Monday, January 25, 2016
Money Mind Games, Futures, and the Future / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
“In markets, usually when you see massive buying and selling and people piling into trades, it is time to step back, get some perspective, and let the move play out before jumping in or out one way or the other. As we know, trades can get very crowded and almost too tempting to resist.” – Mind, Money & Markets, Dr. Janice Dorn, pg 47
“Reaction to the FOMC news was instant. Within a thousandth of a second, the move was already over. Trades in 8,000 NMS stocks. Nothing to buy after a few milliseconds.” – Buy All The Stocks Now!, Nanex Research, Sept 18, 2013
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market Premarket is Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket is down below 1900.00, eliminating possible round number support. It is still hard to say whether it has completed Wave 2 in its entirety or Wave [a] of 2, leaving a retest of the Cycle Bottom before rising in [c] of 2. Even it Wave 2 goes higher, taking profits and going short got the most of the rally with a small upside risk that may not last more than a day.
Monday, January 25, 2016
USDJPY: Big Correction Near Completion / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Gregor_Horvat
USDJPY is falling sharply and very aggressively towards the levels of August of 2015, but it's still too soon to confirm if wave four will be a triangle or a flat. It can be both as long as wave A) holds, but we still think that sooner or later bears will slow down and that price will rally in three legs; either from here or from around 114.00. So for now, trend is still down, but key for bulls will be a bullish reversal in five waves on lower time frames. Only then we can start looking immediately higher again.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Ron Paul Warns Congress is Writing the President a Blank Check for War / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
While the Washington snowstorm dominated news coverage this week, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was operating behind the scenes to rush through the Senate what may be the most massive transfer of power from the Legislative to the Executive branch in our history. The senior Senator from Kentucky is scheming, along with Sen. Lindsey Graham, to bypass normal Senate procedure to fast-track legislation to grant the president the authority to wage unlimited war for as long as he or his successors may wish.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market SP500 Above 1,900 Mark Again, New Uptrend or Just a Bounce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following recent move down below medium-term lows:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, January 25, 2016
UK Mortgage Interest Rates Are Still Falling - So take Advantage! / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
At the end of last year, rumours about a base rate rise in the near-future reached boiling point, but it appears that providers were unaffected by the predictions and chose not to increase their rates – instead, Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that fixed mortgage rates have continued to fall across all loan-to-values (LTVs) and terms.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Forex Trading As A Beginner / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Binary options, Forex trading and stock investment are really popular these days. They are useful as they can generate additional income for those that are interested, offering an income channel that is not traditional (for instance, being an employee of a company). Forex trading can easily become a secondary business of your own and a lot of money can be made. The problem is that most beginners will not be successful and will actually end up losing their entire investment capital.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market Bottoming Out or the Last Bull Standing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has rallied to back over 16k on Friday, closing at 16,093, up 210 points on the day, which apparently according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus must be the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016. Whilst my consistent view to the continence of many has been that the stock market is undergoing an extreme correction which this interim analysis seeks to evaluate ahead of my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for probably the whole of the remainder of 2016.
Monday, January 25, 2016
Leading indicator “Bonds” Suggests More Time before Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Every crash was preceded with the 10 year minus the 3 month Bond Yields dropping towards the zero line. Although the equity markets have crashed, the bond markets are still not displaying any signs of panic. This tells us the market must continue to fall until the percent return is around the zero mark.
Thinking of this logically, it makes sense. Investors when scare start moving more and more of their capital in to safer investments, like bonds. Eventually there is a change in this perception, which occurs when bonds are not paying anything in return. That is when investors say enough is enough, and start taking risk and start moving back into the stock market.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Counter Trend Rally in a Stocks Bear Market, GDX Low Near? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
January 20th may have been an important intermediate bottom in the stock market, but the bear market is still growling. January 20th was exactly 100 trading days from the August 24th low. The 100 trading low has a variance of 15%. Oddly, the 16 TD low, which arrived on January 11 is still due in early February along with a Bradley turn (Feb 3-5). The next top of import is due January 25 with the moon in Leo/Virgo. It is also the 16 trading top +1 TD. Last moon cycles saw the market run down 8 TD's to the moon in Sag/Cap (due Feb 4th). January 26 and 27 have the moon in Virgo, so at least those days should be down. Feb 1 is another day which should be down based on the negative astros on Jan 29 and over the weekend.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Where Is The Stock Market Turmoil Taking Us? - Audio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
On Monday, stocks tanked around the world and so did oil, breaking $27. On Tuesday things looked better. Central banks were jawboning, with Mario Draghi making noises about intervening. The Chinese were also busy buying stocks. The true test is when the banks really start intervening and whether they will be able to reflate another cycle. At some point this strategy is bound to fail. Will it be now or the next time? That past couple of weeks have seen a very brutal bear market. If you look at the average stock, it has lost more than 20 percent. Sounds like a bear market in the making with tech stocks leading the way.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Is the Stock Market Bottom In? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Stocks are rallying this morning.
They are not rallying because of a change in fundamentals.
They are not rallying because of a significant debt restructuring.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Financial Collapse 2016 - Could This Be “The Big One”? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
Everyone take a deep breath. This isn’t 2007 again. The banks aren’t loaded with $10 trillion in “toxic” mortgage-backed securities, the housing market hasn’t fallen off a cliff wiping out $8 trillion in home equity, and the world is not on the brink of another excruciating financial meltdown. The reason the markets have been gyrating so furiously for the last couple weeks is because stocks are vastly overpriced, corporate earnings are shrinking, and the Fed is threatening to take away the punch bowl. And to top it all off, a sizable number of investors have more skin in the game than they can afford, so they had to dump shares pronto to rebalance their portfolios.
Sunday, January 24, 2016
Charting The Stock Market Crash - How Far Will The Bounce Get?... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Clive_Maund
The purpose of this update is to define exactly where we are on the market clock, because if we know where we are, broadly speaking we will know where we are going.
Before going any further I want to point out that so far we have tracked this nascent market crash well, first looking for the market to cave in last Summer, in the Preparing for the Crash series, calling for the Biotech sector to plunge before Christmas in Biotech Inverse ETFs update – Perfect Entry Point for New Shorts, for China to crater at the end of December in the China update and more recently calling for a waterfall decline in the US stockmarket right at the start of the year in Broad US Stockmarket Still Perched Atop a Cliff
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Teflon Donald Trump Could Shoot Somebody and Still Not Lose Voters / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
At an Iowa rally earlier today, Donald Trump made the arrogant claim "I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn't lose voters."
CNN reported Trump refused to clarify what he meant.
Read full article... Read full article...Donald Trump boasted Saturday that support for his presidential campaign would not decline even if he shot someone in the middle of a crowded street.
Sunday, January 24, 2016
High Food Pricing Killing Benefits of Low Energy Prices / Commodities / Food Crisis
By: Richard_Mills
Lesson Learned
One of the places the decline in the Canadian dollar is most evident is in our grocery stores.
The University of Guelph's Food Institute estimates the average Canadian household spent an additional $325 on food in 2015 with meat rising 5% and fruit and vegetable prices rising between 9.1-10.1%.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Regenerative Medicine’s Fountain of Youth / Companies / BioTech
By: Richard_Mills
Aubrey de Grey a biomedical gerontologist, predicted that the first person to live to a thousand has already been born. According to de Grey the key may lie in the field of regenerative medicine.
The Webster dictionary defines biological regeneration as “the restoration or the growth by an organism of organ or tissue, that have been lost, removed or injured.”
Dr. William Haseltine CEO of Human Genome Sciences, believes thatregenerative medicine is about assisting the body to heal itself. Dr. Haseltine coined the term "regenerative medicine," to describe the expected medical revolution that, in his view, could lead to human immortality.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
Sarah Palin’s Quixotic Quest for Relevance / Politics / US Politics
By: Walter_Brasch
She’s back and tightly holding Donald Trump’s coattails.
That’s right, Sarah Palin, having again found the media spotlight, is casting her shadow across the more thoughtful conservatives.
This past week she declared her undying love and support of Trump’s attempt to seize the presidency from the more experienced and knowledgeable candidates in the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties, and is blathering her way throughout Iowa, New Hampshire, and several early primary states to stir up Trump’s far-right base.
Sunday, January 24, 2016
First Uptrend of Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started off at SPX 1880. After a Monday holiday the market gapped up to SPX 1901 on Tuesday, and then immediately headed lower. On Wednesday the market gapped down at the open, hit a new low for the downtrend at SPX 1812, and then began to rally. The rally continued through Thursday and Friday with the SPX clearing 1900, and ending the week at 1907. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.60%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: existing homes sales and the Q4 GDP estimate. On the downtick: the NAHB, CPI, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, the Philly FED, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week the FED meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and we get our first look at Q4 GDP.