Sunday, June 19, 2016
Donald Trump vs The First Amendment / Politics / US Politics
If Donald Trump should become president, don’t expect his administration to be a transparent one or one that tolerates dissent and believes in the First Amendment.
At his campaign rallies, even those held at public venues, he forbids, according to his press advisories, “homemade signs, banners, professional cameras with a detachable lens, tripods, monopods, selfie sticks, back packs or large bags.”
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Saturday, June 18, 2016
How Elliott Waves Tell You When to "Jump In" & When to "Jump Out" of Markets / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
Our senior instructor tells you how he analyzes real price charts to spot trade opportunities
Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Trader's Classroom service, talks about some of the easy techniques to help you spot high-confidence trade opportunities.
Take a listen -- and see if you can adapt his methods.
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Saturday, June 18, 2016
Stock Market Inflection Point During Bifurcation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market started the week at SPX 2096. After hitting SPX 2098 in the first hour of trading on Monday the market dropped to 2064 by Tuesday. A rally followed into Wednesday on the FOMC meeting, and the market hit SPX 2086 minutes after the FOMC statement. Then the market pulled back again, gapped down to open Thursday, and hit SPX 2050 before rallying to 2080 into the close. Friday saw a lower open as the market dropped to SPX 2063, then bounced to close the week at 2071. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.90%. Economic reports for the week were again mostly positive. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, building permits, the Q2 GDP est., export/import prices, retail sales, business inventories, and the CPI/PPI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s semiannual economic report to Congress, Durable goods orders and more Housing reports.
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Saturday, June 18, 2016
Gold And Silver – Insanity Is World “Norm.” Keep Stacking! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
We know of no discernible line where stupid begins; for sure, it does not end. There are two primary reasons for the never-ending goal of buying and holding physical gold and silver:
1. Both are the only valid form of money. Yeah, yeah, anyone can argue sea shells, livestock, whale’s teeth, barter, any form of paper, etc, etc, etc, but none of them will fly now or even in the last century. When all is said and done, throughout the history of
mankind, gold and silver rule.
Saturday, June 18, 2016
Nasdaq Underperforming Again....Brexit Is Next Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The most interesting thing to take away from the past two years of going nowhere has been the continued, under-performance of those tech stocks everyone loves to own. For the most, and there have been small periods of exceptions, the Nasdaq has been the place big money doesn't want to go very often. The focus has been on safety plays. Lower risk plays with lower P/E's. Lower valuations over risk simply, because valuations are so out of line with reality. Tech stocks have those higher valuations, and quite often those higher valuations have led to some nasty blood baths.
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Saturday, June 18, 2016
Gold Stocks - Bull Markets that Follow Epic Bears / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold mining stocks continue to defy any bearish price action or perceived bearish development. Pundits first warned because of the “bearish” CoT data. The commercials are always right and a big decline is coming! Then we heard the miners were too overbought and would have to correct 20%. (I thought this once or twice!) Next we heard Gold was forming a head and shoulders top. Conventional analysis is failing in trying to predict or even explain what is happening and why. A look at history helps explain why the gold mining sector has remained extremely strong and almost immune to any sustained correction. Simply put, history shows that epic bears give birth to bull markets that in their first year do not experience any significant correction or retracement.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Stock Market On the Brink? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX made an impulse down and may be finishing the retracement as I write. Instead of the 50-day acting as resistance we now have the mid-Cycle resistance at 2076.32 in its place. Stock options “mature” at 3:00 pm, so there may be a let-down into the close.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
The Fed Giveth and the Gold Bullion Banks Taketh Away… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Precious metal expert Michael Ballanger breaks down the gold price roller coaster surrounding the Fed's decision not to raise interest rates.
Janet Yellen just blew all remaining semblances of credibility believed to be still present at the U.S. Federal Reserve Board.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Brexit: "The Vote Heard Around the World" / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum
Our new free report gives you our well-researched opinion on Brexit -- and the markets
The campaign for the June 23 referendum on whether or not Britain should remain a member of the European Union has just hit a horrific milestone. CNBC reports that,
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Gold Stocks Summer Breakout? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The red-hot gold stocks surged again this week in an apparent early-summer breakout. This strong buying is defying their seasonally-weak odds this time of year. Investors are flocking back to the miners as gold powers higher on also-counter-seasonal strong investment buying. Such unprecedented gold-stock strength in early June highlights how undervalued the miners remain relative to gold, but is suspect.
Summers are usually lackluster times for gold, and thus silver and their miners’ stocks. These summer doldrums exist for a couple reasons. Gold simply enjoys no recurring demand spikes driven by cultural or income-cycle factors in June and July unlike during most of the rest of the year. It’s before the Asian-harvest, Indian-wedding-season, and Christmas gold buying that flares up like clockwork in second halves.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Stock Investors Get Higher Returns and More Dividend Income - In Less Time With Less Risk / Companies / Dividends
Investing in blue-chip dividend growth stocks such as the Dividend Aristocrats or Champions has become very popular with retirees. This is understandable considering the low interest rate environment we find ourselves in. Traditional fixed income investments do not currently offer enough yield for the retired investor to live on. Consequently, current low interest rates, coupled with the possibility of a steadily increasing level of dividend income have made dividend growth stocks a viable and even attractive alternative.
