Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Price Cycle Low Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Seems everyone (me included) is trying to spot when the next Intermediate Low in Gold and PMs will be. Again, one of the things I am looking for is a failed short term Trading Cycle to confirm the move into the next Intermediate Low.
Well we now have Failed Trading Cycles in Silver and two Failed Cycles in GDX and GDXJ. Silver and the GDXJ are very oversold here so could we be nearing an Intermediate Bottom (RSI, MACD and Slow Sto are all at or approaching ICL levels)? But Gold is the Cycle driver and the Gold chart is giving me some issues (see my next section).
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Stock Market Volatile Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a very topsy-turvy volatile session. The day started out with a hard gap down, they bounced hard, came down again with another bounce up, came down one more time around the noon hour even harder, and then rallied for the rest of the day. They consolidated late in the day and firmed up to close mixed on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 6.43 at 20,951.47. The S&P 500 was up 1.39 at 2389.52. The Nasdaq 100 was up 1.16 at 5626.32.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Nervous Breakdowns in the Gold and Silver Precious Metals Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The internet is slower than molasses in January and hard to annotate charts, but I got a few updated. Below is the combo chart for the PM complex we’ve been following which shows the dominate pattern being the triangle consolidation pattern. Just before I left the price action was breaking out below the bottom rail and I was looking for a possible backtest to the underside to take one last position. Some had a complete backtest but others didn’t. If you were lucky enough to get that last position great job.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Stocks Huey Looking Haggard These Days, But… / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
HUI is torn, frayed and downright bearish. What’s more, it’s been bearish since it started to drop from the SMA 200 failure point.
In NFTRH, we managed bounce #1 (off the Dec. low) as just that, a bounce. Then we managed bounce #2 as just that, a bounce. It doesn’t take a trained eye to see why; only a rise above the October high would have set an uptrend for bounce #1 and a rise above the February high would have set an uptrend for bounce #2.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Miner Stocks, Metal Proxies and Gold Bugs in Hades ? or just close / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
In a place called PURGATORY, hundreds of Gold Miner Stocks, and thousands of GoldBugz find themselves stranded today as the bodies of JNUG and GDXJ twist in the wind, as they wait to be cut down from the gallows of the GDX / GDXJ RE-Balance.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
French Election Forecast Countdown - Elite Banker Macron vs Fascist Le Pen / Politics / France
All eyes are now on the second and final round of voting to be held in a few days time on 7th May 2017 when Rothschild Banker Macron goes head to head against Fascist Le Pen. The consensus view is that Marine Le Pen just CANNOT Win, as the odds are heavily stacked against her despite a late narrowing in the polls giving Macron a healthy lead of 60% against Le Pen trailing heavily behind on 40%,that's a HUGE 20% gap!
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
New Risk for Investors: Fed Considers Jacking Up Inflation Target / Economics / Inflation
Stefan Gleason : Investors are under-estimating inflation risk. As a consequence, they are under-pricing inflation protecting assets including precious metals.
The Federal Reserve has given itself the objective of engineering an inflation rate of around 2%. However, there are many ways in which real-world inflation can potentially outpace the Fed’s 2% target.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Choose Your Neighborhood Wisely / Housing-Market / Social Issues
To make good on a promise to my wife, a native Texan, we just completed our move from Florida back to Texas.When we left the Lone Star State in 2005 (on her birthday, no less), she told me she’d like to move back when the kids had left the house. With the youngest now a freshman in college, it was time.
We could live anywhere, since my work doesn’t require a geographic center. So last fall we narrowed the search for a new home by considering climate, natural beauty, proximity to a major airport and health care, and travel time to relatives.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Stock Market Largest Bubble Since 1983 - Why to Think Like a Surfer / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
I took up surfing in my early 30s.It didn’t last long. But I learned a tremendous amount from the experience (least of which is that I suck at surfing).
Well, it’s time to think like a surfer.
