Thursday, May 13, 2021
Stock Market Bulls Getting Caught in the Whirlwind / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Seemingly uneventful and tight range day in S&P 500 gave way to extraordinary selling once the 4,220 intraday support broke – extraordinary by recent standards. The bulls obviously have quite some damage to repair before thinking about taking on new highs. Prices have moved back into the prolonged consolidation, in what isn‘t a true breakdown though yet.
Neither the smallcaps, nor the emerging markets, let alone S&P 500 fell on sharply rising volume, which speaks in favor of a bad day, chiefly driven by tech (yes, I‘m looking at you, $NYFANG) and weak credit markets. Look at market breadth – new highs new lows stunningly rose yesterday in spite of the 500-strong index losing quite a few dozen points.
Classic risk off positioning, if only the defensives as a group did a lot better – but it could have been worse had commodities joined in the melee. They didn‘t, and they are thus the dog that didn‘t bark, detracting credibility from yesterday‘s stock market plunge (unless they catch up next, that is).
Both copper and lumber reversed, but won‘t this turn out as another buying opportunity, especially in copper? Little has changed in the reflationary and reopening trades – financials managed to shake off the rising yields easily yesterday. True, VIX and put/call ratio aren‘t painting a picture of calmness, but especially the option traders are positioned a bit too bearishly at the moment. Again, it‘s a question of how long before the tech bottom hunters step in. Make no mistake though, growth is going to keep lagging behind value.
Gold, silver and miners are in a vulnerable position even though neither the technical nor fundamental reasons behind their rally changed. The rising yields are a testament of rotation out of stocks into bonds not having worked yesterday, and should commodities such as copper get hurt again, precious metals would land in hot water likely. Thus far though, no sign thereof – the momentum remains with the bulls overall, and higher time frames confirm that.
Thursday, May 13, 2021
Legoland Windsor Mini land and Sky Train Virtual Tour in VR 360 - UK London Holidays 2021 / Personal_Finance / Holidays
By: Anika_Walayat
The virus means it's unlikely most of us will be able to travel abroad for holidays 2021, still there's plenty of things to do in the UK such as visiting one of the dozens of theme parks sprinkled throughout the land. Here is a virtual tour of Mini land in Legoland Windsor and a trip on the Sky Train all in VR 360
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Peak Growth and Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
The rates of growth and inflation are now surging in the U.S., but that shouldn't be a surprise to anyone. What else would you expect when the Federal government has sent $6 trillion dollars in helicopter money to state and local governments, businesses, and individuals over the past year. Then, at the same time, millions of homeowners are told they don't have to pay their mortgages. In addition, our central bank has printed trillions of dollars to push asset prices through record-high valuations and continues to create $120 billion each month in order to keep Wall Street happy.All the above is happening while the economy opens up due to the dissemination of COVID-19 vaccines. The markets have anticipated this economic boom and have now nearly fully priced it all in. For instance, home prices have soared by 12% year over year in February, which was the fastest increase in the past seven years. And, the total market cap of equities is now over 200% of GDP—about twice the level reached at the start of the Great Recession.
But that rate of change in growth and inflation will be peaking in the next two months. I'll explain why that is and what that means for investors?
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Where’s The Fed? Watch Precious Metals For Signs Of Inflation Panic / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We recently completed some interesting research related to one of our newest Custom Indexes – the Commodities to Smart Cash Index (C2SC Heat Index) – weighted by the US Dollar and VIX. We’ve been reviewing this new index for months watching it to see how it reacts to various trends in Lumber, Gold, Treasury Yields, the Smart Cash Index, and other weighted values. Recently, we added the Fed Funds Rate to this chart and suddenly things took on a different perspective.
We had drawn horizontal lines on the Commodities to Smart Cash index highlighting historical high, low, and confluence price levels. Historically, when we see a chart that channels in a sideways range, one can often identify high and low price thresholds while also trying to find a confluence level (where a continued rise or decline in price is likely to continue). We can see how the US Fed reacted to rising inflationary concerns almost immediately as the C2SC Index rose near or above 6.5 (the RED Confluence level) throughout the past 25 years. Each time, in 1994, 1999, and 2005, when a period of increasing inflationary trends, the Fed was quick to act to contain inflation. The only time the Fed acted differently was in 2013~2015 and in 2020~now.
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! / Politics / Coronavirus 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
An open source peer reviewed study in Italy states that anti-bodies for covid-19 were detected in blood samples in Italy as early as September 2019!
