Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, February 08, 2018

A Shot Across The Bow for Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

Investor complacency was rife. Since January 2016 investors have not experienced any significant corrective action on equity markets. Volatility had been unprecedentedly subdued. The “short vol” trade was a slam-dunk that lured in many investors, most of whom did not understand the risks of trading volatility.  

Over the past week, complacent investors who forgot that equity markets remain a risky asset received a brutal wake-up call. A 3000 point wipe-out on the Dow over a couple days was not expected by anyone, to say the least.  Dip-buyers who have become accustomed to buying the -10 point intraday pull-backs on the S&P 500 got reacquainted with the notion of stop-losses. Those gambling in the volatility products hopefully understand now that the VIX is not an asset class and benefits no one. Indeed, the VIX can – and did – double in value. For an inverse VIX ETF, well that means the product goes to zero. And that is just what the Velocity Shares Inverse VIX fund (XIV) did this past week. Many inverse VIX ETNs were halted. In our daily market update for February 8, we warn of another class of ETFs that may also in turn implode in the event of extreme price movements.

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Three Truths about Stock Market Sell-Off Gold Investors Should Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Until recently, the financial press was reporting confidence in the global economy in 2018. Participants at the World Economic Forum in Davos were full of optimism and they outdid each other in upgrading their forecasts. One week later, the global stock market plunged, making analysts stupefied. “As equities tumbled, gold should shine”, almost everyone thought. But that’s not what we saw. What really happened, then?

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market Struggle Begins to Avert the Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are struggling to take back the losses that occurred just after the bell yesterday. That puts the fair market value at about 12 points below the close. There may be a bounce, but it may not last.

At 7:00 am ZeroHedge wrote, “U.S. stock index futures turn negative in an illiquid, volatile session as investor sentiment has yet to stabilize amid doubts whether the U.S. equity selloff is over as yields remain just south of the critical 2.85% level. S&P E-mini contracts slid 0.1%, while the VIX is up 1% to 28.1 after 2 days of declines. Including fair value, the Dow is expected to have an implied open of over 200 points lower while the S&P will open around 2,665.”

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market, Gold and Silver Gold Consolidation Time (The Easy Trade has Ended) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at todays charts I would like to reiterate once more that we have traded one of the best bull markets runs in history. There was hardly a time over the last year or so that the stock markets were down more than 2 or 3 days in a row. It seemed like everyday I would log on to Stock Charts in the morning the SPX would always be up 3 to 5 points. It was just a steady move higher with little volatility.

Last Friday that nice gentle uptrend we had grown accustomed to came to an exciting climax. What we are experiencing right now is the beginning of some volatility that is going to take some time to get back under control. Think of dropping a super ball off the top of the Empire State building. First you get a really big bounce followed by a big decline then another bounce that is less strong with the next bounce getting weaker. At some point the initial volatility will be reduced back into normal price action.

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Precious Metals, Stock Market, Volatility, and Bitcoin Price Predictions Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market Retracements Calculated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made a 48.5% retracement at 2727.67 this morning. The extension stayed within the confines of the Broadening Wedge that I had pointed out yesterday. This morning appears to be a “run the stops” exercise since the SPX volume was tepid and the only way to get liquidity was to force the sale of those who had entered short yesterday. I do not use stop losses for that reason.

Unfortunately, investors are being told that this correction is healthy and a buying opportunity. Goldman Sachs appears to be “talking its book.”

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

The Stock Market Is Giving You A Huge Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Over a week ago, in my analysis to my members, I noted that, ideally, I was looking for the market to pullback and test the 2800SPX region. And, the market certainly dropped down to the 2800 region, but also broke the 2796SPX support upon which I was focused. That had me begin to focus on the 2700SPX region of support. And, today, we dropped and broke my next level of support at 2700SPX. But, this is the pullback I have been looking for over the last several months which had not materialized. Now, it has come in with a bang.

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Three Trades For This Wild Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It has been an emotional ride for most traders since stocks started to sell off last Friday in a big way. This crash we just experienced is VERY much like the Aug 2015 crash. Price and volatility both have parabolic price movements that could either make you a lot of money or lose a bundle depending on where your money was positioned.

This post is to quickly share three recent trades we have taken one of them (REALLY BAD) and what to expect in the markets moving forward.

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Stock Volatility is Computer Generated / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: BATR

The actual productive economy has very little in common with the erratic and substantial movement in equity pricing on the major exchanges. The conditions for conducting commerce have not appreciably changed in the last days to warrant a numerical drop of historic proportions. For the working class and the consumer market, the price of items did not see a major drop or rise in value in this latest turmoil. Lost in the confusion is that the professional speculators won't be playing a game of chance, they will execute their financial triggers based upon mathematical algorithms implemented at lightning speed by super computers. The days of the "specialists" making a market has been dead for years.

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

The “Free Lunch Trade” Market Bubble Has Burst… What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The markets just changed.

Few understand what happened to the financial system after 2008. What happened was that the debt based financial system began to implode as debt deflation took hold. The scary thing is that it wasn’t even a large amount of debt deflation.

