Friday, October 20, 2017

A 2-3% Stock Market Correction Could Wipe Out Most VIX Short Sellers / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Did you know that there have been 39 times since 1990 when the VIX has closed below 10, and that 30 of those times have happened this year? And 15 of those have been in the last 30 days!

Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research sent me recently an updated chart of the VIX Index. Notice that the all-time low of 9.19 was put in on October 5, 2017.

Friday, October 20, 2017

The Runaway Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

Runaway moves can last from 6-8 months. They are sustained by traders who try to pick tops and are forced to cover and by those who finally decide to buy into overbought conditions.

Friday, October 20, 2017

The Greatest Investing Lesson Learned from the 1987 Stock Market Crash / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October 19th, the 30th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday that saw the stock market crash by an unprecedented 22% in one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesies the repeat of each October, regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far each year as the perma bear crowd can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent, pointing to a myriad of harbingers of the imminent stock market apocalypse. Against which the historic record paints a picture of a coin toss having proved infinitely more accurate than the perma crash is coming calls awaiting their broken clock moment to proclaim their success.....

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Stock Market Time to Go All-in. Short, That Is / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has challenged short-term support at 2548.77 and bounced off the Diagonal trendline at 2548.00.

A decline beneath 2548.00 is a confirmed sell.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

How Gold Bullion Protects From Conflict And War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold and silver’s historical role in conflict shaped the world today and the modern financial system
– Gold played an important function in the great conflicts up to and throughout the 20th century
– Gold and the effective use of bullion played a crucial role in the outcome of the American Civil War
– Gold was an important economic agent in both World Wars, conferring a huge advantage on the allies
– In a world beset with risks of war both in the Middle East and with North Korea, Russia and China … gold will protect

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Stock Market Super Cycle Wave C May Have Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are starting the morning off with a bang as they decline beneath the smaller Ending Diagonal trendline and Short-term support at 2547.80. There appears to be a bounce as the algos kick in to save the day. However, the damage in Asia and Europe has been done and it appears that there may not be a recovery. The DJIA has already dipped beneath 23000.00 this morning, but appears to have bounced back above that level.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Negative Expectations, Will the Stock Market Correct? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, following higher opening of the trading session. The index traded within a relatively narrow intraday trading range once again. The market may retrace some of its recent rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,570 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Knowing the Factors Affect your Car Insurance Premium / Companies / Insurance

By: Submissions

Aaron Abel writes: You won’t believe the car insurance premium rates vary depending on different attributes and the auto insurance provider. They are very careful about the calculation of your monthly premium. They use their personal information and the company data they have a strong algorithm to bear the claim amount.So, that they calculate the insurance premium accordingly.If the risk is more the more, you will have to pay for the car insurance. On the other side, the safer you will be the less you will pay.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Bitcoin Runs In Two Price Channels With Different Time Frame / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Franco_Shao

The BTCUSD trades within a rising price channel with support at its bottom around 5110 on the 4-hour chart, indicating that the price remains in the uptrend from 2970. As long as the price is in the channel, the fall from 5870 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend and further rise is still possible after the consolidation. The bitcoin price is expected to test 5870 resistance in the coming days. A breakout of this level could trigger further upside movement towards 6500, followed by 7000.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Will ICOs Take Down Wall Street as Bitcoin Takes Down Central Banks and Fiat Currencies? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Jeff_Berwick

I’ve said it many times in the past. Blockchain technology is the biggest evolution since the internet.

We’ve seen bitcoin quickly become a challenge to fiat currencies and central banks.

We’ve seen Ethereum change the very nature of apps into dapps or decentralized apps. And, it’s barely even begun yet.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Getting Your Feet Wet In Crypto Currencies / InvestorEducation / BlockChain

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Avi Gilburt with Ryan Wilday

Introduction

I want to begin this new series on crypto-currency by introducing my co-author, Ryan Wilday.

