Wednesday, August 19, 2015
McDonald Stock Investors too Optimistic / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: AnyOption
There are some stocks on the market that investors just love to hate. No matter what these stocks do, it seems as if it’s never enough. And then there are the stocks that investors just can’t bring themselves to hate, regardless of all of the reasons why they probably should. McDonald’s is one of those stocks.In spite of the company experiencing an unprecedented downturn over the last two years, McDonald’s shares are actually up 5.51% over that time. Shares recently topped $101, pushing to a 13-month high with analysts expecting the company to finally start making a turnaround in terms of comp sales, where it has more than struggled recently.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
The Trigger For The Upcoming Stock Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
I recently explained that it’s one thing for a central bank to artificially prop up its own stock market. It’s another thing entirely to even imagine doing something similar to falling oil prices. What’ll they do – buy oil futures? Give me a break.Oil hit a six-year low this week. As I write this, it’s around $43, closer yet to the $42 target I forecast when oil bounced back to $63. After another tepid bounce, it will very likely fall to the $32 support level we saw in late 2008. John Kilduff, a leading oil analyst who will be speaking at our Irrational Economic Summit in Vancouver next month, sees this happening earlier than his original Christmas call.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Struggling To Make Ends Meet / Politics / Social Issues
By: Rodney_Johnson
I recently wrote about the cost of child care, which got me thinking of my own experience. My wife and I were in our mid-20s when we had our first child. To prep for the expenses, we sold my car. I replaced it with a 10-year old pickup painted in primer. It had an AM radio, vinyl seats, and no air conditioning. I took our son to daycare, so we commuted in the Texas summer heat with 2-by-60 air conditioning. By that, I mean rolling down both windows (by hand) and driving 60 miles per hour.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Druckenmiller Buys A Lot Of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Stan Druckenmiller is going big on gold.
Druckenmiller is one of the world’s most successful and respected traders. As a hedge fund manager from 1986 to 2010, he generated an incredible average annual return of 30%.
Druckenmiller was also George Soros’s right-hand man at Quantum, Soros’s famed hedge fund. Quantum’s now legendary 1992 trade shorting the British pound was Druckenmiller’s idea. It made Quantum about $1 billion. People say the trade “broke the Bank of England.”
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Keeping the Stock Market Bubble-Boom Going / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Thorsten_Polleit
The US Federal Reserve is playing with the idea of raising interest rates, possibly as early as September this year. After a six-year period of virtually zero interest rates, a ramping up of borrowing costs will certainly have tremendous consequences. It will be like taking away the punch bowl on which all the party fun rests.
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Crude Oil Price Time for Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil gained 1.17% as hopes that crude oil inventories could decline for a third consecutive week weighed on investors' sentiment. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude bounced off its key support line, but will we see the commodity above $43 in near future?
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
How Apple Stock Will Help Us Beat China's Downturn / Companies / Apple
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: It's been about a month since Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) shares started their recent slip. They're now down about 12% in that time, and a few talking heads are still trying to scare investors into selling…
As usual, they're wrong.
The stock market has pulled back overall, and Apple isn't immune from those downturns.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
How Cheap are Gold Mining Stocks Now? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: David_Morgan
Are Gold Stocks Cheaper Than They Were in 2008?
Chris Marchese, Senior Equity Analyst : The short and simple answer to this question is yes! Some will say--that is just my opinion. I could show you numerous equations proving the gold stocks were cheaper in 2008 than today and vice versa using similar metrics.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Who Wins in a Currency Devaluation War? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: BATR
The paradox in the question of who wins in a currency war presupposes that any participating combatant can actually claim victory. If winning means ending up with the most cash, when the value of the money as a store of tangible wealth is debased, it is doubtful anyone can be declared the victor. The absurdity of lowering the purchasing power of a countries currency to enable exports to be more competitive is economic sacrilege that the heretical “Free Trade” mythos is based upon. Without a reliable standard of objective comparison, floating currencies maneuver their exchange rates to disguise internal imbalances in their own political and economic expenditures.
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Crude Oil Price Works In Mysterious Ways / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EWI
But there is one solution to staying ahead of oil's trend changes -- Elliott wave analysis
You know the expression "God works in mysterious ways"?
Well, according to an August 6 CNBC article, the price action of one financial market -- i.e., crude oil -- has out-mystified even God himself. Or, rather, the well-heeled star of the oil world, Andy Hall -- a.k.a. "God Trader."
