Wednesday, August 11, 2021
The Tapering Clock Is Ticking: Fed Gives Gold Some Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Fed acknowledged the economy’s progress, but it’s still not “substantial progress.” In short, Powell merely slowed the hand of the tapering clock.Last week (July 28, 2021), the FOMC published its newest statement on monetary policy. The publication was barely altered. The Fed noted that the US economy has continued to strengthen, although the sectors most heavily hit by the pandemic haven’t fully recovered yet. According to the FOMC members, the economy continues to depend on the course of the coronavirus, but not “significantly” anymore. So, the Fed acknowledged that the American economy has strengthened (even with the recent worries about delta variant) and that we are returning to post-epidemic normalcy. Theoretically, it’s bad news for gold, but this is something we all know, so the practical impact should be minimal.
A much more interesting change in July’s FOMC statement is the part about the Fed’s asset purchases:
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
The Tiny House I Grew up Just Sold for $430k / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Stephen_McBride
“$430,000 for THAT?”My colleague nearly spat coffee on his laptop when I showed him the house my mom just sold.
It’s the white door on the right:
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Nasdaq Rallied To New All-Time Highs – Are We Starting Another Bullish Rally Phase? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After the Fed’s comments in support of the US economy and the transitory nature of the recent inflation, the NASDAQ rallied to new all-time highs and closed at $15,167.75 on August 5, 2021. If the markets fall back into the “melt-higher” mode as we move away from Q2:2021 earnings, we may be setting up for a moderately big rally phase targeting $15,400 or higher in the NQ.
Global Traders Continue To Bank On A Rally In US Equities
Global traders have poured billions into the US markets over the past 4+ years as the US Federal Reserve has continued to act as the global banker of last resort. Because of this, global traders continue to invest in US equities as the strength of the US Dollar and the incredible post-Covid rally in the markets has blown past everyone’s expectations.
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Price Of Silver – 100 Years In The Making / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
Sometimes fantasy becomes reality. At other times, a dose of reality will temper fantasies of outsized and unjustified proportion.
Some silver investors and analysts could use a dose of reality. Below is a chart of silver prices dating back to 1915…
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Biden’s Infrastructure Bill Part of Green New Deal, Jacks Up Debt / Politics / Infrastructure
By: MoneyMetals
As the U.S. Senate moves closer to passing a trillion-dollar spending bill that includes some infrastructure priorities, critics are warning that the public is being taken for a ride.
President Joe Biden and his allies in Congress have actually claimed that the new spending won’t add to the national debt or increase pressures on inflation. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pitched the package as an investment in the economy.
It’s certainly true that much of the nation’s infrastructure is badly in need of upgrades. Roads, bridges, pipes, and airports across the country are in poor shape.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Ahead of a Market CRASH / Correction 2021 / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The US stock market has been content to rally to new highs with many stocks going to the Moon including most of our AI tech giants, a rally that I have been distributing into to the extent that I have now sold 80% of my holdings in the Top 6 AI stocks in my portfolio some of which I have been accumulating for over a decade (Microsoft). The primary objective of this analysis is the determine where we stand in terms of THE TOP, after all, all bull markets eventually do top either ending with a CRASH (1987) or a bear market (2000 and 2007). So what to hold and what to sell is the question I am asking myself, with a view to riding out a potential bear market / crash, where this analysis deploys a new automated metric of individual stock SELLING LEVELs so that one better knows where one stands in terms of ones portfolio, all in just one table. After all the risk we all fear is that of a 2000 style collapse that sends stocks lower for the next 20 years! Remember that bear market bottomed with a 85% collapse for tech stocks! Yes, one could say the likes of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple had become dirt cheap, but that would have been a very painful and prolonged discounting event. So a case of balancing the risks of letting some stocks ride whilst cashing in those that will pay a heavy price for their over exuberance all whilst being aware of the AI mega-trend trundling along in the background.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
EIP1559 Impact on GPU Ethereum Mining Earnings with Nice Hash, Ravencoin Price Doubles! / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: HGR
EIP 1559 has arrived! And here is the real world impact on miners, where I should exactly how much of an impact EIP1559 is making on mining Ethereum with Nicehash. as well as the impact on other alt coins such as ravencoin that are benefiting hugely from extra miner attention sending Ravencoin price soaring, doubling within days!
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
Debenhams CLOSED Down After 200 Years, Shopping Trip Down Memory Lane at Meadowhall Sheffield / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Eliza_Walayat
Debenhams Britains former biggest high street department store chain is now no more, the it's last stores closed a few weeks ago after over 200 years of retail trading, tracing it's roots back to 1778 when William Clark opened the first shop in London's East End, then some 30 years later William Debenhams' investment was coupled with a name change to Clark & Debenhams.
Here's a shopping trip down memory lane at the Meadowhall Sheffield Debenhams Store where whilst doubts had always remained for many years on the Town Centre stores chances of survival, few took seriously that the Meadowhall store would ever close, but the coronavirus pandemic was the final nail in Debenhams coffin.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Governments BAN / Regulate Crypto's Out of Existence? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst we can all get carried away projecting into the future based on past trends, comfortable in the reliability of calculations. However, there are always black swans lurking out of sight that could result in that panic event that few see coming. And where Bitcoin and the crypto's are concerned is if the Governments decide to BAN trading and investing in crypto's.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
How To Make the Right Investment Decision – The Ultimate Guide / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest
By: Mark_Adan
Given the current market events, you're wondering whether to change your investment portfolio or not. It has been a great concern because various investors - including mattress stuffers and bargain hunters - make rapid investment decisions without planning long-term financial goals.However, we can't tell you how you need to manage your investment - particularly during a volatile market. But we can provide you an alert to help you make an informed decision.
Since the pandemic hit the world, the world of investment has become challenging. So, as an investor, you need to be concerned about consumer demand points to a strong economic recovery.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
What Are The Benefits Of Dividends? Everything You Must Know / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest
By: Mark_Adan
What are dividends? And what is the importance of dividends? Or downside?
Dividends paying firms distribute a portion of net income to shareholders of their stock. These are paid yearly, and the remaining amount of profit, the company, reinvests back into the business.
Dividend stocks make regular payments to shareholders, therefore a great way for an investor to earn a passive income. Moreover, dividend stocks have a number of benefits beyond the allure of receiving passive income.
Before buying in, you should understand and examine both the advantages and disadvantages. You can weigh the two and make an informed decision.
Let's explore the benefits of dividend investing:
Tuesday, August 10, 2021
Here’s What You Should Do About Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Submissions
By Justin Spittler - “What should I do about inflation?”My Uber driver recently asked me this after I told her what I do for a living.
And she’s not the only one asking me this question.
My mom… brother… friends who’ve never bought a stock in their lives… and many of you who read my essays every week want to know the same thing:
Why are pricing soaring? Should I do anything to prepare?
And most importantly…
What should I do with my current investments?
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021
Stock Market Dichotomy / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 until major cycles take over, and it ends. A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX should now have reached its next intermediate top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Sunday, August 08, 2021
Are Stock Markets Ready For An August Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
One thing that seems to be certain in the markets right now is the past hyper-bullish trending which appears to have weakened since early 2021. As a result, the longer-term Custom Indexes we use to help gauge and understand market trends are showing a very clear weakening of trends.
In this article, we are going to review three of our custom index charts on a weekly chart basis, the Custom US Stock Market Index, the Smart Cash Global Market Index, and the Custom Volatility Index. Each of these charts highlights something unique related to current market trends.
Use this information to read between the line and to help establish your own expectations for the markets going forward. We’ll provide our conclusion near the end of this research article.
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Sunday, August 08, 2021
Going for the Gold: Building a Winning Investment Portfolio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
While Olympic athletes in Tokyo are going for the gold, investors are going for anything that might provide positive real returns.