In 2012, with twelve years of trading behind him, Ryan had no interest in, or knowledge of, crypto currency. However, a chat with a programmer friend about Bitcoin peaked his curiosity. He then dug up a chart and, despite all his years of experience trading, he couldn’t make sense of its sudden spikes and deep drops.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

SPX Morphs and Extends / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX may be working on its final probe marginally higher than 2564.11. I had to change my Elliott Wave structure to accommodate the new high. This was my alternate view which explains the spike high off the bottom of Wave [iv]. Wave v appears to be expanding, which is typical of this pattern.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

10 Years Ago Today a Stocks Bear Market Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yes, much has recently been published about the 10-year anniversary of the 2007~08 credit market crash and many people are trying to make comparisons between then and now.  Some of this information is valid and factual.  For example, the amount of debt now is much higher than the debt levels in 2004~08.  This would lead some to consider the scope of any global debt related issues to be much larger and more dangerous than in 2007.  Additionally, the types of levels of debt have begun to froth back into the dangerous and risky derivatives markets, ARMs and MBSs.  Although, we keep hearing, “this time it’s different”.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October 19th, the 30th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday that saw the stock market crash by an unprecedented 22% in one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesise the repeat of each October, regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far each year as the perma bear crowd can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent, pointing to a myriad of harbingers of the imminent stock market apocalypse. Against which the historic record paints a picture of a coin toss having proved infinitely more accurate than the perma crash is coming calls awaiting their broken clock moment to proclaim their success.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Virgin Media Broadband Down, Catastrophic UK Wide Failure! / ConsumerWatch / ISP's

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Up until a month ago you would have found me singing the praises of Virgin Media broadband for being by far the fastest and most reliable service providers out there, definitely many times better than the garbage service offered by BT and those that rely on the BT network. But unfortunately over the past month the reliability of Virgin Media's broadband service has been diminishing in reliability. It started off with being down for a couple of hours every other day to becoming a near daily occurrence that come around 4pm to 5pm the network would go down for a few hours.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JAKE WEBER : The ETF market has experienced astounding growth over the last decade. There are now 5,000 ETFs traded globally with over $3.5 trillion in assets, a more than threefold increase since 2007.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Gold Is In A Dangerous Spot / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Of late, I have seen many articles postulating what moves gold up or down. We have heard all the old reasons being put forth from GDP, to a hedge against market volatility to interest rates, to the US Dollar, and many more. Unfortunately, market history simply does not support these reasons as a consistent driver of gold, as I have detailed in many past articles:

Sentiment Speaks: Time To Buy Gold To Prepare For A Stock Market Crash?

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : It may feel like we’ll escape a debt crisis since, well, the world hasn’t ended in spite of runaway debt levels. Some of us hard money people feel like we’re taking crazy pills; how the heck can debt be so out of control, so completely unpayable, and yet the financial system keeps chugging along as if nothing’s wrong?

Well, history has a message for us: the current calm won’t last forever, because there is a direct link between government debt levels and the number of financial crises that occur. And since global debt levels are high—the second highest level in the past 150 years—it’s not exactly a stretch to conclude that another financial crisis is coming.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

No more Stock Market cash Left on the Sidelines... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We may have seen a truncated Wave (v) in the SPX this morning. The only way to know is when the SPX declines beneath the Micro-term trendline and mid-Cycle support at 2552.10. That may provide an aggressive short entry point.

The next focal point would be the Short-term support and 2-month trendline at 2443.32, as shown in the 2-hour chart which will be posted later.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Here's our challenge.

In order to be aware of the investment pitfalls and opportunities that deflation can bring, we must first understand the basic elements of why it occurs. So our challenge is to try and make monetary economics, a subject that most people would find duller than watching paint dry on a wall, understandable and, dare I say it, fun! It's a big ask but we like a test, and so here is the first in our Deflation Basics Series -- The Quantity Theory of Money.