Sunday, June 27, 2021
Investing in the Crypto Bear Market of 2021 for the Bitcoin, Eth Tulip Mania Bull Market of 2022 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video is part 1 of an extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Sunday, June 27, 2021
Two Reasons Hyperinflation Is Unlikely / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
The correct definition of inflation is “the debasement of money by government and central banks“.
The effects of inflation show up in the form of higher prices for all goods and services.
Hyperinflation is defined as “out-of-control general price increases in an economy, …typically measuring more than 50% per month.” (source)
There are two specific reasons why hyperinflation re: out of control general price increases for all goods and services, possible US dollar collapse, etc., is unlikely.
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Sunday, June 27, 2021
Powell Didn’t Come to Gold’s Rescue – Now What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell’s testimony to Congress failed in generating a rebound in gold prices; thus, the bearish trend could continue.On Tuesday (June 22) the Fed Chair testified before the Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis, U.S. House of Representatives . Before Powell’s appearance in Congress, there were some hopes that he would soften the Fed’s hawkish signals from the previous week. However, these hopes only partially materialized.
This is because Powell’s testimony was basically a confirmation of the last FOMC meeting . In particular, he reiterated the view that higher inflation would be transitory, as “a substantial part or perhaps all of the overshoot in inflation are from categories directly affected by reopening.”
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Sunday, June 27, 2021
Market Bubbles Galore / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: MoneyMetals
Is the entire financial system currently in a massive bubble? That is the question that astute investors may now be asking.
According to Nouriel Roubini, CEO of Roubini Macro Associates and professor at NYU Stern School of Business, now is the time to be overweight gold as more bubbles pop up.
Stocks, bonds, crypto, tech, real estate, whatever sector you want to focus on – these all appear to now be building into or rapidly falling from bubble territory.
The higher these markets do ascend, the greater the eventual fall may be.
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Friday, June 25, 2021
How to Fix Windows 10 Boot Startup, Log on Problems Nightmare PC Needs to Restart Message / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
NIGHTMARE when your windows 10 fails to start instead your met with the dreaded @Your PC Needs to Restart@ blue message screen. And were automatic system repair fails. We'll here are the steps I went through to get back into Windows when I experienced such a failure and so can too can quickly get back into windows as well as taking further actions to make disaster recovery even more certain by means of making system images, even going as far as cloning ones system disk so in case of an even worse nightmare you can just swap out your system drive for the cloned one and be up and running.
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Friday, June 25, 2021
Have Cathy Woods ARK Invest Funds Bottomed? / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Have Cathy Woods managed ARK funds such as ARKK hit bottomed? Given that a quick youtube search suggests many think so.
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Friday, June 25, 2021
Are The US Major Stock Market Indexes Rolling Over In An Excess Phase Peak Setup? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, I published a research article on Bitcoin suggesting there may be a bigger downside price move setting up – breaking support near $30k and extending the Excess Phase Peak pattern that we warned about back in November 2020. Today, my team and I wanted to alert you that the recent price rotation in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Transportation Index COULD setup in an early stage (Phase #2) peaking formation similar to what started the recent down trend in Bitcoin.
The setup of the Excess Phase peak pattern consists of an exuberant rally to a peak (Phase #1), followed by a moderate price correction that sets up into a sideways flagging pattern (Phase #2). If the INDU and TRAN continue to move in a sideways flagging formation after recently move moderately lower, we may start to see a new Excess Phase Peak setup in these two major indexes. This could be a warning of a much bigger breakdown in trend in the near future.
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Friday, June 25, 2021
Fed’s Liquidity Circus and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Fed pumped so much money into the financial system, that the latter started sending it back. How will this and Fed’s more hawkish tone impact gold?
With Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED), testifying before Congress on Jun. 22, his prepared remarks signaled that the FED remains on autopilot. Despite saying that “job gains should pick up in coming months as vaccinations rise,” he added that “we at the FED will do everything we can to support the economy for as long as it takes to complete the recovery.”
And while Powell supported our thesis by saying that “labor demand is remarkably strong and over time we will find ourselves with low unemployment and wages going up across the spectrum,” when asked if inflation is transitory, he responded:
“[Perhaps] all of the overshoot in inflation comes from categories such as rising used car and trucks, airplane tickets, hotel prices that have been affected by the reopening of the economy. [And while] these effects have turned out to be larger than we expected , the incoming data are consistent with the view that these factors will wane over time .” For context, of course inflationary pressures will “wane over time.” That’s not up for debate. However, “when” is the key question.
Friday, June 25, 2021
Fed 'Narrative Nonsense' Rattles Precious Metals Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger explains how recent statements by the Federal Reserve could prove hazardous to one's wealth. In the past week, precious metals investors, speculators and traders have been forced to apply all kinds of salves, balms and ointments to jangled nerves, rattled resolve and battered net worth statements, all directly the result of an unexpected shift in the official narrative on interest rate policy released during Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement.
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Thursday, June 24, 2021
Life Sciences Biotech Smaller Cap High Risk Stocks Investing Binge / Companies / BioTech
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Why has my focus shifted to biotech stocks and not more tech stocks?