In a yield-starved environment where bonds and cash are returning less than inflation, there are no guarantees. But there are certainly opportunities outside of fixed income instruments.
Investors who try to sprint their way to success risk hurting themselves in the process. Going for fast-moving penny stocks or cryptocurrencies can lead to ruin just as quickly as it can lead to riches.
Sunday, August 08, 2021
Tesla and Amazon are all in on this emerging tech / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Stephen_McBride
Ready to have your mind blown?LEGO just launched an app that transforms your smartphone camera into the world’s most accurate “eye.”
Start by spreading a box of LEGOs on the ground. Open the app… and point your camera at the bricks.
“Brickit” scans the messy pile and instantly recognizes every random piece. It knows each LEGO brick ever made
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Sunday, August 08, 2021
World Trade – Currency Movements in the Near Future / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Russell_Fenton
Nowadays, when talking about world trade and currency movements, there’s more than the actual currency that we have to take into account. Naturally, we have to keep in mind that cryptos are also currencies now – and they shouldn’t be ignored!
Certain countries, cities, and industries now accept crypto payments, and the very CEO of Tesla claimed that people will be able to pay for their Tesla cars with Bitcoin in the future. In short, you can now see why forex brokers decided to implement more than just currencies into the pool of trading instruments that they have available for their clients.
Let’s take a look at the potential currency movements that we might experience in the near future!
Thursday, August 05, 2021
Netflix - FAANG a Buy, Sell or Hold?, CME Black Swans Chasing Value in Biotech Stocks / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
I am often asked to take a look at Netflix as being one of the FAANG stocks. However Netflix the streaming service that has made it into many households during the pandemic including our own has never been on my radar because it is not an AI stock, Nevertheless enough patrons have requested I take a look at it then so I will starting with the fundamental state of the corporation that has seen huge growth during the pandemic though despite this growth in revenues and earnings the stock still trades on a lofty PE of 53.4! Whilst it is the beyond the scope of this analysis to generate a EC ratio, nevertheless the PE of 53.4 IS VERY HIGH!
The key metric where Netflix is is concerned is how fast it's subscriber base is growing for it is that which will generate future revenues and profits growth as new subscribers pay their monthly fees and for that we have this chart generated by Netflix themselves -
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Thursday, August 05, 2021
We Will See SPX 4600 In 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
As we came into 2021, I outlined to those willing to listen that I expected at least a 20% continuation rally in the SPX, and I would prefer for us to strike at least the 4600SPX region this year. And, at the time, the SPX was in the 3750SPX region.
Thus far, the market has provided us with an 18% rally in 2021, and I still expect us to rally to 4600SPX this year. The question that we are answering over the coming weeks is simply a matter of the path to 4600SPX.
Now, as usual, I take the time to read other articles on Seeking Alpha to glean some of the thinking within the market. And, amongst the articles calling the market a “bubble” or “wrong,” as well as several others attempting to call the top yet again, there are a few issues I would like to address.
First, I have been reading many analysts viewing this rally as the Covid “recovery” rally. And, it really makes me scratch my head.
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Thursday, August 05, 2021
Revisiting The Excess Phase Stock Market Peak Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The setup of the Excess Phase peak pattern consists of an exuberant rally to a peak (Phase #1), followed by a moderate price correction that sets up into a sideways flagging pattern (Phase #2). If the INDU and TRAN continue to move in a sideways flagging formation after recently moving moderately lower, we may start to see a new Excess Phase Peak setup in these two major indexes. This could be a warning of a much bigger breakdown in trends in the near future.
Please take a minute to review our earlier research posts related to the Excess Phase Peak setup (below) and how it related to the current market trend:
- November 25, 2020: HOW TO SPOT THE END OF AN EXCESS PHASE – PART I
- November 27, 2020: HOW TO SPOT THE END OF AN EXCESS PHASE – PART II
- May 20, 2021: BITCOIN COMPLETES PHASE #3 OF EXCESS PHASE TOP PATTERN – WHAT NEXT?