Tuesday, January 05, 2016
The American Melting Pot versus the European Salad Bowl / Politics / Social Issues
By: Rodney_Johnson
I recently took a car service from the outskirts of Washington, DC to Baltimore. Along the way I struck up a conversation with the driver, who was from Uganda. After the weather and other pleasantries, the topics turned to social issues of the day, eventually landing on marriage. We discussed the benefits of a great marriage, and how finding the right partner can be a struggle.He then mentioned how some people get “postal maids,” and that’s where things got interesting. I asked if he meant “mail-order brides,” which made him laugh as he corrected himself.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
The Importance Of A Good Trading System in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
In this morning’s 5 Day Forecast, Adam O’Dell, our Chief Investment Strategist, gave Boom & Bust subscribers a snapshot of what 2015 was like for stocks, bonds and commodities.The picture was ugly!
So I’m going to show you too, but I’m going to let charts do the talking…
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Pento's Market Predictions for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
2015 was a year where nearly every asset class failed to provide any returns at all. If fact, the S&P 500 hasn't gone anywhere in about the past 400 days. An analysis of that Index's performance at the end of the 3rd quarter by S&P Capital IQ showed that over 250 stocks were down more than 20% from their 2015 highs and 25% of the S&P 500 Index had plummeted more than 30%.
The 30-year Treasury bond has fallen over 2.0%, cash in money market accounts have returned just +0.11% (so after taxes and inflation your return was solidly negative), and the CRB index is down nearly 25%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
SPX Opening Weak. Will the Decline Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX appears to be struggling below yesterday’s close in the Premarket. Although anything can happen with HFTs, we may expect to see a resumption of the decline below the Cycle Bottom at 2007.99. Chinese intervention in their market failed to break the rout in the overnight markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
DJ-UBS Forecast: Can it get worse in 2016 for Commodities? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The commodities complex ended 2015 with another poor year, the Dow Jones Commodity Index ended down 25%. Unfortunately as far as we are concerned the downtrend is set to continue for the foreseeable future there appears very little evidence of a capitulation or a bottom forming.
We are currently in a small oversold bounce which we do not expect to last too long as the index itself has spent the last few months in a controlled descent. Rather than an uncontrolled crash the index has moved steadily lower which can sometimes indicate a lower for longer pattern is unfolding.
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Countdown to the End of UK Housing Market Help to Buy Phase 2 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: MoneyFacts
In December this year the mortgage market will wave goodbye to the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee Scheme. Since its introduction, the scheme has had a profound effect on the 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage market, giving it a significant boost at a vital time.
As a result of the impetus from the scheme, data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the number of mortgages at 95% LTV has risen from 56 in October 2013 to 249 today – a 444% increase.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Stock Market 2016 Further to Fall - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
I think the 7 year cycle low still has unfinished business. One way or another, either through a normal stair stepping down correction, or a market crash if the government continues to intervene in the markets, stocks still need to fall further before the next leg of the bull market can begin.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
2016 Presidential Unreality Show - Hillary is No Snow White / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: BATR
The theatrics from a presidential campaign cycle is some of the best entertainment that a political junkie can hope for. Imagining that the electoral process has even a remote connection that reflects the will of the people is one of the idiocies that Americans delude themselves with in order to rationalize that the country is ruled under democratic elections. At the outset, elections are actually a selection ratification provided by the party hacks and media gatekeepers that serve their supra-elite masters.
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Hedge Funds Remain Bullish Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Dan_Norcini
Just as the case with Silver, so do the hedge funds remain stubbornly long in crude oil.
Here is the updated COT chart as of last Tuesday, December 29, 2015.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
SPX May Have a Completed Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made a perfect five-wave decline and (thus far) a 25% retracement. If SPX is in a Wave C decline, that is all it needs to be complete. The shape of the fractal is intriguing, implying that Wave [iii] may have a minimum target of 1795.00…
The market may have been saved by a $2-3 billion late-day bid out of nowhere. If this is the beginning of Wave C, the retracement may be finished already. Otherwise, I would suggest a target at the 38.2% retracement at 2024.63 at the open tomorrow.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Yellen Comes Down The Chimney / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: HRA_Advisory
You heard it from Janet Yellen. “Economic expansions (and by extension bull markets) don’t die of old age.” That’s true. But they do die from excess, policy mistakes and Wall St Stoopid.
