Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Why Banks Will Be Slammed In The Next Crisis—And That May Be Good News / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : While some banks are run by honest folk, others are almost indistinguishable from criminal organizations.
Bank scandals are nothing new in the US and elsewhere. Still, those banks may be one of the best investment opportunities of your life. Sounds contradictory, but it’s not.
Before I explain why banks are such a good investment opportunity, let me go over a few examples from the last decade to provide some context for this trade.
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Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Stocks Bull Market Appears to have a Destiny With 1929 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market continues to confound my expectations for a significant correction which is just failing to materialise! Firstly understand this, I AM a stock market bull i.e. I am net long of the stock market, so a rising stock market is good for my portfolio. BUT, for a while now I have not considered this ongoing rally to be healthy for the life of the stocks bull market, and why despite being a bull I am BEARISH for its prospects.
Monday, January 22, 2018
Pension Crisis And Deficit of £2.6 Billion At Carillion To Impact UK / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: GoldCore
– Carillion collapses leaving a £900 million debt pile and 30,000 pensions at risk
– Carillion PLC share price has collapsed 94% in last twelve months
– Private analysis of Carillion’s pension deficit reveals it to be as high as £2.6 billion
– Figure adds to the UK’s ongoing pension crisis, both private and state are severely underfunded
– UK’s Private Pension Fund already has a levy of £550 million for next twelve months
– UK state pension crisis as state fund to be ‘exhausted by 2033’
– Ensure your pension is funded and properly diversified with gold
Monday, January 22, 2018
Stock Index Trend Trade Setups for the SP500 & NASDAQ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few weeks, we have been writing about our US major price predictions for the beginning of 2018 and how they have played out. If you have been following our analysis, you have already learned that we predicted a 3~5% price increase in early January 2018 for most of the US major equity indexes as well as a period of brief stagnation near the middle of February. Today, we are going to revisit these predictions to attempt to provide you with our updated price expectations.
As you read this article and review our analysis, please keep in mind that we are showing you an advanced price modeling system that is capable of learning from historical price activity as well as illustrating the highest probability outcomes of price based on its analysis of key “genomic” price patters and technical patterns. The reason this is so important to understand is that we are illustrating 2~3+ month in advance based on our modeling systems interpretation of price action. Imagine having the ability to predict 2 to 3 months in advance with a relatively high degree of accuracy for any stock symbol you like? This is a very powerful analytical modeling system and we are happy to be sharing this research with our readers.
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Monday, January 22, 2018
Stock Market Deceleration / Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 22, 2018
US Markets vs Govt Shutdown: Stock Markets at all time highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Submissions
ARB Cap writes: As US government shuts down, markets march higher. Political turmoil does not seem to immediately affect equity bulls. Much of it has o do with the US bond market selling off with 10 year rising over 3% mark only for the second time in the last 5 years. As money pours out of bond markets, it is rolling into equity markets. Are we on the cusp of a super inflation cycle of the likes seen in 1980s ?
The 10 year US treasury bond yield is at 2.64% but it is breaking above the long term bear trend existing since 1994. Money is pouring out of bond markets as the carnage is about to begin. As yields rise, markets start to expect higher inflation cycle which in turn raise rate hike expectation. It is worthwhile to remind the last it did flirt with breaking out of the bear trend in 2014, yield fell back sharply down again.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Central Banks Are Going to Have to “Pull the Plug” on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
It’s no secret that Central Banks have been funneling liquidity both directly and indirectly into stocks. However, what most investors don’t realize is that this liquidity pump is about to end.
Why?
Because the endless streams of liquidity (Central Banks continue to run QE programs of $100+ billion per month despite the global economy stabilizing) have unleashed inflation.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Stocks, Gold and Interest Rates Three Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).
When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.
Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Why Sometimes, "Beating the S&P 500" Isn't Good Enough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
How money managers who beat a benchmark can still "ruin your retirement"
Would you like to invest with a money manager who has a track record of "beating the market"?
"Who wouldn't" you might reply. But, hold onto your horses -- or, in this case, onto your portfolio.
Even a professional manager who "performs" the S&P 500 can financially ruin you.
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Saturday, January 20, 2018
Jim Rickards: Next Financial Panic Will Be the Biggest of All, with Only One Place to Turn… / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my great privilege now to be joined by James Rickards. Mr. Rickards is Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a monthly newsletter and Director of the James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics and global capital. He's also the author of several bestselling books including The Death of Money, Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold and The Road to Ruin. In addition to his achievements as a writer and author, Jim is also a portfolio manager, lawyer and renowned economic commentator, having been interviewed by CNBC, the BBC, Bloomberg, Fox News and CNN, just to name a few. And we're happy to have him back on the Money Metals Podcast.
