Friday, July 26, 2019

Next Recession: The Case For A 36% Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Dan_Amerman

If there is a recession in the next one to two years, there is also likely to be another bear market for stocks. Based on their experience over their lifetimes, many investors are expecting a "normal" bear market in that event, perhaps in the 20% to 25% range in terms of losses.

However, we are not in normal times, and we have seen a fundamental change in stock valuations over the last more than twenty years. We have also seen a major change in the losses experienced in bear markets, relative to prior decades.

This analysis takes a detailed visual look at the history of the S&P 500 stock index since 1962, and shows how the fundamentals have changed since the mid 1990s. Using simple averages, it then shows why the base case for a new bear market could be a two year inflation-adjusted loss of 36%, which would exceed anything experienced in the 1960s, 1980s or 1990s.

Thursday, July 25, 2019

Silver Price Target during the Next Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It is time to explore the details of our Gold vs. Silver ratio research and to start to understand the potential for profits within this move in precious metals.  The first part of our research article highlighted the Gold vs. Silver ratio and why we believe the “reversion process” that is taking place in price could be an incredible opportunity for traders. 

Historically, when the Gold vs. Silver ratio reaches an extreme level, and precious metals begin to rally, a reversion within the ratio takes place, which represents a revaluation process for silver prices compared to gold prices.  This typically means that the prices of Silver will accelerate to the upside as the price of gold moves higher – resulting in a decrease in the ratio level.

This reversion process related to precious metals pricing is an opportunity for traders to take advantage of an increased pricing advantage to generate profits.

Thursday, July 25, 2019

Silver Should Pause At $16.75 Before Next Rally Starts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our advanced Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that the current Silver rally may be nearing a point where the price will pause and retrace a bit before advancing further.  The incredible breakout rally over the past few weeks in Silver was a real surprise for many investors.  The sleepy shiny metal that everyone thought was dormant broke well above the $15.50 level on huge volume and continued to rally to levels near $16.65.

We published some incredible research regarding the longer-term potential for precious metals – specifically the potential for Silver as the Gold/Silver ratio continues to decline.  Please take a minute to read this research post PART I.

Thursday, July 25, 2019

UK Heatwave - Sheffield Temperature Hit's 39.1c for Record Hottest July Day / Politics / Climate Change

By: Anika_Walayat

The UK like much of europe is experiencing a heatwave that has seen July records broken across the continent. Today, 25th of July was the UK's turn to set a string of new record highs across the land including in the city of Sheffield that busted through it's previous July high of 36c and the UK previous highest temperature of 36.7c (July 1st at heathrow airport), even beating Met office forecasts of 38.5c by hitting 39.1c during the afternoon and likely a touch higher in some locations later in the afternoon as this video from Sheffield illustrates.

Thursday, July 25, 2019

Global Banking System Black Hole Being Exposed - PART II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Nearly a decade ago, the globe experienced the biggest banking system failures we had seen in nearly a century.  The exposure to risk that was inherent throughout the global banking system was so completely ignored that when the crisis unfolded, hardly anyone completely understood the depth of the risks at play.  Could it happen again?  Now?

Have foreign banking institutions extended credit and debt risks beyond safe levels again?  Are Deutsche Bank risk factors going to complicate an already fractured  Asia, China, and Europe?  What are the signs we should be looking for in terms of extended weakness or a breaking point?

Thursday, July 25, 2019

The Third World Is Imploding: An Argument for Investment in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

In this interview with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, Jayant Bhandari presents his world view and discusses how it meshes with investment in the precious metals markets.

Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Jayant Bhandari, the founder of the world-renowned Capitalism and Morality seminar, and a highly sought-out advisor to institutional investors. Mr. Bhandari, welcome to the show, sir.

Jayant Bhandari: Thank you very much for having me, Maurice.

Maurice Jackson: Always glad to have you on our program, sir. We have a number of topics to address that are important for members of our audience to be aware of that may have an impact on their investment decisions. I would like to begin our discussion by addressing geopolitics in areas of the world that many investors and those in the media identify as emerging economies. But in previous interviews you've pointed out that these are not emerging economies but they're Third World economies, and they will remain Third World economies. Let's began in Latin America and go to Venezuela. What has your attention there and why?

Thursday, July 25, 2019

Will Powell Cutting US Interest Rates Triggering Gold Price Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Yesterday we wrote about Draghi, so today Powell is our hero. Only one week separates us from the pivotal FOMC meeting. What should gold investors expect?

First Fed Cut Since 2008

In a week, the Fed may deliver its first interest rate cut since 2008. Given the market odds, the move is practically a foregone conclusion. Futures traders assign a 100-percent probability of a cut. The bone of contention is the size of the reduction: there are 76.5-percent chances of a standard 25-basis point cut and 23.5-percent odds of a 50-basis point slash. As Powell did nothing to alter these expectations, the U.S. central bank now has to deliver a cut, if it does not want to upset the financial markets. However, the 50-basis point reduction sounds be a bit too much. The economy is not yet in recession, and you do not fire a bazooka as an insurance just in case!

Thursday, July 25, 2019

How to Raise Brand Awareness Without the Help of Professionals / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

Absolutely all companies take actions pursuing the increase in brand awareness because solid brands guarantee a great number of loyal customers, high level of sales, and substantial profits. When the management of companies realizes that high brand awareness is the key to success, they start planning measures to increase it. Here we offer several recommendations on how to raise brand awareness and boost revenues of any business.

