Friday, February 12, 2016
Gold Stocks Upside Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks are rocketing higher again, multiplying wealth for smart contrarian traders who bought them low in recent months. But after such a blistering surge, traders are naturally wondering how much farther gold stocks can run. Is it time to realize gains, or buy aggressively for greater gains to come? This critical question can be answered by looking at fundamentally-derived gold-stock price targets.
Many analysts shy away from offering price targets, with good reason. Divining precise future outcomes in volatile markets is all but impossible. Prevailing stock prices result from the chaotic interplay between sentimental, technical, and fundamental drivers. And an effectively-infinite array of variables can affect each one, making forecasting stock prices a fool’s errand. Nevertheless, this exercise is absolutely necessary.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Stock Market Observations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am showing the larger charts because they display the big picture more clearly. It is now clear that Intermediate Waves (1) through (5) of Primary Wave [C] are A-B-C Waves and not impulsive in the strict sense. We would normally expect to see a clean 5-wave decline in Wave C. This is either a rare variation or an outright aberration. Which is it? I don’t know.
This has Elliott Wavers tied in knots, since an A-B-C move is normally corrective and in this case tells the Elliottician that the next move is a rally! In fact, most analysts would say that today’s decline is a Wave B-with- rally-to-follow. What no one else is watching is the natural resistance at the cycle Bottom at 1868.20 which has been stopping the retracement rallies all week long.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Will Capital Controls Return? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Dan_Amerman
The average person may have no interest in capital controls, but to rephrase a well-known saying, capital controls are interested in you. The residents of Greece found this out in 2015 when capital controls were imposed, and they could not legally send the money in their bank accounts out of the country.
Like the rest of the world, they had been encouraged to move their data to the Cloud, and their software to subscriptions, each of which required small monthly payments. But if all our data is in the Cloud and we can't pay to access it as a matter of law, because the money would have to leave the country - what can we do next?
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Looking For The Next Financial Crisis; Try Student Debt / Stock-Markets / Student Finances
By: Sol_Palha
"Calamities are of two kinds: misfortune to ourselves, and good fortune to others." ~ Ambrose Bierce
Student debt is increasing at the rate of almost $3000.00 per second; this is stunning considering that education tour system does not even rank in the top 10 globally ; we are ranked 18 out of 20. Worse yet, it indicates that colleges are simply forcing young individuals to take on mind-boggling amounts of debt in the hopes of landing a good job when they graduate. Getting a student loan is about as easy it was to get a loan during the booming housing market cycle and look how that story ended.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
We have seen the bottom in the gold market and gold stocks.
Evidence:
- Examine the 30+ year chart of the monthly XAU (gold stock Index) to Gold ratio. You can see that the downtrend in the ratio has lasted about 20 years – since 1996. The ratio is now at all-time lows in the form of a contracting triangle. The triangle has been broken to the upside.
Friday, February 12, 2016
The Coming Silver Price Rally Will Be Fueled By A Crashing Dow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
It is good news for silver investors when significant nominal peaks of the Dow are formed. This is because significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least.
The two most significant nominal peaks of the Dow were in 1929 and 1973. Silver made a significant peak in 1935, about six years after the Dow's major peak in 1929. Again, in 1980, silver made a significant peak, about seven years after the Dow's major peak in 1973.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Is the Gold Price Manipulated? Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
One of the main arguments for the systematic suppression of the gold price says that governments and central banks try to stop gold being the canary in the inflationary mine. We have problems with this view.
First, there are many other indicators of inflation, like official indices (CPI, PPI, and PCEPI), inflation premiums embedded in Treasury prices, or oil and other commodity prices. Do central banks also suppress oil, copper and practically all commodities? We do not think so. The current bear market in gold and base metals is more connected with the strong U.S. dollar than with diligent manipulation.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Gold Price Surges Another 7% This Week – Largest Gain Since 2008 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold bullion jumped 4 percent yesterday to $1,244.20/oz, its biggest single-day percentage rally since 2013. For the week, gold is 7.2% higher which is its biggest weekly gain since the global financial crisis in 2008.
Friday, February 12, 2016
Canadian Dollar Now Even Less of a Haven from US Dollar Collapse Than Before / Currencies / Canadian $
By: Jeff_Berwick
In 2011, we posted an article entitled “The Canadian Dollar is No Haven from a US Dollar Collapse.” The point of the article was that Canada had almost no gold reserves and the only thing backing the Canadian dollar was the US dollar.
Canadians were quite smug, back then, with the Canadian dollar trading above par with the US dollar and we wanted to remind them that not only would the Canadian dollar not be a haven from a US dollar collapse, but the loonie would collapse before the US dollar, since nothing is backing it but the US dollar and Canada had no gold (amongst many other reasons).
