Thursday, May 19, 2016
Unintended Consequences, Part 1: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Deflation / Economics / Deflation
Somewhere back in the depths of time the world got the idea that easy money — that is, low interest rates and high levels of government spending — would produce sustainable growth with modest but positive inflation. And for a while it seemed to work.
But that was an illusion. What actually happened was textbook, long-term, surreally-vast misallocation of capital in which individuals, companies and governments were fooled into thinking that adding new factories, stores and infrastructure at a rate several times that of population growth would somehow work out for the best.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Market Forecast 2016: Technology a Huge Player / Companies / Tech Stocks
It is being forecast that 2016 is going to see huge advances in technology and if anyone is looking for a place to invest, technology would be the place to start. Technology is infiltrating every aspect of our lives from the clothes we wear to smart gadgets for home and play, if you can buy it, technology had a hand in producing it. According to the Deloitte group of member firms, the backbone of the digital economy is the technology sector and this is where they forecast the most growth this year and probably every year going forward.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Bank Bail-Ins Pose Risks To Retail Depositors / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016
Bank bail-ins pose risks to retail investors and especially savers throughout the western world. The new bail-in rules have been made operational since the beginning of this year in the EU and in many other countries yet the risks and ramifications of bail ins have been largely ignored in most of the media.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
The Federal Reserve is Not Going To Raise Interest Rates and Destroy Gold / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
Yesterday the stock market and gold prices fell into their closing bells after the release of minutes of the Federal Reserve’s April meeting.
The Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates at that meeting, but the minutes showed that some Federal Reserve Board members hope to raise interest rates in June.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Stock Market Final Supports Are Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has declined again beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and now beneath yesterday’s low at 2034.49 and the Cycle Bottom support at 2032.59. Yesterday’s call and Wave structure were on the money.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Gold - Pro-Inflation? Anti-USD? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
This is the opening segment from the May 15 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 395. I am releasing it for public viewing because it seems, the title’s question has come roaring to the forefront this week. So the information (including the charts) is slightly dated, but becoming intensely relevant as of now.
We anticipated an ‘inflation trade’ or Anti-USD asset market bounce and this has been going on since mid-February. That was when silver wrestled leadership from the first mover, gold (which bottomed in December and turned up in January), and a whole host of other global asset markets began to rise persistently.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Why Stock Market Price Spikes Are Actually Your Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I could go on in detail about why and what price spikes provide us short term trades with, and I will in a future article and video. Keeping things short and simple we will let the charts to the speaking for now because they paint a very clear picture of what they do and how quickly we should expect our profit targets to be reached.
The chart below shows the recent price spikes in the SPY. These spikes come and go, meaning some months we may only see a couple, and other months we see 10-20 of these incredible momentum trading opportunities.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Further Stock Market Uncertainty As Indexes Gained On Friday, Will Uptrend Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Vauxhall Zafira Fires Panic, Issues Second Recall Whilst Owners Wait for Inspections / ConsumerWatch / Auto Sector
Vauxhall appears to be in a panic as the first recall of about 220,000 Zafira B's in the UK of November 2015 does not appear to have fixed the fault that is causing Zafira's to catch fire and literally explode, and so Vauxhall today issued a SECOND recall in an attempt to get a grip of the crisis.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Senate Passes Bill Letting 9/11 Victims Sue Saudi Arabia / Politics / US Politics
The despotic Saudi regime is guilty of many high crimes. 9/11 isn’t one of them, the mother of all false flags, Washington responsible, perhaps complicit with Israel’s Mossad.
Bin Laden and Riyadh had nothing to do with what happened. Osama was dying in a Pakistani hospital at the time, expiring months later from natural causes.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Stocks Prepare to Crash as the Last Buyer Stops Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
Stocks are now on borrowed time.
Corporate buybacks have been the single largest driver of stock prices in the last quarter. Institutional investors have been net sellers for 15 weeks. And individual investors have been pulling capital out of stock funds in record amounts.
