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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Gold Price Trend Forecast into 2021, Is Intel Dying?, Can Trump Win 2020? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold price traded to a new all time high to well beyond the $2000 milestone after having held in a trading range at just below $1800 for most of the post corona crash bounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Gold Asks Where Is The Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The inflation remains low and below the Fed’s target. So, should gold bulls worry about it?

The U.S. CPI inflation rate rose by 0.2 percent in September , following a 0.4 percent increase in August. It was the smallest jump since May. The move was driven by a 6.7- percent spike in the cost of used cars and trucks, and it’s the most significant upward change over half a century. The core CPI rose 0.2 percent, following a 0.4 percent increase in the preceding month.

On an annual basis, the overall CPI increased 1.4 percent (seasonally adjusted), following a 1.3 percent increase in August. The core CPI rose 1.7 percent, much like in the month prior (or a bit less if we abstract from rounding). Therefore, as the chart below shows, the period of disinflation perhaps ended, but the inflation remains low. It seems that even though the inflation rate has reached the bottom in May or June, the outbreak of high inflation in the near future is unlikely.
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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Last Chance for this FREE Online Trading Course Worth $129 value / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Hi Friends,

One silver lining of the global pandemic is that many of us are taking time to learn something new -- or to sharpen our skills.

Our friends at Elliott Wave International decided early on that they wanted to help people with this task. So, since April, they’ve been unlocking some of their premium educational online courses.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

More Short-term Stock Market Weakness Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009. Where we go from here and how far will be gauged after the September-October correction.

SPX Intermediate trend:  Intermediate correction nearly over?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Dell S3220DGF 32 Inch Curved Gaming Monitor Unboxing and Stand Assembly and Range of Movement / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Our new 32 inch Dell S3220DGF VA Panel Curved Screen Gaming Monitor has been delivered! Bought from Amazon for £379 (https://amzn.to/2Io4MHn). If your thinking of getting one find out what's in the box, and how to assemble the stand and what I personally really wanted to know before purchase but for which there was scant info is what's the range of movement in stand, up and down, side to side and how far does it tilt! All answered in our unboxing video.

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Companies

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Best Retail POS Software In Australia / Companies / Retail Sector

By: Sumeet_Manhas

A point of sale (POS) software is much more than just a conventional cash register. By integrating POS software to a mobile device or a cloud service, you can be satisfied with all of your hardware and software requirements. Various businesses, from smaller to midsize, all of them are going for a cloud-based POS software because you do not need multiple back-end servers at various locations.

There are many points of sale (POS) softwares in Australia. But finding the best POS software for you is vital to get you paid for your products. If you are looking for a POS to the trick, then POS Australia is one of the best options for you. Here is the guide for you to help you buy the best POS software in Australia.

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Economics

Monday, October 19, 2020

From Recession to an Ever-Deeper One / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: John_Mauldin

Economists who expected a quick recovery from this recession have been revising their forecasts. Mounting evidence suggests the May/June bounce was just that—a bounce, and not a return to prior trends.

I’ve been following Homebase, a payroll/HR data provider for small businesses, whose data gives us high-frequency and nearly real-time information. This is from their September report:

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Politics

Monday, October 19, 2020

Wales Closes Border With England, Stranded Motorists on Severn Bridge? Covid-19 Police Road Blocks / Politics / Pandemic

By: N_Walayat

So wales has started to close it's borders to England, that inevitably is going to leave , many motorists stranded in long lines of traffic on the likes of the Prince Wales Severn Bridge as Welsh police put up road blocks across the main crossing points from England into Wales. The Welsh nationalists finally have their centuries old dream come true one of separation of sorts from England with all of Wales border crossings CLOSED, under the guise of combating the spread of covid-19 as iterated by increasingly austere statements from Welsh First Minister Mark Drakeford aimed at preventing people from England crossing into Wales, especially in the run up to the now extended half term holidays..

Is this really all about covid or part of a grand scheme for a move towards an Independence referendum of sorts following England's decision to implement Brexit?

