Friday, September 20, 2019

Uber Stock Price Will Crash on November 6 / Companies / Self Driving Cars

By: Stephen_McBride

By Justin Spittler : Circle November 6 on your calendar.

That day, one of America’s most controversial disruptor stocks will likely get crushed.

If history’s any indication, it could easily plunge 10% or even 15%.

Rumors will fly that the company is going out of business.

But if you know what’s coming, you have nothing to worry about. You could even capitalize on the fear.

In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if November 6 turns out to be the best opportunity to buy this beaten down stock ahead of a big bounce.

Friday, September 20, 2019

Semiconductor Stocks Sector Market & Economic Leader / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Gary_Tanashian

The signals have persisted since the May lows in the Semi sector and in the broad markets. Nominal Semiconductor (esp. Semi Equipment) stocks and the sector’s market leadership have remained intact into our window for a projected cycle bottom, which was the 2nd half of 2019.

This post shines a favorable light on the Semiconductor sector while at the same time acknowledging that may have little to do with the broad market’s fortunes as Q3’s reporting begins next month. In other words, while we have been projecting new highs for the S&P 500 on the very short-term, there are fundamental and technical reasons to believe the stock market could be significantly disturbed in Q4. But the Semi sector is an economic early bird. Let’s remember that.

Friday, September 20, 2019

Learning Artificial Intelligence - What is a Neural Network? / InvestorEducation / AI

By: Adnaan_Walayat

Want to get started in Artificial Intelligence? We'll in this series of 10 videos for beginners I cover what you need to know to get started in AI. By the end of which you will be ready to progress onto the next level, creating your own neural networks:

Friday, September 20, 2019

Precious Metals Setting Up Another Momentum Base/Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Just as we predicted, precious metals are setting up another extended momentum base/bottom that appears to be aligning with our prediction of an early October 2019 new upside price leg.

Recent news of the US Fed decreasing the Fed Funds Rate by 25bp as well as strength in the US stock market and US Dollar as eased fears and concerns across the global markets.  These concerns and fears are still very real as the overnight credit market has continue to illustrate.  Yet, the precious metals have retraced from recent highs and begun to form a momentum base which will likely become the floor for the next move higher.

Friday, September 20, 2019

Small Marketing Budget? No Problem! / Companies / Marketing

By: Sumeet_Manhas

It is a tough world out there for small businesses. Large companies with big budgets have the capacity to splash the cash on elaborate marketing campaigns. They can afford to take risks. However, for small businesses they need to get it right the first time, and they need to look for innovative avenues which won’t cost excessive amounts. Read on to discover some key marketing methods that should be utilised by these companies…

Thursday, September 19, 2019

The Many Forex Trading Opportunities the Fed Day Has Dealt Us / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Volatile trading is calming down, revealing several opportunities. The euro has retraced its yesterday’s downswing, the Japanese yen is strengthening – just as the Canadian dollar is. Swiss franc is another currency we’re keeping a close eye on. But how does it translate into our currency trading plans?

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Fed Cuts Interest Rates and Gold Drops. Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

History may not repeat itself to the letter but it certainly rhymes. That’s what the Fed watchers would say now. The Fed cut the interest rates for the second time this year and the price of gold declined again. What is going on?

Fed Trims Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points

Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on September 17-18th. In line with expectations, the U.S. central bank cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, for the second time this year:

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Silver Still Cheap Relative to Gold, Trend Forecast Update Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2/2 of my Silver Price 2019 trend forecast update - Part1 - Silver Price Tragets for 2019 - Forecast Update

So the Silver big question for 2019 is will the price be capped at resistance at $21 or like the Gold price breakout of its 5 year trading range to target the next resistance area of $25.

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Baby Boomers Are the Worst Investors in the World / Personal_Finance / Investing 2019

By: Jared_Dillian

Baby boomers, man.

Before I begin, a good rule of thumb for anything I write: don’t take anything personally.

Baby Boomers are the worst investors in the world.

I have seen it with my own two eyes. They got gorked up on dot-com stocks in 1999, then got rinsed. They got gorked up on stocks again in 2007, then got rinsed.

They are gorked up on stocks again.

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Your $1,229 FREE Tticket to Elliott Market Analysis & Trading Set-ups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: EWI

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Thursday, September 19, 2019

Is The Stock Market Other Shoe About To Drop With Fed News? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We’ve been watching the markets today and over the past few days after the Saudi Arabia attack and are surprised with the real lack of volatility in the US major markets – excluding the incredible move higher, then lower in Oil.  The real news appears to be something completely different than Oil right now.  Might it be the Fed Meeting?

You might remember our August 19th prediction, based on Super-Cycle research and patterns, that a breakdown in the global markets was about to take place?  This failed to validate because of external factors (positive news related to the US China Trade talk and other factors).  This didn’t completely invalidate the super-cycle pattern – it may have just delayed it a bit.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Bitcoin Price 2019 Trend Current State / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Bitcoin continued it's bear market into 2019 hitting a low of $3,400 by Mid Feb, following which the bitcoin price entered into a trading range with an upward bias with resistance at $4,300 and rising trendline support from the $3,400 low as illustrated by the chart from my last update of late April 2019.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

No More Realtors… These Start-ups Will Buy Your House in Less than 20 Days / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Stephen_McBride

Roughly $900 billion worth of real estate changes hands every year in America.

