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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Crypto 101 for new traders – ETH or BTC? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: S_N_Chatterjee

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Stock Market Enters Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast Time Window / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market is now moving into my forecast time window for a correction to begin of approx 10% decline as illustrated by my trend forecast graph.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 11, 2021

GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The GDX and HUI Index are enjoying a blissful moment. With HUI behaving civilly, will the GDX cling to the unrealistic and try to leap to cloud “ten”?

With the GDX ETF punching a hole through its glass ceiling, the senior miners are now witnessing an environment that’s beyond their wildest dreams: sunshine, clear skies and a utopia that’s eluded them since the beginning of the New Year. However, while leaving paradise is often more difficult than arriving, the GDX ETF’s recent vacation is likely coming to an end. And with the senior miners about to resume the daily grind of real life, their optimism will likely fade with the tropical sun.

To explain, while the GDX ETF remains on cloud nine, the HUI Index (a proxy for gold mining stocks ) has already left the resort. With the latter’s long-term outlook still intact and its broad head & shoulders pattern remaining on schedule, I wrote previously that the right shoulder would likely form after the HUI Index reaches 300. And after closing at 301.72 on May 7, the BUGS (after all, HUI is called the Gold Bugs Index) are currently living up to expectations.

Please see below:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Cathy Wood Bubble Bursts as ARK Funds CRASH! Enter into a Severe Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst the Dow has been trading at NEW all time highs, supreme media high risk stocks pumper's ARK funds have entered into a severe bear market as ARK bubble finally bursts. Those invested in ARK funds are in for a more pain over the coming weeks and months as reality catches up with the fantasy valuations that the Cathy brigade had lifted the likes of Tesla to.

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InvestorEducation

Monday, May 10, 2021

Apply This Technique to Stop Rushing into Trades / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Dear reader,

You know this feeling even if you've traded only a little.

Here's how it usually goes: You look at a chart, you see what appears to be a setup -- and you instantly pull the trigger.

Then you look closer and realize that... you were early. WAY early.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 10, 2021

Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market is now moving into my forecast time window for a correction to begin of approx 10% decline as illustrated by my trend forecast graph-

9th Feb 2021 Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, May 09, 2021

CHIA Getting Started SSD Crypto Mining by Plotting and Farming on Your Hard Drives Guide / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining

By: Nadeem_Walayat

How to profit form your spare hard drive space with CHIA, in this easy to follow getting started crypto farming guide to get your CHIA farm up and running with it's first plots.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, May 09, 2021

Yaheetech Mesh Best Cheap Computer /. Gaming Chairs on Amazon Review / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

In our quest for a couple of cheap but useful computer / gaming chairs at under £60 we settled on the Yaheetech Mesh ergonomic Mesh chairs available in multiple colours, find out in our video review if the chairs lived up to our high expectations or not once delivered, assembled and put through their paces..

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Politics

Sunday, May 09, 2021

Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba - Build 7 Computers in 14 Hours Before Ship Sales Challenge / Politics / Social Issues

By: N_Walayat

Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba

When I was tasked with building 7 desktop computers in 14 hours to ship to Cuba, can I do it before the ship sales?

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Currencies

Sunday, May 09, 2021

Dripcoin Applies New Technology That Provides Faster Order Execution / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: S_N_Chatterjee

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 07, 2021

Capital Gains Tax Hike News: Was It REALLY to Blame for Sell-off? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: EWI

Markets go where they go. The news is just rationalization.

As Elliott Wave International has noted many times, the mainstream financial press always tries to find a reason for a given trading day's stock market action.

In other words, if stocks happen to be up for the day, many financial journalists will say it was because of this or that "positive" news. If stocks happen to be down for the day, you got it, these journalists will ignore the positive news and search for something "negative" that happened in the country or world and say that was the reason stocks went down.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 07, 2021

Stock Market Transportation Index Continues To Grind Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

If the face of last week’s sideways price action and almost in a rebellious manner today (May 4, 2021), the Transportation Index is moving higher while the US major indexes are all broadly lower.  VIX has shot up over 20 again (over +13% higher) and the NASDAQ is off by more than 300 points (-2.75%) as I write this article.  Yet, the Transportation Index is bucking the trends and trading higher.

What Does It Mean When The Transportation Index Bucks The Major Index Trends?

My team and I have often highlighted the Transportation Index in our past research article. The reason we watch this index so closely is that it tends to lead market trends by at least 30 to 60 days.  In short, the Transportation Index is a measure of future expectations related to freight, shipping, transportation, and the movement of goods and commodities across the US and across the globe. 

