Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, October 15, 2019
Dow Stock Market Short-term Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
TREND ANALYSIS
Short-term Trend Analysis
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Tuesday, October 15, 2019
US Major Stock Market Indexes Retest Critical Price Channel Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
News, again, drives the US stock market and major indexes higher as optimism of a US/China trade agreement floods the news wires. As we’ve been suggesting, the global markets continue to be news-driven and are seeking any positive news related to easing trade tensions and capital markets. We believe any US/China trade deal would be received as very positive news by the global capital markets – yet we understand the process of achieving the components of the “deal” would likely still be 6 to 24 months away.
Still, with the strength of the US economy and the potential that some deal could be reached before the end of 2019 setting positive expectations, the US stock market and major indexes rallied last Thursday and Friday (October 10 and 11). As the long holiday weekend sets up with no trading on Monday, it will be interesting to see what is potentially resolved between President Trump and the Chinese before the markets start to react on Sunday and Monday nights. Make sure up opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.
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Tuesday, October 15, 2019
Stock Market Bears Back In Extinction Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The second week of October showcased a vigilant effort from both bulls and bears in realizing their short-term targets/goals. However, in the end, the bulls won the key battles again with the massive bull engulf daily candlestick (2881.75-2954 on the Emini S&P 500) on Thursday. In essence, the market was able to do the standard lower high/daily 20EMA rejection during early week back into the 2880-2900 first target zone, but the bears were unable to sustain that momentum into the second target zone of 2850-2860. Overall, the bulls have now completed the higher lows/double bottom setup, and the earnings week acceleration to the upside seems to be occurring.
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Monday, October 14, 2019
Stock Market Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – Indecisive.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, October 14, 2019
East-West Trade War: Never Take a Knife to a Gunfight / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger's take on this week's news from the financial markets informs his most recent investment decisions.
It's a funny thing that happens when the stress of financial insolvency bubbles up to the surface. Decisions once considered "routine" (like brushing one's teeth or walking one's dog) suddenly have life-or-death outcomes, complete with cold sweats, sleepless nights and self-prescribed medicinal relief. Whenever I turn on the financial news stations, such as Fox, Bloomberg or CNN, I get the impression that I am watching Kabuki theatre, with exquisitely-designed puppets playing out exquisitely crafted scripts. I am immediately faced with the ageless problem of whether or not to consider the content "news," or should I view it as simple "entertainment."
By example, the saber-rattling of the United States of America in its anti-China rhetoric is playbill material of the highest order. You have in the red corner the aging heavyweight champion, long seated on the throne of global military and economic dominance, while in the blue corner, you have the spry young contender, hungry from decades of communist suppression and poverty with a highly motivated populace and a powerful and rapidly growing military. As much as the world may loathe it, it appears that the bell is soon to sound and the battle for global supremacy is about to begin.
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Sunday, October 13, 2019
Stock Market Dow Elliott Wave Analysis Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Nadeem_Walayat
ELLIOTT WAVES
My analysis of Feb 2019 concluded in expectations for a 5 wave bull run during 2019 targeting new all time highs of around 28k.
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Sunday, October 13, 2019
Precious Metals & Stock Market VIX Are Set To Launch Dramatically Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent rotation in the US stock market and US major indexes have set up a very interesting pattern in the Metals and VIX charts. Our researchers believe precious metals, Gold and Silver, are setting up a new momentum base/bottom and are beginning an early stage bullish price rally that may surprise many traders. If you have not been following our research, please take a minute to read these past research posts:
September 24, 2019: IS SILVER ABOUT TO BECOME THE SUPER-HERO OF PRECIOUS METALS?
September 19, 2019: PRECIOUS METALS SETTING UP ANOTHER MOMENTUM BASE/BOTTOM
Our researchers believe the bottom in Metals has already set up on October 1, 2019. This setup aligns with our earlier analysis that a new bullish price leg is setting up that will propel Gold to levels above $1600 before the end of November – possibly resulting in a rally that attempts to breach the $1700 price level.
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Saturday, October 12, 2019
Stock Market US Presidential Cycle - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The US Presidential cycle pattern has continued to prove REMARKABLY ACCURATE in terms of flagging future stock market price action as the charts over the past 15 months illustrate, where the basic pattern for the US Presidential cycle is for a strong election year and post election year, followed by weak Mid-term then a strong pre-election year.
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Friday, October 11, 2019
Stock Market Short-term Consolidation Does Not change Secular Bullish Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Donald_W_Dony
The on-again, off-again, on-again Trump trade war with China coupled with weakening signs of U.S. economic growth has placed the S&P 500 into another multi-month consolidation.
Stocks continue to gyrate from mid-year as news of a possible trade deal appears to solidify only to have a reverse decision suddenly develop.
This whip-sawing creates uncertainty among traders. As such, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average has remained in a 10% trading band over the last six months, whereas the Canadian TSX has been held in a tighter 6% trading range (Chart 1).
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Wednesday, October 09, 2019
Stock Market US Presidential Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The US Presidential cycle pattern has continued to prove REMARKABLY ACCURATE in terms of flagging future stock market price action as the charts over the past 15 months illustrate, where the basic pattern for the US Presidential cycle is for a strong election year and post election year, followed by weak Mid-term then a strong pre-election year.
