Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 25, 2011
Euro Collapse, U.S. Debt Ceiling Default Armageddon Irrelevant to Stocks Stealth Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The financial news is bad, very bad, don't see how it could get much worse with europe's debt default contagion spreading to Italy and Spain sending bond yields soaring to Euro life-time record highs, whilst in the U.S. there is talk of imminent debt default on failure to raise the debt ceiling prompting the mainstream press talking heads aided by the BlogosFear to once more iterate a busted flush that the stocks bear market is about to resume (just as has been the case for the past 2+ years).
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Sunday, July 24, 2011
U.S. Debt Ceiling Deadlock, Default & the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
EU Black Debt Crisis in RemissionOn Thursday, Euro-area leaders stepped up their efforts to resolve the ongoing Greek debt crisis, announcing €159Bn ($229Bn) in new aid for Greece. They arranged for bondholders to foot part of the bill and expanded the power of the €440Bn Euro rescue fund to buy debt across stressed European nations - “after a market rout last week sparked concern the crisis was spreading. The fund can also aid troubled banks and offer credit-lines to repel speculators.” The Euroland leaders hope to construct a financial “firewall” around struggling countries like Spain and Italy, while assuaging fears that the debt crisis is spreading. French President Sarkozy compared the transformation of the bailout fund to the creation of a “European Monetary Fund.” (EU Leaders Offer $229 Billion in New Greek Aid)
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Sunday, July 24, 2011
U.S. Debt Ceiling Crisis Talks failure Could Hit Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
SPX: Long-term trend - The probability that the bull market which started in March 2009 may have ended when the SPX reached 1370 on 5/02/11, is very low.
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Sunday, July 24, 2011
Stock Market Major Top and Gold Breakout Targets $1750 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Recently I have had several members of my service requesting my thoughts on the macroeconomic backdrop which is shaping financial markets. I decided I would proffer an article about why I find such practice to be a total waste of time. Don’t get me wrong, acknowledging what is going on in the world around us as a trader is important because economic data and geopolitical events shape social mood. Social mood is just one catalyst that directly impacts financial markets and it is important for traders to monitor the world around them.
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Sunday, July 24, 2011
Singapore and Malaysia: Two Ways Investors Can Play the Region Between India and China / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Carl Delfeld writes: Located south of China and east of India, the booming Southeast Asian region is oftentimes overlooked by even the most sophisticated investors. The free trade pact between the regional grouping (ASEAN) and China inked early this year has led to a jump in trade and investment.
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Saturday, July 23, 2011
Stock Market Whipsaws Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The markets continued with the whipsaw and wild swings that traders have being seeing for a number of weeks now, which are offering some great opportunities in all markets, be it equities, forex and commodities.
We are living in historic times with European nations that are on the brink of collapse and even the US is potentially looking at a default or a downgrade, should a deal not be on the table before the deadline of August 2nd 2011.
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Saturday, July 23, 2011
S&P 1345 On Hold For Now..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market has spent nearly two days trying to figure out what to do with S&P 500 1345, or major resistance, that if cleared, opens the door to a retest of the old highs at 1370. The bulls would love to get that high, and put the pressure back on the bears to hold their final line in the sand. However, after spending two days at this level, we closed just below today, and now the market is going to keep everyone guessing at what comes next.
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Saturday, July 23, 2011
Profitably Playing Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
“In his latest interview with King World News, geopolitical analyst James G. Rickards says credit default swaps are fraudulent mechanisms by which the "too big to fail" New York investment banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs loot the world with an implicit U.S. government guarantee, making them de-facto agencies of the government.”
“With credit default swaps, banks loot world with a government guarantee, Rickards says”
Chris Powell, gata.org, 7/16/11
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Friday, July 22, 2011
Why Foreign Markets Are Better Bets Than US! / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
It has been my expectation that slowing global economies, rising inflation, record government debt, austerity measures being undertaken globally, and the end of the Fed’s QE2 stimulus, would result in stock market corrections in this year’s summer season before the global bull market resumes in the fall. My downside target has been a decline of 17% or so for the Dow and S&P 500.
