and that was on February 11, which suggests a move below the last low of SPX 1810 and soon.  And here we have the astros confirming along with the very short term momentum indicators agreeing.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Silver Price Breaks Lower - Gold and PM Stocks Set to Plunge... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

In the latest Gold and Silver Market updates, posted last weekend, the view was expressed that an intermediate top was forming gold and silver, not a bull Flag as some were suggesting, and the latest COT data not only confirms this view, but suggests that a severe drop is imminent, and it already started in silver on Friday. Fortunately we exited most of our long positions in the sector, many at a handsome profit, over the past 2 weeks, having spotted the danger.

The latest 1-year chart for gold is - or should be - alarming for those still long the sector. It shows gold churning having hit a target after a parabolic slingshot move that resulted in it becoming heavily overbought. Now it is vulnerable to a reaction which the latest COTs suggest will be heavy. Breakdown from the parabola will likely lead to a dramatic plunge.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Is the Stocks Bear Rally Ending At A 50% Retracement? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Next down-phase close at hand.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, February 28, 2016

“Somebody” Stepped In to Prop Up Stocks Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

At this point the manipulations are getting ridiculous.

“Someone” decided to step in a prop up stocks yesterday. How do we know it was a market prop and not real investors?

There were several “tells.”

Sunday, February 28, 2016

The Fed is Working to Implement NIRP / Interest-Rates / NIRP

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed Vice-Chair has begun laying the groundwork for NIRP.

The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance.

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Israel’s War on Palestine Ignored with World Focus on Syria / Politics / Palestine

By: Stephen_Lendman

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Gold Price Generates Long-term Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Gold has just generated a long term buy signal. This is exact;y what should happen if the 8 year cycle low is complete. I've been saying the 8 year cycle low has to occur along with a yearly cycle low, and we got a yearly cycle low in December.