Seven years of zero interest rates have created plenty of capital misallocation, mal-investment and yield chasing. We’ve seen some minor debacles in the high yield space this month. Nothing earth shattering but certainly disquieting. Big problems often start small and go unnoticed until the tsunami is on the horizon. Keep an eye on bonds. The credit market funds a large percentage of the buying underpinned the bull market. We’ve got a problem if it stops.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Government 'Processing Error' Sinks U.S. Housing Market Reports for Entire Year / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Huge "Processing Error" in Government Housing Data
When I saw some of the upwardly revised GDP estimates in 2015 I thought they were too good to be true, and that downward revisions were coming.
I had almost given up on that idea, but I was correct all along.
Last month, construction spending was reported to be up 1%. Today we see it was only 0.3%. Economists, being perpetual optimists, came up with a consensus estimate for this month of +0.7% The actual result is -0.4%, over a full percentage point below the consensus and nearly a pull point lower than the lowest estimate of +0.5%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Manufacturing Hits The Global Stock Markets... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market futures were up a bit early last night. The S&P 500 was up about six points, while the Nasdaq was flashing upward action by fifteen points. A nice way to start the new year after a poor 2015. The last two days of the year 2015 were nasty, thus, the bulls were looking for something positive to break the chain of poor-trading action. The good news didn't last long as China reported news on their manufacturing front, and it was ugly to say the least. Ugly to the tune of being down between seven and eight percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Gold and Silver Investors Betting on Deflation May Be a Huge Mistake. Here's Why... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals investors heading into 2016 worry the dollar will continue marching ahead, right over the top of gold and silver prices. The Fed is telegraphing additional rate hikes throughout the year, and commodity prices – led by crude oil – are falling. There have been tremors in the biggest beneficiary markets of all when it comes to the Fed's QE largesse – U.S. equities and real estate. And the possibility of a recession is growing, both in the U.S. and around the world.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Gold Bull Trap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
For most of December, gold has acted as if it is forming a base from which to rally but gold had a rough week last week losing $16.90/oz. and closed at 1,060.30. In addition, gold printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Cycles point to a low this week which could be followed by the kind of rally we would all like to catch but be careful; a 4 year cycle low is not due until later this year making any rally now a likely bull trap.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
Stock Market Melt Down at Hand? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Over the weekend I had written that I believed the market would go up first before dropping. I had based that on the normal Mercury retrograde topping action of the past. I also warned that the market was acting screwy too and the unexpected may happen, especially in light of recent events and the horrible astros this week. My subscribers were warned over the weekend that if the market fell hard Monday, the meltdown scenario would likely be in play for the week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
All Stock Market Indicators Are On a "Confirmed Sell" Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I’m switching over to the daily charts to add perspective to the view.
SPX has now declined beneath all visible supports after testing the 2-hour Cycle Bottom. SPX has been coiling since the beginning of November. It now appears that SPX is completing its first impulsive (5-wave) decline. If you draw a trendline from 1074.00 (October 4, 2011) to August 24, 2015 at 1867.01, we may find support at that trendline near 1970.00.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
China’s Slow-Motion Stock Market Sleight Of Hand Shatters / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The Chinese stock markets broke through 2 circuit breakers today, breakers that were introduced only a few months ago in response to the market selloff, triggered by a surprise yuan devaluation, in August. The first breaker, at -5%, forced a 15-minute trading halt. The second one, at -7%, halted trading for the rest of the day.
For many people, today’s bust can’t have been a huge surprise, because it’s been known for some time that a ban on stock sales by parties holding a 5% or larger stake in a company, is set to expire on Friday. Beijing may panic again before that date, but it can’t force stakeholders to hold on to large portfolios forever either.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
The Incredible Commodities - Stock Market Divergence and What it Portends... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clive_Maund
As we approach the end of the year we are going to review one of the most extraordinary divergences that we have witnessed in modern times. This is very important because once you grasp the magnitude of this divergence and what it implies, you will be able to position yourself to firstly avoid harm and secondly capitalize on a reversion to the mean of this divergence, which, because it is so extreme, looks inevitable.
The divergence that we are referring to is the collapse of the Commodity sector in recent years, as the broad stockmarket has continued to ascend into the stratosphere.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
Saudi Arabia and OPEC Manipulate Oil Prices to Eliminate It’s Competition / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
About eighteen months ago the international price of WTI Crude Oil, at the close of June 2014, was $105.93 per barrel. Flash-forward to today; the price of WTI Crude Oil was just holding above $38.00 per barrel, a drastic fall of more than 65% since June 2014. I will point out several reasons behind this sharp, sudden, and what now seems to be prolonged slump.