Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, September 08, 2017
Copper, Oil, Gold and US Stocks: Markets Big Picture Status / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
Sometimes I like to trot these lumbering monthlies out so we can quiet everything down and see where various markets are slowly heading.
First of all, as I go down with my ‘strengthening US dollar’ ship*, I also mal-projected copper’s upside. I’d felt that $3/lb. would cap Doctor Copper because it is very clear lateral resistance at a handy 38% Fib retrace.**
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Thursday, September 07, 2017
Is Copper Signalling inflation or Higher Stock Market Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Sol_Palha
An idealist is one who, on noticing that a rose smells better than a cabbage, concludes that it is also more nourishing.
- L. Mencken
Many pundits associate higher copper prices with inflation. While this is true to a degree, that is the wrong metric to focus on. Higher copper prices are usually associated with an improving economy. For the past few years, Copper which is a leading indicator did not trend in sync with the markets. It was marching to a different drum beat, but a new trend could be in the works.
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Wednesday, September 06, 2017
2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.
Wednesday, September 06, 2017
Former Lehman Brothers Trader: Traders Shorting VIX Will Blow Themselves Up / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : The New York Times’ DealBook had a great piece of journalism a couple of days ago about short VIX carry monkeys. Well, that is what I call them.
The article features a former Target logistics manager who has goosed his net worth up to $12 million by betting that the VIX will go down. He is in the process of raising $100 million for a VIX-smashing hedge fund.
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Wednesday, September 06, 2017
Stocks Bears - Where Did Everyone Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brady_Willett
The Fed started hacking interest rates in 2007 and QE3 ended in October 2014. This 7-year period of extraordinary ease, and the nearly 3-year upswing since, has been a difficult time for many market contrarians and so called ‘bears’. To wit, Cornerstone has been missing since 2015, Contrary Investor hasn’t released anything publicly since 2013, and Cross Currents, Beartopia, Financial Armageddon, iTulip, Nystrom, Iacono, and numerous others have gone into deep hibernation. As for Prudent Bear, Tice sold his fund as the crisis began and now the site is trying to look prim and proper (I preferred it when a visit to Prudent Bear meant reading the ‘Bear’s Lair’ and seeing another Tice warning about the coming collapse in the stock market (which, of course, Mr. Tice is still warning of)).
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Tuesday, September 05, 2017
Stock Market Top this Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Cycles pointing to a low near August 21 were successful. We now have cycles and Lindsay models pointing to a high this week.
Middle Section forecasts point to a top this week. The high on 7/16/14 counts 575 days to the low of the basic decline on 2/11/16. 575 days later is 9/8/17.
No middle section could be found centered on the low of the previous basic decline (10/4/11) that forecasts a turn this week.
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Tuesday, September 05, 2017
North Korea Nuclear Test Poses Little Threat to KOSPI Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Geopolitical tensions intensified after North Korea conducted its sixth and most powerful nuclear test on Sunday, detonating what it said was a hydrogen bomb meant for intercontinental ballistic missile. The United States warned it could launch a “massive” military response if it or its allies were threatened. Most of the Stock Markets in the World reacted negatively to the news with stocks from around the World ending the day in the red.
Monday, September 04, 2017
Stock Market Keeps Us Guessing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX could make a new high before continuing its correcting into October/November.
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Saturday, September 02, 2017
Q4 Stock Market Correction?: Warnings from Citigroup, HSBC and Morgan Stanley / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Danny Deadlock, founder of Microcap.com, cites evidence that the last quarter of 2017 could be troubled for financial markets.
Last week I had the following calendar reminder pop up from November 2015:
"According to Citigroup's chief US equity strategist Tobias Levkovich, stock prices will continue to rise well after the Federal Reserve begins lifting interest rates. The appeal of large U.S. stocks won't diminish until the Fed is "three or four" rate hikes into its tightening cycle—towards the end of next year. History has shown that stock markets don't peak until two years after the first increase of a monetary tightening cycle."
