Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 08, 2017
The Case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the following charts, I present the case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th, 2017. That is only one week away and would knock about 8.5% off the major average.
I use astrology, Gann & Hurst Cycles, E-Wave and charting techniques to prove my point.
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Tuesday, August 08, 2017
Stock Market Volatility: A Dangerous Game Made Safe / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the coming years, we’ll see much more volatility in the market.The fact that the VIX (or volatility index) has hit its lowest levels ever this year is of course prompting concern that a bear market is lurking in the shadows.
The market boom from late 1982 through late 2007 was based on real fundamentals: the spending wave of the largest generation in history; falling interest rates from rising productivity after the greatest peak in history in 1980 to 1981; the movement of internet and portable computing into mainstream markets.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
CRASH - If Some People Do It, Nothing Bad Happens, But If Everyone Does It, All Hell Breaks Loose / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
BY JARED DILLIAN : In preparation for writing this article, I wanted to brush up on the Crash of 1987, so I let my fingers do the walking:The Crash of ’87 doesn’t even make the list! Wow, short memories.
When I started trading index arbitrage in 2001, people were asking me if index arb caused the Crash of ’87.*
No, index arbitrage didn’t cause the Crash of ’87, nor was it a contributing factor.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
TASI Targets Higher Prices Following Breakout Of Bull Pennant / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
The Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) bull trend is preparing for its next move higher following a pull back towards support. Support can be anticipated anywhere from last week’s low of 7,059 and down to approximately 6,870. The lower part of the range is from previous resistance (now potential support) at the swing high from April 2016. That high marked the top of a large double bottom trend reversal pattern.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
Stock Market - Has Time Run Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 06, 2017
U.S. Dollar: This Crash Signals the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
As the Dow breaches 22,000 and the U.S. dollar slides, Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group, discusses portfolio positioning.
Apple reported earnings this week and the stock surged, taking the Dow Jones above 22,000 points for the first time in history.
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Saturday, August 05, 2017
Parallel Lives: The U.S. Stock Market and The New York City Subway - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The NYC Subway and the Stock Market: See Amazing Parallel Trends and Turns For Yourself.
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Saturday, August 05, 2017
CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.
Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.
Saturday, August 05, 2017
The Crisis of World Automation / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
“Money is an amazing, device without which modern civilization could not function but its introduction and development as a debt-credit accountancy system in the context of an increasingly labor-displacing, intensive capital producing system, involves a number of fundamental issues of which we must become aware of and for which we must compensate through a new economic orthodoxy. Keynesianism is dead. Let us actively bury it and move on, rather than let the corpse rot and its disease destroy the natural creative resourcefulness of nations”.
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Friday, August 04, 2017
How to Win Against the Dangerous Stock Market Investor "Herding Impulse" / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
We all love a bargain...
...Except when it comes to stocks.
The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer's -- but we're far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.
So how does our mind work in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty?
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Thursday, August 03, 2017
Uncertainty At Record Highs, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, August 02, 2017
What Is Widespread Excessive Stock Market Optimism Indicating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I implement these “seasonality” charts as they have been a great framework into all of my trading/investing technical analysis. Seasonality charts are constructed from the past thirty years of historical data.
I implement them as “contrarian indicators”. The “extreme bullishness” is perceived as bearish and the “extreme bearishness” is perceived as bullish!
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Wednesday, August 02, 2017
DOW Jones and EURUSD Changing Fortunes Ahead.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
My Bias: long term bearish
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: Spanish Unemployment Change. USD: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Crude Oil Inventories.
Tuesday, August 01, 2017
A Reversal Coming To U.S. Major Stock Indexes? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Technically speaking, this week could be very important for the major U.S. equity markets. There is an appearance of a “TOPPING PATTERN” forming. I am now awaiting confirmation by the actions of the equity markets, this week. Expect downward pressure beginning this month of August of 2017.
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Tuesday, August 01, 2017
Markets Are Virtually Risk-Free / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
For the last year, I have been looking for what we classify as a wave (3) to strike the 2500SPX region. And, now, we are getting quite close.
Meanwhile, this rally has brought out two camps of market expectations at this juncture, both of which I believe are wearing blinders. We read about those who believe the markets basically have no limit to their upside, and are "virtually risk-free," and we read those who have "known" that the market will imminently crash during this entire 40% rally since February 2016.
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Tuesday, August 01, 2017
NASDAQ Composite Stocks Index Should Pullback Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The following video/chart shows NASDAQ composite index. The index has a tremendous rally since the lows around 1975 which is pretty close to the zero level. The index has reached the bottom of the blue box at 6219 area. The question then is whether the index will extend higher or start correcting lower as the minimal target has been reached. As we often say, Elliott wave theory by itself is not enough. In this case, we can see that from the zero line, we can count the index as a completed ABC. However, we can also count it as an incomplete ABC with a black((4)) still to happen. In the Elliott wave theory, any five waves structure always at one moment is a three wave move. It is therefore too early at this stage to determine if the rally will develop into a five waves move.
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Tuesday, August 01, 2017
Stock Market Bears Are Getting Desperate / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last weekend, I noted that I expect the market to move up towards the 2487SPX region before we are able to see a market top. And, this past week, we struck a high of 2484.04, and saw a strong reaction to the downside.
While the market has continued higher since February 2016 as I expected, we have all read those articles which suggest the top is going to be seen any day now. And, yes, we have seen them almost daily for the entire 40% rally we have experienced since that time.
Many analysts have been pointing to so many different reasons as to why they believe the market is “wrong.” And many more have pointed to reasons they expected the market to crash imminently, such as terrorist attacks, Brexit, Frexit, Trump election, cessation of QE, interest rate hikes, and many more that we all have read. Yes, most were quite certain that the market would never see its current heights and have fought this rally tooth and nail.
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Monday, July 31, 2017
Mixed Expectations As Stocks Trade Along New Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 31, 2017
Why the Stock Market Must Fall Hard! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I have been warning for over a week now about a coming waterfall decline. The wave counts and cycles are at the point where I believe it is a virtual impossibility for the market not to implode Monday for the biggest one day loss of the year.
This next chart shows the daily e-wave count:
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Monday, July 31, 2017
Stock Market Final Minor Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.
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