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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Stock Market Rally the Biggest Case of “Financial Engineering” in History? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Key stock indices are roaring higher each day. The S&P 500 is breaking through to new records; the Dow Jones Industrial Average sits above the 16,000 level, and the NASDAQ Composite Index trades at a level not seen since the Tech Boom. Sadly, as all of this happens, the one fundamental that has historically driven stock prices higher—corporate earnings—is missing from the equation.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

FOMC Open Letter - Recognizing the Valuation Bubble In Stock Market Equities / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

In today's Outside the Box, my friend John Hussman of Hussman Strategic Advisors addresses the members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Federal Reserve committee that makes decisions about interest rates and national monetary policy. The Fed has been notoriously clueless about bubbles, particularly in the run-up to the Great Recession, and so John would like to help them recognize the currently inflating bubble in equities.

He leads off with the key point that when the Financial Accounting Standards Board abandoned the FAS 157 "mark-to-market" accounting standard on March 16, 2009, in response to Congressional pressure from the House Committee on Financial Services, the FASB removed at a stroke the threat of widespread insolvency by making insolvency opaque. In other words, anyone with anything to hide could now hide it. John goes on:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Riding The Profitable Wave, Stocks Secular Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE – The world’s economy is growing at a tepid pace and the majority of central banks are pursuing expansionary monetary policies.  Furthermore, the central banks of the developed world are engaged in unprecedented asset purchases and it appears as though this ‘stimulus’ will continue for the foreseeable future. 

Today, the US unemployment rate is well above the Federal Reserve’s target rate of 6.5% and the official Consumer Price Index is below the 2% level. Under these circumstances, it is hardly surprising that the Federal Reserve is continuing with its US$85 billion per month bond buying program. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Stock Markets Are on the Edge and So Are People / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I suspect that the sell-off in the last 20 minutes of the day may have been nothing more than traders taking their trades off the table so that they could enjoy an early Thanksgiving weekend.

But if that is the case, it shows just how thin and vulnerable the market is right now. Tomorrow will likely be another thinly traded day and we may see yet another episode like this, or worse, as even more traders prepare for the weekend.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Stock Market All-Time High Gets Punctured Near the Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Today the Nasdaq stole the show with its first close above 4,000 since September 7th, 2000. Quick sidebar: The Nasdaq hit its all-time closing high of 5,048.62 six months earlier on March 10. Meanwhile today, after setting an all-time intraday high, the S&P 500 closed with a miniscule 0.01% gain. The index survived shrugged off this morning’s weak consumer confidence. So what triggered the late day selling? Bloomberg almost never fails to offer an explanation (however lame): “investors rebalanced portfolios.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Stock Market Fundamentals Rendered Irrelevant by Fed Actions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: J_W_Jones

The fundamental backdrop behind the ramp higher in equity prices in 2013 is far from inspiring. However, fundamentals do not matter when the Federal Reserve is flooding U.S. financial markets with an ocean of freshly printed fiat dollars.

As we approach the holiday season, retail stores are usually in a position of strength. However, this year holiday sales are expected to be lower than the previous year based on analysts commentary and surveys that have been completed. This holiday season analysts are not expecting strong sales growth. However, in light of all of this U.S. stocks continue to move higher.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Janet Yellen Is Close to Making History - Market Psychology Appears Near A Major Turn / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: EWI

Janet Yellen just moved closer to her place in history when the Senate Banking Committee approved her nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. The full Senate is expected to confirm. If so, she will be the first chairwoman in the central bank's 100 year history.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

The Biggest Stock Market Bubble in History? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: The only thing keeping the stock market alive is the easy money that is indirectly being pumped into it by the Federal Reserve, nothing else. The fundamentals for the market are dead in the water.
Here, I present five indicators that point to high risk for key stock indices.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Fractional Stock Market Decline, But Still Above 1,800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 closed the day with a fractional loss of 0.13% but remains above the 1,800 benchmark. Meanwhile, its elderly cousin the Dow set another all-time high with a tiny 0.05% gain, and the Nasdaq hit an intraday high above 4,000. However, this benchmark, last seen in the year 2000, didn’t hold to today’s closing. Tomorrow and Wednesday we get some significant economic news, but the only report today was the 10AM Pending Home Sales, which, despite coming in a bit below expectations, didn’t much phase the market. Today’s intraday range of 0.42% was only at the 7th percentile of the 228 market days in 2013.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Stock Market Bears Can't Get Going..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Although every day the risk does increase. We are at a time of year when markets try to hold up but you have to wonder how many negative divergences, and how many 70 RSI tags there can be before this thing rolls over for even a tiny correction. 2-3-4%, or so, wouldn't be too much, but for now the bears can't do a thing with this market regarding sustainable down side action. The markets at least, the bears can argue, closed below their opens today. You have to hang your hat on something when nothing is going your way and that is a legitimate argument. That said, the argument is weak since they never follow through on anything.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Stock Market Dementia / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The patterns below are counter intuitive. Falling volume, falling momentum and rising prices.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 25, 2013

QE is Hazardous to Your Retirement / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: DeviantInvestor

A mid 60s woman was chatting with two friends at a Starbucks. I overheard the conversation. It went something like this...

"When my husband and I retired, our financial advisor said we had enough money to last until we were both 95 years old. Now he is concerned that our savings might not last until we are 80."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 25, 2013

Why Sitting and Waiting Makes More Investment Sense Today Than Chasing Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: The more I view this stock market, the more nervous I get. While Wall Street gets set for some terrific year-end bonuses and investors take some amazing gains off the table, I’m sensing some euphoric buying in numerous areas of the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 25, 2013

Stock Market Intermediate Top Minimum Projection Reached! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Important top formation is in the making.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Dramatic Slowdown in Germany: Saxo Bank Analysis / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Mike_Shedlock

Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen had some interesting comments on Germany and German exports given a slowdown in China and a rising Euro.

To help put things in perspective, here is a chart on the Euro.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Blowing Asset Price Bubbles With Paul Krugman / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Mike_Whitney

America’s “highest profile economist” thinks we need more asset bubbles to battle negative real interest rates and persistent secular stagnation.

In a controversial post on his blogsite, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman argues that bubbles may be necessary to make up for insufficient demand, high unemployment, and sluggish growth.  Here’s the clip from his blog “The Conscience of a Liberal”:

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Why the Stock Market is Not a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: In the past week, there have been major stories in both The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal – as well as a cover story in Barron’s – asking the same pointed question: Is this stock market a bubble?

And my column in Investment U last week raised a warning flag, too, about a bull market that’s starting to show its age. So it’s understandable that people are getting nervous.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2013

The QE Experiment is Failing… Will Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

We’ve long maintained that Japan is ground zero for the “QE works vs QE doesn’t work” debate.

The Fed’s economic models, and 99% of the economic models employed by Central Banks in general, believe that monetary easing can bring about an economic recovery. The primary argument for this crowd if QE has thus far failed to produce a recovery is that the QE efforts have not been big enough.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Two Great Market Bubble Threats, One Great Investor Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“I am very cautious on equities today, This market could easily have a big drop. Very simplistically put, a lot of the earnings are a mirage. They are not coming because the companies are well run but because of low interest rates.” 11/18/13 - Carl Icahn

Very smart Investor Carl Icahn is right to call “a lot of”  corporate earnings a “mirage” because by reducing borrowing costs via ongoing QE, The Fed has artificially elevated earnings.

Thus Corporate Earnings are yet another Dangerous Fed-created Asset Bubble.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Fed Backed into a Corner on How to Exit its QE Program / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

The minutes of the Fed’s last FOMC meeting, released this week, confirm that the Fed believes it must begin to taper back its stimulus soon. At this point, the longer QE continues the greater the risk of asset bubbles forming, the bursting of which would destabilize the economy and make it even more difficult to exit.

Economists and analysts have been concerned from the beginning about how the Fed would be able to reverse the massive QE stimulus, which has been the major driving force of the anemic economic recovery and the powerful bull market in stocks, without also reversing the momentum of both.

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