Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

New Legislation Permits FDIC to Seize Bank Deposits for Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The world will soon be facing a tsunami of defaults on bad debts. This will include municipal or local government defaults, governments “defaulting” on promises they’ve made to the people (Social Security, Medicaid), a default on the social contract between society and politicians such as the one in Cyprus (a default on the notions of private property and Democracy), stealth defaults on debts in the form of inflation and finally, of course, outright sovereign defaults.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Martin Armstrong: ”Collapse In Government Is Incoming, Markets Are Going To Start Responding!” / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long delineates political developments and their consequences on the global economy with Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics.

Martin Armstrong began his studies into market behavior when first becoming fascinated by the events during the Crash of 1966. He pursued his studies of economics searching for answers behind the cycle of boom and busts that plagued society both in Princeton and in London. He began to do forecasting as a service to institutional cash market players in gold that included Swiss banks.Armstronghad the unusual background in computer science in hardware and software and was perhaps the first to begin to apply his diverse knowledge from two fields together. He began creating a global model in the mid-70s and was publishing the results from about 1972.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Stocks Bull Market About to Hand Bears Another Noose? Forecast 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The supposed great bear market of 2016 has relentlessly trended in the WRONG direction as each hope that the bears clung to once more resolved in another ramping higher of stock prices. The latest best hope being the Fed meeting that was meant to deliver bear market apocalypse and most recently Yellen yelling that the Fed is in no hurry to raise US interest rates that keeps catching market participants by surprise. This despite near 2 months ago we saw the BoJ panic with negative interest rates, and then earlier this month the ECB also panic with negative interest rates!

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Possible Truncated Stock Market High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX peaked (so far) today at 15:25 hours at a high of 2055.91. Should it go no higher, it may be the orthodox high, if not the numeric high, which still stands on March 22. The March 22 SPC (futures) high was 2047.75, while today’s high was 2047.50.

I had mentioned in yesterday’s email that today is a Pi date. These dates come at important highs and lows in the Cycles. An aggressive sell signal may come at the crossing of the trendline at 2040.00 or Short-term support at 2032.17.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

NASDAQ ETF QQQ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Ed_Carlson

We have been expecting a top in equity indices for the last two weeks. We did see the market start down last week after the previous Friday's option expiration. A change of trend after option expiration is a common (but not guaranteed) occurrence. So far the pullback isn't enough to concern the bulls or get the bears excited but there are other signals warning of a pending correction in equities. One of those is volume in the NASDAQ ETF QQQ.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Fed Credibility Dwindles, Pension Funding Crisis Looms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Fed officials jawbone the markets and spread disinformation. They figure it’s part of their job as central planners. It’s not enough to pull the levers and twist the knobs on interest rates, the money supply, and asset prices. They also use propaganda to manage investor psychology. It’s all smoke and mirrors.

Frustrated metals investors wonder just how long officials will maintain their hold over markets when so much of what they say turns out to be garbage and so much of what they do ends in failure.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

YAWN......VIX Lower...Beta Lower.... Stock Market To Nowhere... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The emotions run high as it seems something special is about to happen, only to see it disappear in a puff of sadness. It looks like the market is about to rock, but it doesn't. You say to me, but it has run up already. I say, but to where? It goes nowhere in the end. Nothing sustainable. We rise. We get overbought. We pull back. We rise, and then see negative divergences, and then fall again. It goes nowhere in the big picture. Today was incredibly boring simply because beta, volatility, if you will, is leaving the ball park. Taking a vacation as the lower VIX readings are taking over, even though the VIX was up today. Oh how many long for the days of VIX readings in the upper 20's or lower 30's. Then we'd see 100-point moves on the Nasdaq as routine.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Don't Get Caught Catching a Falling Financial Knife / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article was adapted from a new subscriber-level summary report, Don't Get Caught Catching a Falling Financial Knife, from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent financial forecasting firm. For the complete report, follow this link. It's free to read.

In November, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast discussed the importance of a key long-term divergence between the major stock indexes and financial stocks.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Stock Market and Crude Oil Price Tops? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock markets rebounded solidly from their lows of February 11th, 2016, making new multi-month highs, earlier last week. The SPX rescinded 0.7% by the end of last week. These market gains can be attributed to the very bullish decisions of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the FED Central Banks.  On March 10^th, 2016, the ECB surprised the financial world by announcing a much stronger than expected stimulus package. One week later, the FED announced that it would not raise its’ short-term interest rates. It was only three months earlier, back in December of 2015, that they suggested that they would raise rates four times in 2016. It is now my belief, that they will not raise short- term interest ‘materially’ in 2016.

Monday, March 28, 2016

Bank Deposits That Go To Zero and Capital Controls for Two Years / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Canada has joined the “bail-in” posse.

Canada will introduce legislation to implement a “bail-in” regime for systemically important banks that would shift some of the responsibility for propping up failing institutions to creditors.

The proposed plan outlined in the federal budget released on Tuesday would allow authorities to convert eligible long-term debt of a failing lender into common shares in order to recapitalize the bank, allowing it to remain operating.

Source: CNBC

Monday, March 28, 2016

Stock Market Easter Egg...The Jaws of Life / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to show you some more charts on some if the different stock market indices we looked at in the last Weekend Report. Last weekend we looked at alot of the bull market uptrend channels that are still in place since the 2009 crash low. It's always important to keep an open mind no matter how strongly we believe things to be when it comes to the stock markets. Everyone can't get in at the bottom and everyone can't get out at the top and then there is the consolidation phase that trips up both the bull and the bears alike.

Monday, March 28, 2016

A Chink In The Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market Maybe This Time is Different? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2050. After a somewhat choppy move higher to SPX 2057 by Tuesday, the market pulled back to SPX 2022 on Thursday. Then it rose for the rest of the day to close at SPX 2036. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.6%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.3%, and the DJ World lost 1.3%. On the economic front reports finally came in on the positive side. On the uptick: FHFA housing, new homes sales, Q4 GDP and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, and Q1 GDPN. Next week, a busy one, is highlighted by Payrolls, the Chicago PMI, and the PCE.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Macro Changes and Future Inflation Problems / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Ever since beginning the ‘Macrosom‘ theme in July (and updating it here), NFTRH has been managing macro changes that would positively affect the gold sector, and quite possibly have a negative effect on broad stock markets.  Early on in the precious metals bear market we noted they were “in the mirror” and opposite the stock market, which on the post-2011 cycle has been the beneficiary of the Fed’s inflation, instilling confidence in their policies by conventional market participants (after all, the right assets were going up on this cycle).  In August, it appeared that the first real thrust in the direction of our macro theme kicked in as the stock market cracked.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Market Price Discovery is Essential, It is The Nucleus of Capitalism and We Haven't Had it in Decades / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Michael Pento in discussing topics from the government debt problem, the current boom in gold and the outlook of the dollar.

Mr. Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm that provides money management services and research for individual and institutional clients. Mr. Pento is a well-established specialist in the Austrian School of economics and a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, FOX Business News and other national media outlets. His market analysis can also be read in most major financial publications, including the Wall Street Journal. He also acts as a Financial Columnist for Forbes, Contributor to thestreet.com and is a blogger at the Huffington Post.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market SPX & Crude Oil at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX at the 2050 level looks like a great place for a ‘pullback’ to begin as indicated in the chart below. There is a potential “distribution topping phase” in which the SPX may pull back to 2000.  I see a potential target at 1890.

The price has made a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows since topping in 2015.  There was a big August 2015 sell-off, followed by a rally to a lower high in November 2015, then a sell-off to a lower low in January 2016.  The rally currently is still at a lower high than the November 2015 high.

Friday, March 25, 2016

Dow Transports and Utilities Suggest Stocks Bull Market Is Back / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let's analyse the technicals of each index.

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) is a stock market index of the American transportation sector. Price last traded at $7957.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

US Economic Growth Remains Sluggish…Markets Remain Uninspired / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

This morning’s Durables Goods report underscored just how moribund economic growth in the US remains.

Additionally we learn that US business investment remains lackluster at best.

While Central Banks are spiking the punch bowl, it appears the party goers are not imbibing.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market SPX May Gap Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX crossed another short-term trendline in the Premarket and appears to be challenging its Short-term support at 2020.07. Should SPX gap beneath that level at the open, we may be in for a fast ride to Intermediate-term support at 1854.42. It is my opinion that 2040.00 was the most important support of the rally.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Share Buybacks: Destructive Innovation That's Keeping Stock Market Bull Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A man sits as many risks as he runs." ~ Henry David Thoreau

Robin Hood robbed the Rich to help the poor; in the modern day version the Rich rob both Robin Hood and the poor to become even richer. The rich in this case are the greedy corporations and the officers that run the show behind the scenes. In this lazy world, the only thing that matters is money and how to make as much of it as fast as possible. Hence, the best way to boost earnings without doing anything is to buy back boatloads of shares and in doing so artificially boost earnings. It is a perfect scam.