Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 23, 2009
Stock Market Bears Continue To Feast On Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Monday's market action was not much of a surprise. The DJIA has already closed below the November low last week. While the S&P 500 bounced off its low on Friday, it did not seem like the impetus to start looking for stocks to buy. The one positive for the S&P 500 was that the intraday November low was not breached. That fact does not instill me with a great sense of confidence.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Long-term Financial Markets Investing Overview / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
In Greek mythology, Sisyphus was a king punished by the gods. In the Greek equivalent of hell, named Tartarus, Sisyphus was cursed to roll a huge boulder up a hill – only to watch it roll down the hill again. Sisyphus' punishment was to repeat this task throughout eternity.
In the midst of this punishing bear market, I think that many investors who read Bourbon & Bayonets are probably feeling like Sisyphus right now. Many investors have seen their accounts, such as their 401k, back down to levels last seen a decade ago. Like Sisyphus, they have had their investment accounts “roll back down the hill”.
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Monday, February 23, 2009
Stimulating a New Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Apparently, Americans don't enjoy paying their neighbor's mortgage. Who saw that coming? Actually, although I believe this fact to be true (and I will address it in this article) I don't think it mattered as much what was in the stimulus, as the sad fact remains that we simply don't have the earnings, confidence, and unfortunately jobs , that we need to bring this market back immediately.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Stock Market Crash Red Alert: Meltdown Imminent! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: The nation's largest banks are so close to collapse and the world economy is coming unglued so rapidly, a major Wall Street meltdown is now imminent.
Specifically, it's now increasingly likely that virtually all of our forecasts of recent months could come to pass in a very short period of time, including …
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Monday, February 23, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Same Story, Different Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
For the 12th week in a row the "dumb money" indicator remains neutral on the markets, and the "smart money" indicator has had one moderately bullish reading over the past 19 weeks. Like the endless parade of Sunday night bailouts and "breaking news" stories, it is the same old, tired story that is not getting the market anywhere.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Super-Investor George Soros Predicts Financial Crisis Worst Yet to Come / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
William Patalon III writes: Renowned investor George Soros said Friday the world financial system has effectively disintegrated , and there's no near-term bottom to this financial crisis in sight. Speaking at a dinner at Columbia University, Soros actually compared the current situation to the breakup of the Soviet Union, and said that the whipsaw effects of the crisis are actually more severe than the Great Depression.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
How to Value a Toxic Asset / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Price is not the same thing as Value, that's the whole point. Investment is about buying when value is more than price and selling when price is more than value; it's not complicated. Price is easy, the hard part is value.
The "vexing" problem of valuing toxic assets " was how Jeffry Sachs of Columbia University recent described the state of play of the ongoing Black Comedy (http://blogs.ft.com/economistsforum/2009/02/a-strategy-of-contingent-nationalisation/.)
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Monday, February 23, 2009
Financial Markets at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Two roads diverged in the markets, and I... I didn't care, because I owned precious metals. This has to be the most amazing time to be alive. I believe that the changes that will play-out over the next few years will dwarf anything that has come before, and this week will be one of the decisive moments. All the major financial indicators that often foretell the short-term direction of the markets, the economy, and the general feeling of optimism or fear and gloom, are at a critical juncture. Gold, the DOW, the S&P 500, and the US dollar are all at key turning points and the direction which the markets will head for the short term should be decided this week.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Finanical Markets React to Citibank Black Hole for Tax Payers Dollars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks fell for the fifth session in a row last Friday. But that really seems a long time ago now with the news coming fast and loose over the weekend. And yes the news flow is dominated by those pesky banks again with the artist formerly known as the world largest financial, Citibank, taking centre stage and proving it's nothing but a black hole for taxpayers dollars. Like Sisyphus, policymakers seem to be pushing a rock up a mountain only to see it roll down again time and time again as the boulder gets bigger and the incline steeper.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Preparing for Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 Index swooped below 805 like a hot knife through butter, but a lack of follow through yesterday suggests the alternate count for the S&P 500 Index is now the preferred count. Also in today's article is an update of the US Dollar Index, along with various currencies.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - A short-term rally is about to begin, but it will probably take a little longer for the start of one of intermediate trend. Technical signs are becoming favorable in diverse areas of the market.
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Sunday, February 22, 2009
Crashing Corporate Earnings Resulting in Soaring S&P PE Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Bespoke: Up days - the scarcest commodity of all“While the world suddenly finds itself with a glut of oil and other related commodites, one thing that is certainly in short supply so far this year is an up day in the market. So far this year, the Dow has finished the day higher on 36.7% of the 32 trading days (through Wednesday). We all know that it has been a bad year, but this is down right depressing!
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Sunday, February 22, 2009
Dow Theory Points to Further Stocks Bear Market Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Is This March 2003? Dow Theory Says NO - Of late I have heard the argument made that the November 2008 to February 2009 period is like the October 2002 to March 2003 time period. Of course, the basis for drawing this alleged parallel is that the market has bottomed. Well, according to Dow theory, this is not like March 2003.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Liquidity Outflows Keeping the Stock Market Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Let's talk about Liquidity versus the Stock Market today ...
When Liquidity is expanding, then there is more money available to chase fewer goods and that causes prices to go up. That happens for products, commodities, and the stock market.
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Saturday, February 21, 2009
Stock and Commodity Market Rising Wedge Formation Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Stranger than fiction? - You will not read the analysis below anywhere else. It flows from a unique discovery I made before the Nasdaq bubble finally collapsed
I discovered an interesting variation of a rising wedge formation – which the text books tell us is impossible, but it happened anyway and it cost me a lot of money because I was short the market when the wedge broke up and prices continued to rise.
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Saturday, February 21, 2009
Stock Market At A Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
So much for a boring market. The bears certainly arrived on the scene this week. Although some bulls finally showed up, too, was it enough? The financials continue to weigh heavily on the market. The thought of nationalizing banks and destroying shareholder equity is apparently a most unsettling prospect for investors. The administration promises to provide more information regarding its methods to save the banks, but will the clarity be enough to satiate the masses and save the markets?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Stock Markets Successful Retest of November Lows? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: We possibly have a successful retest of last November's lows.
Short Term - Most of the broad based indices were down every day last week leaving them over sold and poised for a rally.
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Saturday, February 21, 2009
Inflation Returns Whilst Stocks Deflate Towards Bear Market Lows / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Consumer Price Index still reveals inflation... The cost of living in the U.S. rose in January for the first time in six months as gasoline stopped sliding and retailers tried to push through start-of-year increases even as sales slumped.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Speculation: Investing, Hedging and Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
One man's loss …is another man's gain - Commonly referred to by mass media and better known in the financial industry's perpetual variation of sales-pitches as “investing for the long haul”, prudent SPECULATION on a trade-by-trade basis - regardless of time horizon, is indeed a zero sum game.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 20, 2009
Nasdaq Leads Stock Markets in Mixed Trading Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had some interesting volatility to end the week on options expiration day. They opened with a sharp gap lower, bounced and then made lower lows by mid-day and new lows for the entire pullback, reaching an extremely oversold condition on a short-term basis. By mid-day they started to turn and triggered a strong rally in early afternoon, which extended to new highs for the session with about an hour an a half to go. They then pulled back down and gave back about 50% of the rally , retested the intraday moving averages, but held and bounced back into the close.Read full article... Read full article...