Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Stocks Are Showing Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX still doesn’t have a completed impulse, but appears unable to make a credible bounce, either. The final hour may give us guidance. So far there is no overlap with Wave (I at 2496.67), so there is still a good probability of a completed impulse by the end of the day or in the overnight market.
His weekend had a strong triple Pivot in the Cycles Model that may indicate the strength of the rally has been played out. If so, we should see the decline continue. The next support is the 50-day Moving Average and mid-Cycle support at 2468.00-2469.00.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Hidden Gems Shows A Foreboding Stock Market Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A quick look at any of the US majors will show most investors that the markets have recently been pushing upward towards new all-time highs. These traditional market instruments can be misleading at times when relating the actual underlying technical and fundamental price activities. Today, we are going to explore some research using our custom index instruments that we use to gauge and relate more of the underlying market price action.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate along the level of 2,500, as it remained close to new record high. The market may extend its short-term consolidation again. The support level is relatively close, at the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Monday, September 25, 2017
After The Apocalypse This Weekend, Buy The Stock Market Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The S&P500 gapped up on Monday to the resistance region we noted last week between 2507-2510SPX. And, after testing it many, many times, it still has not been able to overcome that resistance the entire week.
Not much has stopped this market’s upward trajectory over the last year and a half. In fact, even the pullbacks have been much more shallow than standard pullbacks.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Forming a Reluctant Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: We may be in a position to get “something” started on the downside.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Two Key Indicators Show the S&P 500 Becoming the New ‘Cash’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should.
Do what?
All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following question: What’s a reasonable expectation for the long-term return on a broad-market equity investment?
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Is the Fed About to Burst the Largest Debt Bubble in History? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2017
Let the farce begin.
The Fed meets today to discuss whether or not to begin shrinking its balance sheet. The financial media informs us that this is the single most important Fed meeting in years and that its coming announcement is a game-changer.
Give me a break.
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
As always, I will be adding to this over the weekend and should have all my updates done by 2pm PST on Sunday so please check back then.
Stocks (SPX):
Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term bullish after another new ATH on the SPX this week on day 21. We are slightly lower on day 23 but a 21 day high shifts the odds in favor of a right translated cycle that will make a higher low.
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
A Triangle Consolidation in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I5t appears that a Triangle has formed at the Micro level in the SPX. That explains the week-long sideways consolidation that we’ve seen…and the reason why we haven’t seen the trendline get broken, as well. We may see a pop on Monday morning, so see you there!
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
See why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market
Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.
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Friday, September 22, 2017
USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A very good evening to one and all.
Despite a shock to the system last night,
the sharp USD rally has not invalidated any of the operating wave counts.
Although it is a picture of what is to come for the USD in the near future,
The short term wave counts are pointing to one last push up before completing the larger structures.
Thursday, September 21, 2017
Follow the Money - Why the Stock Market's Up and Why it Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss why the stock market's been up and why it likely won't last. During the last week, the major market indices rallied again. There was no news to account for it. But there was a reason.
The U.S. Treasury has been up against its debt ceiling since March 15 when the ceiling was re-imposed. Since then, there has been no net new issuance from the Treasury. The Treasury has run down its cash balances and borrowed internally from its own resources, which are not subject to the ceiling. This period has been very helpful to the financial markets. With the federal government not selling any net new supply of securities—just rolling the maturing stuff over—the markets have been flush with cash that would otherwise have been absorbed by the government.
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Thursday, September 21, 2017
Short-Term Uncertainty, As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, as it extended its consolidation along 2,500 mark. The market may continue to fluctuate today. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Last Two Times This Happened Was in 2000 and 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market bubble is now so massive that even Goldman Sachs is getting worried.
Let’s be clear here: Wall Street does best and makes the most money when stocks are roaring higher. So in order for a major Wall Street firm like Goldman to start openly worrying about whether or not the markets are going to crash, there has to be truly MASSIVE trouble brewing.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stocks Hit Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
NDX is on an aggressive sell signal. It becomes confirmed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 5903.02.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon. That’s probably because bubbles happen much more frequently these days.
We never used to get a giant speculative bubble every 7–8 years. But that has been the case since the new millennia.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Infographic: The Everything Bubble Is Ready to Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Waiting Game... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX futures are flat this morning. At this point it appears to be a waiting game between the market and the Fed. There appears to be at least one more probe higher (Ending diagonal). A throw-over above the upper Diagonal trendline is probable. Should that be the case, a decline beneath the Brexit trendline (red) may be an aggressive sell signal while a decline beneath the lower Diagonal trendline near 2495.00 may be a confirmed sell signal.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : With the S&P 500 up 260% since March 2009, investors have been well rewarded for holding US stocks in the recent past.
However, the prime time of US stocks has come to an end. Here’s why.
In a white paper titled The S&P 500: Just Say No, investment research firm GMO projected that returns on US equities would be -3.9% over the next seven years.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A few days ago, former Reagan Budget Director and -apparently- permabear (aka perennial bear) David Stockman did an interview (see below) with Stuart Varney at Fox -a permabull?!-, who started off with ‘the stock rally goes on’ despite a London terror attack and the North Korea missile situation. His first statement to Stockman was something in the vein of “if I had listened to you at any time after the past 2-3 years, I’d have lost a fortune..” Stockman shot back with (paraphrased): “if you’d have listened to me in 2000, 2004, you’d have dodged a bullet”, and at some point later “get out of bonds, get out of stocks, it’s a dangerous casino.” Familiar territory for most of you.
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