Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, February 16, 2015

Bubbles, Tensegrity and Fragility  / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

"....I thought sympathetically of nature's having to make all those myriad frustrated decisions each time she made a bubble. I didn't see how she managed to formulate the wake of every ship while managing the rest of the universe if she had to make all those decisions. So I said to myself, "I don't think nature uses π. I think she has some other mathematical way of coordinating her undertakings."—R. Buckminster Fuller, Your Private Sky

About 15 years ago I was lucky enough to see a one man play - a monologue portraying the life of R. Buckminster Fuller, the anti-establishment dreamer-mad genius most famous for geodesic domes. 

Sunday, February 15, 2015

In This Stock Market, Don't Drink the Kool-Aid / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks hit new records last week as central banks around the world continued writing checks to prop up still struggling economies, the price of oil stabilized, Vladimir Putin lured the West into a phony truce in the Ukraine, and Athens and the EU tried to pretend that Greece isn't hopelessly insolvent or that it even matters if it is or isn't.

In other words, investors were once again all too willing to ignore economic reality and drink the Kool Aid being served by central bankers and politicians.

Sunday, February 15, 2015

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

New all time highs. The week started at SPX 2055, gapped down to open the week, then hit 2042 late Monday afternoon. That was the low for the week. Tuesday the market gapped up, and then made higher highs for the rest of the week culminating with an all time high at SPX 2097. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.55%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.00%, and the DJ World index gained 1.75%. On the economic front reports were not quite as rosy. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories. On the downtick: retail sales, export/import prices, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit increased. Next week, after the Monday holiday, we get reports on the NY/Philly FED, Housing and Industrial production.

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Markets Outlook 205 on Euro, Gold & Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: EWI

Experienced traders say that sometimes, just 2 or 3 good trades make their entire year.

True: If you get in early and ride the trend for a few weeks or months, that may be all you need. That's why having a perspective on the markets is so important.

That's also why, our friends at Elliott Wave International, have hand-picked the best clips from their trader-focused "Outlook 2015" video series to share with you and give you a fresh perspective in 5 key markets: EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPJPY, Crude Oil & Gold

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Nasdaq On Breakout...Greece On Deck / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

When you're either a few points above or below a critical area of resistance, not getting through doesn't mean you failed to make it and that things are heading south. On the other hand, if you clear resistance by just a few points it doesn't mean you're really made the breakout. You want to see a forceful failure or you want to see a forceful push through on the close. That tells you if things are bearish or bullish. So we'll just say the S&P 500 is real close to making a strong breakout and that could come on Tuesday if the news is just right on Monday. We'll talk about that later on in this letter. A close above today was good, but it's just not far enough above to call it a breakout in my world. I like at least half a percent, if not more on a closing basis. A nice day for the bulls as the oscillators stayed overbought on the short-term charts. Can you say froth? I think you can. It continues to rock on.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Jim Rogers on Opportunities in Russia and Other Hated Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

Nick Giambruno: Welcome, Jim. As you know, Doug Casey and I travel the world surveying crisis markets, and we always like to get your take on things. Today I want to talk to you about Russia, which is a very hated market right now. What are your thoughts on Russia in general and on Russian stocks in particular?

Jim Rogers: Well, I’m optimistic about the future of Russia. I was optimistic before this war started in Ukraine, which was instigated by the US, of course. But in any case, I bought more Russia during the Crimea incident, and I’m looking to buy still more.

Friday, February 13, 2015

This One Stock Investing Tool Made the Difference between Bankruptcy and $13 Million / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There’s an old joke that’s made its way around financial circles over the years. It goes something like this:

An investment banker walks into a room where his cohorts are in a meeting. “I’ve got good news and bad news,” he announces. “The bad news is, we’ve just lost $100 million. The good news is, it wasn’t ours.” An associate raises his hand. “What was the bad news again?”

It’s humor, but there’s more than a grain of truth to the story. Whether we’re talking about brokers, bankers, or even your most trusted financial advisor, you cannot rely on anyone else to care about your money and keep it safe.

Friday, February 13, 2015

EuroStoxx May be Completing Stock Market Top Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

STOXX may have completed an Ending Diagonal Minor Wave C of Intermediate Wave (5) this morning on its 189th day of the current Master Cycle with a nominal new high this morning. This can be attributed to the European GDP positive surprise reported this morning.

