Monday, April 26, 2021
Biden’s ‘Green Reset’ Could Be Great for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
As top officials around the world convene this week for a “climate summit,” President Joe Biden’s administration is planning the most radical expansion of government’s role in the economy since FDR’s New Deal.
The objective is nothing short of transitioning the entire U.S. and world economy to “clean energy” – as determined and directed by central planners.
Vice President Kamala Harris vowed, “We are not going to take it slow. We are not going to take it one step at a time. We are going to take one giant leap.”
First it was a Green New Deal, then it was a Great Reset. Now, apparently, it is a Giant Leap.
Sunday, April 25, 2021
SPX Stock Market Short Squeeze – Here Or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 turned around at the open, and didn‘t look back. Is the selling over, have the markets turned the corner? Buy the dip looks to have won the day, VIX has been beaten back, and corporate credit markets scored strong gains. The benefit of the doubt would go with the bulls as the Russell 2000 and emerging markets joined in the buying spree. Heck, even the option traders turned more complacent again.
The table looks set for brighter days, but it‘s the odd performance in value (the reopening fireworks don‘t seem to go stale ever really) ignoring retreating yields, which the tech heavyweights strangely neither rejoiced. That reminds me of the dog that didn‘t bark story. I‘m thus looking for a daily consolidation of surprisingly easily gained ground without ruling out a weak downswing attempt – but it‘s the upside potential that‘s looking short-term limited here. The daily SPX chart doesn‘t give me confidence yet to declare this correction as not returning next week.
Nominal yields have again retreated a little, and inflation expectations are sending inconclusive messages – but don‘t forget that inflation is what the Fed ultimately wants. It just has to balance that with the Treasuries market not going into a tailspin – for now, mission accomplished, inflation expectations have peaked, move along, nothing to see here.
But the higher commodity prices are sending a clear message to the contrary – look for the PPI readings to be affecting CPI increasingly more. Markets aren‘t waiting for the Fed, and have been transitioning to a higher inflation environment already, even though the Fed sold the transitory talking points quite well – it would indeed be a 2022-3 story when inflation supported by the overheating job market would kick in. That‘s the context decreasing nominal yields should be interpreted in.
Sunday, April 25, 2021
Fiscal Guilt: What a Shift in Monetary Policy Portends for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger describes how he is protecting his portfolio as political and financial fortunes begin to change.
To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
—from the poem "In Flanders Field;" 1915
I have a confession to make: I am reaching the end of my personal level of nonviolent tolerance when being forced to listen to non-elected "authorities" standing in front of TV cameras reading their "prepared notes" from teleprompters without the vaguest clue as to what they are talking about.
Worse still are the elected "representatives of the citizenry" of any country, state or province, standing in that very same spot ordering the populace to "stay indoors" while warning that the police have been instructed to issue citations (or arrest) those in violation of an order that has never been enacted into law.
Whether they are politicians or bankers or bureaucratic buffoons of questionable agenda, all of them should be gagged and bound and carted off to a facility of incarceration with zero chance of release back into the "general population." They all represent an ever-increasing threat to not only my sanity but also, and more importantly, to my personal liberty.
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Saturday, April 24, 2021
Tesla's BIG MISTAKE! Free Charging for LIFE! $700bn Stock Bubble Mania about to BURST! S 85D / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Tesla's stock price has soared into the stratosphere, touching $900 a share earlier this year with the over hyped Autonomous EV, solar energy stock still trading over $700 a share that values the company at close to $700bn, MORE than ALL of the other auto manufacturers put together! Don't get me wrong, I like Tesla and would invest in Tesla for the long run, but NOT on a market cap $700bn that puts Tesla on a PE of over 1100! For instance Toyota makes 20 times more profit than Tesla yet Tesla is value near 3 times Toyota, what are the investors smoking? Tesla is a auto manufacturer! It should not be valued at about 60X Toyota! That is insane!
Anyway in this video I took a look under the hood at what it's like to own and drive a Tesla partying up with someone who has owned and driven one for 3 years.
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Saturday, April 24, 2021
Gold Price Reversal? Have No Fear! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 closed in the the red, vindicating my bearish sentiment going into Monday‘s session. And as I have tweeted during the day, the sellling doesn‘t appear to be over. Friday‘s:
(…) selling wave before the close looks to indicate hesitation ahead. Even though VIX is attacking the 16 level, and the put/call ratio ticked higher, the bulls are little disturbed thus far.
While VIX rose yesterday, it finished only a little above 17 – the tide in stocks hasn‘t turned to fear even temporarily in the least, and the current consolidation would still be one to be bought.
