Monday, January 30, 2023
Microsoft MSFT Q4 Earnings - Buy the Rumour Sell the News / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
MSFT - $242.6, EGF 0%, EGF12M 10%, PE 26.1, Fair Value 250
GPT Microsoft trading on 26X earnings not cheap when compared to it's Quantum AI tech stock brethren. However it is the cheapest it's been at for many a year having traded down to equal it's pandemic low valuation which also illustrates why many so called analysts waiting for the PRICE to revisit pandemic levels don't have a clue what they are doing. In terms of downside risk Microsoft is shouting that it is reluctant to trade down to $200, so in terms of buying the $228 to $208 range is the best one can expect to accumulate in. The EGF's say it all, 0%, and +10% whilst most are negative, thus is sowing the seeds for a resumption of it's bull market so I expect a positive response to earnings likely to increasing to boost their coffers by capitalising upon GPT3-4-5, that they hope can finally put a dent into the Google search money making machine, though I seriously doubt they will! I am currently 37% invested and will continue to seek opps to increase exposure to this primary AI tech stock.
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Monday, January 30, 2023
Stock Market Big Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 charge higher continued, and high beta plays didn‘t disappoint. Energy, financials, Russell 2000, emerging markets – all on fire. After Thursday‘s climb of bear market rally wall of worry (we‘re rather to meet recession and not soft landing – the contraction will be mild till Q3 2023), we‘re in for a daily deceleration today as I don‘t think yesterday‘s complacency would last till the closing bell.
The weakness will likely show up in bonds first, underpinning the dollar – and the rest would be history. All on a daily basis – you can look forward for extensive pre-FOMC analysis next week!
Monday, January 30, 2023
Riding the Stock Market FOMO Rally in Tech Stocks - Investing 2023 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Stock Market FOMO rally us underway, were you already fully invested months ago or have you been watching too much of CNBC cartoon network and are thus sat on the sidelines or worse FOMO-ing in right now, here's how I am riding the FOMO rally off the October 2022 low.
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Monday, January 30, 2023
How to save money as a startup in 2023 / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Running a startup can be a costly endeavour, especially in the early stages when resources are limited. The strain may be even harder with the current economic climate, with many predicting a global recession in 2023.
However, there are ways to save money and stretch your budget further. This article aims to outline some methods of how startups can save money in 2023.
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Friday, January 27, 2023
Bitcoin FTX Crime Scene Price CAPITULATION! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This article is part 2 of 3 of as excerpted form my extensive analysis Stocks Analysis Bonanza - GOOG, QCOM, ASML, TCHEY, BABA, BIDU, TSLA, WDC, RBLX, MGNI, COIN, BITCOIN CAPITULATION! that was was first made available to patrons who support my work.
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Friday, January 27, 2023
Natural Gas: Here's What Happened After a "Double Top" / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: EWI
A key technical pattern warns of a reversal
It probably won't be a surprise to you that Elliott Wave International is an advocate of technical analysis. After all, the Elliott wave method is a form of technical analysis.
You probably know that the term "technical analysis" refers to analyzing the behavior of financial markets themselves -- generally by studying charts -- as opposed to "fundamental" analysis, which is based on news and events outside of financial markets.
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Friday, January 27, 2023
Anti-Gold Bias: The Big Secret Wall Street DOESN'T Want You to Know / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: MoneyMetals
By Stefan Gleason,
Last year was one of the worst on record for a conventional stock and bond portfolio. The major stock and bond market indexes both fell by double digits.
Investors who were diversified into physical precious metals fared much better. While it wasn't a banner year for gold and silver markets, they eked out slight gains – which translated into a massive outperformance versus conventional financial assets.
Unfortunately, conventional financial advice continues to keep most investors 100% allocated to financial assets with zero diversification into hard assets.
Friday, January 27, 2023
Should I Borrow from Friends and Family to Start a Business? / Companies / SME
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Finding ways to fund your fledgling business is always difficult. Although there are many channels that you can go through, such as small business loans, it can be advantageous to approach friends and family for initial startup money. It worked for Jeff Bezos, who received $300,000 from his parents as an initial investment in Amazon.