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Friday, February 12, 2016
The Stock Market Dow Elevator; 18, 17, 16.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Whatever the stock index, whatever the country, whatever the security, prices only rarely follow the predicted normal pattern. My student, Eugene Fama, investigated this for his doctoral thesis. Rather than examine the broad market index, he looked one by one at the thirty blue-chip stocks in the Dow. He found the same disturbing pattern; big price changes were far more common than the standard model allowed. Large changes, of more than five standard deviations from the average, happened two thousand times more often than expected. Under Gaussian rules, you should have encountered such drama only once every seven thousand years; in fact, the data showed, it happened once every three or four years." [The (Mis) Behavior of Markets (2004) World Renown mathematician Dr. Benoit Mandelbrot, pg 96]
Friday, February 12, 2016
T. Boone Pickens On Obama Oil Tax: "Dumbest Idea Ever" / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
The Obama administration's proposed $10.25 per barrel oil tax adds up to approximately $32 billion a year, and critics are coming out of the woodwork in defense of both the oil industry and end users who would foot the bill for transportation system reforms-but it may be a moot point since the effort will simply be killed off by Congress.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Can the U.S. Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: EWI
This question is not as preposterous as it may seem.
For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.
"It's huge." That's how one strategist put it this morning, in a CNBC interview about the importance of Yellen's testimony.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Will Harry Dent Eat Crow on His $700 Gold Price Prediction? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jason_Hamlin
Investment guru Harry Dent has made quite a few predictions since his start in the 1980’s. He has certainly been correct a few times and had to backtrack several other times. In early 2013, he predicted a financial crash will begin between the end of 2013 and the first half of 2014. This prediction was incorrect or maybe just early by a few years.
In 2014, while promoting his book, he predicted a major Australian housing market correction beginning in 2014 after an even bigger one in China. While the housing market is cooling in both countries, we have yet to see a major correction.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Cartel Buster Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Denali_Guide
CARTEL~BUSTER ! - A hasty post for all who want to see !! I think this one tells a story.
all the red circles cover critical zones that are now stalling.
Needing more frequent and reliable updates, subscribe to Peak Picks and I will make sure you get periodic updates and Reversal Alerts.
Friday, February 12, 2016
Where to Hide Your Money From Reckless Governments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
A major central bank just made a desperate move…
If you’ve been reading the Dispatch, you know we’re living through a gigantic “global monetary experiment.”
In short, global central banks cut interest rates to zero to fight the 2008 financial crisis. They’ve held interest rates near zero ever since.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Why the Federal Reserve Always 'Happens' to Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: MoneyMetals
"The last duty of a central banker is to tell the public the truth." - Alan Blinder, former Federal Reserve Board Vice Chairman
The Federal Reserve Board finds itself back in a quandary of its own making. When Fed chair Janet Yellen pushed through an interest rate hike this past December, she confidently cited an "economy performing well and expected to continue to do so."
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Why is Gold Price up Nearly $60 this Morning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
It has something to do with Yellen’s not dovish enough Congressional testimony. It has something to do with global financial system problems associated with low interest rates. It also has something to do with emerging countries at the doorstep of penury. And last but not least, it has something to do with disinflationary pressures that threaten the financial system and world economy as a whole. However, these things, albeit good reasons to own gold, would normally play out in the price over an extended period of time.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
The War on Cash is About to Go into Hyperdrive / Interest-Rates / War on Cash
By: Graham_Summers
The global Central Banks have declared War on Cash.
Historically, one of the safest things to do when the markets begin to collapse is to move a significant portion of your holdings to cash. As the old adage says, during times of deflation, “cash is king.”
The notion here is that cash is a safe haven. And while earning 1-2% in interest doesn’t do much in terms of growing your wealth, it sure beats losing 20%+ by holding on to stocks or bonds during their respective bear markets
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
More Bankruptcy For Your Retirement Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Rodney_Johnson
There’s an old saying that if you owe the bank $1 million, you have a problem. But if you owe the bank $100 million, then the bank has a problem.
That’s the situation we’re in today.
States around the country have racked up outrageous unpaid balances for their pensions. Few of them have any plan for digging out of the hole. Since they have no plan, they’re creating issues for everyone who might be called upon to help them make good on their obligations.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Negative Interest Rates: Their Devastating Impact on Our Economy / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
Since late 2008, central banks around the world have used unprecedented QE to try and stoke the global economy.Then in June 2014, the ECB took it a step further. They went negative.
Zero short-term interest rates apparently weren’t enough. The ECB realized that if they couldn’t get banks to loan or consumers to spend, why not really light a fire under their ass and tell them: “if you’re not going to spend, you have to pay to keep your money in the bank!”
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