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Wednesday, October 09, 2019
The IPO Market Is Nowhere Near a Bubble / Stock-Markets / IPOs
By: John_Mauldin
Justin Spittler : Who remembers Pets.com? It launched one of the world’s first online pet stores. It never did sell many dog collars or cat treats. But its witty branding made it a cultural phenomenon in America.
Maybe you remember its goofy mascot from the late 1990s.
The dog sock puppet appeared on Good Morning America. He floated down the streets of New York City during the 1999 Thanksgiving Day Parade. He even got on TV during Super Bowl XXXIV.
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Wednesday, October 09, 2019
US Stock Markets Trade Sideways – Waiting on News/Guidance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers believe the global concerns centered around Banking and Debt within the Emerging Markets and Asia/Europe are very likely to become major issues over the next 3+ months. These potentially dangerous issues could have far-reaching pricing ramifications for almost all of the world’s financial markets. This weekend, we received first-hand information from an associate in Hong Kong about banks limiting ATM withdrawals and very limited transportation services. Our source stated the biggest issue was the lack of transportation right now.
We also followed the news of the Bank collapse in India this weekend and the aftermath for Indian banking customers – PMC Bank
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Tuesday, October 08, 2019
A Trump Impeachment Would Cause The Stock Market To Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
As the media highlights the potential impeachment process in the coming weeks, many are so concerned that this will be the “cause” of the market drop we are expecting. Yet, history suggests otherwise.
The narrative will certainly play out as follows: The market likes certainty and stability within our government. (Please ignore that this was the same reason many claimed that the market was going to crash if Trump was elected – yet we were pounding the table in expectations of a large rally). However, an impeachment proceeding places us into a very uncertain and unstable situation within our government. Therefore, the market will react negatively to that uncertainty.
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Monday, October 07, 2019
Stock Market Back to Neutral / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, October 07, 2019
Free Market Capitalism: Laughably Predictable / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger offers his observations on recent market fluctuations.
On Wednesday, as the kiddies were upset over a swooning S&P, then trading a paltry 5% from the all-time high of 3,027, I tweeted out this graphic that perfectly describes my cynical view of the paper markets around the world.
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Sunday, October 06, 2019
Stock Market 6 Month Trend Forecast Conclusion - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Just when you thought things could not get any more chaotic and unpredictable up pop a series of market moving events such as the Iranians seeing red and firing 20 drones and missiles at Saudi oil infrastructure, knocking out 5% of the worlds oil supply. Though apart from the immediate spike in the crude oil price to $64, it does not appear to have resulted in a change in trend as the price has already settled into its well established $62.50 to $52.50 trading range which suggests the markets don't see this as the start of another gulf war.
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Saturday, October 05, 2019
Strategies on how to be a Successful CFD Trader / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Submissions
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Saturday, October 05, 2019
Federal Reserve Bank ‘Guarantees’ Dow Will Not Sink Below 26k / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Today is an important day for people like myself. I have maintained for years that the Federal Reserve Bank is an evil institution and their only goal is enslavement of humans. They accomplish this task with multiple weapons. Their best weapon is the stupidity of those humans who don’t seem to understand any more about their world than does the burrow harnessed to a grinding wheel. They just keep going round and round and the only person getting anywhere is the owner of the grinding wheel. That would be the Fed.
Another powerful weapon they use is the stock market. As long as the Dow continues to advance higher, no one will question how it got there. And, as long as the Dow advances, the idiots that invest their money will continue to exude arrogance of their investment knowledge. At the end of the day, investors know nothing about anything. The Dow Jones Industrial average is now simply a carrot to keep the burrow walking in a circle.
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Friday, October 04, 2019
The Russell and Transportation Tell A Completely Different Stock Market Story / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’ve been writing about the broader US stock market for many months – highlighting the Pennant/Flag formations that have continued to set up since early 2018. Sometimes, the keys to really understanding what is transpiring behind the scenes in the US markets is to pay attention to various market segments and to consider applying some “outside the box” thinking. Before you continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.
Our research team would like to fall back into price analysis using the Russell 2000 and the Transportation Index as “additional measures” that mirror the US major stock market in terms of price, volatility and future price targets. The interesting facet of this type of analysis is that we can study any symbols we want and apply the different techniques, patterns and insight we learn to the total scope of the broader US stock market. Thus, we can attempt to identify how and when certain price actions may become more intense or volatile while comparing how our predictive modeling systems and other tools share unique outcomes.
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Thursday, October 03, 2019
Dow Jones may have already bottomed But SP500 & Nasdaq have further to go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Have you been following our research? Were you prepared for this move like we were? Did you profit from this incredibly quick and volatile downside price move in the US markets? What is it going to do to the foreign markets and what next?
Our team of researchers has been all over this setup many months before it happened. In fact, we issued a research article on September 30 suggesting our predictive modeling system was warning of a big price rotation in the NQ and ES. On September 21, we authored another research article suggesting a “massive price reversion may be days or weeks away”. On September 7th, we authored yet another article suggesting “US STOCK MARKET HASN’T CLEARED THE STORM YET”
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