However, borrowing informally from friends and family comes with several complications that should be considered before you make that all important pitch. Below is a list of the pros and cons of borrowing from friends and family when starting a business.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2023
STEALTH INFLATION / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gold and especially Silver are coming alive, the sleepers finally waking up to the INFLATION that they have been waiting for a decade to materialise. Where most are focused on the smoke and mirrors annual rate of CPLIE that the clueless mainstream media will latch onto to indicate that the Fed is winning and inflation is being defeated as the annual rate of CPI falls as the economy weakness..
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Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Gold’s Battle to Break the 2011 High / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Between 2020 and now, quite a lot happened, quite a lot of money was printed, and we saw a war breaking out in Europe. Yet gold failed to rally to new highs.Gold Had Chances
In fact, it’s trading very close to its 2011 high, which tells you something about the strength of this market. It’s almost absent.
Truth be told, what we see in gold is quite in tune with what we saw after the 2011 top, and in particular, shortly after the 2012 top. We can also spot similarities between now and 2008. The long-term gold price chart below provides details.
Actually, since gold is now practically just where it was a week ago, my Monday’s description of the below gold chart remains up-to-date:
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Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Alternative Ways To Finance Your Startup in 2023 / Companies / Debt & Loans
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Deciding how to finance your startup in 2023 can be a challenging hurdle to overcome. In the US, 58% of startups have less than $25,000 at their disposal during the beginning phase.
Often traditional methods of acquiring funds via bank loans are complicated and competitive. Processes can be lengthy and are not always guaranteed as banks shy from new ventures and the element of risk involved.
Fortunately, there are lots of options out there. In the guide below we have shed light on some alternative ways you could look to finance your startup this year.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2023
Stock Market on the Launch Pad for Post CPI To the Moon Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Santa's Stock Market sledge is on the launch pad, t-minus 2 hours to go until release of November CPI data at 1.30pm UK time. Octobers release was 7.7%, consensus for November is for 7.3%, and 6,1% for Core CPLIE. A quick review of the monthly data suggests to expect CPI of 7.4%, so whilst not a beat would be a relief that CPLIE is at it's lowest since November last year, so would be taken as a cue for SANTA to deliver the last leg of the rally off the October low that has already achieved my base case target of 4100 thus should set the scene for the over shoot phase to at least 4160, with ample time to propel stocks for an assault on S&P 4200, break of which we would send stocks into the FOMO phase that would target a break of the August high of 4316 which has basically been my view for over month.
Therefore my expectations are for Santa to take the rally a notch higher north of 4100, for an over shoot to about 4160, beyond which is the 4200 barrier above which FOMO froth, that could be triggered by CPI of 7.2% or lower, though that is not what the actual data suggests toe expect, i.e. 7.3% or 7.4% looks more probable. Still it is good to remember that the S&P has already had a 17.7% bull run off it's MId October low of 3481 to it's recent high of 4100, so to achieve 4160 and above would be the icing on the cake. Swing projections that have proven reliable concur with this outlook by projecting to 4340 into the end of the year.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2023
The Best Ways to Finance Your Startup? / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
In the world of business and entrepreneurship, the beginning of the new year often brings fresh ideas and inspiration. This is none more true than in the startup industry. You may be thinking of finally developing that billion-dollar idea you’ve kept in your head for the past years. Before you begin, however, you need to develop a smart approach to securing financing for your new venture.A survey by CB Insights has shown that 29% of new start ups fail because of lack of funds or lack of ability to raise new capital. That’s why we are happy to present a guide to financing a new-start up.
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Sunday, January 22, 2023
Stocks Analysis Bonanza Trend Forecasts - Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu.... / Companies / Investing 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Analysis of 10 stocks as requested by Patrons to see where they stand in terms of trend and future prospects as many are still trading at deep discounts to their highs. Plus a bonus 11th stock, plus a deep look and trend forecast for the Bitcoin price for 2023 made right at the peak of the crisis of confidence in the crypto markets following the SCAM that is FTX and SBernieF.
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Sunday, January 22, 2023
Power a 2000Watt Microwave Using a Portable Power Station - Awanfi 518watt Test / Personal_Finance / Gadgets
By: HGR
Answering the question can one power a regular 2000watt microwave using a portable power station such as anAWANFI 518watt, will it be able to run on a lower setitng say 20% find out in this video.