When an economy contracts, the Transportation Index will likely follow major indexes lower as future expectations related to economic activity contract.  When a recession or deep price correction happens, the Transportation Index usually moves sharply lower as the sudden shock of an unexpected economic contagion vastly alters future economic expectations.  But generally, the Transportation Index tends to front-run economic expectations.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 07, 2021

SPX Stock Market Correction Arriving or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

One more day of upside rejection in S&P 500, in what is now quite a long stretch of prices going mostly sideways. As unsteady as VIX seems at the moment, it doesn‘t flash danger of spiking in this data-light week, and neither does the put/call ratio. As I wrote yesterday about the selling pressure, these tight range days accompanied by 30-ish point corrections is as good as it gets when the Fed still has its foot on the accelerate pedal.

Yes, you can ignore the Kaplan trial baloon (have you checked when he gets to vote on the FOMC?) that spiked the dollar on Friday but didn‘t put all that a solid floor before long-dated Treasuries as seen in their intraday reversal.

Highlighting the key Treasury, inflation and reflation thoughts of yesterday, as these are still here to power stocks higher:

(…) the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, May 07, 2021

How to Invest in an Online Casino? / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends.  They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”.  In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature.  My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase has begun in Gold and Silver.  If our research is correct, the next Advancing Cycle Phase may prompt a broad rally in Gold and Silver.

Understanding Cycle Phase Analysis & Trends in Metals

We interpret these cycle phases as unique trend segments involved in a broader cycle scope.  For example, over a longer-term rally, we may see many Bullish Advancing and Declining cycle phases take place – one after another.  Conversely, we may see many Bearish cycle phases take place in an extended downtrend.  Another type of cycle phase can also exist, the Reversal Cycle Phase – where price Advances in one direction and Declines in the opposite direction.  This type of Rotation Cycle Phase exists as the current completed Cycle on the Gold chart, below.

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Economics

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Vaccine Economic Boom and Bust / Economics / US Economy

By: Stephen_McBride

By the numbers, the US looks much better than it did than a few months ago. Jobless claims dropped to their lowest levels of the pandemic; COVID-19 vaccine shots went into arms at a record rate.

But we’ve seen how this goes. The virus spreads in waves that recede and then return, often stronger. Some areas of the US are experiencing their fourth wave of coronavirus cases.

Vaccinations are supposed to break this cycle. And maybe they will. Unfortunately, that looks less likely as vaccine demand shows signs of peaking.

That means some establishments have, or will soon, close their doors … to mass vaccinations.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 06, 2021

USDX, Gold Miners: The Lion and the Jackals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The USD Index let out a roar heard across all markets. The king of the financial jungle arrived, along with the greenback’s largest single-day gain.

Just as the African landscape sometimes needs to show the strongest of its inhabitants, so does the less remote but equally ferocious financial environment. This time, the USDX seems to have won the fight – its fangs and claws turned out to be the sharpest, and so are the rallies. There is nothing left for gold and its acquaintances than to run through the forest… run.

Sometimes, even jackals need to find shelter to lick their wounds in patience, waiting for a better time to come back to fight. However, they will come back eventually – they always do.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 06, 2021

What If You Turn Off Your PC During Windows Update? Stuck on Automatic Repair Nightmare! / Personal_Finance / Microsoft

By: HGR

If you turn off your computer or it loses power while it's WIndows is updating does that automatically spell disaster?

Find out in this video !

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 06, 2021

4 Insurance Policies You Should Consider Buying / Personal_Finance / Insurance

By: Steve_Barker

The word insurance tends to scare off a lot of people. Most say that it’s a scam that drains you out of your money. On the other hand, other people say that the amount you spend for insurance isn’t equal to what you get for investing in it. However, insurance is definitely something worth spending your money on.

To say that insurance is a scam is a big mistake. True enough, there are some insurance policies and packages that aren’t worth it. Some are literal scams too. It all really depends on who you get your insurance from and what types of insurance you get for yourself or for your belongings.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Fed Taper Smoke and Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

Once in a while, stocks closed in red – is that a reversal or the most the bears could hope for these days? Thursday‘s hanging man got its follow through, yet the bulls staged a rebound into the close. Perhaps that‘s as good as the selling pressure gets, for I think the path of least resistance is still higher in S&P 500.

If you look at the VIX or the put/call ratio, Friday‘s setback is readily apparent, and stocks seem ripe for an upswing now. Fed‘s Kaplan did its job s with the taper talk, yet I think he played the bad cop part – the Fed will really act ostrich in the face of not so transitory inflation, for as long as the Treasuries market doesn‘t throw a tantrum.

And the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.

Once there, we would progress further in the reflation cycle when inflation is no longer benign and anchored. We‘re though still quite a way from when the Fed tries to sell rising rates as proof of strengthening economic recovery – once the bond market would get to doubt this story though, it would be game over for its recent tame behavior.

Friday‘s retreating Treasuries though didn‘t lift gold, and neither helped miners – it‘s not that inflation expectations would be sending a conflicting signal, as these slightly receded too. Inflation at the moment is probably still too low for the complacent market lulled to sleep by the transitory story, but look for that to change.

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