Friday, January 19, 2018
SPX is Higher But No Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures got as high as 2806.00, but could not break higher. It was higher than yesterday’s Wave three peak, producing a fifth of a fifth wave, but may not conquer Tuesday’s peak at 2807.54. Should this happen, the SPX may have made a truncated Wave v of (c). At this point, anything goes…
ZeroHedge reports, “If US and global stocks sold off yesterday on fears of a government shutdown, coupled with a spike in US Treasury yields to the highest level since March and approaching Gundlach's "equity selloff redline"...
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Thursday, January 18, 2018
The Interest Rates Are What Matter In This Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: WMA
The “Trump rally” in U.S. stocks has gone ballistic. Even the most bullish of the bulls did not expect this. A couple weeks ago, bank strategists were forecasting a 2018 year-end target on the S&P 500 at 2850. After the first two weeks of the New Year the index is already closing in on this timid 2018 target price.
Many are saying that the equity rally is due to the tax cuts. We disagree. The tax cuts added fuel to the fire, but if markets are still efficient, the tax cut news should have been priced in last year. Deregulation may continue benefiting the financial sector in particular, but again the broad equity market should not continue to rally on known news. The only reason equity markets have jumped again in the past weeks is momentum – nothing has changed in 2018 (other than perhaps sentiment as people become believers in the unending equity rally). What does matter is the rates environment (plural) – (1) interest rates and (2) the inflation rate. We’ll be looking in this Commentary at where these rates may be headed and levels at which a change in these rates may matter for risk assets.
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Here’s What Historically Happens to Stocks When Bull Markets End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: GoldSilver
You undoubtedly know that 2017 was a record-setting year for the broad stock markets. And while gold was up last year despite numerous headwinds, most mainstream investors aren’t paying much attention to gold since they keep seeing so much green in their stock portfolios.
Even I was taken back by some of the data from the bull market in stocks…
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Buy S&P 500 on Drop To 2,740 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: New_Forex_Trends
Stock Markets have started to show some signs of stalling in the early parts of this year, and this could indicate the potential for weakness given our proximity to the historical averages. The S&P 500 continues to trade near its record highs but the lack of event drivers over the next several weeks suggests that there is a growing possibility that markets could gravitate sideways to lower over this coming period.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Bitcoin and Stock Prices, Both Symptoms of Speculative Extremes! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hi everyone.
I had another look at bitcoin today!
The low of the day is hit 11121 so far,
So the price has collapsed 43% since the 17th of December.
Thats a hell of a decline for the so called 'asset' that was on its way to the moon!
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
So That’s What Stock Market Volatility Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Rubino
2017 was literally the smoothest stretch of highway that US stocks have ever traveled. Rising almost every day and seldom falling hard, they made it virtually impossible for investors to lose money. Here’s the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the past two years. Note how unnaturally smooth the recent action was.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Stock Market Intraday Price Prediction Setup for Short-Term Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Tuesday morning in our video forecast we warned that cycles were pointing to lower prices today. With price reaching the 2800 level on the SPX (resistance) and stocks trading in extreme overbought conditions with the morning gap higher this pullback has played out almost perfectly today.
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
SPX, NDX, INDU and RUT Stock Indices all at Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures challenged the 2800.00 round number resistance, rising to 2803.50 over the extended weekend.
ZeroHedge comments, “When markets open for trading today, the S&P will rise above 2,800 and the Dow Jones will not only make a new record high (those have become a bit of a boring daily occurrence lately) it will do so in historic fashion with just 12 days needed to move from 25,000 to 26,000, the fastest 1,000 point move in history, nearly twice as fast as the previous record when it took just 23 days for the DJIA to move from 24,000 to 25,000. And yes, get ready for the imminent (self-)congratulatory tweet from Donald Trump...”
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Monday, January 15, 2018
Stock Market Near an Intermediate Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 15, 2018
Some Fascinating Stock Market Fibonacci Relationships... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may recall that I had mentioned in December that I was looking to see whether the INDU would make 27521.00 by year end. Since it took to January 12 to make that target may be telling us that Social Mood may be making a reversal. We may pin the reversal on an event, but the fact is, the fruit doesn’t fall from the tree until it is ripe. What I mean to say is that the conditions for a fall must be there. Hopefully I will be able to guide you through the process until the fruit actually falls. We know from the indicators on the SPX that the fruit is ripe. Here are some of the reasons why.