When choosing the appropriate dividend growth stock, many dividend growth investors will rightfully focus on the company’s dividend record and dividend growth more than they will its price history. However, this can be a detrimental practice if the investor ignores valuation. Unfortunately, this is not an uncommon practice. There are many dividend growth investors who will invest in a blue-chip Dividend Aristocrat even when it is overvalued at the time. Many of these investors argue that since the dividend is what is of paramount importance, being out of a blue-chip will cause them to generate less dividend income. To these investors, a dividend missed is a dividend lost.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Silver Wildcats - And The Day Futures Died - Part 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
From Legends to Bankers
Yes, there has always been price manipulation.
There will always be price manipulation.
From the time of Caesar, through the American Civil War and into the 20th and 21st centuries.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
How to Use the Gold-to-Silver Ratio? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
We have debunked the myth that gold-to-silver ratio should revert to its “true” level around 16. The predominant range for the ratio in modern times is rather well between 40 and 80. Moreover, the notion that the gold-to-silver ratio should revert to some historical average makes no sense. The relative valuation between these two precious metals depends on market forces, like the health of the world economy and monetary demand for both metals, or industrial demand for silver. Such factors change over time. For example, gold has nowadays much higher monetary demand compared to silver than in the past, which largely explains why the average ratio in the 21st century was on average higher than earlier.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Inflation, Deflation & Associated Trading Prospects / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Recently I have gotten wordy about the decline in ‘inflation expectations’ beginning on June 2, right on through yesterday’s update of the TIP-TLT ratio and TLT in essence, attaining their targets. The implication would be that the mini deflation whiff is coming to its limits.
As often happens at potential limit points, the market’s crosscurrents are strong. As noted yesterday, USD, gold, silver and the gold miners all did in-day reversals as items that had been risk ‘off’ got hammered. ‘What, USD and gold in lockstep? What is the meaning of this?!?’ think inflationists. See yesterday’s in-day post Strange Bedfellows.
The meaning is that these items, along with the VIX and US Treasury bonds have been plays for a risk ‘off’ market as it got the jitters over deflation. Gold miners had been, however fleetingly, rising in line with their counter-cyclical fundamentals and this is the mirror image to the reasons why I so often parrot that if you are a gold miner bull, realize that fundamentally at least, the sector is done no favors in an inflationary backdrop (price, for long stretches of time, can be something else all together).
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Overnight Markets Struggling to Stay Flat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is struggling to stay near yesterday’s closing price for the close of index options at the open this morning. Today is Quadruple Witching day, which has the probability of being very volatile.
ZeroHedge writes, “Traders are still stunned by the dramatic move in risk assets during yesterday's US session. As a reminder, at the lows for the day in the mid-morning Eastern Time, we saw the DAX at -1.81%, FTSE -1.13%, S&P500 -1.03%, US 10y yield 1.516% (lowest since August 2012) and GBPUSD 1.401. By the various closes these rallied to -0.59%, -0.27%, +0.31%, 1.580% and 1.420 respectively!
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Gold Price Surges to Highest in Nearly Two Years On Central Bank and Brexit Haven Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The gold price surged to their highest level in nearly two years yesterday on BREXIT concerns and deepening concerns that central banks are slowly losing control of the financial and monetary system.
Gold subsequently fell quite sharply below the key $1,300 level but remains roughly 1% higher for the week in all currencies and is on track for its third week of gains.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Former Central Banker Admits World Economy Remains in Recession and Depressed / Economics / Global Economy
hi Friday June 17 2016 here home of alternative economics and contrarian views today I'd like to talk
about the honest former central banker and that is
mervyn king who was the governor of the Bank of England which is the equivalent
of what Janet Yellen is chairman of the Federal Reserve he was governor from
2003 2 2013 for 10 years so II he was around during the great financial crisis
and after it and before he was chief economist of the Bank of England before
that and deputy governor so is a man with experience
I know a lot of my viewers and myself do not believe in the institution of
central banking because it's basically a monopoly that and also it's a
bureaucracy that controls you know the price of money which should really be
controlled by the market but I he has written a book and the book is called
the end of alchemy money banking and the future of the global economy so
Friday, June 17, 2016
Walkers Crisps Spell and Go WIN! - K,C or D Holiday After 225 Codes / Letters? / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
It's a big day today because we have actually finally won something 55 days into the Walker’s Crisps 'Spell and Go' promotion, now having entered over 225 codes for over 225 letters. So we have lots and lots of letters, see what we have won! Is it one of those special ultra rare holiday winning letters K, C or D, or something else? Find out in our latest video in this series so that you too can fully understand what the actual real world chances are winning!
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Stock Market Thinking Upside Down; Dow 18k Still Key / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Do you remember the ‘70s, and the all-star disaster films like the Towering Inferno and the Poseidon Adventure? As interest rates and gas prices soared, we “escaped” to the theatre to watch these big disaster films.
You will remember in the Poseidon Adventure that a luxury liner traveling from New York to Athens is broadside by a huge rogue wave set off by an underwater earthquake. The entire ship is turned upside down. Reverend Scott (Gene Hackman) surmises that the solution is to be found by climbing upwards to the stern, where the ship’s propellers are now the highest point on the ship. Robin (Eric Shea) is a young man interested in ships and tells Scott that the hull is only 1 inch thick near the propeller shaft.
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Thursday, June 16, 2016
Flash Crash - Stock Market May See a Large Move Overnight / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It now appears that the 50-day Moving Average at 2077.32 is the probable target for this afternoon’s bounce. By 4:00 pm, this entire cycle from 2120.55 to today’s top will have taken 43 hours.
It’s time to prepare for a flash crash.
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