Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Is Saudi Arabia Leaving The U.S. Behind For Russia? / Politics / GeoPolitics
The news from the recent St. Petersburg Economic Forum, which took place from June 18 to 20, inspired a torrent of speculation on the future direction of energy prices.
But the real buzz at the conference was the unexpected but much publicized visit of the Saudi Deputy Crown Prince, as an emissary of the King. The Prince, who is also his country's Defense Minister, carried the royal message of a direct invitation to President Putin to visit the King, which was immediately accepted and reciprocated, with the Prince accepting on behalf of his father.
Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Dow INDU Stocks Index Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We are getting a test of the low from the big decline last Monday which is to be expected as many times it takes multiple tests before support really sticks. This is now the moment of truth as this low needs to hold support or a bigger decline can be expected. There is the 200 dma, the time cycle low and the very high volume spike from last Monday, in the down to up volume chart, that are showing this could be an important low.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
SPX Stocks Index Still on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There is a big hole in today’s trading session during which trading was halted. Stocks soared during the halt and quit rising just as soon as the problem was supposedly “fixed.” How can we trust a market like this?
Right now I am taking the approach that the zigzag decline may have been a sub-Minute Wave (b). That means Wave (c) is underway and is likely to finish tomorrow. I should note, however, that SPX could easily reverse on a moment’s notice and that it remains on a sell signal.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Greece Takes Stock Market Down....Merkel Playing Hardball....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There was bad news over the weekend as far stocks markets around the world were concerned. They preferred a yes vote from the people of Greece. Keeps things status quo. Didn't happen. The people voted no on austerity. No status quo. Change is what they want. They figure they have nothing to lose. Markets hated the vote and down those futures went. Way down. In Europe as much as 4%. Our market was down 1.5%. As usual, that more than changed by the time we woke up this morning. The nastiness cut in half, and not only that, for a moment today, when things looked better overseas based on rumors, the market went green. It hung in there until Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany, told Greece there would be no supply of liquidity based on the terms they wanted. Unacceptable, thus no liquidity.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Bill Gross on Greece: 'We're in the Eye of the Hurricane' / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Guy Johnson about Greece's debt.
On whether he is surprised by the calm reaction of the markets, Gross said: "Yes, I am surprised...It appears that we're in the eye of the hurricane. I do not believe that this situation really is calm."
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Monday, July 06, 2015
New Zealand Dollar Could Rally Double Digits in the Coming Months / Currencies / Forex Trading
Brett Eversole writes: Major currencies are rising in value...
Since the U.S. dollar peaked on March 13, the Brazilian real is up around 8.5%. And the euro is up around 5.7%.
But two major currencies have lost value versus the dollar – the Japanese yen and the New Zealand dollar.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Why the Greek “No” Vote Was a Good Thing / Politics / Social Issues
Alexander Green writes: Well, the Greeks voted “No,” yet markets didn’t crash and the world didn’t end. What should we worry about next?
I don’t mean to make light of the situation. But Greece’s vote to reject the bailout terms of the European and International Monetary Union - and potentially abandon the euro - is actually a plus for world equity markets.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Dow Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The final high to the Dow's bull market was put in on the 20th May 2015 at 18351. This was outlined in client analysis the following day titled Dow Final High. For those following the continuous intraday charts, there was a clear bearish double top around 18350. It is my expectation that a bear market is now underway. I don't wait for any mainstream nonsense that requires a 20% fall. I leave that stuff for the fools.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Marc Faber Warns of Greece Crisis Contagion Very High Risk / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Marc Faber, Editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Olivia Sterns and Matt Miller about the contagion risk posed by the Greek debt crisis and the prospects for a resolution. He also discussed the Chinese stock market.
When asked whether we are actually going to see contagion spread further, Faber said: "I think the likelihood of contagion is very high. And I have to say when you have a borrower, you also have a lender. And it's actually, in my view, amazing how the EU kept on pumping money into Greece, partly also to bail out their own banks. And suddenly now the debt is no longer manageable."
Monday, July 06, 2015
Greece to Print Counterfeit Euros or IOUs, Hyper-Inflation Beckons / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The shock decisive NO referendum vote as the Greek electorate fell for Syriza propaganda that painted a picture of Greeks being the victims of the evil Troika has seen mainstream press focus turm (perhaps after googling) turn to Greece's banking system collapse that remains closed with as little as Euro 50 per day being allowed for withdrawals, as the banks are fast running out of Euro bank notes with cash points expected to completely run dry by Wednesday.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Greece and Puerto Rico: Previews of Coming Attractions / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Governor Alejandro García Padilla of Puerto Rico said this week he does not think the Commonwealth will be able to pay back the $73 billion in debt owed to bondholders. I find this rare bit of honesty totally refreshing. For the past three years some had speculated about the possibility of a Puerto Rican default, but most believed it to be a farfetched notion. Now the question of solvency is no longer in doubt: Puerto Rico is officially broke and is unable to pay all of its debt obligations.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market, Investing Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The past four years or so have been extremely frustrating for investors like me who have structured their portfolios around the belief that the current experiments in central bank stimulus, the anti-business drift in Washington, and America's mediocre economy and unresolved debt issues would push down the value of the dollar, push up commodity prices, and favor assets in economies with relatively low debt levels and higher GDP growth. But since the beginning of 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied 67% while the rest of the world has been largely stuck in the mud. This dominance is reminiscent of the four years from the end of 1996 to the end of 2000, when the Dow rallied 54% while overseas markets languished. Although past performance is no guarantee of future results, a casual look back at how the U.S. out-performance trend played out the last time it had occurred should give investors much to think about.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
“Oxi!” - Greeks Defy Eu As Varoufakis Resigns To Ease Tensions With “Partners” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Brave Greeks vote overwhelmingly against austerity
- Varoufakis resigns to clear air for next phase of negotiations
- We think a Greek debt deal is highly likely over the next few days
- EU elites had hoped “yes” vote would force the replacement of Syriza with unelected technocratic experts
- Syriza may nationalize banks to protect depositors from “bail-ins”
- UK slashes Deposit Insurance from £85,000 to £75,000
- Europe and the world now in uncharted waters, gold will protect
Monday, July 06, 2015
Wall Street Is Ignoring Apple Music – We Shouldn't / Companies / Apple
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: With Apple so often on the cutting edge of technology, it is easy to treat its latest breakthroughs as the status quo for such an innovator.
That typically leaves real unclaimed value on the table when it has a new product or service in the market.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Rocketing First-time Home Buyer Mortgage Deals / Housing-Market / Mortgages
“First-time buyer products have soared to their highest level since 2007, with the number of 90% and 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages now totalling 723 products. This marks a 73% increase on five years ago, when buyers with small deposits only had the choice of 194 products.
“Surprisingly, Help-to-Buy (H2B) doesn’t account for all of these new products, but with the number of deals totalling 437 before the scheme was launched, it is clear that H2B acted as a catalyst for banks and building societies to get in on the act.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
With Yanis Gone, Now Troika Heads Must Roll / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Now that Yanis Varoufakis has resigned, in the kind of unique fashion and timing that shows us who the real men are, it’s time to clear the other side of the table as well. The new finance minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, should not have to face the same faces that led to Europe’s painful defeat in yesterday’s Greek referendum.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
The Greek Mouse That Roared "OXI". What is the lesson? / Politics / Social Issues
It is the so-called Arab Spring in 2011 that came to mind when I watched the results of the Greece referendum July 5. I vividly recalled the so-called pro-democracy movement in Cairo to oust corrupt dictator President Hosni Mubarak; the steaming multitude huddled in Tahrir Square stoically waiting for his resignation; the subtle reminder to Mubarak by President Obama "to leave". The "Arab Spring" was hailed by all Western media at the time, and that alone was reason to question it.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
For Normal Relations With Cuba, End US Interventionism / Politics / US Politics
Last week we saw an encouraging sign that the 50 year cold war between the US and Cuba was finally coming to an end. President Obama announced on Wednesday that the US and Cuba would restore full diplomatic relations and that embassies could be re-opened in each country by the end of the month.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market Rally in a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Silver Price Consolidating Ahead of Another Sharp Drop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Silver's cheerleaders are trying to keep their flocks happy by talking it up as usual, but the hard reality is that silver's charts continue to look awful, and like it is readying for another sharp drop, which fits with our view that the dollar is getting ready for another big upleg.
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