Remember the 2008 Crisis? That time when everyone thought the world was literally going to end? It’s that small dip in the dotted line below:

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Stock Market Analysis: Baying for Blood / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Abalgorithm

The wall street bear has woken up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its largest-ever, single-day point decline and major indexes in the U.S., Europe and Asia gave up their gains for the year.The Dow briefly dropped nearly 1,600 points. Although it quickly pared losses, the blue-chip index closed down 1,175.21 points, or 4.6%, to 24345.75, its largest one-day percentage decline since August 2011.

At the time of writing the futures were further down to 2550 from the close of 2639. That is an important level of support. However we expect it to be tested.

Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Stock Market Wild Ride About to Get Wilder... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX had a wild morning after the excitement of the overnight market. I left yesterday’s Fib scale on the chart to help tell us what is happening in a fast moving market.

The Wave 1 low was at 2638.17, where I left the bottom of the Fib scale

The Wave [a] high was only 2698.65. You can see the top of the hourly bar there.

Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Dow Stock Market Crash Dow Forcast Target - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow crashed by 4.6% on Monday, closing down 1175 points at 24,345, the largest one day points drop in the Dow's stock market history, wiping out ALL of the gains for 2018 in just a couple of trading days. With bullish sentiment now turning to Fear of what could follow now that the Trump Bubble appears to have finally burst! Especially given the fact that the stock market was falling INTO yesterdays close which implies a continuation of the sell off when Wall Street opens later today (Tuesday).....

Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Is Stock Market Short Volatility Contained Or A Canary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brady_Willett

On Janet Yellen’s last day as Fed boss the markets suffered their worst percentage loss in 20-months.  Yesterday, on Jerome Powell’s first day as Fed Chairman, the VIX spiked by its largest amount on record and the Dow suffered its largest single day point drop ever (and 100th worst percentage drop in history).  Intent on showering us with some logic as prices rain lower, the media tells us that last week’s jobs report is responsible for the ongoing collapse.  But what the majority of the mainstream media and Wall Street (or the heads that talk their book in the mainstream) neglects to mention is that for the last 8+ years we have been living in a risk devoid wasteland of rigged prices, thanks in the large part to the Fed.

Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Trump Bubble Bursts, Stock Market Panic Dow 1175 Point Crash Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow crashed by 4.6% on Monday, closing down 1175 points at 24,345, the largest one day points drop in the Dow's stock market history, wiping out ALL of the gains for 2018 in just a couple of trading days. With bullish sentiment now turning to Fear of what could follow now that the Trump Bubble has finally burst! Especially given the fact that the stock market was falling INTO the close which implies a continuation of the sell off when Wall Street opens later today (Tuesday).

Monday, February 05, 2018

Gold Corrects, Bitcoin Markets Crash, Whilst Stocks Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Bitcoin's $20,000 bubble mania peak of Mid December that valued the crypto currency at $320 billion has long since been left in the dust as Bitcoin has crashed well below $10,000, wiping out $170 billion of the value of participants holdings. All whilst the crypto coin gamblers obsessed by all things block chain have largely remained in a state of denial, focused on bitcoin soaring to over $50,000 despite its real inverse trend trajectory as tends to happen at the end of market manias.

And so it has been the case since I published my opening Bitcoin forecast of the year over a month ago when the crypto was trading at USD 14,000, warning that the Bitcoin price was likely to continue crashing towards $5,000, a forecast that was met with denial from many in the bitcoin community.

Monday, February 05, 2018

Friday's Stocks Sell-Off Sets The Tone For Weeks To Come / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The main U.S. stock market indexes lost 2.0-2.5% on Friday, breaking below their three-day-long consolidation as investors reacted to quarterly corporate earnings, economic data releases, among others. The S&P 500 index accelerated its short-term downtrend following breakout below the level of 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The broad stock market retraced more than 50% of its month-long rally off the December 29th local low at 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was relatively weaker, as it lost 2.5% on Friday, and the technology Nasdaq Composite fell 2.0%.

Monday, February 05, 2018

Stock Market How Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
 Intermediate trend –  Is this an intermediate-term top?  Perhaps not yet!

Monday, February 05, 2018

Trading the Shadows - Oil, Dollar, Stocks, Gold Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Submissions

B.R. HollisterI’ve spent over thirty years analyzing markets and have noticed an interesting correlation between the Wall St. Markets (stocks, interest rates) Gold (and the mining shares), the Dollar Index and Oil. In the charts below, I describe what I call “shadows” of the past and how they repeat certain patterns.

Right now I know that traders are concerned with rising interest rates, but at this point in the game I don’t think they matter too much, this is just a much needed 4-6% pull back in the stock market as we fall into the 20 week low. The problem with excessive over speculation should come home to roost especially as we come in to the latter half of the year. My read is that we may see a 20% bear market much like May-Oct 2011 or July-Oct 1998.  Meanwhile, buying the dips should prove lucrative.

Monday, February 05, 2018

Did The Stock Market Top Last Week? I think Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We’re certain that many of you are asking yourself this question after seeing the markets rotate to the downside so hard recently.  If you had been reading our past analysis for the early portion of 2018, you would likely know the answer to this question. If not, this research article will assist in your understanding of the market’s rotation and what to expect over the next few weeks/months.

We called a market advance in early 2018 nearly three weeks before the end of 2017.  We also called the current move, lower, at that same time.  Recently, we’ve made calls regarding the US Dollar, metals markets, and natural gas that have played out exceptionally well for our members.  Now, we’ll show you what to expect in the markets for the next few weeks.