Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 27, 2017
Where to Find Value in an Overheated Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Charles_Sizemore
“Private equity” can conjure entertaining mental images. I’ve often asked friends to describe what comes to mind for them when I mention the phrase.Here’s a sampling of what they’ve said: An older man in a fancy suit enjoying a single-malt scotch in a private New England club… who takes perverse pleasure in looting a company of its assets before firing all the employees and selling whatever’s left for spare parts. (It’s the old “buy, strip, and flip” routine.)
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 26, 2017
Could the Total Eclipse Sign a Major Financial Markets Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Harry_Dent
Were you one of the lucky ones able to witness the total eclipse yesterday, as it moved on its west to east path across the middle of the U.S.? Whether you did or not, there’s probably something about this event that you HAVEN’T heard…My friend Andrew Pancholi, cycle whiz from London and creator of the Market Timing Report, recently told me that yesterday’s path of totality across the U.S. looked eerily similar to the one that occurred at the beginning of the Civil War… and that this could signal America as the starting point to broader civil wars and political restructurings around the globe.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 25, 2017
Here’s What Matters And What Doesn’t Matter In The Markets Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
In this week’s Outside the Box, good friend and at various times business partner Steve Blumenthal reveals a very useful character flaw and follows up our shared experience at Camp Kotok with some perceptive observations about things he heard there that matter.
He also shares his notes on a recent interview of Ray Dalio by Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Mike McKee. Here, he says, is the stuff that matters most!
I really liked the theme he developed about matters and does not matter. When he writes the line, “As I sift through research, my head clicks doesn’t matter, doesn’t matter… matters!” I find myself nodding in agreement. Exactly!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 25, 2017
What Financial Conditions Tell Us (Two Charts and a Prediction) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: F_F_Wiley
It seems every bank, including central banks, publishes a financial conditions index these days. And because financial conditions typically lead the economy, it makes sense to track them. In fact, they might contain even more information than they get credit for. They might offer the elusive “crystal ball” that foretells our economic fortunes.
Friday, August 25, 2017
4 Charts Show Why You Should Run Away From The Stock Market S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JOHN MAULDIN : My friend James Montier, now at GMO, and his associate Matt Kadnar have written a compelling piece on why passive investors should avoid the S&P 500.
Their essay argues that the forward growth potential of the S&P 500 is significantly lower than that of other opportunities, especially emerging markets.
Let’s look at a few of their charts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 24, 2017
The Dow Is Down But Not Yet Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Mike Golembesky writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved down close to 600 points off of the high that was struck on August 8th into August 21st lows. Now in percentage terms, this 600 point move is quite a small only representing a move of just 2.6%. In fact, at today’s close, the Dow was only down some 1.2% off of the August 8th high. Furthermore, the move down into the August 21st lows has still not even breached the top of the upper support zone.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Do Not Feed The Stock Market Bears - Until 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
Back on July 15th, the title to my weekend update to members of my market analysis service was “Market Will Likely Top Within The Next Three Weeks.” My initial target region for this top was between 2487-2500SPX. One of the factors I considered in my timing for this potential top was Luke Miller’s Bayesian Timing model, which was looking for a top to our wave (3) on August 9th. And, as we know, the market topped on August 8th at 2491SPX, and we seem to have begun the multi-month pullback/consolidation we have been expecting.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Stock Market SPX at its 61.8% Fib Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX exceeded its 50-day Moving Average, but is very close to its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2453.08. This is yet another “sell the rally” opportunity.
Tomorrow appears to be our expected turn date, according to the Cycles Model.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
... / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Submissions
...
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
4 Reasons European Stocks Will Make a Big Comeback This Year / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Just a year ago, Europe looked like the last place where you’d want to put your money.
The UK had voted to leave the EU, top German and Italian banks were in shambles, and populists reigned on the Continent.
The issues that plagued Europe didn’t fade away, but the turmoil subsided.