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
India Covid Apocalypse Heralds Catastrophe for Pakistan and Bangladesh / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Nadeem_Walayat
India's covid-19 double mutant B.1.617 apocalypse continues with the actual numbers of deaths and infections many times the official numbers of 400,000 infected and 3,500 deaths per day as we witness the collapse of India's healthcare system. that could see the number of total number of deaths exceed 2 million before the end of May, with the peak seeing as many as 100,000 deaths per day. Meanwhile indian politicians live in an alternative universe, making announcements that all indians over the age of 18 now being eligible for the vaccines, despite the fact that most of the vaccination centres have closed due to lack of vaccines which means only 10% of Indians (higher castes) have had 1 dose and 1.5% 2 doses. If those in charge of India had any sense of intelligence then they would be focused on vaccinating the most vulnerable i.e. the over 45's and not opening up vaccinations to all adults (higher castes)! Instead of which India's government is primarily focused on peddling misinformation in trying to hide the magnitude of the catastrophe underway which includes instructing twitter to delete tweets critical of their mismanagement of the pandemic.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is now entering my forecast window for a significant correction which should present an opportunity to accumulate into most the AI mega-trend stocks many of which have galloped ahead to new all time highs this year, trending in the opposite direction to the much higher risk stocks such as those that heavily populate the media blitzkrieging Cathy Wood's ARK funds i.e. their biggest holding Tesla is down 4.5% year to date whilst AI numero Uno Google is up 32%! Which this analysis seeks to resolve in high probability buying levels in advance of an expected correction during May.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Gold Price During Hyperinflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
Let’s start by defining hyperinflation…
“Hyperinflation is a term to describe rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increases in an economy. While inflation is a measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, hyperinflation is rapidly rising inflation, typically measuring more than 50% per month.” (source)
In addition, hyperinflation is described as “an extreme case of monetary devaluation that is so rapid and out of control that the normal concepts of value and prices are meaningless.”
The latter description is much more characteristic of the potential threat that most people envision when they invoke the term hyperinflation.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Stock Market Extending Phase Two? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: Phase two from 3853 does not look complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Crypto 101 for new traders – ETH or BTC? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Stock Market Enters Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast Time Window / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is now moving into my forecast time window for a correction to begin of approx 10% decline as illustrated by my trend forecast graph.
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Tuesday, May 11, 2021
GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The GDX and HUI Index are enjoying a blissful moment. With HUI behaving civilly, will the GDX cling to the unrealistic and try to leap to cloud “ten”?
With the GDX ETF punching a hole through its glass ceiling, the senior miners are now witnessing an environment that’s beyond their wildest dreams: sunshine, clear skies and a utopia that’s eluded them since the beginning of the New Year. However, while leaving paradise is often more difficult than arriving, the GDX ETF’s recent vacation is likely coming to an end. And with the senior miners about to resume the daily grind of real life, their optimism will likely fade with the tropical sun.
To explain, while the GDX ETF remains on cloud nine, the HUI Index (a proxy for gold mining stocks ) has already left the resort. With the latter’s long-term outlook still intact and its broad head & shoulders pattern remaining on schedule, I wrote previously that the right shoulder would likely form after the HUI Index reaches 300. And after closing at 301.72 on May 7, the BUGS (after all, HUI is called the Gold Bugs Index) are currently living up to expectations.
Please see below:
Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Cathy Wood Bubble Bursts as ARK Funds CRASH! Enter into a Severe Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst the Dow has been trading at NEW all time highs, supreme media high risk stocks pumper's ARK funds have entered into a severe bear market as ARK bubble finally bursts. Those invested in ARK funds are in for a more pain over the coming weeks and months as reality catches up with the fantasy valuations that the Cathy brigade had lifted the likes of Tesla to.
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Monday, May 10, 2021
Apply This Technique to Stop Rushing into Trades / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: EWI
Dear reader,
You know this feeling even if you've traded only a little.
Here's how it usually goes: You look at a chart, you see what appears to be a setup -- and you instantly pull the trigger.
Then you look closer and realize that... you were early. WAY early.
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Monday, May 10, 2021
Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is now moving into my forecast time window for a correction to begin of approx 10% decline as illustrated by my trend forecast graph-
9th Feb 2021 Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021
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Sunday, May 09, 2021
CHIA Getting Started SSD Crypto Mining by Plotting and Farming on Your Hard Drives Guide / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
By: Nadeem_Walayat
How to profit form your spare hard drive space with CHIA, in this easy to follow getting started crypto farming guide to get your CHIA farm up and running with it's first plots.
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Sunday, May 09, 2021
Yaheetech Mesh Best Cheap Computer /. Gaming Chairs on Amazon Review / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
In our quest for a couple of cheap but useful computer / gaming chairs at under £60 we settled on the Yaheetech Mesh ergonomic Mesh chairs available in multiple colours, find out in our video review if the chairs lived up to our high expectations or not once delivered, assembled and put through their paces..
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Sunday, May 09, 2021
Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba - Build 7 Computers in 14 Hours Before Ship Sales Challenge / Politics / Social Issues
By: N_Walayat
Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba
When I was tasked with building 7 desktop computers in 14 hours to ship to Cuba, can I do it before the ship sales?
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Sunday, May 09, 2021
Dripcoin Applies New Technology That Provides Faster Order Execution / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Friday, May 07, 2021
Capital Gains Tax Hike News: Was It REALLY to Blame for Sell-off? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: EWI
Markets go where they go. The news is just rationalization.
As Elliott Wave International has noted many times, the mainstream financial press always tries to find a reason for a given trading day's stock market action.
In other words, if stocks happen to be up for the day, many financial journalists will say it was because of this or that "positive" news. If stocks happen to be down for the day, you got it, these journalists will ignore the positive news and search for something "negative" that happened in the country or world and say that was the reason stocks went down.
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