Your sole focus is to catch the wave.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Sign of Gold and Silver Stocks Outperformance / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
Precious metals moved visibly lower yesterday, but we can’t say the same about gold and silver mining stocks. The miners refused to follow the metals lower and the question is if this is a sign of a local (or major) bottom.
In our opinion, it’s too early to say so. Miners did outperform yesterday, but due to the recent major technical development (namely, the breakdown below the key long-term support line), the implications are not necessarily bullish.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Debt is Financial Life – Nonsense! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
Examine the picture below. The global economy thrives on debt and credit. We purchase essential products using debt/credit. The U.S. dollar bill is a debt of the Federal Reserve. All debt based assets have counter-party risk.
The St. Louis Federal Reserve publishes data on “Total Debt Securities” in $ millions. Note the rapid rise since 1971 after President Nixon encouraged rapid devaluation of the dollar.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Gold, Stocks, Bonds, Currencies Best Investment Practices / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
How does one construct a portfolio in an era of seemingly ever rising and highly correlated asset prices? Years of asset prices moving higher has changed both retail and institutional investors; it has changed the industry; and, in my humble opinion, those changes spell trouble. The prudent investor might want to take note to be prepared.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
The Student Debt Servitude Sham / Politics / Student Finances
Many today strongly believe it is morally wrong to indenture students to the degree of liabilities presently required to achieve the education required to become a productive contributor within our modern society.
The question we need to demand answers to is why has college costs for students exploded upward, while salaries and job positions for graduates has not? What is driving the relentless and inexplicable surge in the debt burden for students and their parents?
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Irish Property Bubble, Housing Market Will Crash / Housing-Market / Global Housing Markets
Irish Property Bubble? Central Bank Governor Denies Is Bubble
Central Bank of Ireland governor Philip Lane yesterday rejected suggestions of an Irish property bubble and that the economy is on the brink of another housing bubble and said the recent increase in house prices is not indicative of a property bubble forming.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 04, 2017
Tesco £5 off Next £40 Shop Vouchers, Discounts, Offers and Club Cards / Companies / Tesco
Once upon a time there was a supermarket giant called Tesco that would literally throw money at its customer so that they continued to shop in its stores for the expressed purpose of maintaining the lions share of the UK retail market at more than double the share of Tesco's nearest rival. The Tesco club card was the flag ship in Tesco's arsenal for retaining big spending customers amongst many weapons of mass consumption such as £5 off for your Next £40 shop vouchers that the checkout tills like lottery machines would spit out every now and then.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Stock Market Pull Back Shallow, More to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market is gradually becoming oversold with much resistance. The cycles suggest a low no later than around Friday this week. May 17th is the next three week cycle top and is also a Saturn turn. Waves tend to equal each other in time and price, especially an "a-b-c" type advance. We are in wave 'b' of that advance. This would suggest a low late in the week probably somewhere near to SPX 2361/62 and a final top (wave 'c') on May 17th near to 2431 (see chart below).
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Silver Bullion On Sale After 10.6% Fall In Two Weeks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Silver down for eleven consecutive days to $16.80/oz
– Further weakness possible and support at $15.73/oz
– Never catch a falling knife – dollar cost average
– Silver buyers love manipulative futures selling
– Thank you ‘Gold and Silver Cartel’ !
Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Stock Market 'Sell in May and Go Away' in 9 out of 11 Countries Makes Sense to Do So / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Most people are probably aware of the saying "sell in May and go away". This popular seasonal Wall Street truism implies that the market's performance is far worse in the six summer months than in the six winter months.
Numerous studies have been undertaken particularly with respect to US stock markets, which confirm the relative weakness of the stock market in the summer.
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Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Bitcoin Blasts Through $1,400 Amid All Time Highs in Every Currency / Currencies / Bitcoin
It was just a few days ago that we trumpeted that bitcoin had hit a new all-time high above $1,330 and it has since blasted through $1400.
And, it hasn’t stopped there… at all.
Bitcoin has continued to smash through new highs nearly hourly since. And today it hit a high of $1,466.88.
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