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Friday, July 22, 2011
Stock Market Inflection point and long term view update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After a total review of all the relevant data we have arrived at several potential scenarios going forward. These scenarios, are of course, based on the current existing and potential future waves, plus two tidbits of fundamental data. First tidbit. Recently the FED extended the present currency swap arrangement to August 2012. This swap arrangement helps to create a lower USD in support of the EUR, while Europe goes through its debt problems. Unfortunately, a lower USD negatively impacts many of the other developed economies and emerging economies as their currencies rise against a declining USD. Or, those pegged to the USD are forced to expand their monetary base. We have already seen a deterioration in several of the world’s stock markets, partly due to this policy.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
Hotter than Gold, Stem Cell Technology: Great Prospects for Early Bird Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Chris Wood, Casey Extraordinary Technology writes: We all remember the promise of stem-cell technology when scientists at the University of Wisconsin and Johns Hopkins University first isolated and successfully cultured human pluripotent stem cells back in 1998 - that these miracle cells would lead to products that would revolutionize medicine.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
Stock Market Gap To Gap And Intel Earnings..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Gaps above and gaps below. Both sides have set up camp by putting in gap ups and gap downs. Two on each side. Why not. Make things more difficult than they already were. The market seems to be trying to unwind overbought conditions that lasted a bit too long for its own good. It needs time to consolidate that move, and that period of consolidation can be very frustrating for both sides as neither one is able to gain full control of things. You think, here we go to the up side, but no dice. The move gets abruptly halted by either bad earnings news or bad news on the debt ceiling. Then the bears feel they have control.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Investors Research Chinese Investments Carefully / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Growth is where you find it. Taylor Asset Management founder and CEO Stephen Taylor is an active global investor who loves Latin America, China and certain event-driven natural resource plays that he expects will provide big growth to investors who have made a bet on his Taylor International Fund. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Stephen shares his best ideas—ideas that have multi-bagger potential.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2011
U.S. and European Policymakers Help Improve Stock Market Leadership / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
News coming from the United States and Europe has once again changed the tone in a fast-pasted market. On our side of the pond, the Wall Street Journal reported:
Read full article... Read full article...President Barack Obama, in a last-ditch bid for a bipartisan “grand bargain” on the budget, threw his weight Tuesday behind a $3.7 trillion deficit-reduction plan unveiled by six Republican and Democratic senators.
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
European Bank Stress Test: "It's not that 8 failed...but that 82 passed!!" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
The European Banking Authority announced Friday that 8 banks had failed their stress tests and 16 more had narrowly passed. But the results drew much criticism from analysts, who said that the stress test is not strict enough.
Indeed, this is something that European Financial Forecast readers have known since the first stress test last summer.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Sovereign Debt-Default Survival Kit, The Four Countries That Will Keep Their AAA Credit Ratings / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: Stories about debt downgrades and sovereign-debt defaults are dominating the headlines.
And it's no longer just Europe that we have to be worried about. On Friday, Standard and Poor's warned that there was a 50-50 chance that the United States would lose its AAA debt rating in the next 90 days - even if the debt ceiling didn't result in a U.S. default.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
What To Look For In A Stock Market Bearish Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
STUDY and SCREENING PROCESS
Does the current market look more like 2004 or 2007? The answer is important because stocks did well from August 2004 to October 2007, but they performed very poorly between October 2007 and March 2009. The fundamental picture remains quite uncertain with:
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Debt Ceiling... Necessary Ingredients... Stock Market Nervous.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sometimes it's tough to write a newsletter. In times such as these, you can basically throw out much of what I'm about. The technicals are my world, and that's tough enough at times, but when the market becomes a political task, you just throw up your hands and say it's beyond me. It's beyond all of us. The market sitting and waiting on news each day about whether the debt ceiling will be raised, and if it is, will whatever makes it up be enough to satisfy the rating agencies so we don't have financial crisis part two. So much for every citizen of this country to be worried about as the financial stocks continue to set new yearly lows day after day. Each and every day we all hope to hear that our two sides can work together and give in enough to satisfy what it takes to keep this country from a massive embarrassment. The pain to be felt from a downgrade of our debt rating will be more than substantial. Heartbreaking is probably the better word. Too many will suffer unnecessarily as you'd think the two sides would understand what's at stake here.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After two weeks of solid gains the market opened the week facing a major selloff in the overnight futures market. Fears arose in Europe that Italy could be facing another debt crisis. Since the market had just gone through another Greece bailout, the uncertainty of the another debt crisis in the PIIGS, (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain), drove European and some Asian markets sharply lower. International markets recovered somewhat during the week but ended solidly in the red. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the negative side: the trade balance worsened, import prices declined, the CPI/PPI turned negative, consumer sentiment dropped sharply, and the NY FED remained in the red.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Fall Portends Poorly for Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Last week's stock market decline was largely the product of geopolitical events ranging from the debt-ceiling impasse and rating agency warnings to new Italian and Greek sovereign debt troubles.
But what's really scary is that a weak week for stocks may well carry into the bulk of earnings season, which comes up next week when 40% of the market capitalization of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index reports second-quarter results.
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