Friday, January 22, 2016
Is Stock Market SPX Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX jumped in the overnight markets and it appears that Wave (i) of [c] may be complete. Thus far it has retraced 35% of the decline. Should SPX reach 1914.75 (the 38.2% retracement) in only one continuous impulse from [b], I suggest your longs be taken off the table.
Should SPX retrace modestly, then go higher, I suggest that it may reach its 50% Fib level at 1946.50 yet today. That would be the second level at which to take profits, since things may become dicey over the weekend.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Stock Market Swing Baby, Swing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
This article assumes one is trading the up and down swings in the stock market. Swing traders are just one segment of a market population that includes those sitting in cash (and/or risk ‘off’ vehicles like Treasury Bonds), maintaining longer-term short positions, our always bullish friends, the “stocks for the long-term” contingent and of course, the indomitable Gold Bug “community”, focusing as ever on one asset class while a world full of other assets is in motion.
Read full article... Read full article...“Let’s go let’s go, he’s no batter, he’s no batter… (pitch comes to the plate) SWING BATTER!!!”
Friday, January 22, 2016
Ron Paul Says to Watch the Petrodollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno
The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better. - Ron Paul
Ron Paul is calling for the end of the petrodollar system. This system is one of the main reasons the U.S. dollar is the world’s premier reserve currency.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Silver Undervalued Versus Stocks, Bonds, Property and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Precious metals continue to look very undervalued vis a vis most asset classes – particularly stocks and bonds.
This is especially the case with silver which has fallen by more than 70% from what we believe was an intermediate price high of $49 in 2011 – despite surging demand for silver bullion coins and bars from canny buyers investing in silver.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Peak Gold and Silver - It’s Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Have we reached peak precious metals? Many analysts think so.
Just to be clear, however, the idea of peak gold and peak silver doesn’t refer to a peak prices. The precious metals put in a cyclical price high in 2011. But annual mining production levels may have peaked in 2014-2015. This is what is meant by “peak precious metals.”
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Gold Resists a Raid, Silver Holds Place, Northeast Prepares For Snow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Gold was hit early on in a general 'stocks are good, gold is bad' move that fizzled into the late afternoon. Despite all the misinformation to the contrary, gold is still a safe haven asset.
Silver held its ground.
There was intraday commentary on the increasingly 'insubstantial' nature of the NY gold trade, and the relative robust purchasing of physical gold in Asia. You may scroll down to see it.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Stock Markets Waiting on U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that the outcome of the world markets may depend on the behavior of the USD. The pattern is now clear, after a long consolidation. The rising domestic markets have been dependent on the rising dollar. This has made especially so by the emerging markets as they have to buy back dollars to repay dollar-denominated debts which they so eagerly took over the past several years. This has caused a terrible squeeze on their economies and the Emerging Markets stocks and bonds.
Friday, January 22, 2016
Gold Maintains Value Despite Oil and Stock Market Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Investors should analyze 2016 year to date action as it is generally a good predictor of how the year will look.
Major capitulation in oil and global market rout sends investors to the sidelines seeking out capital preservation.
Volatility is soaring and precious metals are holding their values in January.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Crude Oil Price Bear Market Bottom? As WTIC Pops Back Over $30 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price hit a new low on Wednesday of just under $27, prompting many doom merchants to emerge to proclaim / reaffirm that $20 and even $10 is on the horizon. However, on following day the oil price rallied strongly to just shy of $30 to end Thursday at $29.85 and this morning has popped just above $30 to currently stand at $30.20. With the key question being asked is are we witnessing the early stages of an oil price bottom (WTIC) or is this just a few days of calm before the next oil price crash storm?
