Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Coming in October: Next Major Stock Market Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
A major price cycle on the daily S&P 500 chart, which shows reliability in bottoming about every 15.5 months, is due for its next low on or about October 31. The cycle appears to have been influencing prices since the 2002-03 lows.
To any market historian, the suggestion that such a major cycle is due to bottom next in the second half of October sends shivers down the spine of the most ardent market optimist.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Road to Apathy, Catching Out the Knee-Jerk Stock Buyers of 2008/2009… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
If we had to choose to indulge in just one form of pseudo financial mysticism, we would undoubtedly go for the view that financial assets tend to move in generational cycles. In short, we believe that nothing is more conducive to action than good old muscle memory. Here, I explain why the recent crash in the array of ‘risk assets’ is corroborating our hunch about the generational nature of trends in financial assets. Moreover, I consider one way in which widespread apathy towards speculation may come to pass.
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Zombie Wars and the Stock Markets Next Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
Whew!
What a week. Traders must be reeling. The rest of us are staggering.
And nobody knows anything.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Markets Brace for More Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Last week was one of the most volatile weeks in the history of the stock market. In my opinion the cause of these wild swings and the subsequent spike in the VIX has been a loss in confidence in investors. The wild swings we witnessed in the market is proof that after three years from a near Armageddon in the financial markets we are far from having an economy that is recovering. There is not a doubt in my mind that we will be in for more volatility in the market because our leaders have been unable to deal with the core issues of a staggering debt and a stagnating economy.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Market Counter Trend Still Rocking.....Not Necessarily Bullish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Text book market back test under way off the lows, which I've talked about. It's normal market behavior to test back up once you get a massive breakdown such as we've gotten. The oscillators got violently oversold. Oversold at levels rarely, if ever, seen on the daily charts. It certainly makes you take notice, since it begs the question, why did things get this bad? We don't have to understand it, but we do have to recognize that the market didn't like what it saw. We went down 2200 on the Dow, and have since retraced 900 of those points. It could go higher still. That doesn't necessarily mean things are bullish now. Not at all. Only a clean blow through 1249 would change that thesis, and I don't think we'll be seeing that any time soon.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Stocks Rally Back Toward 1,260 Possible Even If Bear Market Has Kicked-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We are participating in a PIMCO conference call this morning with Mohamed A. El-Erian and Bill Gross. PIMCO is very well connected and knowledgeable regarding the bond markets. We may be able to gain some insight into the debt problems in Europe and the United States. Serious debt problems remain and the solutions are not going to be easy since haircuts and negative impacts will be involved.
Monday, August 15, 2011
What Is Stock Market SPX Fair Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Credit and commodity markets are saying one thing while equities are saying another and only time will tell which market(s) were right. History though is clearly on the side of credit and commodities based on prior recessions including the 2008 "not so great" recession where equities peaked just two months before the NBER declared the first month of contraction.
Monday, August 15, 2011
Is The Stock Market Selling Over (For Now)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - Due to the recent market action, the odds have again shifted in favor of our being in a secular bear market which started in 2007. Whatever takes place over the next few weeks, the very-long-term cycles are down and will exert increasing downward pressure on prices. If they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014 (which may already have started).
SPX: Intermediate trend - There is a chance that the intermediate downtrend ended last Tuesday at 1101.54. Next week should clarify whether or not this is the case.
