Sunday, May 22, 2016

George Osborne Warns of 18% Cheaper House Prices - BrExit for First Time Buyers / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's first time buyers fully understand the nature of the crisis that is Britain's housing market one of soaring average prices that far out strip average wages as unaffordability continues to trend ever higher to new extremes each year as I have illustrated over several years. A crisis that first the Coalition and now the Conservative government has bent over backwards to try and get first time buyers a leg up onto the housing ladder by adopting extreme tax payer funded measures such as the help to buy scheme, and most recently the Lifetime ISA, which will see the government hand out £1,000 cash to first time buyers for every £4k saved.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Gold Bull-Phase I Continues to Confound (The Trek to “Known Values”) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Plunger

Since January 20th the precious metal stocks have been in an upward impulse. I have classified this impulse as phase I of a new bull market. My essay “The three phases of a bull market” located on this site explains this in further detail.

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/goldprecious-metals/the-three-phases-of-a-bull-market?post=92292

In short, phase I is the move off bear market lows to “known Values”. Just prior to this move stocks were left on the bargain table and farsighted, wise investors picked them up from discouraged and distressed sellers. I have described this impulse move toward known values as analogous to a beach ball held under water then released.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Third Death Cross of the Century Pointing to Stock Market Carnage - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Sunday May 22nd 2016 short video and technical analysis I know people think
technical analysis doesn't work I have always been close follow-up technical
analysis course is on technical announces but I and I also like the
fundamentals I think it's important to follow boat but it's really important
that I come out with this because we've had a death cross on the weekly chart of
the S&P 500 also handed out but I'm going to focus on the S&P 500 because
that's the broader market and moving averages basically confirmed tops or
bottoms so they happened after the top and this makes sense because we had that
top stock market last year and fifty weekend hundred week is very long-term...

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Avoiding a War in Space / Politics / New World Order

By: STRATFOR

Space is becoming more congested, contested and competitive. Since the Soviet Union put the first satellite, Sputnik I, into space in 1957, no nation has deliberately destroyed another's satellite in orbit. But there is a growing possibility that battles may soon be waged in space.

Although the militarization of space started long ago, a number of technological developments and tests over the past decade show that the race toward its weaponization is accelerating. Driven by Washington's dominance of and strategic dependence on space, U.S. rivals are working to develop and deploy anti-satellite weapons (widely known as ASATs). The technology, which began to be developed during the Cold War, has become an area of intense competition for the world's most capable militaries over the past decade.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Walkers Crisps Spell & Go - Tesco Checkout Instant Win Odds / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

One of the ways to win a prize in the Walkers Crisps Spell and Go 20,000 Holidays promotion is on buying bags of walkers crisps at a Tesco store to be handed an instant win receipt at the check out for small prizes such as sun glasses. But just how many purchases does it take to win an instant win prize? Find out our experience in our latest video in this series -

Saturday, May 21, 2016

Will Venezuela Be Forced to Embrace the US Dollar? / Currencies / Venezuela

By: MISES

Daniel Fernández Méndez writes: The country of Venezuela is dangerously approaching hyperinflation. At 2015’s year-end, official figures had yearly inflation at or above 180 percent (some private sector sources estimated it at 330 percent). The technical definition of hyperinflation is when inflation is at 50 percent or more per month, meaning that Venezuela is not yet at this point, but does seem to be approaching at an accelerated pace. The South American country finds itself with inflation rates at their worst in its history (1996 saw 103 percent yearly inflation) and the highest in the world (Ukraine is second with 50 percent yearly inflation).

Saturday, May 21, 2016

Danish Central Bank Stumbles with Its Currency Peg to the Euro / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MISES

Uffe Merrild writes: Denmark has been mentioned a few times during the American election campaign by Democrats who favor larger government and high redistribution of income, but also pundits like Paul Krugman have written about Denmark in his October 19th column at The New York Times. Fortunately most of his fiscal and general economic Keynesian points have been refuted in Episode 6 of Contra Krugman by Thomas Woods and Robert Murphy. But, some points regarding monetary policy need attention as well.

