Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Stock Market Reversal Time From Overbought... Italy/Jobs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
When a market needs to sell it will sell. You had the combination of overbought stochastics, overbought RSI's, and overbought MACD's on all the daily charts. In addition, you also had overbought 60-minute charts across the board repeatedly. Never good to stay that overbought for so long. The market needed to sell off those 99 stochastic readings on the daily index charts along with 70 RSI's. News needed to come along to expedite that process. First, we had the poor Jobs Report on Friday, which started the ball rolling down the hill. The selling was far from bad. Then we had Italy debt problems over the weekend, and that was the final ingredient necessary to get things rolling down the hill quite a bit faster.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Don’t Miss Your Chance to Catch the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Many people missed the market’s enormous appreciation during the latest equity bull market because they were late to the game or chose to sit on the sidelines. The sideline is a crowded place these days as investors have been reluctant to fully embrace equities.
Household savings for the past 12 months totaled $711 billion, the highest level ever recorded in dollar terms. You can see from the chart that’s roughly double the amount of savings recorded following the Tech Bubble. In fact, household debt-to-savings ratios are currently at levels so low, they’ve not been seen since the mid-1990s.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Profits and Commodities Part of Mixed Picture for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In a volatile environment, it is helpful to take a step back and look at the bigger picture. There are serious problems with debt in the United States and Europe, which are representative of the negative side of the bull-bear debate. On the positive side, companies are doing well and the technical picture of stocks remains firmly in bull market territory. According to Bloomberg:
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stocks Cyclical Bull Market Topping Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As many of you know I believe that we have begun the topping process of this cyclical bull market. In a healthy market an intermediate decline is a profit-taking event after a significant leg up. It should hold well above the prior intermediate bottom. The decline into the June low was not a profit-taking event. The market had not rallied long enough or far enough to warrant an intermediate correction and certainly not one that would test the March lows. The decline in May and June was the first shot over the bow that something is wrong with the fundamentals driving this market.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stock Market Quiet Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
DOW
It was a quiet week that never really got going till right at the end, and it needed a “hot” print from the NFP figures to get the markets energized and awake from their slumber.
I think the rally over the past 2 weeks has surprised many with its speed and strength, and yet I still read many trying to top tick the rally, to the extend they still don’t believe in the rally.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
U.S. Dollar Could Send Stocks and Commodities Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It’s been an exciting couple months as stocks and commodities have moved like they are a roller coaster at a theme park. We all know every good roller coaster has a few monster hills which make their clients scream in fear/excitement that’s what it’s all about!
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stock Market Near Term Consolidation Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, July 10, 2011
Stock Market Winning Week...Losing Economy... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock market enjoyed a winning week to be sure, although the economy suffered a knockout on the losing side. The Jobs Report, which came out today, was supposed to show job growth of 125,000 jobs. The number came in at only 18,000. To make matters worse, and to show you how tough it is to keep a job at a good salary, wages fell. They were supposed to rise 0.2%, but actually fell. This is not the sign of a healthy economy, and many are suffering. I'm sure all of you out there know of someone, or many, who are in dire trouble these days. It is really sad and it doesn't seem to be getting any better. Bad times in our economy for sure. However, Wall Street and Main Street often live in two separate worlds. One can be acting very poorly, while the other is doing very well.
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Sunday, July 10, 2011
Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After the July 4th holiday the market seemed to struggle this week. Tuesday and wednesday were about flat. Then thursday gapped up ending with a new uptrend high, and friday gapped down giving all of thursday’s gains back before a rally into the close. The economic news seemed to reflect the market action ending with 4 positive reports and 5 negative. On the positive side: factory orders swung back into the black, the ADP index was up nicely, wholesale inventories improved, as did the weekly jobless claims.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
The Case for the Future Direction of SPX Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A few weeks ago traders and market prognosticators were frantically trying to determine if the S&P 500 would hold the 200 period moving average. As it turns out, the 200 period moving was able to hold sellers in check. After a few days of grinding around, the S&P 500 pushed higher. The price action has been spectacular the past two weeks and the S&P 500 could potentially breakout to new 2011 highs. Only Mr. Market can push prices to the brink of disaster only to have them break to new highs in a matter of weeks.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
Financial Markets Shocker, Jobs Are Down and Unemployment's Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Hello traders everywhere, Adam Hewison co-founder of MarketClub just posted his afternoon update for Friday the 8th of July. It was a shocker!