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Saturday, September 02, 2017
5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
You have just 4 months left to hit your 2017 goals. Do you know where the best new market opportunities are? Well, you can... today.
Elliott Wave International, a pioneer in technical market forecasting since 1979, has just released a free report from its team of market veterans, "5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End."
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Saturday, September 02, 2017
Stock Market About As Crazy As It Gets... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
NDX appears to have made its final high this morning. The Triangle formation tells us it is so. Triangles always precede a final high or low in a the trending direction.
Friday, September 01, 2017
Stock Market SPX : Morphology 101 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
Below is a daily chart for the SPX which shows you a good example of a morphing rising wedge. As you can see there was a false breakout above the top rail and then an equal false breakout below the bottom rail, symmetry false breakouts, red circles.
When that occurs we need to adjust the top and bottom trendliness to the new high and low to get the new pattern. The original rising wedge is now shown by the blue dashed trendlines with the new rising wedge the solid blue trendlines.
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Thursday, August 31, 2017
Stocks do this in October in Years Ending in 7 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It has been proven repeatedly by various market experts that stock market cycles exist. Whether you believe in them or not that is up to you, but as a technical trader myself I see price action repeat on virtually all time frames from the intraday charts, to daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, yearly, and beyond.
In fact, cycles tend to move in series of 3’s, 7’s and 10’s, and multiples of these as well. So, 3 bars, 7 bars, 10 bars no matter the time frame, though I find the 10min, daily, weekly, and monthly charts work best.
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Thursday, August 31, 2017
Boomers are Turning 71 - Setting off a Perfect Storm for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Few investors understand the magnitude of the looming demographic crisis and its ramifications.
The first Baby Boomers turned 70 last year. At the same time, the US fertility rate is at its lowest point since records began in 1909.
This disastrous combination means by 2030, those aged 65 and older will make up over 20% of the population.
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Thursday, August 31, 2017
3 Reasons The Stock Market Is Nowhere Near A Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Bearish investors see many reasons to be cautious now and little grounds for optimism. Others are stalwartly bullish. Naturally, I have friends on both sides of this debate, people with deep knowledge and experience.
Problem is, they can’t all be right. The stock market will move up or down (or possibly sideways), and some of us will be wrong.
Now, let’s see what the bulls have to say.
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Thursday, August 31, 2017
Stock Market New Record Highs Ahead Or Just Bounce? S&P 500 Above 2,450 Mark / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: The S&P 500 index may slightly extend its short-term advance today. However, we can see some technical overbought conditions that may lead to a downward correction. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Wednesday, August 30, 2017
Stock Market Overhead Resistance Being Tested / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX rallied above the trendline to a 60.8% retracement of Wave [i], reinforcing my original Wave structure. The Cycles Model suggests a reversal may be imminent. It may occur at or near Trump’s speech this afternoon. This may be the last opportunity to add short positions.
We may see an extension to 2453.00 (61.8% value) or slightly higher.
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Tuesday, August 29, 2017
SPX Futures Challenging Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are down to challenge the Cycle Bottom support at 2430.17 and the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2417.35 with a morning low in the futures at 2421.25. It is currently retesting the Cycle Bottom as resistance and may now have the ability to break the neckline. Since this Cycle has nearly taken 4.3 days (from the 2454.77 high), it is my opinion that this Cycle may take up to 8.6 days.
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Monday, August 28, 2017
The Big Long in World Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Since the decline starting from year 2000, the world has been calling for a huge crash in world indices. The world indices did in fact corrected nicely in the year 2000 and 2009. The correction took the form of a FLAT Elliott wave structure and reached 50%-61.8% of the all-time rally in most of the world indices. This correction is even recorded in a movie titled “The Big Short” telling story about a group of traders shorting the market.
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Monday, August 28, 2017
Stocks Extend Their Fluctuations - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term consolidation. The market may continue to fluctuate today. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. On the other hand, the S&P 500 index remains above support level marked by last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,430.58-2,433.67, and there is no clear short-term downtrend. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish