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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Regime Uncertainty Weighs on U.S. Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Shortly after the current Great Recession started, I wrote a Globe Asia column, “A Great Depression?” (December 2008). In it, I stressed the findings contained in Robert Higgs’ important book Depression, War and Cold War: Studies in Political Economy (Oxford University Press, 2006). Higgs concluded that, because of regime uncertainty, investors were afraid to commit funds to new projects. They simply didn’t know what President Roosevelt and the New Dealers would do next.          

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Economics

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Will the U.S. Economy Go Into Hibernation, Again? / Economics / US Economy

By: Investment_U

Rachel Gearhart writes: The impact of this year’s bitter winter on the economy can be seen in this week’s chart. The chart compares the Citigroup U.S. Economic Surprise Index for 2014 to the average of 2010-2013.

The index compares actual market data to market expectations.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

The Great Depression, World War II, And What They Really Mean / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Rubino

Nearly a century after the fact, the Great Depression remains THE object lesson for virtually every branch of economics. To monetarists the fact that the US money supply fell by nearly a third in the 1930s illustrates the need for a central bank to maintain steady money growth. To Keynesians the Depression’s depth and duration proved that capitalist systems are inherently unstable and need a big, powerful government to manage them. World War II, in this framework, saved the US economy from permanent 25% unemployment.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Emerging Markets Are Set Up for a Crisis, What’s on Your Radar Screen? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: John_Mauldin

Toward the end of every week I begin to ponder what I should write about in the next Thoughts from the Frontline. Much of my week is spent in front of my iPad or computer, consuming as much generally random information as time and the ebb and flow of life will allow. I cannot remember a time in my life after I realized you could read and learn new things that that particular addiction has not been my constant companion.

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Economics

Monday, September 15, 2014

Preparing for the Full Force of Reality / Economics / US Economy

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The real economy is suffering and getting worse by the day. The imbalances created by giant finance will not go away, regardless of intervention.  There is an odd phenomenon at work. Society is now fully accustomed to the disbelieving the gap.
 
Yesterday, things were going well. The market went up in spite of itself. Tomorrow ought to be the same.  Everything must be fine.
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Economics

Sunday, September 14, 2014

The Ethics of Entrepreneurship and Profit / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Hans-Hermann Hoppe writes: In the most fundamental sense we are all, with each of our actions, always and invariably profit-seeking entrepreneurs.

Whenever we act, we employ some physical means (things valued as goods) — at a minimum our body and its standing room, but in most cases also various other, “external” things — so as to divert the “natural” course of events (the course of events we expect to happen if we were to act differently) in order to reach some more highly valued anticipated future state of affairs instead. With every action we aim at substituting a more favorable future state of affairs for a less favorable one that would result if we were to act differently. In this sense, with every action we seek to increase our satisfaction and attain a psychic profit. “To make profits is invariably the aim sought by any action,” as Ludwig von Mises has stated it. (Mises, 1966, p. 289)

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Economics

Friday, September 12, 2014

Illusioned by the Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Europe’s economy is at a standstill. This summer was full of critical developments in the Eurozone: In June, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to move into the territory of negative real interest rates! The deposit rate, which already was at 0%, was cut to minus 0.10%. Additionally, its refinancing rate was cut from 0.25% to 0.15%, and its marginal lending facility dropped to 0.4%. This was one of a package of measures the ECB said it was considering to combat disinflation in the Eurozone and give the economy a push. Due to the continued dim outlook of the economy, the ECB further reduced the deposit rate to minus 0.20% and the refinancing rate to 0.05% in early September.

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Economics

Thursday, September 11, 2014

The Myanmar Shadow / Economics / Asian Economies

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams

Before we kick things off this week, I want to give you a quick update on Real Vision Television in response to a ton of emails I have received on the subject.

(If you missed my recent piece on Real Vision (Vision Quest, TTMYGH, July 7, 2014) you can read it by clicking on the link.)

Real Vision will launch on September 8th, and if you have already signed up and registered your interest, you will soon be receiving an invitation to become one of our Founder Members. The opening will be staggered to ensure that the site is robust, so don’t panic if you aren’t among the first to receive your invite. We will be rolling the red carpet out as fast as we can whilst ensuring that the heavy traffic doesn’t crash the website.

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Economics

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Full Frontal Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Rubino

By now it’s an article of faith within the sound money community that most major countries have borrowed so much that they’re left with only two options: default on their debt through mass-bankruptcy and a new Great Depression, or inflate it away through stepped-up currency creation.

This is an investment thesis, since a given country’s choice will determine which asset classes rise and fall.

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Economics

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Doubling Down on Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Peter_Schiff

Friday's release of disappointing August payroll numbers should have been a jarring wake-up call warning Wall Street that the economy has been treading on thin ice. Instead the alarm clock was stuffed under the pillow and Wall Street kept sleeping. The miss was so epic in fact (the 142,000 jobs created was almost 40% below the consensus estimate) that the top analysts on Wall Street did their best to tell us that it was all just a bad dream. Mark Zandi of Moody's reacted on Squawk Box by saying "I don't believe this data." The reliably optimistic Diane Swonk of Mesirow Financial told Reuters the report "sure looks like a fluke, not a trend".

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Economics

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Will Europe’s Woes Hurt the U.S. Economy? / Economics / US Economy

By: Clif_Droke

The U.S. economy has so far shown remarkable resilience in the face of several roadblocks year. It has shrugged off the threat of wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, has ignored the tapering of QE, and has been generally unfazed by every other obstacle in its path, whether real or imagined. Now, however, another threat looms in the horizon and poses a much bigger threat than previous challenges.
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Economics

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Economic Reality of a Wealth Tax / Economics / Taxes

By: BATR

Proponents of big government, from both the left and right, share one important trait; namely, both spend their waking hours dreaming up new schemes to tax wealth. Only a blind, deaf and dumb observer of economic imbalance would deny that the massive accumulation of worldly assets into the hands of the smallest number of robber barons in all of history is at the core of most social unrest and global instability. However, adopting a Marxist outlook on the evils of the bourgeoisie simply confuses the nature of the financial magnates, while blaming the hard pressed merchant class for conducting beneficial business. Creation of tangible wealth is the greatest achievement in the uplifting and improvement of the human condition, when that stream of riches flows between and among entrepreneurs and business proprietors.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

No Economy For Americans / Economics / US Economy

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

The Dow Jones stock average closed Friday at 17,137, despite the fact that the payroll jobs report was a measly 125,000 new jobs for August, an insufficient amount to keep up with the growth in the working age population.

The low 125,000 jobs figure is also inconsistent with the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ second estimate of second quarter 2014 US GDP growth of 4.2 percent–a figure beyond the capability of the present-day US economy.

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Economics

Monday, September 08, 2014

Ten Reasons to Condemn Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MISES

Andreas Marquart writes: Inflation, defined as an expansion of the supply of unbacked money, is an elementary evil, always and everywhere that it occurs.[1] It is the ignored and core cause of numerous problems in the economy and in society, including:

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Economics

Monday, September 08, 2014

Why Economic Growth Is Finished / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andrew_McKillop

By Pure Economic Decision
Firstly Tweeted by journalist Peter Spiegel, late Sunday, September 7, a leaked copy of proposed and agreed new EU28 sanctions against Russia, dating from September 5 confirmed that Russia's energy giants Rosneft, Gazprom and Transfeft will all be hit by European capital market bans:

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Economics

Friday, September 05, 2014

Two Questions for Krugman / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Brady_Willett

Paul Krugman is at it again. That is, Mr. Krugman continues to myopically attack anyone who has warned that money printing could lead to 'inflation'.

"...as I have written many many times, this inflation paranoia has proved remarkably resilient, enduring despite five-plus years of utter empirical failure." Three Roads to Hard Money

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Economics

Friday, September 05, 2014

The Collapse of Income REAL Wealth in Something for Nothing Societies / Economics / Social Issues

By: Ty_Andros

In this final chapter of Useful Idiots and the Something for Nothing society, we show the final elements leading to the societal and economic collapse that we are currently caught in. The system I have outlined here and in previous chapters is INSANE when viewed through the lens of history. Unfortunately, our leaders and our society have forgotten it and, therefore, we are doomed to repeat it. Nothing will stop it and very little can be done to slow it down. You must embrace it, acknowledge it and turn it into your opportunity rather than your demise. We are at the tail end of an insanity seen throughout history, which began now almost 100 years ago. We are at the end game in the near future. If you haven't read the previous chapters PLEASE DO SO as it will connect the dots for you.

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Economics

Friday, September 05, 2014

What does a “good” Chinese Economic adjustment look like? / Economics / China Economy

By: John_Mauldin

People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right. The sensitivity of the poor to injustice is a trivial thing compared with that of the rich. - John Galbraith, The Age of Uncertainty

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Economics

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Why Raising the Minimum Wage Will Increase Inflation and Hurt the Economy / Economics / Inflation

By: Jeff_Opdyke

It goes to show that even the president of the United States doesn’t understand why America’s economy is structurally flawed these days, despite the recovery.

At a Labor Day rally in Milwaukee on Monday, Mr. President said that if he had a service-sector job and “wanted an honest day’s pay for an honest day’s work, I’d join a union.”

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Economics

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Urbanization and Demographics Could Skew China's Economic Rebalancing / Economics / China Economy

By: STRATFOR

China's urban population may grow by as many as 230 million people in the next 15 years. But most growth will take place not in metropolises like Beijing, Shanghai and Chongqing but in the myriad small- and medium-sized satellite cities around them. And as residents flock to these cities, China's working-age population will begin to decline, and its elderly population will grow dramatically.

Together, these processes will underpin major changes not only in China's overall economic structure, but also in the financial, fiscal and political relationship between central and local government. The added burdens facing small- and medium-sized cities, especially those located deep inside China that are sequestered from mainstream global trade, will be substantial and perhaps socially and politically destabilizing.

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