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Uranium Has a New Hot Spot / Commodities / Uranium
By: The_Energy_Report
Several developments in the uranium space, including the restart of a reactor in Japan that has been offline since the Fukushima disaster, have primed the commodity for a price surge. In this interview with The Energy Report, Mick Carew, research analyst with Haywood Securities, explains how, in addition to the Japanese restart, expansion in the Athabasca Basin is bolstering prospects for consolidation in the sector, and describes how a Brazilian phosphate company with a first-rate product might produce for portfolios.
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Corporate Profits Have Peaked — And Will Tank Next Year / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: John_Rubino
One of the reasons US stocks have had such a nice run is that public companies have been making a lot of money. The profit bounce from Great Recession lows was both big and fast, taking corporate earnings to record levels both in nominal terms and as a portion of GDP.
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
SPX Keeping a Bearish Profile / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Although SPX hasn’t crossed below the 50-day Moving Average at 2095.05, it hasn’t made any progress higher, either. This increases the probability of a Diamond formation, where the breakout is down. Diamond formations usually precede an average decline of 20% from the lower trendline, suggesting a target near 1656.00. The Diamond may supersede the Orthodox Broadening Top, so I may have to alter the Wave structure should that happen. Tomorrow is the Pivot day.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Gold Golden Opportunity or Gold-Plated Trap? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
Gold broke out of a small pennant formation on the daily chart last week and gained $18.80/oz. to close the week at $1,112.90. On the weekly chart gold printed an engulfing bullish candlestick. The breakout above 1,100 is bullish but the real test will be a breakout above 1,140. For now, the daily Coppock Curve is rising and has a ways to go before it will signal a top in gold. Cycles point to an important low during July and a rally for all of August. Seasonally, August is very bullish for gold.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Dr. Copper is Speaking, are you Listening? ... / Commodities / Copper
By: Rambus_Chartology
Copper is an important commodity when it comes to the health of the world economies and how it does often reflects how strong or weak the economy is. Its been awhile since we took an indepth look at Dr. Copper to see how healthy it is so tonight we'll look at a few charts starting with a daily look.
The daily chart for Copper is showing it has completed a double headed, double H&S top, which is having a somewhat ugly breakout and backtest of the lower neckline #2. The smaller H&S #1 was picture perfect complete with a small blue expanding falling wedge for the left shoulder and a blue bearish rising wedge as the right shoulder. H&S #2 was very symmetrical as shown by the neckline symmetry line which shows the height for the left and right shoulders. Outside of the messy breakout and backtest, which happens sometimes, this chart is still very bearish looking.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
The Future of Natural Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: On Thursday morning, I’ll be delivering my major address on the future of natural gas. The occasion is a high-powered meeting hosted by Dominion Transport at the beautiful Nemacolin Woodlands Resort in western Pennsylvania.
Attending will be more than 100 leading CEOs and other executives from principal gas production, transmission, distribution, and end using companies.
My keynote presentation is entitled “Natural Gas Moving Forward: LNG, Hubs, and Pricing Prospects.” And in it I address where liquid natural gas (LNG) prices have been… where they are now… and where they’re going.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
This “Pig” Just Made a Massive Bet on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Dan Steinhart
Stan Druckenmiller is going big on gold.
Druckenmiller is one of the world’s most successful and respected traders. As a hedge fund manager from 1986 to 2010, he generated an incredible average annual return of 30%.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Junk Bonds Call for Stock Market Crash ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Clive_Maund
We have looked at plenty enough evidence in recent weeks that a crash is looming for US markets, and now we are going to take a look at another important piece of evidence that we haven't previously considered - the Junk Bond market.
When confidence deteriorates Junk Bonds get sold off. A reason for this is that Junk Bond Holders are low on the list of creditors who can expect to be paid off in the event of corporate default, hence the name. They yield more because they carry more risk, so when risk threatens to rise or rises, savvy holders want out.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Gold, No Interest! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Stronger than expected US retail sales data undercut some of the recent safe haven trades ( buying bonds, the yen and gold) sending all three lower in today’s session.
For the first two weeks of August, retails sales are up 1.7% versus a year ago and up 0.3% from July.
That got the “Fed is going to hike in September” talk starting up once more which of course send the Dollar higher and most commodities lower.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Blind Alleys and Techno-Fantasies / Politics / Social Issues
By: Nicole_Foss
The majority of proposals made by those who acknowledge limits fail on at least one of the previous criteria, and often several, if not all of them. Solution space is smaller than we typically think. The most common approach is to insist on government policies intended to implement meaningful change by fiat. Even in the best of times, government policy is a blunt instrument which all too often achieves the opposite of its stated intention, and in contractionary times the likelihood of this increases enormously.