Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
We All Know a Stock Market Black Swan Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Last week I wrote to my trading service subscribers that most of the hurdles facing the stock market were out in front of us, that we could see them, and that as long as the market climbs that “wall of worry” the path of least resistance for stocks, for the moment at least, appears to be up.
However, the known worries aren’t what worry me – it’s the black swans.
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Global Stock Market Breakout Starts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
After over six months of concern that the 6-year old world bull market was coming to an end, a collective upside breakout has developed.
Lead, first by the U.S. markets, and then one-by-one, global equity markets started to follow and advance.
Japan's Nikkei, one of the key world indexes, broke to a new high in Q4 and then advanced to a new 10-year high in February.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Global System Catastrophe Is Key Threat To Human Civilisation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: GoldCore
– Oxford Scientists Cite “Global System Catastrophe” Among 12 Plausible Threats To Civilisation
- “Global System Catastrophe” More Of A Possibility Than Most Western People Suspect
- Study Described As A “Scientific Assessment About The Possibility Of Oblivion”
- Other Threats Include Nuclear War, Environmental Degradation, Geological Events and Out of Control Technology
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Greece Crisis Yields Ideal Market Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: Now that Greece has a new government, its focus on debt negotiations continue with a different front man representing the beleaguered country.
Citizens remain skeptical at best and are rushing to get their money out of Greek banks while Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras makes overtures to Russia and China for funds to alleviate the country's fiscal crisis.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market Trading at New Record High - Will Uptrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, February 23, 2015
When the Contract Has No Clothes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Signed, Sealed, Delivered I'm Yours
Like a fool I went and stayed too long
Now I'm wondering if your love's still strong
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
Then that time I went and said goodbye
Now I'm back and not ashamed to cry
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market Beyond the Twilight Zone, Dow Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Joseph_Russo
Upon peeling back several layers of the reality onion in the mid-to-late 1990's, we were convinced way back then of the Twilight Zone reality that the world had come to embrace. Given all that has transpired since then, we are now well beyond the Twilight Zone.
It's been a long, long time since financial markets have reflected what's actually taking place in the world around us, and as such, it's been a similarly long time since we've bothered attempting to try and correlate the two.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market - The Fed Still Has Your Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
I’ve watched for several years now has one analysts after another has tried to call the top of this bull market. I would argue that the world is in a severe deflationary environment and in order to hold those deflationary forces at bay central banks simply can’t allow stock markets to top.
The Fed made the mistake of allowing stocks to crash in 2008 and it intensified the recession. They made another mistake in that they let the inflation in the stock market leak into the commodity markets in 2008 causing oil and gasoline to surge higher exacerbating the pressure on consumers.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market New Highs With Weak Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 22, 2015
This Greek Tragedy is a Global Farce / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Karl Marx famously wrote that history tends to repeat itself -the first time as tragedy, the second as farce. The European economic situation can certainly be described as a Greek tragedy that has once again lapsed into farce with a decision this week to "kick the can down the road" by extending the bankrupt country's bailout for four months.
The other farce that played out last week was the U.S. stock market taking the Greek drama seriously enough to use it as an excuse to rally to new highs.
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Sunday, February 22, 2015
Stock Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2097. It made a new high on Tuesday, pulled back some, then another new high on Thursday, pulled back on options expiration Friday, then ended the week at new highs. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.85%. On the economic front reports again came in biased to the downside. On the uptick: industrial production, building permits, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, housing starts, the PPI, capacity utilization, and the monetary base. Next week we get reports on Q4 GDP, the CPI and more housing.
Saturday, February 21, 2015
Dow New Stock Market All time High as Greece Surrenders to Germany / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow stocks index set a new all time high Friday, closing up 155 at 18,140, that actually marks the first new all time high of 2015 as the Dow more than recouped the weakness that began late December that had seen the Dow fall to a low of 17,037 by the start of February.
Saturday, February 21, 2015
Greece Gets An Extension... Stock Market Froth Out Of Control.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Early this morning we saw the futures pulling down as the Nasdaq in particular was very overbought on its short-term sixty-minute chart. Not just overbought but ugly overbought. Thankfully, we saw a nice little gap down to start the day and better yet, it ran lower. I turned my eye to the sixty-minute chart on the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) to see where support was and once it hit the 20-day exponential moving average that was the end of the selling. Slowly, but very surely, the market started to climb its way back up. As the day moved on an agreement between the EU and Greece was reached for a four month extension and up we went yet again. Every excuse a bull can find is met with a ticks higher on the indexes.
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Saturday, February 21, 2015
The Morris Massey Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
I first started working in the financial markets—as a clerk on an options exchange—in November of 1999.
Four months before the top.
So over the first three formative years of my career, stocks only went down, not up. Not only did they go down, but they went down relentlessly. Demoralizing everyone. Extinguishing all hope.
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Saturday, February 21, 2015
Are Conditions Setting The Market Up For A Summer Washout? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sy_Harding
Here is what we can quite confidently depend on.
The stock market makes most of its gains each year in a favorable period of November to May, and if there is a serious correction it usually takes place between May and October.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Stock Market Topping Process is Nearing Resolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A very small 12-point Minute Wave [v] ending at 2102.13 may have been all there is to this rally. Since then the Diagonal trendline has been broken and SPX remains beneath it. There seems to be only one alternate pattern…another Broadening Top formation, if it chooses to rally above the Diagonal trendline.
Today is a Trading Cycle Pivot day, while tomorrow is a Primary Cycle turn day. A decline beneath 2085.44 may confirm the decline has begun. A ramp to a marginal new high postpones the turn until Monday.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Beware the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets’ latest record highs have left traders exceedingly euphoric and complacent. They are utterly convinced this stock bull will power higher for years to come. But their enthusiasm is very misplaced. In real inflation-adjusted terms, the US stock markets only just regained breakeven levels 15 years after the last secular bull peaked. Now the secular stock bear ever since is overdue for a new cyclical bear.
The flagship benchmark index for tracking the US stock markets is the mighty S&P 500, often shortened to SPX. The whole financial world literally revolves around this dominant index, with most global equity markets and even some major commodities markets like oil usually mirroring it. American stock traders can directly trade the SPX through a handful of gargantuan ETFs including the leading SPY S&P 500 ETF.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Monetary Policy Gone Wild - When the Best Offense is Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The day is coming when a single carrot freshly observed will set off a revolution. -Paul Cezanne
I'm on a group email list, an old fashioned list-service of mainly technology and science geeks.
While there are lots of witty, seemingly intelligent and often emotional debates on all manner of issues, to my dismay there is rarely a significant discussion about of financial or economic issues.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
The Myth That This Time Is Different / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Money_Morning
Remember subprime?
It’s not that it’s back. It never left.
But this time is different.
Remember how low interest rates led investors into buying packaged, securitized boxes with black holes?
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Thursday, February 19, 2015
Does Economic Stagnation Create Dangerous Financial Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Dan_Amerman
The Federal Reserve has a seemingly odd fear about the markets that may appear completely upside down to most investors – but this fear is so serious it is helping to determine the Fed's actions, even as it poses a potentially acute risk for investors. As reported in MarketWatch on February 19th, there was a wide ranging discussion at the January, 2015 meeting about if and when to raise interest rates, and this was part of the discussion:
"Fed members who supported an early move said they were concerned that holding rates low for too long might lead to asset bubbles."
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