Sunday, September 15, 2019
Can Crypto casino beat Hybrid casino / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Sumeet_Manhas
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Saturday, September 14, 2019
British Pound vs Brexit Chaos Timeline / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The consensus view is that the market seeks a resolution to Brexit uncertainty of when or even if the UK would leave the EU. Which given current extreme chaos would suggest that the British Pound should be an death spiral of sorts.
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Saturday, September 14, 2019
Recession 2020 Forecast : The New Risks & New Profits Of A Grand Experiment / Economics / Recession 2020
By: Dan_Amerman
There is a very good chance that there will be a recession within the next 1-2 years, and this could even occur within the next few months.
As explored in this analysis, if there is a recession, the means by which that recession will be contained and exited will necessarily be an unprecedented experiment. This means that there is an unusually high risk that it will not be a normal recession - which could knock the foundations out from underneath many conventional retirement investment strategies that blithely make the assumption that we can somehow know in advance that a "normal" mild and short recession is the downside scenario.
Once we accept the reality of the "grand experiment" - that means that we are likely to see investment prices changing in ways that are also quite unusual. Indeed, we are likely to see amplified profits to go along with the new risks. Crucially, what we also know right now (based upon the Federal Reserve's public plans) is that some of these profits will not be in the usual places or from the usual sources.
Many people believe that we have returned to normal times from an economic and investment perspective - and therefore, if there is a recession, it will be "normal" (by the standards of the last half of the 20th century), with "normal" investment results.
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Saturday, September 14, 2019
War Gaming the US-China Trade War / Politics / China US Conflict
By: John_Mauldin
By Justin Spittler: People respond to incentives. So do national governments. This is foundational to both economics and geopolitics.
Carefully examining each side’s incentives can illuminate how a conflict will end. No one has infinite choices. They choose from limited options.
That applies to the US-China trade war, which is right now one of our top economic issues. So let’s think through what the players really want, and what each can actually do.
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Saturday, September 14, 2019
Buying a Budgie, Parakeet for the First Time from a Pet Shop - Jollyes UK / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets
By: Anika_Walayat
Anika and Eliza went off to our local pet store Jollyes with a plan to buy a budgie / parakeet. Though with the wide selection of pets on offer there was a tug of war underway, Hamsters, small mice, rabbits, fish and even rats on offer! Eliza wants a Rabbit whilst Anika wants a Mouse or Hamster. But the plan was to buy a Budgie! After all we have a budgie cage at home so can't suddenly switch to another animal. Find out what it's like to visit a pet shop like Jollyes pet food superstore to buy a pet Budgie and / or other animals for the first time. Not forgetting food and accessories.
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Crude Oil Price Setting Up For A Downside Price Rotation / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Crude Oil has been trading in a fairly narrow range since mid-August – between $52 and $57 ppb. Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system suggested the downside price move in late July/early August was expected and the current support aligns very well with our ADL predictions of higher price rotation throughout most of September/October. Please take a minute to review the original research post below :
Friday, September 13, 2019
A “Looming” Recession Is a Gold Golden Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
It’s the most widely anticipated recession in history. The recession hasn’t arrived yet – and may not do so anytime soon – but the mainstream media still can’t stop talking about it.
Consider this strange article from NBC News. It purports to show that young adults are posting dark, ironic memes to social media in reaction to a “possible recession looming.” It’s a possible, undated, undefined downturn of unknown severity that millennials are supposedly now coping with in advance!
CNN, meanwhile, sees “signs of a potential looming recession” – more severe in scope, presumably, than the network’s actual viewer ratings recession.
Friday, September 13, 2019
Is 2019 Similar to 2007? What Does It Mean For Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Fed cut the interest rates at the end of July. As the previous easing cycle started in September 2007, many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007. We invite you to read our today’s article that compares the current year with 2007 and find out what are the implications for the gold market.
The Fed cut the interest rates at the end of July. As the previous easing cycle started in September 2007, many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007. We invite you to read our today’s article that compares the current year with 2007 and find out what are the implications for the gold market.
The recent Fed’s interest rate cut has been the first such since December 2008, when the U.S. central bank slashed the federal funds rate to almost zero. However, the Fed started its previous easing cycle in September 2007, when it cut interest rates by 50 basis points amid the severe slump in housing prices. Is this why many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007? Are they right? And what would it mean for the gold market?
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Friday, September 13, 2019
How Did the Philippines Establish Itself as a World Leader in Call Centre Outsourcing? / Companies / Phillippines
By: Submissions
It’s hard to ignore the presence of the Philippines on the global market for call centre outsourcing at this point, and the country has made a very noticeable mark on the industry. And it looks like we’re only seeing the tip of the iceberg too, as there are various indications that the Philippines is going to continue pushing forward in this field.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 13, 2019
UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the current state of the parties after Boris Johnson ejected 21 MP's from the Tory party last week.