Saturday, May 21, 2016

EgyptAir Flight MS804 - Why is the Jihadist World Silent? / Politics / War on Terror

By: STRATFOR

As the investigation into the crash of EgyptAir Flight 804 continues and searchers begin to find evidence, the jihadist world has been strangely silent. Air traffic controllers lost contact with the aircraft early May 19 and we are now nearly outside the timeframe in which jihadist groups have ordinarily taken credit for attacks. The one obvious explanation for this is that a catastrophic mechanical or electrical failure brought down the aircraft rather than a bomb, but given all of the indications that point to an attack, it is worth exploring the lack of a claim of responsibility and what that means for attributing the cause of the crash.

Saturday, May 21, 2016

SPX Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2047. After a rally to SPX 2072 on Monday, the market worked its way down to SPX 2026 by Thursday. Then an options expiration on Friday closed the week at SPX 2052. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.95%. Economic reports for the week were again positive. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, and the Q2 GDP est. was lowered: +2.5% v +2.8%. On the uptick: the CPI, housing starts, building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, leading indicators, existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, Durable goods, and more Housing reports.

Saturday, May 21, 2016

George Osborne Warns of More Affordable UK Housing Market if BrExit Happens / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

George Osborne in the last few weeks of the EU referendum campaign appears to morphing form a to Euro-phile into a Euro-skeptic, effectively coming full circle as his most recent statement illustrates, warning that a BrExit would result in the UK housing market becoming MORE AFFORDABLE for the British people, presumably because there could be 5 million LESS NEW EU migrants by 2030 and thus the pressure cooker that is the UK housing market should gradually cool due to reduced demand from the current insane levels that has the UK building 140,000 homers per annum which is set against net migration of at least 500k per year, let alone the pressure from new domestic demand. Therefore each year for the past 15 years Britain's housing crisis has relentlessly worsened as new supply has been nowhere near able to keep pace with both domestic demand PLUS 1/2 million extra migrants to house per annum!

Saturday, May 21, 2016

Gold And Silver 11th Hour: Globalists 10 v People 0 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

At the proverbial 11th hour, the globalists have a shut out going for themselves with people unable to mount any meaningful opposition. While the word “hour” is referenced, the time could be measured in months, even a few more years. Whatever the duration is, the time frame continues to shorten.

Rather than provide supply/demand facts for gold and silver, amply illustrated with lots of graphs and charts, provide information on Commitment of Traders data, and so much more, we prefer to engage in other situations that may be having more of an effect as to why gold and silver prices are not rallying to price levels that would reflect the true supply/ demand circumstances. These are the more pragmatic reasons for owning and holding either or both physical metals.

Saturday, May 21, 2016

David Morgan: There Will Soon Be a Run to Gold Like You've Never Seen Before / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

 Mike Gleason: I'm happy to welcome back our good friend, David Morgan, of TheMorganReport.com. David, it's always a pleasure to talk with you. How have you been?

David Morgan: Mike, I've been well and thank you for the interview.

Mike Gleason: We've seen some very positive and encouraging market action in the metals this year with silver up close to 19% year-to-date, and gold up 18% as we're talking here on Thursday morning. Although, the precious metals are pulling back sharply this week. Assess the market action so far here in 2016, and talk about what's driving this recent pullback.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Stock Market Laterally Painful... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Writing this newsletter is getting harder and harder these days as the market is incapable of moving sustainably in one direction. Just when it seems one side has control that control gets taken away. You get perfect action from the bulls. They break up through resistance only to have things reverse the very next day. The bears start to make a move for themselves. Just yesterday we tested below 2040 horizontal support, and then tested almost to the point at 2023 (2025 print), which is the 200-day exponential moving average.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Gold Stocks Following Bull Analogs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold stocks started to correct this week as large caps were off 13% at Thursday’s low. Both juniors and large caps have made tremendous gains since the January 19 bottom and are ripe for some profit taking. The Fed minutes provided the catalyst for such and we should also note the tendency for gold stocks, while in a bull market to peak in May. History argues that the miners could correct at least 20% now before moving higher.