Thursday, January 21, 2016
The Fed’s Role in the Stock Market Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P peaked in May 2015, investors were still confident that the Fed “had their back” and that any steep or prolonged downturn in stocks would be met with additional liquidity and a firm commitment to maintain zero rates as long as necessary. But now that the Fed has started its long-awaited rate-hike cycle, investors aren’t sure what to expect.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Gold Stock Set Up In 1 Chart Cartel~Buster® !, For You / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Denali_Guide
LAST time we got a very nice signal, say Nov 5-9th, we spent about 5 or 6 market sessions in limbo before the GDX (dashed gold line) price responded fully, although individual stocks responded, some faster (AEM), some slower (AUY).
Today provisional signal is not really any different. Each panel on this chart of my proprietary measure “CARTEL~BUSTER® !, contains its own Tripwire Zones, for buying and selling. Either or both works well. Thus the bottom panel is a bit faster for shorter trades.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Crude Oil Foretells Additional Ruble Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: AnyOption
Warnings from the IEA and new lows in key global benchmarks continues to weigh on the outlook for energy prices, hurting the foremost global oil and gas exporters. Russia has experienced a reversed rags to riches tale over the last two years as the impact of sanctions and the slump in the energy patch have kept the Ruble under extreme pressure. The underperformance continues to echo the losses in oil prices as the supply and demand imbalance remains largely unchanged, only set to grow in coming months with the expansion of Iranian crude oil exports. With market dynamics expected to be weak and existing projections forecasting no rebound in prices, the weakness in the Ruble is only likely to accelerate over time, matching losses in oil prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Fantasy Stock Market: “NIFTY NINE” FINALLY BECAME JUST “FANTAsy”! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
In the November Issue of Triggers we discussed “FANG & NOSH”. In December we further discussed the mutation of this group to the “NIFTY9”. This month as markets fall we need to discuss how the “NIFTY9” finally became just “FANTAsy” and the potential $1T seriousness of what this means.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
US Dollar Drop Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Toby_Connor
Once the dollar starts to drop into its intermediate cycle low in earnest gold should produce an intermediate degree rally
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
S&P 500 Fell 15% Below Last Year's All Time High - Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral, following recent move down below medium-term lows.
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Indices Rally to Cut Huge Sell-Off in Half / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a really interesting day today, which included a very sharp decline in the morning, getting the indices to an extremely negative tick of minus 1373, and the McClellan Oscillator to minus 200-plus. After reaching a level midday where the indices seemed to be washed out, they staged a very strong rally, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 3993 all the way up to 4180, a 187-point rally straight up with a 5-wave advance. The S&P 500, during that time, went from 1812 to 1878, a 66-point rally.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
There's no time to waste.
The Dow's worst start to a year since the Great Depression continues to shock investors and traders with massive daily plummets.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Why We Need a Recession / Economics / Recession 2016
By: MISES
Ronald-Peter Stöferle writes: According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a recession is defined as a “significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Often, this is understood as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country’s GDP.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Short Sellers Back In The Saddle: Q&A With Bearing Asset Management / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
The improbable success of The Big Short, a scathing and hilarious tutorial on making money during a financial crisis, probably has a lot of people thinking that now might be a good time to start betting against the current bubble(s).
That’s a well-timed thought because it comes after three long years in which shorting was really, really hard. Why was it hard? Because easy money — at first — floats all boats. When interest rates are low and financing is readily available, even the crappiest companies can pay their bond interest and support their share price with debt-fueled share repurchases. The uniformity of the past few years’ bull market was so extreme that buying the most heavily-shorted stocks — on the assumption that those companies would have access to sufficient capital to support their market value, thus forcing the shorts to cover at ever-higher prices — was a successful and widely-practiced strategy.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Trying To Bounce....Closed Below 1867 Or The August Low.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
These are very, very interesting times folks. The market behaving poorly for the first time on an extended basis after nearly seven years. The bulls are so used to having things go their way day after day, week after week and year after year. That ended suddenly in 2015 when the markets were overall red, but barely so. Not enough of a push lower to get anyone thinking the end of the bull run is near. Most thought it was simply a year of basing after a long move higher that would lead to yet another leg up.
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