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Sunday, August 14, 2011
The Summer Stock Market 15% Discount Sale Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market managed to make it through to the other end of a wild week having survived the bears repeatedly letting off both barrels at the bulls, throwing everything they had at the market, starting with the downgrading of the US debt from AAA to AA (eventually to junk), intensifying in core eurozone countries such as France itself now also in the firing line for a downgrade, however by the end of the week the net result was a market that closed higher by about 100 Dow points against last Sunday evenings Dow futures of 11,170.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Global Stock and Financial Market Confidence Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
I have never been big advocate of conspiracy theories. Most of these theories are information that is reported in the media circus to incite anger towards one group of people. Meanwhile the real stealth culprits go unnoticed.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Experiences Come To Jesus Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Every now and then, fantasy and lies are dissolved by the truth. The truth cannot be denied. It cannot be misinterpreted. It cannot be distorted. When accepted, these points in time are known as a ‘come to Jesus’ moment. Only the truth matters. This past week, August 8, 2011 thru August 12, 2011, was a come to Jesus moment for the stock market.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Socio-Economics Put China and India at Higher Investment Risk Than The U.S. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EconMatters
This week has turned out to be Wall Street's wildest week since 2008. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 519 points on Tuesday, Aug. 10, but then went up 423.37 points. But overall, Down has now lost more than 2,000, or 16% since July 21, less than three weeks ago. The selloff intensified after the U.S. got stripped of the top notch AAA rating by S&P first time ever in history.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Stock Market Setting Up For the Next Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Last week I left readers with this idea (see graph). Well fast forward and it seems we are setting up for the next move lower in what I suspect is a 5th wave towards lower prices.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Wild Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market opened the week on a gap down to SPX 1182, hit 1102 on tuesday, then spent the rest of the week trading wildly between the 1120′s and 1180′s only to close the week at 1179. The FED met on tuesday stating they will keep rates low for the next two years, and the economy is weaker than expected. The weekly economic reports were mostly to the downside. Retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Productivity, wholesale/business inventories, and the trade deficit all declined.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Reflex Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing goes straight up forever. Although it seems to do that quite frequently. And nothing goes down forever, either. When we fall, we fall hard. But a 2100-point drop is quite a fall, and it happened in just a little over two weeks. It was time for a reflex bounce as the oscillators on the daily charts got very oversold. You could say, safely, that it was violently oversold, and although we've seen lower oscillators in past bear markets, this was enough for the first leg down in that process. The bounce was quite good this week as we went up roughly 8% off the lows. Not bad at all, but really not much more than a 30-35% retrace of the move down.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Watching Silver and S&P Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
If we look closely at the enclosed patterns, we can make the case that since Aug 8 & 9, spot gold is looking a bit toppy, while the emini S&P 500 and spot silver have a considerably more constructive look.
If we translate that into fundamental reason, perhaps scared money is beginning to flow out of gold and back into equities and industrial commodities in anticipation of improvement in the U.S. and global economies.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Garnering Profits in The New Abnormal in Gold, Silver, Stocks, Commodities & Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“The United States is quickly approaching a fiscal Armageddon and the players in Washington — specifically Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke — don’t understand what is happening or know what do about it, world renowned investor and author Jim Rogers tells Newsmax.TV...
…any halt in the decline of stocks was just a “temporary bottom.”
He said that while America was not at the brink of a fiscal Armageddon right now, the nation is likely to default on its obligations in the future.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Trading Stock Market Crash Fear and Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
With the plunging stock markets terrifying traders, many are running for the hills. Steep selloffs always generate intense fear, a scary emotion from which we humans are naturally hardwired to flee. But in the stock markets, major fear spikes should be embraced. They mark the best opportunities ever seen to buy low, the necessary prerequisite to selling high and multiplying your wealth.
Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Time For Some Relief! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
We’ve had enough bad news in recent months. It’s time for at least some temporary relief.
The economic news has been awful. The ‘soft-spot’ in the first half that was supposed to be temporary turned out to be worse than previously thought. GDP growth, previously reported as having been around 2% in the first half, was recently revised to being up only 0.8%.
Friday, August 12, 2011
U.S. Downgrade Triggered Flash Crash, Why Stocks Will Go Up Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Butter
There are many theories about how to value the US Stock market (as a whole); some said that stocks were 40% over priced in May 2009, same story in August 2011. All it took was the hilarious spectacle of the workings of what passes for “modern” democracy to be aired on prime-time, for those same tired-old theories to get dusted off and paraded like some sort of universal truth.