Wednesday, October 05, 2016
Mike Pence Beats Tim Kaine to Win VP Debate Triggering Trump Bounce / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Donald Trump has been having a disastrous time following loss of the 1st Presidential debate to Hillary Clinton and then leak of his 1995 tax return as illustrated by the betting market. However, now there is sliver of hope for Trump's campaign as his running mate, Mike Pence beat Tim Kaine in the Vice Presidents debate as the post debate odds have marginally shifted in Trumps favour.
Trump could learn a lesson or two from Pence on how to win debates, which apparently is NOT by going on the defensive as Trump repeatedly did to salvos from Hillary but by just completely ignoring the attacks and instead go on the attack or try to win the audience by telling them what they wanted to hear. Though of course "Mr Know it All" Trump listens to NO ONE!
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Key Breakdowns after Silver’s Final Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The end of the previous week was rich in signals as gold, silver and mining stocks all reversed along with the USD Index. Gold closed the week below the rising support line and the implications should not be ignored even by those who usually focus on fundamentals alone.
Why? Because in the short- and medium term, the important technical developments will shape the price – not the fundamentals. Why should one care? In early 2008 silver was priced above $20 and in late 2008 it was priced below $10, even though the fundamental outlook didn’t change. Similar price swings can make a lot of money for those who pay close attention to what’s going on – but knowing about positive fundamentals is not enough.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Stock Market September 30- October 3 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
The Hybrid Lindsay model points to a high early this week (if not last Friday). While there are other highs and lows scheduled, the next important low is due late this month and getting there should be quite a “ride” if the Three Peaks/Domed House pattern is correct.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Assessing the Short-Term Outlook for Gold and Silver and the Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger assesses the gold-silver ratio and its ramifications for the market.
I want to go on the record and state categorically that, in my opinion, technical analysis is of limited value when trying to predict the short-term movements of precious metals. However, there are millions of traders and investors out there who believe that it does work despite interventions, manipulations, and the ability of the bullion banks to fabricate a surrogate for actual physical gold by way of paper futures. In light of that, the short-term technical set-ups for gold and silver and the miners are all different in that after Friday's month-end bombardment, which originated in the London options market, that formidable uptrend line that began in December 2015 has finally been vanquished.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
WARNING: the Bond Markets Are Signaling Something MASSIVE is Coming / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
To understand the financial markets, you need to understand the hierarchy of asset classes.
That hierarchy is as follows:
Globally, the stock market is about $69 trillion in size, trading about $191 billion in shares per day.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
NIRP is the Fuel that Will Rocket Gold Price to $5,000 or Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For decades, the primary argument by Warren Buffett and other financial elites for not owning gold was that “gold doesn’t pay you anything.”
Once the ECB took interest rates to NIRP in 2014, this argument became null and void. In a world in which bonds are charging you to hold them, gold with its ZERO yield has become attractive as an investment.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Deutsche Bank - The Next Financial Crisis Will Come from Europe! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A financial system stability assessment report, from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), on one bank in Europe identified Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE: DB), as the TOP bank that poses the greatest systemic risk to the global financial system. Systemic risk was identified as a major contributing factor in the ‘financial crisis’ of 2008. This is essentially the risk of contagion by the failure of one firm leading to failures throughout its’ industry.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen’s Plan B: “Intervene Directly” in Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
By Stefan Gleason : October could see a ramping up of volatility across all asset markets. The month is notorious on Wall Street for the 1987 stock market crash. Fall crashes also occurred in 2002 and 2008.
