Sunday, August 23, 2015
A Perfect Buying Opportunity in Biotech Stocks / Companies / BioTech
Bob Creed writes: If you’ve held a position in the biotech sector over the last few years, it may have felt like you were on a roller coaster. Fortunately, this is one coaster that’s well worth the ride.
This week’s chart looks at the performance of the NYSE Biotech Index (NYSE: BTK) since July 2011. As you can see, biotech stocks have seen plenty of volatility. But any big drops were more than made up for by even bigger uptrends.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Economics is Dead, and Economists Killed It / Economics / Economic Theory
Per L. Bylund writes: What we have seen over the course of the last eighty years is a systematic dismantling of the contribution of economics to our understanding of the social world. Whatever the cause, modern economics is now not much more than formal modeling using mathematics dressed up in economics-sounding lingo. In this sense, economics is dead as a science, assuming it was ever alive. Economics in mathematical form cannot fulfill its promises and neither the scientific literature nor advanced education in the subject provide insights that are applicable to or useful in everyday life, business, or policy.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Will Rising Interest Rates Crash UK House Prices? - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing
UK interest rates have remained frozen at 0.5% for 78 straight months, with the Bank of England having refused to budge an inch even when inflation had soared to above 5% on its official measures of CPI and RPI. However, now with the general election out of the way the Bank of England has started to signal in its forward guidance that the markets should prepare for interest rate hikes.
Therefore this analysis seeks to determine the consequences for rising interest rates on UK house prices into the end of 2018.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2092. After a gap down opening on Monday the market quickly recovered to hit SPX 2103. It traded at that level again on Tuesday, and then ran into three straight gap down openings for the rest of the week. On Friday the SPX hit 1971 and closed there. For the week the SPX/DOW were -5.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -7.1%, and the DJ World index was -5.3%. On the economic front reports came in slightly to the positive. On the uptick: the NAHB, the CPI, housing starts, existing home sales, the Philly FED and the GDPN. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the next report on Q2 GDP, Durable goods, and PCE prices.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Gold And Silver – NWO In Its Element: Problem, Reaction, Solution. Beware / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Last week, we lamented how difficult it was to get a fix on the so many things going on in the world, and going wrong. It occurs to us that we are all in the midst of the New World Order going about business as usual, creating Problems, and the bigger the better, then watching reactions of the masses, even governments. The worse possible the problems, the more horrifying the Reactions the better. For waiting in the wings is their planned Solution, all leading toward global takeover under a one world rule, like the UN.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory - The Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow Theory non-confirmation that began forming in February has been a warning. The Great Dow Theorist Robert Rhea once said, "a wise man leaves the market alone when the averages do not agree." Few really understand Dow Theory and it seems that most people who are familiar with it tend to discount it as some antiquated relic of the past. The current market environment and the developments since February are a perfect example. The Dow Theory has been warning, but as is always the case, those warnings have not been understood or heard.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Nirvana Has Been Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Is it possible to have a calm and boring market break down quickly in merely two trading days? Is it possible that THIS is the start of breaking the "stock nirvana" illusion?
Let's examine the evidence.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Pretty Good Day For Gold Bugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The bull market that wouldn't end finally has. In a brutal day that just kept getting worse, US stocks followed Asia and Europe into the deflationary vortex.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Three Ways to Profit from the Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: When I started Total Wealth I promised you that it would be a two-way street, meaning that information would flow both directions – from me to you and from you to me.
Today I want keep that promise by answering a question from J. Stockhausen that’s on a lot of people’s mind at the moment…
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
S&P 2040 Breaks Down... Stock Market Turns Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
For quite some time I've spoken about the look of those nasty monthly charts across the board. While the market stopped going higher, it didn't break lower, and I believe many of you thought they'd never play out. They had to. They really had no choice. Every rubber made has a breaking point. You can try to be cute by continuing to stretch them and think to yourself, let's see if this particular one defies what we know to be true. Truth always wins out in the end. Eventually it snaps and you feel the pain of that snap.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Storm Clouds Are Gathering Around Peer-to-Peer Lending Sector / Companies / Debt & Loans
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Peer-to-peer lending, or P2P as it’s known, is a juggernaut financial-services Disruptor.
But thanks to its supercharged growth, P2P lending has attracted the attention of regulators and other financial-market overseers. They’re scrutinizing this new form of lending from multiple angles – fearing it may be too disruptive for its own good.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Crude Oil Price Crash Continues: West Texas Crude Below $40, Brent Near $45 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The crash in oil prices continues. Here are a couple charts to consider.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Pandemonium in the Stock Market, Dow falls 1,000 points in a week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This week's stunning sell-off sent the Dow 1,000 points lower. Other markets have surprised investors lately, too:
- Crude oil just fell below $40 a barrel
- Gold just broke above $1160 an ounce
- The U.S. dollar is enjoying the strength not seen in years
Friday, August 21, 2015
Gold Reaches Rebound Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Precious metals for the most part have reached their initial rebound targets. Gold has led the charge by pushing above $1140 to $1150/oz resistance (for now) while Silver rebounded back to former support (the mid $15s). GDXJ has nearly touched $23 but GDX has failed to touch $17. This leaves us to question how much upside could be left and what happens next.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Why China Economy Is in Trouble - It's the Slumping Money Supply / Economics / China Economy
The course of an economy is determined by the course of that economy's money supply (broadly determined). The relationship between money growth and nominal GDP growth is presented in the accompanying chart. It is persuasive. Indeed, money, not fiscal policy, dominates.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Gold Junior Stocks Strong Financials / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The smaller gold miners and explorers have suffered catastrophic stock-price losses in recent years. These extreme declines have led investors and speculators to assume that much of this sector won’t survive lower prevailing gold prices. But nothing could be farther from the truth. The hated and left-for-dead junior-gold sector is not only very strong financially today, but could still thrive at much lower gold prices.
With many hundreds of junior gold stocks trading around the world, this sector isn’t easy to measure. They range from smaller producers with fantastic operating mines, to explorers doggedly advancing their projects in these dark times, to countless garbage shell companies that will never do anything beyond fleecing the unwary. The proliferation of junior golds is incredible, making it difficult to wade through the morass.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Gold Price Ratios / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
For your viewing pleasure, some pictures that readers of this site and NFTRH.com have been aware of for some time now and NFTRH subscribers are repeatedly kept aware of (whether they like it or not).
Gold is not just another metal...
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Massive Stock Market Breakdown Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX is challenging the Cycle Bottom support at 2014.71 this morning. The bounce off this support may not last long at all, so there is no change in signal. There is a good probability that SPX may decline to 1960.00-1970.00 before a bounce, if any. It appears that we may see as many as 10 more market days of decline to the Intermediate Wave (1) low. It won’t be a pretty sight for the bulls.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Waiting for Dow Theory Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
Most analysts don't understand where the last secondary correction occurred. They assume that the averages need to drop below the Oct Low to produce a Dow Theory bearish trend change.
Actually the last secondary correction bottomed in July. The industrials have already broken those lows and if the transports also break below that level it will generate a Dow Theory sell signal.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
More Stock Market Supports Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There is no wonder that SPX is lower this morning. It closed beneath the lower trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top last night. The Premarket shows the SPX down 7.5 points this morning, a low not seen since February 7. The 4-year uptrend line is also broken, suggesting a complete retracement to the October 4, 2011 low at 1074.00 in Cycle Wave I. that may come as early as mid-January 2016.
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