Firstly, I have been investing in biotech stocks for DECADES, it's just that since 2015 my focus shifted to the emerging AI mega-trend to make sure I was invested to capitalise on a trend that was clear to me would span DECADES, at the time I thought I was probably getting in late on the AI Mega-trend but clearly that is always the case! WE ALWAYS THINK we're late to the party but this trend is going to run right into the end of the 2030's
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Thursday, June 24, 2021
Central Banks to Keep Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
The move away from the Federal Reserve Note as the global reserve currency of choice has continued in recent years, with fresh developments increasing the greenback’s stiff competition.
This has led to massive central bank buying of gold, and that trend appears set to continue in 2021. According to a recent report from the World Gold Council, 21% of global central banks plan to purchase gold this year.
Thursday, June 24, 2021
Will Gold Survive Hawkish Fed? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The recent Fed’s hawkish turn is fundamentally negative for gold prices but there is still some hope.The hawkish counter-revolution within the Fed continues. On Friday, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that the recent FOMC shift towards a faster tightening of monetary policy was a natural response to faster economic growth and higher inflation than anticipated:
We were expecting a good year, a good reopening, but this is a bigger year than we were expecting, more inflation than we were expecting, and I think it's natural that we've tilted a little bit more hawkish here to contain inflationary pressures.
Bullard also noted that “Powell officially opened the taper discussion this week”. Indeed, in my Friday edition of the Fundamental Gold Report , I focused on the changed dot-plot , which suggested that FOMC members were ready to hike interest rates twice in 2023. However, the second major shift in the stance of the US central bank was that the Fed officials started to “talk about talking about” tapering.
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Thursday, June 24, 2021
The Clean Energy Compound That Could Change The World / Companies / Energy Resources
By: Submissions
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Thursday, June 24, 2021
"Everybody's Getting Rich (and Having Fun) Except Me" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: EWI
The idea of "missing out" on stock market gains "literally generates fear in many people"
Hardly anyone wants to miss the party -- whether on Wall Street or elsewhere.
Thus, the acronym FOMO -- which stands for the "fear of missing out" -- is in vogue. After a 12-years long bull market, the acronym has appeared in many financial articles.
Yet, the acronym was coined years before the current bull market.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
WESTERN DIGITAL WDC Stock Trend Analysis - CHIA! - Risk 1 / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The first on my list is a tech stock that I mentioned in passing in my last analysis Western Digital (WDC). founded in 1970 with it's core business being hard drives and memory chips where WD has made a brand name for itself in manufacturing reliable hard drives both internal and increasingly external high capacity drives, in fact I own more than a dozen WD drives with my latest addition being a 28tb My book Duo that was busily being filled with Chia plots that I will probably delete in the not too distant future when they fail to yield any Chia coins. So if the existing fundamentals of manufacturing quality hardware for the PC market was not enough then the CHIA crypto mania of farming Chia plots on ones hard drives that has resulted in an ongoing mad rush to buy up the worlds supply of external drives so that crypto maniacs can waste time, energy and resources trying to win a couple of CHIA coins by plotting farms that span tens of terabytes of storage per individual Chia farmer.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
AMC Is the Best-Performing Stock in America: Don’t Buy It / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
Here we go again. The stock of movie theater chain AMC Entertainment (AMC) just skyrocketed out of nowhere, jumping as much as 127% in one day earlier this month.This would be an extraordinary move for any stock. For AMC, it seems downright crazy. According to CNBC, movie ticket sales in the US fell 80% in 2020. AMC lost $4.6 billion last year, thanks largely to COVID.
But AMC was bleeding cash long before the pandemic. In 2019, it lost $149 million. That’s because AMC’s core business of selling movie tickets is being permanently disrupted by a devastating one-two punch:
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Stock Market Calling the Fed‘s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 risk-on trading yesterday confirmed that it would have indeed been too early to write off value stocks. Financials, energy sprang higher, accompanied by the as of late usual tech suspect – the heavyweights though merely defended gained ground. Coupled with the credit market perspectives, it was a clear risk-on day as evidenced by the VIX and put/call ratio. The markets have turned on a dime, ignoring the Fed messaging of prior week as shown in the surging CRB index, reversing dollar and Treasuries:
(…) Given the ease with which precious metals and then select commodities such as copper or soybeans tumbled, rate hikes might appear to be baked in the cake now – but in reality, it‘s the unyielding inflation that would prove rather persistent than transitory.
The Fed did the bare minimum, acknowledging inflation in passing, implying it would go away on its own. But it‘s more complicated than that – bank credit creation isn‘t strong, and had been declining before bond yields bottomed in Aug 2020. Are banks reluctant to lend, or customers to borrow? The result of production not ramping up as wildly as expected (reopening trades) is compounding the disturbed supply chains and commodity prices rising (cost-push inflation). Add to that job market pressures, and you have a recipe for inflation being more transitory than originally thought. In other words, cyclical and structural as import-export prices hint at too.
Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly. Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes. For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.
Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021. As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.
If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Hi reader,
Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:
"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"
You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Unlocking The Next Stage Of The Hydrogen Boom / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Submissions
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