Where covid is concerned from what I can see Wales has a far higher incidence of covid-19 than England, so maybe the travel restrictions should be in the other direction. Though I am sure if that were ever to happen then the welsh nationalists would also use that to their political advantage.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 19, 2020

Commodity Bull Market Cycle Starts with Euro and Dollar Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In this report, I would like to show you how currency values play an important role in the price of commodities like gold and silver. The analysis here is all about the EUR/USD currency pair to give you an idea of how they can help time and predict future price movement in metals. This is just one commodity pair out of several which provide similar insight and the more pairs that confirm, the stronger our signal and market timing will be.

Commodity bull eras do not need a strong Euro… but it definitely helps if the US Dollar weakens, as anything denominated in it like gold, silver, and oil will have a higher nominal value. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 19, 2020

Stock Market Melt-Up Triggered a Short Squeeze In The NASDAQ and a Utilities Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Rather quickly in trading late Sunday night, the NQ (NASDAQ E-Mini Futures) began to move higher quite consistently.  By the time the markets opened in London on Monday, the rally was ON.  We believe this is related to two underlying factors:

A.  Short positions were getting squeezed after the end of week rally in the markets last week.  The upside price pressure early in trading on Sunday/Monday likely forced many of these shorts out of the market – creating a Short Squeeze.

B.  Global traders may be interpreting a biased election victory by Donald Trump based on news events or other information.  This close to an election and with pending Q3 earnings just days away, a melt-up rally like this is fairly uncommon – unless you take into consideration that global investors may be pre positioning for an expected outcome.

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Commodities

Monday, October 19, 2020

Silver is Like Gold on Steroids / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth explains why he believes investors should hold a position in silver.

We're still in the early innings of a precious metals bull market.

And if you're wondering whether you need to own some silver, my answer is categorically yes.

It's only a matter of degree.

With silver that's important because it acts like gold, but on steroids.

Silver can languish for extended periods, even if gold moves. But then it tends to play a rapid game of catch-up.

Timing such moves is difficult at best. Instead, it's better to build a silver position on price weakness, then simply sit patiently.

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Commodities

Monday, October 19, 2020

Countdown to Election Mediocrity: Why Gold and Silver Can Protect Your Wealth / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

With the presidential election less than a month away, sector expert Michael Ballanger offers a forecast for the gold and silver markets.

With a mere twenty-six days to the election of the "leader of the free world," of the richest, most powerful country in human history, financial markets are noticeably apprehensive as to outcome and understandably concerned with the reaction of the two deeply divided camps. With the Antifa and Black Lives Matter (BLM) "movements" mobilizing to disrupt at every turn, their ideological opponents carry little in the way of monikers but are passionately anti-BLM and anti-Antifa and even more passionately "pro-American," a descriptive often marching shoulder-to-shoulder with paramilitary and/or white supremacist groups.

The sad part of this misunderstood and misreported conflict is that the 1% elite, empowered by the politicians and the bankers that support them (the "banco-politico cartel"), would have us all believe that this conflict is the ultimate showdown between the conservative forces of law-and-order and the socialist forces of anarchy.

The stark reality is that the vast majority of the 99% that make up the unentitled non-elite, whose role has been to act as doormats upon which the 1% wipe their shoes, have finally had enough. It started with globalization, which shut down the manufacturing core of U.S. industry and shipped their jobs off to China and Mexico, and has culminated in a global pandemic that saw the politico-banco cartel once again enriching, with massive bailouts and liquidity injections, the 1%. This has resulted in all-time highs in stock prices, and wall the while the jobs of the working classes (the "doormats") were not simply transferred; they were terminated.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 19, 2020

“Hypergrowth” Is Spilling Into the Stock Market Like Never Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Stephen_McBride

Brian Chesky’s bank account had dwindled to $1,000. He had no job. And the rent on his San Francisco apartment was about to jump by 25%.

With his back against the wall, Chesky tried a “silly” idea to make some cash. He put three inflatable mattresses in his spare bedroom and offered to rent them to attendees of an upcoming conference in town.

Chesky built a rudimentary website and advertised it as Air Bed and Breakfast. That “silly” idea is worth $30 billion today. You surely know Airbnb as the wildly successful website that lets you rent out your home to travelers.

Founded just 12 years ago, it now lists more rooms than major hotel chains Marriott and Hilton—combined!

In today’s issue I’ll show you the secret that upstart Airbnb used to beat two of the world’s most successful hotel chains.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, October 19, 2020

Is Oculus Quest 2 Good Upgrade for Samsung Gear VR Users? / Personal_Finance / Virtual Reality

By: HGR

It looks like Samsung gear users finally have a reason to upgrade their ageing smartphone powered Samsung Gear VR headsets following the release of Oculus Quest 2. Amazon UK Oculus Quest 2 - https://amzn.to/3lYujFS

It all comes down to resolution per eye, Quest 1 only represented a 10% or so jump in resolution for which Oculus demanded a hefty £400 payment that and it had a litany of flaws such as NO blue tooth, NO microsd card slot!

Whilst Quest 2 is far from perfect i.e. still no blue tooth or Microsd card slot so users are forced to pay rip off price for extra storage space, at about three times the market price for the same storage!

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Commodities

Saturday, October 17, 2020

Low US Dollar Risky for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Today’s beaten-down US dollar is a major short-term risk for gold.  For decades this yellow metal has often inversely mirrored the fortunes of the world’s reserve currency.  Dollar trends are important trading cues for highly-leveraged gold-futures speculators, who wield outsized influence over gold prices.  So an overdue mean-reversion rebound rally erupting in the US dollar will unleash serious gold selling pressure.

Gold has proven the ultimate universal global money for millennia now, and its US-dollar price American speculators and investors follow is simply these currencies’ exchange rate.  So flowing and ebbing dollar levels directly impact prevailing gold prices.  Gold generally tends to rally when the dollar weakens, then sell off when it strengthens again.  The leading dollar benchmark reveals this powerful inverse correlation.

That is the venerable US Dollar Index, which was launched way back in March 1973.  This USDX applies a weighted geometric mean to a basket of major world currencies to track the relative value of the US dollar.  The Eurozone countries’ euro, Japan’s yen, and the United Kingdom’s pound sterling dominate the USDX commanding 57.6%, 13.6%, and 11.9% of its total weighting.  Three other currencies round it out.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 17, 2020

US 2020 Election: Are American's ready for Trump 2nd Term Twilight Zone Presidency? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

In the rum up to the 2016 US presidential election the pollsters, pundits, markets and bookies all concluded that Hillary Clinton would win the election, which is precisely the case today in the run upto the 2020 election where everyone thinks Biden is going to win. Though at 2016 time I concluded that Trump would win as illustrated by several videos at the time.

The best description of the past 4 years is one of a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man's fears and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call the Trump Twilight Zone.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 17, 2020

Custom Ryzen 5950x, 5900x, 5800x , RTX 3080, 3070 64gb DDR4 Gaming PC System Build Specs / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Here's why now is one of the best times to upgrade to a new PC for many years following release of the AMD's Ryzen 5000 CPU's, Nvidia's ETX 3080 GPU's and soon to be joined by AMD's Big Navi GPU's

And here's my system build to last me for the next 5 years! A 5950x, RTX 3080, 64gb ram system spec and costed for under £3000 that I am to get within the next couple of months once stock for the RTX and Ryzen 5000 materialises.

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2020

Gold Jumps above $1,900 Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Biden widened his lead over Trump, while gold jumped above $1,900 again.

According to the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, Biden has increased his presidential race advantage. Now, as the chart below shows, he leads by 7 percent.

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Economics

Friday, October 16, 2020

US Economic Recovery Is in Need of Some Rescue / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Recovery is coming because the economy has found a new equilibrium. That's what we are told. Except, that’s not what the data says.

Last week, I laid out the case that US government debt would be $50 trillion by 2030. That was using straight-line CBO projections along with the 2008 recovery pattern for government revenue.

I added in off-budget debt at its $269 billion yearly average. But now, USdebtclock.org projects off-budget deficit will rise by over $1 trillion this year.

With that in mind, it's not just that we'll have even higher debt by 2030. It's that this mounting debt will further slow the recovery.

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Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2020

Why You Should Focus on Growth Stocks Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler : My friend who’s a novice investor asked for advice recently. He was “bargain hunting” for cheap stocks, and trying to decide between buying Kohl’s (KSS) or ExxonMobil (XOM).

I cringed. “Listen,” I told him. “You’re thinking about this all wrong.”

I get where my friend is coming from. From childhood we’re taught to be financially prudent. To seek bargains and avoid spending money on expensive things.

In most areas of life this is smart advice. Drive a reasonable car, live in a reasonable house, book reasonable vacations with your family. But there’s one big problem.

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