While everyone was applauding the uptick in US growth after the election, Europe recorded higher growth in 2016. This reversal of fortunes has now begun to show up in the markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
3 Lesser-Known Charts Revealing a Massive Stock Market Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
What’s a fair price for a share of stock?
In theory, it’s easy to define. The fairest price lies at the intersection of the company’s supply and demand curves. The market price at any given moment reveals exactly where that point is.
The averaged prices of all stocks in an index, appropriately weighted, tell us the same for market benchmarks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Is the Stock Market Setting itself up for a Spectacular Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Sol_Palha
“Neither a man nor a crowd nor a nation can be trusted to act humanely or to think sanely under the influence of a great fear.” Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays
The stock market crash story is getting boring and annoying to a large degree. Since 2009, there has been a constant drumbeat of the market is going to crash stories. In 2009, many experts felt that the market had rallied too strongly and that it needed to pull back strongly before moving higher up. They were calling for 15%-20% correction. Ten years later and most of them are still waiting for this so-called strong correction or crash. A stock market crash is a possibility but the possibility is not the same thing as certainty, and this is what seems to elude most of the naysayers. One day they will get it right as even a broken clock is correct twice a day. In the interim waiting for this stock market crash has cost these experts a fortune, both in lost capital gains and actual booked losses if they shorted this market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours.
Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall...
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Stock Market Cycle Act II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Cycles warn that the sell-off in equites during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.
The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017). Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 21, 2017
The Stock Market No Longer Cares About Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : I typically stay away from politics. Besides, you probably get enough of it on Facebook!
But I don’t stare at politics every day. I stare at markets every day, and I am pretty comfortable saying that my knowledge of markets is smarter and more incisive than most people’s.
And you know what I have noticed about markets lately?
They don’t care about Trump.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 21, 2017
Buffett Sees Stock Market Crash Coming? His Cash Speaks Louder Than Words / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: GoldCore
The Sage of Omaha’s adage is “it’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.”
Editor: Mark O’Byrne
But for Warren Buffett the current environment doesn’t appear to be offering up any wonderful companies at fair valuations. The situation is so bad that the cash stockpile of Berkshire Hathaway has more than doubled in the last four years, from under $40 billion to $100bn.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 21, 2017
Stock Market Correction in Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: “An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.” The correction has started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 21, 2017
Seeking Confirmations – US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
We have several inputs forecasting change (market pivots) ranging from seasonal tendencies to an expected US dollar rally, Fed monetary tightening (such as it is), the 30 month S&P 500 cycle, not to mention a presidential administration in utter disarray and not having done much, if anything, to further the fiscal stimulation (which, the story goes, would replace the Fed’s monetary stimulation under the previous administration) view that much of the stock market’s post-election euphoria was built upon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 19, 2017
4 Insights for Adjusting Your Portfolio in a Rate-hike Environment / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised interest rates twice this year already and it plans to increase interest rates five or six more times next year. An environment in which interest rates are rising steadily could be a double-edged sword for different classes of investors. For older investors, a rate hike could provide another chance to book decent returns from conservative assets such as money-market funds and CDs. For 'younger' investors the rate hike could slice through retirement accounts like hot knife through butter.
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
The Stock Market Guns of August, Trade Set-Up & Removing your Rose Tinted Glasses / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Plunger
Today I am going to lay out the case of a major market top and how it fits into the geopolitical backdrop of today. We then profile the trade set-up to look for and finally I will forcefully remove your Rose Colored Glasses you have been wearing since January 2017.
In Barbara Tuchman’s “The Guns of August” she argues that August 1914 was when the Gilded Age died and the modern era actually began. The book opens with the famous depiction of Edward VII’s funeral in 1910 attended peacefully by all the kings of Europe. Never again would the body of world leaders be unified and cut from a similar cloth. The war ushered in a new world, not recognizable from the past. Not since that time have we witnessed such diplomatic folly as in the month of August 1914. Today we wonder are we witnessing a similar conflict between a super power and the client state of China which is an emerging super power? Could it unfold in a similar fashion?
Read full article... Read full article...