Category: Global Debt Crisis 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Monetary Policy Monster With A Key To Its Own Cage / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
Out on the fringes of monetary policy, a merger of sorts is taking place between the debt jubilee and Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The result — likely to emerge sometime in 2016 — will make the past decade’s bank bailouts and QE programs look like kid stuff.
Let’s start by defining these terms:
The debt jubilee — an idea from biblical times in which debts are periodically forgiven — involves the government creating a lot of new currency and giving it to debtors, either through stepped-up public spending, tax cuts, or some sort of direct transfer. A more recent term for this is “helicopter money,” which reflects a central bank’s ability to simply drop newly-printed bills out of an aircraft if necessary.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 12, 2015
Another Day Older and Deeper in Debt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
Debt overwhelms most people in debt based fiat currency economies (US, UK, Europe, and others). Credit cards, auto loans, student loans, mortgages, and more …
Debt overwhelms most governments in debt based fiat currency economies. They are in debt because governments spend more than their revenues, which is a truly simple concept. However, don’t expect fiscal sanity to return anytime soon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 12, 2015
IMF Fears $3 Trillion Credit Crunch; Lagarde Warns 'IMF Credibility at Stake' / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
IMF head Christine Lagarde says "IMF credibility is at stake". She blames the US for that development, and calls on US to give more voting power to China to solve the problem.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Here's Your Insurance Against a $200 Trillion Debt Bubble Crash / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.comPeter Krauth writes: The world is awash in debt, and it's simply unsustainable. As worldwide debt levels keep setting new records, there's no chance anyone will ever be paid back.
Even "vampire squid" Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), with its tentacles deep into bond markets, thinks so.
The world's central banks now have an insurmountable dilemma: Raising interest rates will just increase the repayment burden. Keeping them low will only inflate the debt bubbles all over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 18, 2015
How to Avoid Puerto Rico's Debt Crisis and Make Money on It / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Puerto Rico is desperately trying to reorganize its $72 billion debt, but it faces a unique hurdle…
You see, it's an unincorporated territory, not a state. It can't actually declare Chapter 9 bankruptcy.
Without those legal protections, the Caribbean island is clearly sunk.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 14, 2015
Debt Deleveraging as a Biblical Plague / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
Eventful days in the middle of summer. Just as the Greek Pandora’s box appears to be closing for the holidays (but we know what happens once it’s open), and Europe’s ultra-slim remnants of democracy erode into the sunset, China moves in with a one-off but then super-cubed renminbi devaluation. And 100,000 divergent opinions get published, by experts, pundits and just about everyone else under the illusion they still know what is going on.
We’ve been watching from the sidelines for a few days, letting the first storm subside. But here’s what we think is happening. It helps to understand, and repeat, a few things:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 24, 2015
Not Your Father’s Inflation / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
“Profound ignorance masquerading as wisdom - all the worse from the mouths of the prestigious, the PhD, the Nobel Prize winner….” - UnknownIt’s time to revisit British economist Peter Warburton’s April 2001 classic tome “The debasement of world currency: It’s inflation but not as we know it“.
Our friend from GATA, Ed Steer brought it to attention once again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 10, 2015
Puerto Rico Debt Crisis: Should U.S. Investors Care? (Video) / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
White House: No U.S. bailout for Puerto Rico
Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Greece is Just the First of MANY Countries That Will Be Going Belly-Up / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
ALL of the so called, “economic recovery” that began in 2009 has been based on the Central Banks’ abilities to rein in the collapse.
The first round of interventions (2007-early 2009) was performed in the name of saving the system. The second round (2010-2012) was done because it was generally believed that the first round hadn’t completed the task of getting the world back to recovery.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Greece Will Lead the West Into a Debt Implosion / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
For over 30 years, sovereign nations, particularly in the West have been buying votes by offering social payments in the form of welfare, Medicare, social security, and the like.
When actual bills came due to fund this stuff, Governments quickly discovered that current tax revenues couldn’t cover it (see the image below)… so they issued sovereign debt to make up the difference.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 05, 2015
Greece's Problems are the Tip of the Iceberg, China Crisis Underway / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: America celebrates the July 4th holiday under the threat of homegrown terrorism while global financial markets face a trifecta of threats from Greece, Puerto Rico and China.
And those are just the immediate threats – the world still has to deal with the longer term threat of hundreds of trillions of dollars in debts that it can never hope to pay back and the pursuit of failed central bank policies that are destined to send markets over the cliff sooner rather than later….