That‘s the result of ample liquidity in the system, which is denting the rotations. Yields moved higher yesterday, and defensives including tech or Down Jones Industrial Average rightly felt the pressure more than value stocks.
Saturday, April 24, 2021
No Fear Of Inflation; Threat Of Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
The Fed wants to have their cake and eat it too, but the cake is stale. Jerome Powell’s remarks in testimony before the Senate recently provoked considerable attention.
Responses, interpretation, and analysis by observers were many and varied. Unfortunately, no one learned anything different from what they thought they knew before Powell’s testimony.
The Fed is well aware of the problem. It is systemic in nature and goes far beyond corporate due diligence, bank liquidity, and the safety of your broker.
Most everyone else (with the exception of Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke, and Alan Greenspan) thinks they understand the problem, but their limited understanding doesn’t allow for the subtleties of Fed Chair behavior.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
This "Lopsided" Stock Market Ratio Is Sending a Clear Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
Investors always find ways to "rationalize" bearish or bullish stances
For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question.
For an Elliott wave investor, the task is even more defined. As Frost & Prechter's Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says:
The market's progression unfolds in waves. Waves are patterns of directional movement.
So, familiarity with the Elliott wave model for forecasting financial markets is a must.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Watch Out For The “Bear Market” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
Throughout the years I have been writing on Seeking Alpha, many readers have recognized that we have been quite accurate in our market prognostications, yet they have had a hard time understanding the lens through which I view the markets.
I want to first start by stating that in all the years I have been doing research and analysis into financial markets, I have not found a single form of analysis that provides market context as does Elliott Wave analysis. In fact, it was the reason I was so confident in my expectation that the market would exceed the 4000SPX region even though we were down in the 2200SPX region last year.
So, before I move into my discussion of a “bear market,” I wanted to take a moment to again reference the six-part series I wrote, which explains not only the application of my analysis methodology, but also provides you with the background and theory behind the methodology: https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/market-update/Elliott-Wave-Series-Part-1-201808184848063.html
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Azure AI Cloud Computing Driving Microsoft Tech Stock Giants Profits - Tech Stocks Investing 2021 / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Microsoft stocks risen by 10% since my last update but the valuations have stayed constant on an EC of 55, which is why Microsoft remains a great primary stock that stealthily continues to deliver as AI is driving this tech giants exponential growth continuing to beat Wall street expectations after all the analysts think linear whilst the trend trajectory is exponential. With Microsoft AI Azure cloud computing division growing by 50% per annum, converts into a Buy rating of 65%.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Ultimate FREE Cooling Solution for Oculus Quest 2 VR Headset / Personal_Finance / Virtual Reality
By: HGR
Kill Two birds with one stone! Keep your Quest 2 headset cool so you can use it for longer! AND exercising to lose weight, find out how in this video as I build stamina and lose weight, and I definitely need to lose some weight. NO need to go to gym and get in a ring with a sparring partner, don't even need a punch bag or gloves, as the Oculus Quest 2 means I can box literally anywhere any time. One thing about boxing is one gets hot pretty quick so what better than to box in the snow to help keep cool! Lets see how many opponents I defeat before I call it a day.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Growing Fruit and Nut Trees in the UK / Personal_Finance / Gardening
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's Eliza and Anika's fruit tree garden, in a small north England garden, it might be cold but you can still grow a large variety of fruit and nuts up here including various variety of Apples , Pears, Cherries, Almond, Hazelnuts, Plums, Grapes, Walnuts and Strawberries all in VR 180 so yuou can look around in a VR headset or browser.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Amazing Steps to avoid the common mistakes / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Russell_Fenton
Currency trading is a very delicate profession and it requires strong devotion. Avoid repeating the mistakes as it can create huge problems. Proper preparation will help the investor to make the right decision. In this zone, if you cannot deal with the phases properly, you will face difficulties to get good outcomes. Traders need to determine the circumstances of the market so that they can ply the right techniques. There are some steps of avoiding errors that are being represented here.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Dow Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My trend forecast for 2021 as of the 8th of Feb analysis Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021 is for a bull run to Dow 35k punctuated by a summer correction beginning early May as illustrated by the forecast graph for a gain of about 15% on the year.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Gold Rebounds Amid Positive Economic Reports / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Several economic indicators have surprised us on the positive side. Nevertheless, the price of gold has rebounded.Finally! The price of gold has been rising recently . As the chart below shows, the yellow metal rebounded from the late March bottom of $1,684 to above $1,770 on Friday (Mar. 16). This could be a promising start to the second quarter of 2021, which looks better than the first.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
China's record first quarter fuels strong expansion in 2021 / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
China’s 1st quarter record performance will accelerate momentum in China and support recovery in the US and global economic prospects – as long as unwarranted geopolitical tensions remain in check.A year ago, China’s first quarter plunge was -6.8 percent, due to the pandemic effect. In the West, it was widely seen as the “end of China's growth story.”