However, Greek bank liquidity is deteriorating rapidly. About 12 billion Euros were withdrawn from Greek banks in January and probably even more so after the snap election. It appears that we are on the cusp of some major changes in Europe, starting today or this weekend.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Stock Market Kicked Can May Have Bounced Against a Wall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Here’s a new one. Micro Wave iii is 1.5 times the size of Micro Wave i. You would think that Micro Wave v would be 1.5 time the size of Micro Wave iii, but no…at 2089.04 Micro Wave v is 2X the size of Micro Wave iii! I have not seen such a combination before. Such is the life of an analyst in these times…full of surprises.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Four Dangerous Paths: Wargaming The Greek Crisis From A Global Investment Perspective / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Dan_Amerman

Sharp-edged Risk with a capital "R" has returned to the financial world as a result of Greek voters in overwhelming numbers electing the far left Syriza party and installing Alexis Tsipras as the new prime minister.

The investment world had in some ways grown placid since 2012, the days when the financial woes of the heavily indebted and economically troubled PIIGS  (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece & Spain) dominated global financial headlines, and when a possible Greek default last threatened to bring down the financial world.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

You Can’t Stop Progress, Supposedly / Stock-Markets / Technology

By: John_Mauldin

Jared Dillian writes: I am a sometimes gold bug and hard-money advocate, and a hard-core fiscal conservative. I have a pretty bearish outlook on the markets, I am generally skeptical of company management and especially journalists, and I think most investors, even the professional ones, are clueless.

I’m one of those hopeless romantics who pays down his debt (often ahead of schedule), would never ask for a bailout, and would be loath to sign up for unemployment benefits or even Social Security. If I looked hard enough, I could probably find a tinfoil hat that fits.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

USDCAD and German DAX Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD has turned nicely lowest recently, and seems like top for wave B) could already be in place. We however need a five wave decline from 1.2696 to confirm a change in trend. If market will stay bearish today and close somewhere beneath or around 1.2500 then we could be considering shorts soon.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Ukraine Cease-Fire Deal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, February 12, 2015

SPX Hanging on a Thread, Gold & Crude Resume their Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX has rallied marginally higher, turning the formation from January 6 low into a double zigzag formation. A regular correction is usually a single zigzag. We can infer from this action that the central banks are buying time, literally.

The thinking apparently is, “The more elevation, the lesser the decline.” Wrong!

The Cup with Handle formation is still intact.

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Stock Markets End of the 1-year Sideways Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

Investors are starting to feel numb by the lack of action in the broad market. Since December, the Dow and SPX have settled into sideways trading ranges. The NYSE Composite (NYA) has been range-bound since last summer while the Russell 2000 (RUT) has been stuck in a lateral ranges for the past year. While trading ranges don't necessarily result in the loss of capital, its effect on the minds of market participants tend to be significant. Trading ranges are frustrating. When trading ranges become established over a period of months the effects upon investor and mass psychology can even be devastating.

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Casey Club - Unconventional Investing for Unconventional Times / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Marin_Katusa

What is Casey’s Club?

Let me first share the evolution of Casey Research and why I think if you’re a serious speculator, you need to be part of Casey’s Club.

A little over a decade ago, I was a Casey subscriber. At the time, there was only the International Speculator, and the firm was made up of only Doug Casey and David Galland.

But as I got to know the power players in the industry, I learned that the savvy speculators made their millions investing via private placements (PPs) and clip and collect warrants.

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Stock Market Pop-n-drop Tuesday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The [i] – [ii] Elliott Wave pattern appears to be nearing completion between 2056.00 and 2060.00. The Premarket is already geared up and USD/JPY has been summoned to help, completing a retracement to 119.44. Most of the currency pair’s strength comes from a brief surge in the USD, also this morning. It appears that the link between SPX performance and USD/JPY hasn’t broken yet. However, that may change as the Yen’s heretofore weak performance firms up.

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Syriza Defies Technocrats, US Pressures EU, Greeks Buy Gold / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldCore

- Tsipras to push ahead with counter-reforms “in their entirety”

- Dijsselbloem tells Syriza it must comply with Troika this week or have funding cut from February 28th

- Varoufakis calls the Eurogroups bluff – does not believe EU would risk expelling Greece from Euro

- US apply pressure on EU to keep Greece in the fold, fears “Grexit” would push Greece into Russia’s arms

- Greeks buying gold as insurance against uncertainty

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Will the 1998 Russian Financial Meltdown Repeat Itself? / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

History never repeats itself exactly, but many similarities between the past and the current Russian crisis suggest that the eastern bear could significantly falter in the future:

1. The collapse of the ruble and its scope (Graph 2). The ruble lost over two thirds of its value in 1998. In 2014 it has lost more than half of its value against the dollar. Also the ruble’s unusual one-day falls are similar: Russian currency plunged 22 percent December 15 and 16, 2014 -an echo of the 27 percent fall August 17, 1998.

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Fourth Turning – The Shadow Of Crisis Has Not Passed / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: James_Quinn

“Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault line of an earthquake. All you know in advance is something about the molten ingredients of the climax, which could include the following: