Tuesday, September 18, 2018
The Stock Market’s Breadth: Another Warning Sign for 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
We are getting more and more signs that the stock market will face trouble in 2019. Some of these market studies center around breadth.
The stock market’s breadth has been deteriorating recently. Some of this is due to weakness in foreign (non-U.S.) stocks.
Long term breadth divergence is a normal part of rallies within bull markets. There’s nothing bearish about breadth divergences. HOWEVER, long term breadth divergences that have gone too far while accompanied by massive bull market rallies are a bearish sign for stocks.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Sheffield Best Secondary Schools Rankings and Trend Trajectory for Applications 2018 / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
Sheffield's students born between 1/9/2007 and 31/08/2008 will be busy with parents applying for their secondary school places in the count down to the deadline of 31st October 2018 for paper applications and 18th October for online. In preparations for which families will be attending open evenings across Sheffield's secondary schools, where many hope to gain a place at one of Sheffield's top ranked schools, which given the high demand not even in catchment area children are assured a place.
So students and their parents will have been scouring various Sheffield secondary schools performance league tables in making their application choices. However, the league tables can from time to time prove highly misleading as many of Sheffield's 38 or so Secondary schools / Academies for whatever reasons tend to exhibit volatility in performance from year to year. Therefore a currently high ranking school may not mean that the same level of performance will continue in subsequent years as it may have been subject to special measures, therefore a better methodology in the ranking of schools is to evaluate performance in terms of trend.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is my fourth article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Monday, September 17, 2018
The Apple Story - Trump Tariffs Penalize US Multinationals / Companies / Apple
By: Dan_Steinbock
US Taxation Fails AmericansTrump tariffs are based on flawed pre-global doctrines, which penalize US multinationals, as evidenced by Apple. It is not China that fails Americans, but US taxation, as evidenced by Apple.
In the pre-1914 era and during the protectionist interwar period, global economic integration declined drastically. As major corporations competed largely in home markets, their value activities were mainly domestic. Following World War II, the US-led Bretton Woods system ensured a greater degree of internationalization – including systemic US trade deficits since 1971, decades before deficits with China.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Wall Street Created Financial Crash Catastrophe Ten Years Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: James_Quinn
“Government has coddled, accepted, and ignored white collar crime for too long. It is time the nation woke up and realized that it’s not the armed robbers or drug dealers who cause the most economic harm, it’s the white collar criminals living in the most expensive homes who have the most impressive resumes who harm us the most. They steal our pensions, bankrupt our companies, and destroy thousands of jobs, ruining countless lives.” – Harry Markopolos, Madoff Whistleblower
The tenth anniversary of the Wall Street created financial catastrophe brought back some bittersweet memories this week. I wrote my first articles during the summer/fall of 2008 for Seeking Alpha. They included: Is The U.S Banking System Safe? (Aug 2008), The Great Consumer Crash of 2009 (Aug 2008), Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth (Aug 2008), Is Wachovia the Worst Run Bank in America (Sept 2008), The U.S. on the Precipice (Sept 2008), On Board the U.S.S. Titanic (Sept 2008), Our Coming Depression (Oct 2008), among others. I was pumping out 5,000 word articles every 2 or 3 days.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Trade Wars Are Going To Crash This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
This week, I am going to bring back the list of reasons that have been paraded before you over the last three-plus years as to why the stock market rally is over:
Brexit – NOPE
Frexit – NOPE
Grexit - NOPE
Italian referendum - NOPE
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: OilPrice_Com
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Saudi TASI Stock Index Continues to Weaken Following Breakdown from Rising Wedge / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
Following a breakdown from a bearish rising wedge several weeks ago, the TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) seen three consecutive weeks of falling prices. The index is now fast approaching the first key support zone to watch for a potential short-term bounce. Typically, at some point following a breakdown a bearish pattern a counter-trend rally will occur back up towards the breakdown zone (approx. 7,226) to some degree, before a continuation lower kicks in.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Financial Markets Macro/Micro View: Waves and Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Brad_Gudgeon
That which has been is what will be,That which is done is what will be done,
And there is nothing new under the sun. Ecclesiastes 1:9 (NKJV)
Much has been written regarding repeating socio/political economic (SPE) cycles. Strauss and Howe wrote about the 20-22 year generational turns, which work in a 4 generation cycle called a Saeculum. Each Saeculum lasts about 80-88 years and includes a repeating pattern of Winter, Spring, Summer and Fall back to Winter again.
R.N. Elliot, A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter (over time) were able to map out an Elliott “Grand Super Cycle” 5 Wave pattern stretching from the founding of the USA into about 1999-2000. W.D. Gann was able to see repeating cycle patterns of 90, 82-84, 60, 45, 30, 20 and 10 years. There are many other cycles like the 4-year presidential cycle and Benner’s Cycle (http://bit.ly/2Qzx4OQ) which I will get to in time.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Stock Market Bulls Prevail – for Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Monday, September 17, 2018
GBPUSD Set to Explode Higher / Currencies / British Pound
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – we can see price bottomed out at 1.2662 and has subsequently made a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The recent higher low formed a bullish double bottom, denoted by the horizontal line. Double bottoms which form just above the major low are generally an excellent indication of a new uptrend in play. I now expect price to do some backing and filling before launching higher again.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
The China Threat - Global Crisis Hot Spots & Pressure Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A preface is required to explain that the US Federal Reserve is responsible for every grand financial crisis in the last 30 years, dating back to the Great Depression and its supposed spurious resolution to Black Monday of 1987. Little realized is that the ’87 crash was a direct result of the impact from outsourcing US industry, whose trend began in 1984 with Intel. The lost legitimate income had a grand effect on the inflows to the US Stock Market. Of course, the newly forming Reich Economic team preferred to describe it differently. The important outcome from the cleanup was the creation of multi-$trillion bank derivatives to serve as phony foundation for the entire Western banking system. Greenspan blessed it as good and firm, but now we know it was soft and weak. These derivatives are blowing up, which will require bailouts and a replacement in the Gold Standard. Instead, expect the derivatives to ramp up further with greater leverage up to the assured catastrophe. The fallout will be great.
Sunday, September 16, 2018
Silver's Relationship with Gold Reaching Historical Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Axel Merk Exclusive: Can You Sleep at Night When the Market Goes Against You?
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk of Merk Investments. Axel reveals the one big mistake many investors are making in not rebalancing their portfolios right now, and he explains why he still sees gold as an important asset to own despite its recent weakness. Don’t miss an eye-opening interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals markets showed some modest strength this week, with gold bulls pushing prices above the $1,200 level on Thursday. As of this Friday recording though, gold is back below $1,200 and trades at $1,197 an ounce, flat for the week now.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
Emerging Markets to Follow and Those to Avoid / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Harry_Dent
Just saw a chart with the second quarter GDP results for the fastest growing countries in the world, and…Of course, emerging countries – largely Asia – dominated.
India topped at a whopping 8.2%, followed by waning China at 6.7%, Indonesia at 5.3%, and Turkey at 5.1%.
Other notable emerging countries were struggling, with Brazil at -1.2% and Argentina at -0.7%.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
Stock Market Correction Ahead, But When? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The broader stock market via the S&P 500 finally broke to new highs in August, while they drifted insignificantly lower on Wednesday.And as Adam O’Dell recently commented, that typically means substantially higher highs ahead… like 13% plus.
What does this mean for my great crash forecast?
Well, my favored scenario right now, with the strong tax cuts Trump handed us, is that the great bubble peak comes in late 2019, not now.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
Investing - Look at the Facts to Find the Truth / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
By: Rodney_Johnson
The truth is…
I can’t stand sentences that start with that.
Typically, the author or speaker is discussing a controversial topic and trying to lay the groundwork for his or her position, casting everyone else as a liar or simpleton.
Paul Krugman of The New York Times comes to mind.
Sunday, September 16, 2018
Flowering Bird of Paradise Plant's Life Cycle (UK) / Personal_Finance / Gardening
By: Anika_Walayat
Anika's Bird of Paradise Plant has finally flowered after 3 long years, so here is the life cycle of of what to expect from a Bird of Paradise Plant Flower, right from when it first appears, blossoms and then very slowly dies back over a good 6 months to reveal it's final secret when the spent flower is cut from the plant.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
How to Add Zoom to SmartPhone Cameras - MUIO Telescope 12X55mm Review / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology
By: HGR
The cameras in today's smartphone's such as the Samsung Galaxy S7,S8 and S9 are better than today's compact cameras costing in the region of £200. For instance better slow motion and higher resolution 4K footage when the compacts are still carrying HD specs. So why do most amateur photographers and film makers still rather prefer a cheaper lower quality compact camera than a smartphone? Well its the lack of zoom on smartphone's, so here after much searching on Amazon I settled on the 12X50mm telescope by MUI that cost £30 at the time of review (Amazon UK £30 https://amzn.to/2QErj2y).
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rare capitulation selloff over the past month or so. Selling cascaded to extremes as stop losses were sequentially triggered, battering this contrarian sector to exceedingly-low levels. While very challenging psychologically, capitulations are super-bullish. They rapidly exhaust all near-term selling potential, leaving gold stocks wildly oversold and undervalued which births major new uplegs.
Capitulations are quite rare which makes them inherently unpredictable. The vast majority of selloffs end normally well before they snowball into capitulation-grade plummets. But very seldomly heavy selling just continues to intensify rather than abate like usual. The word capitulation means “the act of surrendering or giving up”. That’s exactly what happens in these extraordinary selling events, traders stampede for the exits.
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: WavePatternTraders
There have been a lot of mentions about this stock on social media and in the media in general such as CNBC etc. I am not surprised as it’s been on a mission the last few weeks; however the recent peak could well have put in a significant peak, especially considering the media attention this stock has got recently.Whenever a stock or market gets highlighted, it’s generally very close to a turn and usually close to high or low; in this case I can make a solid claim that there are enough gyrations to suggest the advance from the April 2018 lows has ended an impulse wave (5 wave rally).
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