Are we due for another one? Perhaps. Some analysts think it will come after the election. Others think the stock market will stay elevated until the Federal Reserve raises rates.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Are U.S. Banks Safer Today Than They Were In 2008? / Commodities / Banking Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Although the seeds of the 2008 ‘financial crisis’ were sown at a much earlier period of time, the banking institutions continued to reap the benefits of ‘easy money’ until the financial crisis of 2008 negatively impacted the economy. The damage would have been much larger had U.S. taxpayer’s money not been used to bail out a large number of struggling banks and companies.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Deutsche Bank Could Be the Demise of Germany / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
The first bad news broke following the third quarter of 2015. Deutsche Bank reported a loss of $7 billion. The news just keeps coming with low or negative earnings thanks to bad loans in Germany and abroad.In my February 19, 2016 edition of The Leading Edge, I issued a clear and stern warning about Deutsche Bank and about a second banking crisis looming. I explicitly said…
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
The End of US Dollar Dominance? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
The end of U.S. dollar dominance may be unfolding in front of our eyes. No, we don't think China's ascent is the key threat; instead, key to understanding the U.S. dollar may be to understand the money market fund you might hold. Let me explain what's unfolding in front of our eyes, and what it might mean for the U.S. dollar and global markets.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Could a S&P500 Stock Market Flash Crash be Round the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: John_Mesh
There has been general speculation among the trading community recently about the possibiity of a flash crash of the types in 1988. In our morning meeting, we looked at some triggers which can potentially cause a major correction. We will look at if there is any real posibility. As many of you know, we do not like to just talk some nonsense about gold and Silver being precious metals and S&P500 as worthless papers and hence S&P 500 should be trading at under 10 and gold to be at 10,000. That kind of talk we leave to the uninformed punters of the kind we find at various bearish sites. MESH framework is a statistical tool which analyses various trading instruments for trading opportunities. Here we will look at the posibility of a major risk aversion this month.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
An Offset Mortgage Could be a Saviour for Savers / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
Borrowers with a separate mortgage and savings account are currently faced with rock-bottom savings rates, meaning they get little return for stashing their cash. By combining the two products into an offset mortgage, borrowers will not only be able to reduce the size of their mortgage, but save thousands of pounds in mortgage interest. They could be particularly beneficial at present, as research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the average offset fixed rate has fallen further.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
FTSE BrExit Stock Market Panic Crash Resolves towards New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Remember how BrExit was supposed to trigger a stock market crash, collapse, bear market, with the mainstream press's panic reporting Brexit morning (June 24th) following the FTSE's early morning 5% mark down in the wake of the UK voting to LEAVE the EU.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Donald Trump Presidency Reality Show, Path to US Election Win / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst today the battle rages for the US Presidency, ultimately through shear stubbornness the character of Donald Trump appears destined to be victorious which would herald in 4 years of the Trump Presidency reality show, one of a series of sophisticated CGI victories as America takes back control, builds the 'Trump Wall' and of course defeats ISIS whilst slaying the Democratic horde.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Internet Censorship as UN Intervenes into American Society / Politics / Internet
By: BATR
By now you have heard that the control of ICANN has been ceded to the globalists. The Wall Street Journal acknowledges that An Internet Giveaway to the U.N. is the result of this transfer. A last ditch attempt to forestall this treachery was dashed by the Court rejects Arizona lawsuit suit over US control of internet group. This ruling comes as no surprise. The pattern of systematic international integration is the hallmark of efforts to stamp out national sovereignty and independent countries. The United Nations from the very beginning of its inception has been a fraud of incalculable proportions and a nemesis on humanity.
Monday, October 03, 2016
Get Free Commodity Market Forecasts! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Dear trader,
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For 5 opportunity-filled days -- at ZERO cost to you -- you will enjoy premium video forecasts from one of the world's foremost Elliott wave experts, Jeffrey Kennedy. Each video gives you real-time analysis, charts, forecasts and actionable trading ideas and tips to help you find the best commodity opportunities.
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Monday, October 03, 2016
Gold Price Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
The Gold market continues to be lethargic. Two weeks ago, negative rumblings about Deutsche Bank pushed Gold higher out of the Half Cycle Low. But the move quickly stalled on a gold price reversal, ensuring that the current Daily Cycle (DC) would remain Left Translated.
Gold’s current sluggishness is not unexpected, however. 18 weeks into any Investor Cycle should see sellers largely controlling the action, and I’d expect that to be the case with Gold until it finds an Investor Cycle Low (ICL).
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Monday, October 03, 2016
An Interest Rate Hike Would Be Ugly for US Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : I’ve taken bond math classes out the wazoo. The best of them was in the summer of 2001 at Lehman Brothers. Lehman Brothers wasn’t going to teach a bad bond math class, not at the firm that became synonymous with bond trading itself. I was ready to start whipping ‘em around. Pity I ended up in stocks.
Now, the tables have been turned, and I am the old, wizened professor, dropping some knowledge on the younger generation. I occasionally teach finance to MBA students, and there are a couple of chapters on bonds where the students have to get their calculators out.
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Monday, October 03, 2016
Deutsche Bank #1 Systemic Risk at $100 Billion (BNP Paribas 2nd, Societe Generale 3rd) / Companies / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds may be interested in a cornucopia of relevant numbers on Deutsche Bank including market cap, leverage, capitalization, deposits, liquidity, derivatives multiple ways, and systemic risk.
Systemic risk numbers are from Nobel Laureate Robert Engle.
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