Friday, July 22, 2016
Silver Bull Faces Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver’s young bull market got off to a typically-slow start, lagging gold’s own new bull. But recently the white metal surged to catch up in a record summer rally. That left silver very overbought and facing near-term correction risks led by a record futures selling overhang and weak late-summer seasonals. But this strengthening bull still has a long ways higher to run yet before silver prices reflect prevailing gold levels.
Silver is something of an enigma. By the global supply-and-demand numbers, it’s inarguably another industrial metal. According to the venerable Silver Institute which gathers the world’s best fundamental data, industrial fabrication accounted for 50.3% of total demand last year. That was followed by coins and bars at 25.0% and jewelry at 19.4%. Most of the silver mined is consumed, not hoarded for investment.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Is Trump a Pawn in the Bankers' Game? - Video / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
I like to talk about our Donald Trump yesterday yesterday he gave his speech
acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention was a bit of a seem
like a concert as well as listen watching it on on the internet till very late and one thing
well there's a few things and i want to say about his speech he focused a lot on
law and order which makes sense you know a lot of people feel that you know the
establishment and the lead the elite have had one set of rules for them and
the American people the general public has another set of rules
case in point being jon corzine who stole clients money at MF Global but he
was a senator
Friday, July 22, 2016
Another Reason This Stocks Bull Market Will Not Buckle Soon / / Stocks Bull Market
"A champion is afraid of losing. Everyone else is afraid of winning." ~ Billie Jean King
Over 50% of Americans don't have enough money to invest in stocks; a scary statistic for a country that claims to be the only superpower left in the world. It makes one wonder at what cost are we maintaining this superpower status when from an economic perspective we appear closer to a third world nation. Americans appear to be living hand to mouth making it harder and harder for the average to focus on his or her financial security. One in seven Americans still depends on food stamps despite this so-called economic recovery.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
The Serious Warning No One’s Talking About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By Justin Spittler
On Tuesday, a huge event happened in the investing world.
But if you’re like most Americans, you probably haven’t even heard about it.
The mainstream media didn’t discuss this event much. It was too busy pointing out that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have hit new all-time highs.
Meanwhile, something much bigger was happening on the other side of the world.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
NASDAQ Pulling the Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Nasdaq Nov/Dec high may act like a magnet to pull the S&P 500 price higher before generating a half cycle top.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Rally IS Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
VIX verse OEX
Many fund managers and analysts are calling for much higher prices in the market near term, medium term, and long term, extremely bullish sentiment. These are the ingredients for making a top in the market. We have very high sentiment, overbought oscillator, and some other technical clues illustrated below.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Insight from Greed, Volatility, and Put/Call Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I was recently looking at the CNN money website where they post this fear & green index. I caught my attention because many other aspects of the market are now also showing signs an imminent correction in the stock market.
This analysis is a contrarians play, meaning you believe that when mass majority of market participants are thinking and doing the same thing, you believe the market is about to change direction.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
S&P 500 Suggests Much Higher Prices Coming In 2016 And 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Let’s get things straight: when an asset consolidates for more than 2 years, refuses to break down when the whole world seems to be falling apart, but then decides to break out from its consolidation pattern, it is a clear message that it has sufficient energy to go much higher.
We are talking U.S. stocks.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Aggressive Short Entry Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX bounced from the trendline, as expected. This may be a good aggressive entry point…
…Please understand that the bounce may either be finished or continue in the morning.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Investments - If You Can’t Touch it, You Don’t Own it / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The pending Brexit has, not surprisingly, caused a shakeup in the investment world, particularly in the UK. Of particular note is that, recently, asset management firms in Britain began refusing their clients the right to cash out of their mutual funds. Of the £35 billion invested in such funds, just under £20 billion has been affected.
For those readers who live in the UK, or are invested in UK mutual funds, this is reason to tremble at the knees.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
What Will Happen To the Stock Market When Interest Rates Rise? / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
Interest rates have been in a freefall for the better part of the past two decades. Moreover, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury, which is the flagship interest rate benchmark, has mostly been below 2% since the beginning of 2012. The 10-year Treasury note did reach 3% by the end of 2013 but has promptly fallen ever since to its current level of 1.59 percent.
In contrast, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 hovers at an all-time high. Moreover, after the stock market bottomed in February 2009 as a result of the Great Recession, stock market investors have enjoyed a strong bull market that is now almost halfway into its 8th year running. Interestingly, as it relates to the thesis of this article, the stock market had one of its best performances in 2013 in spite of the 10-year Treasury note rising from 1.78% to 3.04% by the end of the year. To be clear, in direct conflict with conventional wisdom, both the stock market and interest rates rose dramatically in 2013.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
How to Escape the World’s Biggest Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By Justin Spittler
It’s the top story in the investment world right now…
As we showed you yesterday, the S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high, topping 2,130 for the first time since May 2015.
But it's not just stocks that are ripping higher.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Addicted to Debt - We Can’t Borrow from the Future Anymore / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
While everyone was talking about Brexit last month, the Bank for International Settlements released its 86th annual report.
Based in Basel, Switzerland, the BIS functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
The Bank of Central Banks Reveals the Biggest Threat to the Global Financial System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is in the unique position of serving global economic stability in general… and central banks in particular.
It functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Not Everything Is Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
There are quite a few bearish indications that suggest lower precious metals prices are just around the corner. Let's take a look at a few of them (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Don’t Get Sucked Back Into the Stock Market - The Big Picture Hasn’t Changed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By Justin Spittler
Stocks are on a tear right now…
Today, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high. It topped 2,130 for the first time since May 2015. The benchmark index is now up 6.9% over the past two weeks.
All good, right?
It might seem that way…if we were only analyzing U.S. stocks.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Stocks are Pressing Against Their Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX is nudging at the Trading Channel trendline at 2170.00. A decline beneath it would be considered an aggressive sell signal. More conservative traders would still consider the trendline at 2160.00 as an aggressive sell signal, instead. Take your pick. There is still time for the trade to develop.
Aggressive traders should be used to whiplash by now. However, there is much to be said about a well-placed trade.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Silver – Caught Inside / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Most short term investors know better. At worst, silver is a survival story. At best it is an investment for the ages.
Some place in between it is an intermediate investment, albeit a very emotional and volatile one. Current financial conditions mandate survival as the primary focus. And the essence of financial survival is return of investment.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Gold Price Time For A Bounce, But Probably Not A Bottom Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Sentiment got a little too bearish and price is bouncing off the 38% Fibonacci retracement. Ideally though I’d like to see one more lower low next week to break the cycle uptrend line before trying to call a bottom.
I’d like to see a bit more bearish sentiment and some panic selling. DCL’s should create fear and cause traders to think price is rolling over. That usually requires a trend line break to get technical traders on the wrong side of the market before price resumes the uptrend.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
S&P 500 At New All-Time High - Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral