Sunday, September 20, 2015

R.I.P. Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Investment_U

Andrew Snyder writes: I went to the doctor Friday morning. What a problem we have.

“How’s the pain? Do you want some pills for that?” he asked.

“No thanks, doc. Let’s just figure out what’s causing it.”

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Stock Market End Run Smash Crash Looks Imminent... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

The market didn't waste any time "getting on with it" yesterday after the bearish action on the day of the Fed announcement. It fell, and hard. We are going to look at this carefully because what appears to be starting is a devastating "end run around the line" smash - if so a brutal plunge is just around the corner.

A few days back we were a little too accommodating in adjusting the upper boundary of the Pennant shown on the 3-month chart below when the index pushed out of the top of it. We shouldn't have and on this chart we are going back to our original Pennant boundaries, which is important as it enables us to define where the support is at the apex of the Pennant. As you will recall the upside breakout from the Pennant, on the basis of its original boundaries, was regarded with deep suspicion, and it appears to have been the product of manipulation - Fed buying to "paint the tape", especially as there was no such breakout in other markets like the London FTSE and Tokyo Nikkei, where a parallel Pennant had formed. If so then they may soon end up with egg on their faces.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

How We'll Capitalize on Fed Cowardice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Markets delivered a resounding Bronx cheer to the Federal Reserve on Friday after that confederacy of dunces failed to raise interest rates at its highly anticipated, two-day September meeting.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by 290 points (1.74%) while the S&P 500 followed by 32 points (1.62%) and the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped by 67 points (1.32%).

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Has the Fed Lost its Mojo? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Mike_Whitney

After 6 full years of zero rates and extreme pump-priming that flushed more than $10 trillion dollars into global markets, the Federal Reserve decided that even the slightest uptick in its benchmark Fed Funds rate would trigger enough destructive volatility in emerging markets that it would be better to postpone the rate hike until some unknown date in the future. The announcement that the FOMC planned to keep rates pegged at zero sent stocks briefly higher after which they fell sharply pushing global indices deep into the red.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Copper Bear Market Rally Underway / Commodities / Copper

By: Austin_Galt

Copper has rallied recently and I believe this to be the start of a significant bear rally. Let's analyse the technicals of the daily, weekly and monthly charts.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Stock Market Topped Thursday, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I predicted an important top for September 17 based on astrology. While I thought it would be a lower top, nonetheless, it was an important top caused by the FED: and as predicted, I said that they would not raise rates, but they did place something in the FED-speak that would cause the market to sell-off dramatically. That something was "no more QE". From late Thursday to late Friday, the SPX fell over 4%.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Europe Refugee Crisis, UK to Repatriate 120,000 Hungarian Economic Migrants Back to Hungary / Politics / European Union

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Now if true such a policy would send political earthquakes throughout Europe if David Cameron had started to pull the plug on Eastern European mass economic migration that still continues. But of course its just not going to happen because the UK is a far more civilised nation than the likes of Hungary and its other eastern european brethren that have been showing their anti-european fascist credentials that would be home in Czar Putin's Russian empire than that which the European Union purports to be and what the people of Britain have been led to believe it be.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

The No. 1 Factor Dragging Down Corporate Earnings / Companies / Corporate Earnings

By: Investment_U

Rachel Gearhart writes: It’s no secret that the broader market has been rough on investors these past few weeks.

For one thing, we’ve had to contend with that whole yuan fiasco, which sent the Dow plummeting more than 1,000 points.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

How the Chinese Will Establish a New Financial World Order / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DailyWealth

Porter Stansberry writes: For many years now, it has been clear that China would soon be pull­ing the strings in the U.S. financial system.

 

In July 2015, the American people owed the Chinese government nearly $1.25 trillion.

 

I know big numbers don't mean much to most people, but keep in mind... this tab is now hundreds of billions of dollars more than what the U.S. government collects in ALL income taxes (both cor­porate and individual) each year. It's basically a sum we can never, ever hope to repay – at least, not by normal means.

 

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Roman Aqueducts and Modern Potholes Point to This Multi-trillion-Dollar Investor Opportunity / Companies / Infrastructure

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com William Patalon writes: There is nothing new under the sun. – Ecclesiastes 1:9

I'm a sucker for those "impulse buy" periodicals you always see when you're standing in the checkout line at Wal-Mart, Target, or Wegmans.

No, I'm not talking about the credibility-bending "News of the World (WWII German U-Boat Surfaces in New York Harbor – Crew Believes They're Still at War)" or any of those celebrity-chasing rags ("Insert-Name-Here Enjoys Hot Night in Hot Tub While Spouse Is on Movie Location").