The video is timely, actionable and best of all...FREE!
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Friday, July 08, 2011
A Financial Permanent Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
As the financial world breathed a collective sigh of relief as the Greek Parliament voted to impose further austerity measures on the people of Greece, I wondered aloud to no one in particular how many times we’d have to see this movie before people finally realize that this crisis is a permanent one. There are many analogies that we could use to illustrate what has gone on, but probably the best is a trauma patient coming into the hospital with a severed carotid artery. Instead of performing surgery and repairing the wound, doctors throw the unlucky fellow on a gurney with a piece of gauze taped over the incision. Every so often they check back in, throw another piece of gauze on it and walk out, never fixing the problem. That is precisely what is going on with regards to the Eurozone mess. And America’s too. Lots of tape and gauze with precious little in the way of real solutions has been the norm for quite some time now and there is no reason to think that this will change unless it is out of dire necessity.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
Investor Portfolio Preparation for the Coming Crises Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“I’m Certain we will (experience another Crisis – Ed). It will come again.”Treasury Secretary Geithner, 5/17/11
“Wall Street banks have cut back on small business lending… [by] more than double the cutback in overall lending.… [Small business] options just keep disappearing.”Elizabeth Warren, Chair of the TARP Congressional Oversight Panel
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Friday, July 08, 2011
A Rare VIX Pattern is Appearing Again... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Today's 12 month VIX chart shows a pattern that is fairly rare. This chart pattern has appeared a number of times in the past and has been pretty accurate. The pattern is where the VIX's support level is the bottom of a circle and the touch points follow the bottom of the circle. The difference I see is that the older patterns occurred over a longer period of time within the circle area.
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Thursday, July 07, 2011
How Antimicrobial Copper Could Save Thousands of Lives, Billions of Dollars / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector
David Zeiler writes: In less than two hours this material can kill 99.9% of most of the bacteria on its surface, including E.coli, influenza, staphylococcus and H1N1.
A recent four-year trial has shown that using it on such frequently touched hospital items as bed rails, IV poles, tray tables and nurse call buttons reduces infection rates by more than 40%.
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Thursday, July 07, 2011
What the Greek Debt Crisis Mean for Investors? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Kerri Shannon writes: With Greece on the brink of default - and hanging over the global economy like a financial sword of Damocles - investors the world over are asking themselves the very same question, day after day: Just what is the Greek debt crisis, and what does it mean to me?
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Thursday, July 07, 2011
The Macroeconomic Picture And The Stock Market, Massive Rally Wipes Out Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A massive stock market rally has wiped out a month's losses in a week, and is nicely represented by the below straight up move in % stocks above their 50MA from oversold to approaching overbought.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Stock Market Staying Overbought.....Making Sense Of It All..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It's not often you stay this overbought in a market on the short-term charts. There have been many attempts to sell things off, but once the RSI's get under 70, the buying starts right back up. This is only a once in a long while occurrence. The reasons for it are simple really. You're in a primary bull market until we can lose 1249 on the S&P 500 with some force. The bulls were able to defend this level a few times, and they have now cleared back over the critical 50-day exponential moving averages. Once you clear back over this critical resistance level turned support, the bulls get more aggressive on the buying due to the feeling of insurance that the 50's will hold. Only if they got taken back again by the bears would the bulls get less aggressive. In fact, with the reality that the bears lost the battle thus far, the bulls are feeling pretty good about themselves, and thus, will get back in new plays any time there's some decent selling, or even if it's not that decent it seems these days.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Greek Debt Crisis Stock-Market Survival Strategies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
If you want some stock-market-survival advice, pull up a chair and spare us a couple of minutes.
From late April to mid-June, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted more than 900 points. That 7% stock-market decline - which included a six-week losing streak - accelerated talks of a new bear market and a double-dip recession.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2011
What the Stock Market Volatility Index, VIX is Telling Investors / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Shah Gilani writes: In the early ‘80s, when I was running a hedge fund from the floor of the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE), I was a market maker in OEX options. The OEX is the Standard & Poor's 100 Index. The CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) was born from trading options on the OEX and from our desire to more accurately price risk.
The stock market volatility index (VIX) - or "fear gauge," as it's often called - has been giving off unexpectedly low readings in 2011.
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