Sunday, September 11, 2016

Stock Market Predicts Donald Trump Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Austin_Galt

Some of you know that I like to forecast fundamentals based on my view of the technicals. We have had success with this in the past predicting a No vote in the Greek referendum on the EU bailout when polls suggested the Yes vote would prevail and also recently predicting a Brexit Leave vote when a vote to Remain was clearly favoured by the polls.

I believe the markets have a sixth sense and wrote an article about this titled The Sixth Sense of Markets, produced on the 14th April 2016, which is available to view on my website.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The failure of Gold and gold stocks to sustain recent gains coupled with a strong selloff to close the week dashes any hope that the correction ended last week. The charts and probabilities argue that the sector remains in a larger correction and perhaps has started the C portion of a typical A-B-C (down-up-down) correction.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

GDX Stocks Update.. : Welcome to “The Zone” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Welcome to PM Trader’s Nightmare.

We’ve been following the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes which is showing the on going correction or consolidation phase of the first big move up off the January low. This first daily chart shows the unbalanced double top which is the first reversal point in this new consolidation phase. The double top has a price objective down to the 24.50 area which was almost touched late last week. As you can see the double top trendline has held resistance on two separate occasions with the second one taking place this week. At this point we still don’t have a confirmed low which could launch the second reversal point to the upside yet. The price action is in the middle of no man’s land presently.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Stock Market SPX Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another boring week until Friday. The market started the week at SPX 2180. After opening at SPX 2184 on Tuesday, it dropped to 2175 in the first hour of trading, then hit a higher high at the close. On Wednesday the SPX hit the high for the week at 2188. After that it declined into the close on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.3%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.4%. Economic reports for the week were light and slightly positive. On the downtick: ISM services and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: consumer credit, investor confidence, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week, another options expiration week, reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI and retail sales. Best to your week!

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Gold And Silver Are Money. Everything Else Is Debt. Globalist’s Biggest Scam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Last week, in “Fiat ‘Dollar’ Says Gold And Silver Will Struggle,” we said the following:
[See 4th paragraph]

Money does not exist in this country.  In fact, money does not exist anywhere in the world. What is money?  So few people know, and many who profess to know do not.  Money is a commodity with a recognized value.  Gold and silver remain the last known standard of real money.  Remember J P Morgan’s famous words:  “Gold is money.  Everything else is credit.”

The globalists, through their creation of the Federal Reserve, have sold the biggest lie ever to the world and continue to get away with it.  People everywhere believe the fiat-created Federal Reserve Note, falsely called the “dollar,” is actually a monetary dollar.  We have often stated how Federal Reserve Notes are evidences of debt issued by the Fed.  We also always add that debt is not and can never be money, yet almost every American wrongly believes debt is money because they believe the Fed “dollar” is money.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Jubilee Jolt: Dow Down 400, Stocks Smashed In Biggest Drop Since Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

It was just two days ago that we wrote, “Gold Has Biggest One Day Rally Since Brexit as Elites Rush Into Gold”.

Now, to end the week, US stocks had their biggest drop since Brexit on Friday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 394.46 points, or 2.1%, to 18085.45, and the S&P 500 declined 2.45%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.5%.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Are These Billionaire Bets Ringing Bells at the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The billionaires are coming out of the woodwork.

Carl Icahn paid his way through Princeton playing poker. The man understands risks and has accrued one of the largest fortunes in history playing the markets. Regardless of whether or not you think he’s a shark when it comes to activism, he usually wins and wins big.

Icahn is more bearish now than at any point in his life. He has 149% NET short the market.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Stock Market Hard Gap Down And Run.... Fed Governor's Talking Rate Hike... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When you have negative divergences on an index chart, or any chart for that matter, you're waiting for a gap down to occur in order to get that negative divergence to kick in and create real down side action. The gap down we saw today was quite powerful, but what was even more impressive was the gap and run lower. Many times we get a gap down, but most of the damage is done in the first few minutes. After that the market starts to recover and all is forgiven. This gap down didn't have those characteristics. Quite the opposite. It gapped down quite nicely and kept running lower. A sign of real selling from the big boys and girls who rule price. A negative divergence can be in place for weeks or months before the right candle stick hits and carries it appreciably lower.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Unlock Your Inner Contrarian With This Free Report on Apple, S&P and more. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Consider the common thread in these recent market calls:

Forecast: A 70% decline in the base commodity that runs the industrialized world (when most traders were bullish).

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Will Kill Economic Growth / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

For years I have argued that ultra-low interest rates act more as an economic sedative than a stimulant. This idea has elicited laughter from the economic establishment. But it is becoming clearer that rates set by central banks that are far below the levels that free markets would have otherwise determined have dragged the world into the economic mud. The simple proof is currently arising in Europe where negative interest rates are now transforming companies from agents of growth, production, and employment into financial sloths that exist solely to borrow money.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Gold Stocks Massive Price Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have suffered a terrible month, plunging in a serious selloff.  The resulting carnage has left investors and speculators shaken, wondering if this red-hot sector’s blistering new bull this year has already run out of steam.  These fears are misplaced, as massive corrections are common in major gold-stock bulls.  They create bulls’ best buying opportunities in sentimental, technical, and fundamental terms.

It’s easy to understand why gold-stock sentiment is so bearish today, as this sector has been trashed since early August.  In less than a month the gold miners went from 2016’s overwhelmingly-dominant top-performing sector to bear-market-grade losses!  Falling from heroes to zeroes in such a short span of time is enough to test the resolve of even the most-hardened contrarians.  It’s a tough turn of events to weather.

Friday, September 09, 2016

USD/JPY Could Be Supported by BOJ Policy Stance / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

easyMarkets writes: When the Bank of Japan released its last monetary policy statement, many analysts expected that they would follow suit with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the rest of the Japanese government by releasing a large stimulus plan. Prime Minister Abe’s plan gave a 28 trillion yen stimulus plan to bolster the economy. However, the Bank of Japan did not follow suit. Instead, they decided on increasing dollar-lending and exchange traded fund purchases. Despite negative interest rates, no changes were made to the base interest rate or to the current bond-purchase program.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Stock Market Sell Signals Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has broken the 50-day Moving Average at 2164.60 and is challenging the 2-hour Cycle Bottom. Because this is the crash decline, it may not stop for the trendline, either.

The SPX decline has a lot of downside work to do, so don’t be surprised.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Stock Market - The Sh-- Hits the Fan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket is down, breaking through the 2-hour mid-Cycle support and challenging the 50-day Moving Average. Should the SPX open beneath the 50-day, it may open the floodgates of selling.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Gold During Presidential Election Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Let’s analyze the chart below which shows how gold performed each year of the presidential election cycle. The first year of a presidency is a post-election year, the second is called the midterm election year, the third is the pre-election year, and the last year is an election year. For the yellow metal, the post-election year is the worst, as it gains only 2.27 percent, on average. On the contrary, the second year of the presidency is the best for the price of gold, as the shiny metal rallies 12.82 percent, on average. The pre-election (11.21 percent) and election (8.99 percent) years are between, but gold’s highest performance is evidently closer to the midterm year.

Friday, September 09, 2016

The ECB’s Private Deals Are Distorting the European Markets / Stock-Markets / ECB Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

ECB President Mario Draghi famously pledged to do “whatever it takes” to restore eurozone growth. His attempts to fulfill that promise have led to NIRP and other bizarre policies like the central bank’s massive asset purchases.

Whether the ECB’s interventions are helping the eurozone economy is not yet clear. But they are certainly having consequences. One is the appearance, if not the reality, of central bank interference and favoritism.

Friday, September 09, 2016

2017 Will Be a Good Year for the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : If you go back to the 1990s, during the Clinton years, the US followed an explicit strong dollar policy. Every time you got Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin in front of a microphone, he said the US had a strong dollar policy.

And guess what? The dollar was strong.

What are the benefits of a strong dollar?

Friday, September 09, 2016

‘Helicopter Money Coming’ – Exclusive Interview With Top Hedge Fund Manager Tom Conrad / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jeff_Berwick

TDV: Hello, Tom, thanks for sitting down with us once again. We last talked to you more than a year ago. At the time you predicted a significant stock market crash and only a month later the Dow reflected your position with a huge intra-day crash. There was huge volatility throughout the fall.

Tom Conrad: Yes, and then again in at the beginning of January of 2016.

TDV: It’s not over yet, of course.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Sugar Price Set To Correct / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Austin_Galt

The sugar price has experienced a solid move up off the lows putting in a high back in July at $21.10. Since then price looks to be in a process of distribution and I expect a more substantial correction to take place.

Let's take a bottom up approach to the analysis beginning with the daily chart.

Friday, September 09, 2016

Gold Has Biggest One Day Rally Since Brexit As Elites Rush Into Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

The multi-day Brexit gold surge back in June was the biggest upward move since 2008 with gold rallying  4.5% the day after the vote. Yesterday, gold had its biggest one-day rally since, rising 1.6%.

This came on the back of Goldman Sachs revising its September rate hike odds down to 40% from its previous 55% prediction just a few days earlier, and the release of deteriorating manufacturing numbers.