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 01, 2015
Bond Bubble Bust Won’t Cause Great Rotation / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
For the first time in its country’s history, Portugal sold 6 month T-bills at a negative yield. The 300 million euros ($333 million) worth of bills due in November 2015 sold at an average yield of minus 0.002%. A negative yield means investors buying these securities will get back less money from the government than they paid when the debt matures.
To put this in perspective, the 10 year note in Portugal now yields just 2.38%, down from 18% a mere three years ago. Back in 2012, creditors grew wary of the countries referred to as PIIG’s (Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Greece) and their ability to pay back the massive amounts of outstanding debt. Consequently, creditors drove interest rates dramatically higher to reflect the added risk of potential defaults.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Don't Drown in the Sea of Global Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Debt is the proverbial double-edged sword, offering access to costly assets, but sometimes driving overleveraged borrowers into bankruptcy.
Only politicians and some Keynesian economists could convince themselves – along with a good portion of the masses – that more debt is the solution to the world's already crushing levels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Global Debt Now $200 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
- McKinsey Institute says global debt is $199 trillion and unsustainable
- Total global debt is $27,204 for every person living today
- All major economies have “higher levels of borrowing relative to GDP” than in 2007
- 3 risk areas – rising Chinese debt, government and household debt
- Debt report ignores U.S. unfunded liabilities of over $100 trillion
- Major cause of risky, unprecedented debt levels – QE and ultra loose monetary policies not acknowledged
- Risk of new global financial crisis – wealth taxes, currency wars and devaluations and bail-ins
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Corporations Are The Ultimate Dumb Money / Companies / Global Debt Crisis 2015
David Stockman just published a chart so compelling that he didn't feel the need to add any commentary.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 27, 2015
Society's Leaders Have Been Digging a Bottomless Economic Pit / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
A friend sent me the link below, which seems extraordinarily relevant in context of the fact that I once calculated the value of the Chinese ghost cities at around $6.5 trillion. The article discusses the downward pressures on China’s economy.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-24/china-could-face-sharp-rise-capital-outflows-if-stocks-economy-lose-momentum
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Debt Crisis - When All News Is Bad News / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
One of the defining traits of financial bubbles is the willingness of traders and investors to interpret pretty much everything as a buy signal. Rising corporate earnings mean growth, while falling profits mean easier money on the way. War means more revenues for defense contractors and easy money for everyone else. Blizzards means consumer spending will rebound in the Spring. Inflation means higher asset prices for speculators while deflation means, once again, easier money for everyone. When people are this optimistic they find the silver lining in every black cloud and happily to buy the dips with borrowed money.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Characteristics of Extremely Over-Indebted Economies / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
I think it was almost two years ago that I was in Cyprus. Cyprus had just come through its crisis and was still in shell shock. I was there to get a feel for what it was like, and a number of my readers had courteously arranged for me to meet with all sorts of people and do a few presentations. A local group arranged for me to speak at the lecture hall of the Central Bank of Cyprus in Nicosia.
There were about 50 people in the room. I was busily working on Code Red at the time and had money flows, quantitative easing, and currency wars at the front of my brain. As part of my presentation, I talked about how countries would seek to use currency devaluation in order to gain an advantage over other countries – that we were getting ready to enter an era of currency wars, which would be disguised as monetary policy trying to create economic growth. Which is exactly what we have today. Every now and then I get a few things right.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Peter Schiff on U.S. Dollars, Drachmas and Debt - Video / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2015
Why might Greece abandon the euro and re-adopt the drachma? Peter Schiff argues that the drachma would be a politically expedient way of defaulting on Greek debt, but would ultimately lead to financial ruin for Greek citizens. Peter believes that the only difference between Greece and the United States is that US creditors still have faith in the dollar. However, it won’t be long before the Federal Reserve makes the dollar as worthless as a drachma.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
No Body Understands Debt - Living in a Free-Lunch World / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
“Everyone is a prisoner of his own experiences. No one can eliminate prejudices – just recognize them.”
– Edward R. Murrow, US broadcast journalist & newscaster (1908 – 1965), television broadcast, December 31, 1955
“High debt levels, whether in the public or private sector, have historically placed a drag on growth and raised the risk of financial crises that spark deep economic recessions.”
– The McKinsey Institute, “Debt and (not much) Deleveraging”
Read full article... Read full article...