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Stock Market Primary IV Preparing to End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild FOMC week. The market started the week at SPX 1961. After a pullback to SPX 1948 on Monday, the market rallied to 2004 just before the FED announcement. After they announced no change in the ZIRP the SPX hit 2008, dropped to 1988, rallied to 2021, then dropped to 1987, all within one hour. On Friday the market was greeted with a gap down opening and the SPX ended the week at 1958. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.05%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the NAHB, building permits, leading indicators, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q2 GDP, Durable goods and more reports on Housing.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Gold And Silver - Ufa. Why It Matters But Does Not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

To almost all Americans mentioning Ufa will bring a blank response. What is Ufa? None would ask, "Where is it?" for there has been no mention of it anywhere in the mainstream media. Does Ufa matter? Yes, but in this country it does not.

Here is a primer on understanding many acronyms the average American has no clue even of their existence. First of all, Ufa is not an acronym, it is the capital and administrative center of Bashkortostan Republic, Russia. It is one of the largest Russian cities with a population over one million people. It was founded in 1574. Now you know more than 99.9% of the average American, with just two sentences.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

This Is What Needs To Happen For Crude Oil Prices To Stabilize / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

On September 10th the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48 -- essentially shale production -- of 208,000 BOPD. That is a staggeringly enormous number, approximately 10 percent of the estimated global over-supply. Additionally, it was a week-over-week number which makes it all the more impressive. Yet it received little attention through the week. Rather, Goldman Sachs was grabbing all the headlines with its $20 call on oil.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

The Fed Blows It.... Dangerous Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

As the Byrd's wrote a long, long time ago. There is a season, turn, turn, turn. The Fed had been on a long-term zero-policy rant, and refused to raise rates even a quarter of a percent due to the fears of a global slow down. The stock market fell in love with the idea of zero rates, since it meant there were few other places to use your dollars with the ability to make any real other dollars.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Higher U.S. Interest Rates? Not Next Month, Not Even Next Year, In Three Charts / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Rubino

Not only did the Fed vote to keep interest rates stable yesterday, it did so overwhelmingly -- with just as many members apparently favoring lower rates as higher. Now all the people who bought the "rate normalization" promise/threat are backtracking. From today's Bloomberg:

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Stock Market VIX Golden Cross Not Seen Since 2007 / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The VIX may be 60% below the six-year highs reached last month, but the confluence of medium-trend measures shows a technical development seen only in three occasions over the last 14 years; August 2001, August 2007 and July 2002. This development is the Golden Cross via the 55-week moving average crossing above the 200-week moving average. It is happening again today.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Gold and Gold Stocks Bull Trap or Bottom in? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

As we know, Gold and gold mining stocks have been trapped in a bear market that has been severe in both price and duration. It is seemingly a "forever" bear market as rebounds and recoveries have been followed by lower prices and more devastation. The Fed-induced strength of this week is giving bulls some hope. For the bulls, this strength needs to be duplicated in the weeks ahead or it would be another false alarm. While a new bull market is inevitable, we do not see it as imminent.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Fed’s Vast Gold / Stock Market Impact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Yesterday’s Fed decision was one of the most anticipated ever, with much potential to really change the global financial-market dynamics going forward.  But thanks to the Fed’s incredible market distortions of recent years, Fed meetings spawning exceptional volatility is nothing new.  Fed decisions’ impacts on gold and stocks have been vast.  And this next tightening cycle should reverse their Fed-imparted directionality.

Before we get started, a big caveat is necessary.  While this essay was published the morning after that Fed decision, I had no choice but to research and write this draft before yesterday’s momentous 2pm event!  Producing one of these weekly essays takes a lot of time and effort, and even after writing 670 of them there was no possible way to start this process after the Fed and still make the publishing deadline.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Groundhog Day at the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

Every dictator knows that a continuous state of emergency is the best means to justify tyrannical policies. The trick is to keep the fictitious emergency from breeding so much paranoia that routine activities come to a halt. Many have discovered that its best to make the threat external, intangible and ultimately, unverifiable. In Orwell's 1984 the preferred mantra was "We've always been at war with Eurasia," even though everyone knew it wasn't true. In its rate decision this week the Federal Reserve, adopted a similar approach and conjured up an external threat to maintain a policy that is becoming increasingly absurd.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Three Reasons Why the U.S. Government Should Default on Its Debt Today / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Casey_Research

The overleveraging of the U.S. federal, state, and local governments, some corporations, and consumers is well known.

This has long been the case, and most people are bored by the topic. If debt is a problem, it has been manageable for so long that it no longer seems like a problem. U.S. government debt has become an abstraction; it has no more meaning to the average investor than the prospect of a comet smacking into the earth in the next hundred millennia.