For many folks, buying a home is the biggest decision of their lives.

What is the neighborhood like?

Are the schools good?

How far is the drive to work?

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Gold Bugs And Manipulation Theorists Unite – Another “Manipulation” Indictment / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

I am simply amazed at how much email I have been getting asking my opinion regarding the latest “manipulation” cases. And, many of those are asking me if I am finally convinced that the metals market was manipulated to drop from 2011 to 2015.

Well, let’s try to walk through the issues together.

Let’s start this article by identifying that about which we are speaking. You see, the great majority of those who read these manipulation cases believe that the manipulation addressed in these cases is what caused the metals market to drop from 2011 to 2015, and what caused a 70% cut in the price of silver. So, if you have clicked on this article to read me changing my position regarding that type of “manipulation,” you will be quite disappointed. And, if you actually believe in that perspective, I suggest you read on with an open mind, as you will see why you are 100% wrong in that belief.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Central Bankers' Desperate Grab for Power / Politics / Central Banks

By: Ellen_Brown

Central bankers are out of ammunition. Mark Carney, the soon-to-be-retiring head of the Bank of England, admitted as much in a speech at the annual meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyo., in August. “In the longer-term,” he said, “we need to change the game.” The same point was made by Philipp Hildebrand, former head of the Swiss National Bank, in a recent interview with Bloomberg. “Really, there is little if any ammunition left,” he said. “More of the same in terms of monetary policy is unlikely to be an appropriate response if we get into a recession or sharp downturn.”

“More of the same” means further lowering interest rates, the central bankers’ stock tool for maintaining their targeted inflation rate in a downturn. Bargain-basement interest rates are supposed to stimulate the economy by encouraging borrowers to borrow (since rates are so low) and savers to spend (since they aren’t making any interest on their deposits and may have to pay to store them). At the moment, over $15 trillion in bonds are trading globally at negative interest rates, yet this radical maneuver has not been shown to measurably improve economic performance. In fact, new research shows that negative interest rates from central banks, rather than increasing spending, stopping deflation and stimulating the economy as they were expected to do, may be having the opposite effects. They are being blamed for squeezing banks, punishing savers, keeping dying companies on life support and fueling a potentially unsustainable surge in asset prices.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Oil Shock! Will War Drums, Inflation Fears Ignite Gold and Silver Markets? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Monday’s spike in crude oil prices could be a game changer – for geopolitics, for the economy, and for investors.

Normally it would be foolhardy to draw big, sweeping conclusions from a single day’s trading activity.

But in this case, it’s not just the fact that oil prices surged 13% to over $62/barrel. Or even the fact that more than 5% of the world’s oil producing capacity suddenly got taken offline.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Importance Of Internal Rate Of Return For A Business / Companies / SME

By: Sumeet_Manhas

All businesses need certain tools to weigh the factors related to projects taken up by the company. Different projects have their own aspects and risks associated with them. Thus, the evaluation of a project and thorough studies is important before implementing it. IRR is an effective tool in this direction and also an important entity for a business. Let's see why!

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Gold Bull Market Ultimate Upside Target / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Gold has been on a tear lately. This has lead to many of you asking me why the precious metal is breaking out and if this is the start of the next bull market.

Gold is rallying primarily due to central bank issuing forward guidance. What I mean by this is that globally central banks have made it clear that they are going to be cutting rates and launching new QE programs going forward.

This is resulting in bonds around the world rallying to the point of having NEGATIVE yields. What this means is that the person lending the money is PAYING the person borrowing the money for the right to lend!

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Gold Spikes on the Saudi Oil Attacks: Can It Last? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

On the weekend, there was a drone attack against the world’s largest oil processing facility and a major oilfield in Saudi Arabia. Oil prices have predictably spiked, but how will this geopolitical shock affect the gold market in the days ahead?

What Happened?

On Saturday, the drone bombings struck the Abqaiq oil-processing plant and the Khurais oil field in Saudi Arabia. Both are important facilities operated by Saudi Aramco, the world’s largest oil producer. Nobody was injured, but the strikes triggered large fires, disrupting the global oil supply.

The Houthis, the Iran-backed rebel army that has been fighting a Saudi-led military coalition in Yemen, claimed responsibility for the attack. However, for some people the sophistication of the attacks is the reason to believe that Iran is the one truly responsible.

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Stock Market VIX To Begin A New Uptrend and What it Means / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The news of the drone attack on Saudi Arabia over the weekend prompted a big upside move in Oil (over 10%) and a moderate downside rotation in the US major indexes/stock market.  Although prices had recovered slightly by the opening bell on Monday, September 16, the shock wave resulting from this disruption in oil supply is just now starting to play out.

The long term uncertainty in the markets, as well as the rotation in the US Dollar and other foreign currencies, could play a bigger role in the type of volatility and extent of the immediate price rotation that may result from this external news event.  Our VIX predictions and ADL predictive modeling system are suggesting volatility will become front and center over the next 60+ day before settling into a more narrow price range.

As we see it, this disruption in oil is an external factor related to the markets.  Yes, it will disrupt about 5% of the global oil supply.  Yes, some type of retaliation could take place over the next 30 to 60 days.  Yes, the global markets will continue to rotate until they have priced in the additional risk related to this current event and potential future events.  That means investors must understand the value and opportunity of proper position sizing and risk management.  The next few weeks may be full of surprises.