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Energy Sector Reaches Key Low Point – Start Looking For The Next Move / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Chris_Vermeulen
|The Energy Sector ETF has been on fire recently with big price trends. We called a bottom/buy trigger in ERY in early July that resulted in a nearly +20% rally. Then, on August 29th, we called for ERY to rotate lower, targeting the $46 to $47 level – setting up another price momentum base before another attempt to move higher. You can read that research post here :
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Weakening Shale Productivity "VERY Bullish" For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
After years of improvements in drilling techniques and impressive "efficiency gains," there is now evidence that the U.S. shale industry is reaching the end of the road on well productivity.
A report earlier this month from Raymond James & Associates finds that the U.S. shale industry may struggling to achieve further productivity gains. If these improvements begin to fizzle out, it could result in "an inflection point in future global oil supply/demand balances," the investment bank said.
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Stock Market Dow to 38,000 by 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: readtheticker
President Trump said the Dow would be 10,000 points higher if it was not for the FED. In truth if the Dow breaks to new all time highs the next stop is 38,000 and he may be proven correct. Is there an election on?
Of course who knows? But lets continue.
The fundamentals behind this may be:
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
UK General Election 2019 - Opinion Polls / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest opinion polls (for what they are worth) show the Tories gaining ground under Boris Johnson's clear cut do or die Brexit leadership, rising from 26% in July to 34% today, virtually all of the gains coming from the Brexit party which fell from 20% to 13%. Whilst the Labour party has stagnated on 24%.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Gold under NIRP? | Negative Interest Rates vs Bullion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Submissions
President Trump today called for the Federal Reserve to drop interest rates to zero and beyond into negative interest rate policy levels.
Some onlookers might be shocked to see this strong suggestion by the USA's commander and chief.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads and Discs's Replace, Dealer Check and Cost / Personal_Finance / Land Rover
By: HGR
For how many miles of driving can you expect your Land Rover Discovery sports brake pads and discs to last? Given experience one other cars one would have thought they would be good for about 30,0000 miles. Instead up pops the worn pads dash warning at half the mileage. So watch the video to see what happens when they approach the time to replace pads and discs when you start to get a dashboard Worn Pads warning. Here we take a Land Rover discovery sport to a dealer to get the brakes checked and costed for replacement of pads and discs.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The charts below are telling me we crash lower on 9/12 and again on 9/18-19ish.The expected 9/12 bottom should hold the SPX 2870 area. The 9/18 to 9/19 or the 20th move should go down below the 8/5 low to create an irregular bottom either on 9/19 or 9/20.
This is telling me that we likely go to new highs (double top?) around Oct 18, 2019 monthly Oct Option Expiry and then crash into early November to finish out the cycle 10 month low from Dec 24/26, 2018.
It is going to get interesting, because should an October 18th “Double Top” happens, we may see new highs by mid December, 2019 (e-wave read and 4 year cycle) and then go down harder into early 2020 around Feb/March to sync with the 4 year cycle from 2015-16. WOW!!
Benner's Cycle is telling me we see another top likely around late summer 2020 and a final crash into late 2020 with a possible double bottom in early 2021 like 2000 to 2002/03.
Thursday, September 12, 2019
Increased Pension Liabilities During the Coming Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Nick_Barisheff
Many Canadian companies have significant unfunded pension liabilities on their balance sheets. With the traditional 60/40 allocation to stocks and bonds, pension deficits may become unmanageable during the next market correction if they are not dealt with urgently. Governments can afford to ignore this looming disaster and act irresponsibly largely because they can print money; however, corporations cannot afford the risk of unfunded liabilities nor can they eliminate pension deficits as easily. We would like to take this opportunity to illustrate how these pension deficits can be taken in hand.
President Barack Obama’s administration racked up nearly as much debt in eight years as in the entire 232-year history of the US before he took office. He entered office with $10.7 trillion in total debt, and he bowed out with the country owing $19.9 trillion. That’s an average tab of $1.15 trillion a year.
Under President Donald Trump, the debt has continued to climb. The $2.18 trillion increase works out to about $1.05 trillion a year, or slightly less than the pace Obama set.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Gold at Support: the Upcoming Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold and gold stocks declined yesterday, but silver hesitated. Does this, plus the fact that gold is up so far in today’s pre-market trading indicate a short-term bottom? Or is the picture even on the verge of turning bullish?
Not at all. Let’s take a look at the chart below for details.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Precious Metals, US Dollar, Stocks – How It All Relates – Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This research post continues our effort to keep investors aware of the risks and shifting capital opportunities that are currently taking place in the global markets. We started in PART I of this article by attempting to highlight how shifting currency valuations have played a very big role in precious metals pricing and how these currency shifts may ultimately result in various risk factors going forward with regards to market volatility.
Simply put, currency pricing pressures are likely to isolate many foreign markets from investment activities as consumers, institutions and central governments may need more capital to support localized economies and policies while precious metals continue to get more and more expensive.
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