Tuesday, October 17, 2017
China Has a Bargaining Chip Against the US in the North Korea Crisis / Politics / China US Conflict
By Jacob L. Shapiro : Of all the parties involved in the Korean missile crisis, the most difficult to read is China.
China’s talks about the need for a peaceful resolution do little to reveal what China’s real interests and objectives are. And what they are is multiple and conflicting.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Boomers Are Not Saving Enough for Retirement, Neither Is the Government / Economics / Demographics
BY PATRICK WATSON : Wall Street endlessly gushes about retirement. Its TV commercials show how wonderful life will be in our golden years—when we are old, yet still healthy and wealthy enough to go hang-gliding every day.
Meanwhile, out here in the real world, most working-age Americans don’t want to talk or even think about retirement. Often this is because they know they aren't saving enough and probably will have to work until they drop dead.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the last Market Brief on the 1st October I outlined that the markets were now back on “full bull”. Since then the Dow Industrials have risen 466 points. The main reason I felt confident expressing this opinion was that while the Dow 30 had not experienced much of a pullback since mid-May (and therefore was very much “overbought”) the Dow Transports had corrected back to its 200 Daily Moving Average but was beginning to show renewed technical strength. This indicated that the main trend, as defined by the Dow Theory system, had remained in full force.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained just 0.1%, and the index continued to trade within relatively narrow short-term consolidation. The market may retrace some of its recent rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,570 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Monday, October 16, 2017
EURGBP Failed To Break Above 0.9045 Resistance / Currencies / Euro
EURGBP failed in its attempt to break above 0.9045 resistance and pulled back from 0.9032. The subsequent fall extended to as low as 0.8855, breaking below an important support level at 0.8906 on the 4-hour chart, suggesting that the short term uptrend from 0.8746 is complete.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Why is Big Data is so Important for Casino Player Acquisition and Retention / Companies / Gambling
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Monday, October 16, 2017
How Investors Can Play The Bitcoin Boom / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Monday, October 16, 2017
SCAREFEST 2017 - Take Care on Alton Towers Dangerous Rides! / ConsumerWatch / Theme Parks
It's SCAREFEST October at Alton Towers again when Britain's most popular theme parks stays open LATE, well past nightfall. Just becareful on the rides especially in the dark because it is very easy to get injured if one lets ones guard down. For instance even going into a ride such as the HEX could prove dangerous. Of course not on par with the catastrophic failure of the Alton Towers SMILER ride a few years ago. But nevertheless injuries sustained can ruin the day and take several weeks to recover from as this video illustrates.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Who Will Be the Next Fed Chief - And Why It Matters / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Janet Yellen's term is ending at the Federal Reserve. With new appointments, President Trump can indirectly shape US monetary policy for years to come - for better or worse.Serving as the “epitome of calm,” Fed chief Ben Bernanke responded to the global financial crisis by cutting the federal funds rate to zero and initiating rounds of quantitative easing (QE) soon thereafter.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long term trend: Continues to make new highs with no sign of a major top in sight.
SPX Intermediate trend: A re-accumulation phase at the 2500 level has produced higher counts which should provide higher prices before a reversal takes place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Really Bad Ideas - The Fed Should Have And Defend An Inflation Target / Economics / Inflation
Central banks in general and the Fed in particular are struggling to understand a world in which they’ve thrown everything they have at the economy without generating “beneficial” inflation. Their confusion can be traced back to some profoundly false assumptions.
Some Thoughts And Assertions
An inflation target implies that modest inflation is actually a good thing. This is simply wrong. Inflation is a “stealth tax” through which governments confiscate a bit of savers’ wealth each year without admitting it. If explained honestly such a trick would be a political loser always and everywhere.
Sunday, October 15, 2017
The Bullish Chartology for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Tonight I would like to update you on some of the longer term gold charts we’ve been following which are still hanging in there from the bullish perspective. Keep in mind these are long term charts so changes come slowly.
Lets start by looking at the long term weekly chart for gold which shows its 2011 bear market downtrend channel we’ve been following for a long time now. Back in July of this year the price action broke out above the top rail and just recently the top rail was backtested from above and we are getting a bounce exactly where we needed to see a bounce.
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Sunday, October 15, 2017
The Stump That Amey Forget, Will it Come Back to Life? - Sheffield Trees / Local / Sheffield
There once was a nice small cherry tree growing on a Sheffield side street producing lovely cherry blossom that the children enjoyed, then AMEY CAME said it was diseased and CUT the TREE down leaving an horrific looking stump behind! But it looked like Amey forgot all about the little stump, so find out what happened to the Stump that Amey forgot, can tree stumps come back to life?
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Sunday, October 15, 2017
Wikileaks Mocking US Government Over Bitcoin Shows Why There Is No Stopping Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
As I write, bitcoin is currently yet again at an all-time high, now over $5,800 with a $97 billion market cap.
And the cryptocurrency space as a sector is on the cusp of an all-time high as well, sitting at $177 billion, just shy of the $178 billion high hit six weeks ago.
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Sunday, October 15, 2017
How to Wipe Out Puerto Rico's Debt Without Hurting Bondholders / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
During his visit to hurricane-stricken Puerto Rico, President Donald Trump shocked the bond market when he told Geraldo Rivera of Fox News that he was going to wipe out the island's bond debt. He said on October 3rd:
Read full article... Read full article...You know they owe a lot of money to your friends on Wall Street. We're gonna have to wipe that out. That's gonna have to be -- you know, you can say goodbye to that. I don't know if it's Goldman Sachs but whoever it is, you can wave good-bye to that.
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Gold And Silver – Think Prices Are Manipulated? Look In The Mirror! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Almost everybody complains or laments how both gold and silver are being manipulated, and they are, going back at least to the 1920’s and 1930’s and not just recently. Curiously, very few are even aware, let alone consciously complaining, about how manipulated their lives and those of everyone around them have been and continues to be.
It has been a few months since our last commentary. We used to present one each week, but over the last several months, it makes less and less sense to provide one. The lies by all governments and the media are too many and too constant, and too many people remain cluelessly content in their chosen ignorance to resist and force changes.
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Sunday, October 15, 2017
Bitcoin Powers Through To New Highs Near $6,000 While Jamie Demon Talks Trash / Currencies / Bitcoin
The Berwick Champagne curse has been broken.
Every time in the past I posted a photo of me with a champagne bottle after bitcoin had hit a new all-time high, it “crashed”. Or, at least it went down quite a bit before quickly retaking new highs.
Not this time, though! Shortly after posting that bitcoin had surged through $5,000 yesterday it continued on to hit a high over $5,700.
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Saturday, October 14, 2017
Q4 Pivot View for Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Reference a post from August 11: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold Stock Market Status
In the above-linked article we noted several legs that could be kicked out from under the S&P 500’s table in Q4 2017. The stock market blew right through one of them, which was a bearish (on average) seasonal trend for the 2nd half of September. No one indicator is a be all, end all. In sum, they define probabilities. But price is the ultimate arbiter and as of today, price says ‘still bullish’ (says Captain Obvious).
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Saturday, October 14, 2017
Is U.S. Unemployment at the Bottom? / Economics / Unemployment
The U.S. Unemployment rate and the markets have a direct opposite connection to each other. When one goes down (unemployment), the other (stock market) goes up.
The opposite is also true.
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