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Sunday, January 22, 2023
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Investing Using Interactive Brokers ISA, Fees, IBKR Platform Review / Personal_Finance / ISA's
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Using Interactive Brokers ISA to invest in US tech stocks to ride the quantum AI tech stocks gravy train in to the future. What to expect in terms of IKBR ISA platform and fees and how has my portfolio weathered the great bear market of 2022, how much am I down on the bear market?
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Saturday, January 21, 2023
Bitcoin FTX Crime Scene CAPITULATION! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Ai Stocks Portfolio
A quick look at the current state of my portfolio which is now 88.5% invested after arrival of approx 5% of fresh cash and after I sold all of my NBIX holding given that it earlier retreated from a multi year high, and that it tends to trade within a range of $125 to $76. I have update the table to indicate when columns were last updated. I have also replaced the beta column with something more useful called Future Growth (1-10), which is basically how I see the COMPANY doing in terms of future growth potential where 10 is the highest and 1 is the lowest, note this does not mean that the stock prices will match growth potential due to a myriad of factors such as sentiment, valuation and politics, but it gives insight into the underlying prospects for the businesses where the two stocks that score 10 are AMD and TSMC which is why I am heavily invested in both and don't fret about stock price drops in either as recently experienced because the underlying businesses have huge long-term future growth potential. Stocks that score 9 are Nvidia, Facebook, ASML and IBM, which again means I am not too phased by what we recently witnessed with the likes of META and and Nvidia, stock prices rarely reflect the actual state of the underlying business as they oscillate between extreme fear and extreme FOMO as illustrated when one watches the Cartoon Network (CNBC).
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Friday, January 20, 2023
Gold stocks are not yet unique, but that’s coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023
By: Gary_Tanashian
Gold stocks have been among the leaders of the Q1 rally, but are not yet unique
It seems that all too often lately the gold mining sector is in tow with commodities in general and broad global stocks in its ups and downs. As a leader, but not THE leader of the rally that is fine for now as long as we’re still on the back end of the originally projected Q4-Q1 rally in broad asset markets.
But if I am correct in the view of a real bull market in gold and especially the miners, at some point this will have to change. Gold miners are counter-cyclical businesses and the fact that their cost inputs like energy, materials and even human resources are rising in cost is not positive. While the fact that gold has been outperforming most of these for the last 3 to 6 months is positive, the real play will begin when investors look at their portfolios, beaten to a pulp, and see only one sector (or one of a very few sectors) rising while a bear market resumes in cyclical, risk ‘on’ assets.
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Friday, January 20, 2023
Biden Officials Float $1 Trillion Platinum Coin Scheme to Monetize Debt / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: MoneyMetals
By Mike Gleason:
As global elites gathered in Davos this week to discuss their plans for controlling the world economy, the gold market is delivering an alternative message.
Among the issues being discussed at this year's World Economic Forum is that of central bank digital currency. A presentation at the meeting based on research funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation called for central bank digital currency to serve the goal of "redesigning access to money."
Technocrats believe that they can reshape the world economy to serve their grandiose objectives -- whether it's redistributing wealth or eliminating fossil fuels or reducing the world population.
Thursday, January 19, 2023
Coinbase - COIN Stock Price Analysis Forecast 2023 / Companies / Investing 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Ai Stocks Portfolio
A quick look at the current state of my portfolio which is now 88.5% invested after arrival of approx 5% of fresh cash and after I sold all of my NBIX holding given that it earlier retreated from a multi year high, and that it tends to trade within a range of $125 to $76. I have update the table to indicate when columns were last updated. I have also replaced the beta column with something more useful called Future Growth (1-10), which is basically how I see the COMPANY doing in terms of future growth potential where 10 is the highest and 1 is the lowest, note this does not mean that the stock prices will match growth potential due to a myriad of factors such as sentiment, valuation and politics, but it gives insight into the underlying prospects for the businesses where the two stocks that score 10 are AMD and TSMC which is why I am heavily invested in both and don't fret about stock price drops in either as recently experienced because the underlying businesses have huge long-term future growth potential. Stocks that score 9 are Nvidia, Facebook, ASML and IBM, which again means I am not too phased by what we recently witnessed with the likes of META and and Nvidia, stock prices rarely reflect the actual state of the underlying business as they oscillate between extreme fear and extreme FOMO as illustrated when one watches the Cartoon Network (CNBC).
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