This leaves corporate buybacks as the sole driver of stocks. But now that is ending.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Yellen’s Talk of Interest Rate Hike Causes Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a really volatile and interesting day today due to the FOMC. The day started out with a very nice run up in a 3-wave, corrective-type move, reaching resistance midday just before the FOMC. When that occur, and indications of a probable or potential raise in rates in June, it took the market back form 4362 down to 4305, a big, 57-point drop. The S&P 500 dropped from 2060 to 2035, 25 points. They backed and filled in a right-handed, extended-V bottom to finish positive, and get the blue chips back down near flat.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Fed Shocks The Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The fed minutes were announced today at 2 PM ET. The market was expecting the minutes to say that things aren't that good economically, and that the prospect was for continued low rates. SURPRISE!!!! The minutes said that Ms Yellen would hike if the data improved in Q2. While that's not very likely, it is interesting that she talked about raising rates in June. She's so far behind of the curve that maybe she's getting anxious about keeping rates too low. Maybe she's preparing the market for the inevitable. It has to happen some year. Maybe this year will be that year, although I wouldn't hold my breath. That said it does seem she wants to hike and maybe the market is simply picking up on that. That it doesn't matter if the economy doesn't recover.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Vauxhall Zafira B Fire Recall Update - Pentagon Dealership Experience / ConsumerWatch / Auto Sector
Vauxhall is just one amongst a growing list of auto manufactures being forced to issue recalls for a myriad of reasons from alleged fraudulent emissions ratings by the likes of Volkswagen to Vauxhall's recall of some 220,000 Zafira B models in the UK that are apparently at a real risk of catching fire and even exploding as is the experience of countless Zafira owners over the past few years hence triggering the recall.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
What This U.S. Presidential Election Tells Us About Her Millennial Generation / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Kristin Tate in discussing her book and the outlook of Millennials on the upcoming US election.
Read full article... Read full article...KRISTIN TATE is is a political columnist and author of “Government Gone Wild”.
In her book she says D.C. politicians are shipping our friends and family overseas to fight in wars we shouldn’t be fighting. They monitor our emails, record our phone calls, and peer into our snail mail. They spend our hard-earned cash on things no disciplined family would buy. They tell us who we can marry and what we can put in our bodies. They throw us in overcrowded prisons for smoking pot. They take lavish trips around the world, staying in five-star hotels… and it comes straight out of our paychecks. This isn’t freedom?
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Stock Market Trendline Broken on Fed Announcement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has now broken its Head & Shoulders neckline and has bounced from its 2-hour Cycle Bottom. A rally above today’s earlier high at 2060.61 implies that it may continue back to the 4.5-year trendline. That doesn’t appear to be the case, but I am just cautioning. On the other hand, a drop below 2034.49 may open the trap door for a panic decline to the Head & Shoulders target of 1967.85, at a minimum.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
An Incredibly Simple, Rarely Used Way to Book 170% Investing Gains / Interest-Rates / Learning to Invest
By Dan Steinhart
Editor’s note: You’ll find a very important theme running through the Dispatch over the next five days…
We’re going to discuss the secrets of Casey Research founder Doug Casey’s wildly successful investment strategy…one that has made him tens of millions of dollars in the markets. For each of the next five days, you’ll receive an essay about how this strategy can potentially add tens of thousands of dollars a year to your investment returns…
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
SPX Bounces off the Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX bounced almost precisely at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00, after having complete another impulsive decline. It appears to have attempted a 50% retracement of that decline at 2055.00 thus far. The bounce may have relieved the oversold condition enough to attempt another decline, but the bear market doesn’t gain strength until 2040.00 is broken.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Massive Silver Price Rally During The Coming US Dollar Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I have written extensively about how the current silver bull market is similar to the 70s. Despite these similarities, silver will (ultimately) perform much better than during the 70s.
The fractal analysis of the US Dollar Index (below) shows some more similarities and differences between the 70s era and now. I believe that these further supports the expectation that silver will perform much better than it did during the 70s.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Statistically Significant Stock Market Death Cross? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Will skeptics and backers of Death Cross finally unite? The S&P500 is currently showing a pattern seen in June 2008 and March 2001, both cases in which the index lost more than 30%. The 50-week moving average is crossing below the 100-week moving average, a pattern whose importance has been highlighted by its rarity and consequence.
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