Instead, in early February 2020 I predicted a turnaround in the increase of new virus cases in China, with the beginning of the economic rebound in the second quarter. Following the 6.5 percent expansion in the fourth quarter of 2020, the GDP rose to a record 18.3 percent year-on-year in the past quarter.
Obviously, the performance benefited from the base effect, due to the pandemic plunge a year ago. Nonetheless, it reflects a strong impetus for normalization.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Gold Price Next Key Level / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
Gold rallied last week toward the top of a down-trending channel that has been in force since prices peaked last summer.
A breakout attempt in early January failed. The gold market subsequently slumped to a potential double-bottom low in March around $1,675/oz.
The $1,800 level now looms as a critical technical juncture.
The recent bounce could either fail around there… or gather the strength to finally break out of the multi-month corrective phase.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Here's What to Look For When Hiring a Real Estate Agent / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Steve_Barker
The most daunting experience for an individual or family shopping for a new house or wanting to sell their property is hiring a real estate agent or firm that can represent their interest throughout the entire process.
Buying a home is a huge milestone in a person’s life, but when you lack knowledge about the real estate market, it could become a sour experience. And it is the same thing when you want to sell your home, you need realtors to help you navigate the process while holding your hand all the way.
Most people shopping for properties in the real estate market are first-time homeowners, to ensure that your lack of experience is not exploited, get the right property that suits you for the right price, it is important that you engage the services of a real estate agent.
It gets tricky here because you cannot just decide to hire a realtor on a whim; they need to tick certain ethical, professional, and psycho-analytical boxes before you make the final decision.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2021
Ethereum EIP 1559 and Raven Coin / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: Nadeem_Walayat
And contemplating EIP 1559 and what it means for crypto mining then as Ethereum becomes more expensive to mine then that implies a shift in market hash power to the other crypto coins where likely a large beneficiary of which will be Ravencoin that could see a significant up lift in price. So, a strategy here could be to exchange ethereum mining today for Raven coin. Current price of Raven coin is $0.18. A large switch in market hash rate to raven coin could soon see it trade to over 50 cents, and likely a lot higher when the block rewards halve in January 2022 from 5000 raven coins to 2500 coins per block mined. So I will definitely be converting surplus bitcoins (about 15% of coins mined with NiceHash) into raven coin for the long-run, held with Nicehash until Coinbase decides to list RVN, maybe soon after their imminent IPO.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2021
Gold, USDX: The Board is Set, the Pieces are Moving / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
A culminating point has been reached. With the USD Index being backed up by solid fundamentals, can gold hold the line?
Have you ever noticed how often the language of war is used in finance and economics articles? A given company is on the defensive or the offensive, a stock is pushing forward, something else is rallying, positions are being taken… who will fire first? It’s the case of continuous push and pull factors that makes military strategies and concepts relevant to the subject of money.
Now, when it comes to gold and the USD Index, it’s not the great battle of our time (in reference to today’s title), as Gandalf explained to Pippin in The Lord of the Rings, but it’s a battle, nonetheless. For the yellow metal, it could even be the deep breath before the plunge. We’ll soon find out.
With an epic struggle for supremacy set to unfold in the coming weeks, battle lines have officially been drawn: with the USD Index hovering near its 50-day moving average and gold recapturing its 50-day MA, negatively correlated assets have officially collided. And, as the rules of engagement specify that to the victor go the spoils, which one is likely to wave the white flag?
Wednesday, April 21, 2021
World Economies Need to Find a Lot More COPPER! / Commodities / Copper
By: Richard_Mills
As the third most-consumed metal on the planet, behind iron ore and aluminum, copper is all around us. Found naturally in the Earth’s crust, copper was among the first metals used by early humans, dating back to the 8th century, BC.
Three thousand years later homo sapiens figured out how to smelt copper from its ore, and to alloy it with tin to create bronze. Bronze was useful for tools and weapons, making it one of the most important inventions in the history of civilization.
The Copper Age
Nothing happens without copper; as it turns out, not even civilization itself. Beginning around 5,000 BC, the “Chalcolithic” (from the Greek “khalkos” for copper and “lithos” for stone) or Copper Age was a transitionary period between the Neolithic (Stone Age) and the Bronze Age.
It was during this time that copper was introduced as a material that could be worked into metal, paving the way towards the use of bronze later on.
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