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

AMAZON Web Services Tensor Flow Machine Learning Stock Investing - Video / Companies / Amazon

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?

In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.

My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Financial Media Elite Defensively Bash “Useless” Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

At least the Financial Times now has come clean about its hostility to gold – as well as to free markets and elementary journalism.

Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) friend Chris Kniel of Orinda, California, sent to the newspaper's chief economic columnist, Martin Wolf, the excellent summary of gold and silver market manipulation just written by gold researcher Ronan Manly.

Wolf replied derisively and dismissively: "This is a matter of absolutely no importance whatsoever. Who cares about the prices of useless metals?"

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

The Cheapest Way to Save the Planet Grows Like a Weed / Politics / Climate Change

By: Ellen_Brown

Planting billions of trees across the world is by far the cheapest and most efficient way to tackle the climate crisis. So states a Guardian article, citing a new analysis published in the journal Science. The author explains:

As trees grow, they absorb and store the carbon dioxide emissions that are driving global heating. New research estimates that a worldwide planting programme could remove two-thirds of all the emissions that have been pumped into the atmosphere by human activities, a figure the scientists describe as “mind-blowing”.

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Why Exponential AI Machine Learning Future Trend Will Change EVERYTHING! / Politics / AI

By: Adnaan_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

“Success in creating effective A.I.,” said the late Stephen Hawking, “could be the biggest event in the history of our civilization. Or the worst. We just don’t know.” Are we creating the instruments of our own destruction or exciting tools for our future survival? Once we teach a machine to learn on its own—as the programmers behind AlphaGo have done, to wondrous results—where do we draw moral and computational lines?

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Kids Summer Holidays Fun Activity Growing Giant Sunflowers (3) / Personal_Finance / Gardening

By: Eliza_Walayat

Here 3 year old Eliza shows how kids can have lots of summer fun by planting and growing giant sunflowers from planting seeds and then watch as they germinate and grow as the rate of growth of giant sunflowers is truly spectacular! Something that the kids will enjoy!

Our third video in this series covers what to expect in terms of growth from Day 37 to 50. Specifically why you need to support the sunflowers once they start passing 1 foot in height else risk them flopping over. Though if they do bend over then all is not lost as this video shows.

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Student Finance: What Parents Need To Know / Personal_Finance / Student Finances

By: Submissions

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Self Driving Cars - Google’s World Domination Has Just Begun / Companies / Self Driving Cars

By: Stephen_McBride

At a $1.04-trillion valuation, Microsoft (MSFT) is the biggest public company in the world

Its stock has shot up 480% in the past decade...

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Risk:Reward over the next few months Doesn’t favor Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The past 7 months saw stocks and bonds surge together (bond yields fell). With stocks trending sideways, bond yields are also bottoming. Today’s headlines:

1. Yield curve un-inverted
2. Leading indicator for the economy & industrial production
3. Put/Call ratio tanked
4. Consumer Staples surge
5. This defensive sector is no longer outperforming
6. Silver’s golden cross

Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day.

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Black Hole In Global Banking Is Being Exposed / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Almost a decade ago, the global financial crisis of 2008-09 exposed billions of people to the risks within the global financial/banking sector.  With all this money flowing around the globe and with banks able to facilitate greater and more diverse risk/derivatives investments, the central banks and insurance companies are left with an incredible “black hole” of exposed risk that is almost impossible to quantify.  When we add the shadow/gray market banking risks into this equation and begin to understand the complexity of commodity-backed or Purchase Order backed financing that has become commonplace throughout the planet, we have to ask ourselves one question – “what would it take for these risks to become another crisis?”

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Draghi or Lagarde: A Meaningful Difference for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In November, Christine Lagarde will replace Mario Draghi as the ECB President. Will gold warm up to her more than to Draghi? It remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: Super Mario will not leave his position just like that. Gold investors should be prepared for his Grand Finale.

Mario’s Grand Finale?

In June, the ECB became more dovish, as it postponed the possible beginning of the interest rate hiking from the end of 2019 to the mid-2020. Shortly after the central banks’ monetary policy meeting, at the annual conference in Sintra, Portugal, Draghi delivered a mini ‘whatever it takes’ speech, sending even more forceful signal about the upcoming monetary accommodation. Last month, we wrote in the Gold News Monitor that “the European central bankers are getting more worried about the state of the Eurozone economy and may adopt an even more dovish stance in the near future”.

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

7 Motivating Tips That Will Help You Overcome Difficult Times in Business / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

Introduction

Business is dynamic, and so, there are constant shifts every time. You may be doing well today and face a stumbling block the next day. It is, therefore, imperative to know how to deal with the difficult moments that emanate from it from time to time. This is especially challenging for students who have businesses because then you have to balance the shackles and education. All the same, you have to develop a strong spirit in life as not everything turns out as you wish or expect always. The following stories can give you the impetus to carry on with business when you are on the verge of losing it all:

Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Silver Outlook Is 'Excellent' / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

The silver market is on the upswing but consolidation could be in the offing, according technical analyst Clive Maund. Some weeks back we had correctly surmised that gold's gathering strength would rub off on silver and cause it to start catching up, so we bought a range of silver ETFs and stocks, a move which has paid off well as they have spiked quite dramatically in the recent past.

Starting with silver's 10-year chart, we can see that its presumed giant double bottom is starting to look more and more like the genuine article, with the price starting to advance away from the second low of the pattern.