Friday, May 20, 2016

The Gold Chart That Has Central Banks Extremely Worried / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Steve_St_Angelo

This gold chart should have Central Banks extremely worried.  Why?  Because the change in physical gold and Central Bank demand since the first crash of the U.S. and global markets in 2008 is literally off the charts.

I advise precious metals investors not to focus on the short-term gold price movement, rather they should concentrate on the long-term trend changes.  This is where the ultimate payoff will be by investing in gold.   Now, I say “INVESTING”, in gold because that is what we are doing.

Friday, May 20, 2016

George Soros Was Once a Dollar Vigilante, Now a Ring Wraith Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

One of the inspirations for our name, The Dollar Vigilante, was what used to be called the Bond Vigilantes.

Last seen in full force in the inflationary early 1980s, bond vigilantes were anti-establishment figures who were said to have rebelled. They had decided to keep central banks and governments honest by raising long term interest rates in the open market. They would do so whenever the authorities kept their own interest rates too low, or let budget deficits grow out of control.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Silver Miners’ Q1’ 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The world’s elite silver miners just finished reporting their operating results from 2016’s first quarter, and they were impressive.  This industry continued to drive its costs lower even as silver finally started mean reverting out of mid-December’s deep secular low.  The silver miners are beautifully positioned to enjoy soaring operating profits as silver’s young new bull market continues gradually marching higher on balance.

Silver mining is a tough business geologically and economically.  Primary silver deposits, those with enough silver to generate over half their revenues when mined, are quite rare.  Most of the world’s silver ore formed alongside base metals or gold, and their value usually well outweighs silver’s.  According to the just-released World Silver Survey 2016 by the venerable Silver Institute, silver largely remains a byproduct.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Terrorist Attack Likely Downed EgyptAir Flight 804 / Politics / ISIS Islamic State

By: Stephen_Lendman

At 11:09 PM local time Wednesday, Flight MS804 with 66 passengers and crew en route from Paris’ Charles de Gaulle airport to Cairo went missing over the Mediterranean Sea.

French President Francois Hollande said the plane “went down and is lost.” It’s too early to know if what happened was technical failure or terrorism, the latter most likely.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Why We Don’t Need a Gold Standard; there is a better alternative / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Sol_Palha

A highbrow is the kind of person who looks at a sausage and thinks of Picasso. - A. P. Herbert

The first reaction from the hard money camp would be to state we are insane or that we longer value hard money.  Taking that line of thought would only set you on the wrong track; we are not against hard money or are the Gold standard. However, most of those in the hard money camp have a hard time dealing with reality.  The reality is that very few even understand this concept and even fewer would be willing to embrace it. In the end, it’s the masses that determine if whether or not a new trend, fad or rule will be embraced or not.  Have the masses done anything other than occasionally complain about how prices are rising? Did they embrace the Gold bull market from 2002-2011?  Most of them focussed on the crash aspect and not the fact that Gold had soared significantly higher than it was back in 2002 despite the strong pullback? The answer on all fronts is no; to understand why no good deed goes unpunished, or why the masses will crucify you if you try to alter their mindset, watch Plato’s allegory of the cave.  It provides a very simple and clear look into the mass mindset.

Friday, May 20, 2016

GOFO and Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Gold Forward Offered Rate (GOFO) is the swap rate for a gold-to-U.S. dollar exchange. In other words, it is a rate at which someone is ready to lend gold on a swap basis against greenbacks (the benchmark used to be quoted by a few banks involved in the rate-setting process which were prepared to lend gold to each other). For example, if someone owns gold and wants to borrow U.S. dollars, he can use gold as collateral to secure the loan. The GOFO is the interest rate on that loan. Since gold is an excellent collateral (it’s portable and liquid), the GOFO rates used to be relatively small. Actually, certain rates were sometimes negative in what signaled high physical demand.