Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, March 02, 2018
Significant Decline In Stocks On The Cards! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
There is a whole lot going on across thet markets after todays trade!
And a lot of opportunity developing in the charts.
So lets not waste time chatting,
And get right into it!
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment.
EUR: German Retail Sales m/m.
GBP: BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Construction PMI, Prime Minister May Speaks.
JPY: n/a.
Thursday, March 01, 2018
Stock Market High Volatility, Higher inflation, low unemployment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Abalgorithm
Unemployment in the last year has sunk to a 17-year low, yet inflation continues to run below the Fed’s 2% target. Abroad, it is the same story: in Germany and Japan unemployment is at multidecade lows but inflation remains stuck below 2%. We are in a new normal of low reported unemployment and low inflation across the world. However if history is a gauge of what is to come, we are headed into a different normal, one that will spell trouble for all those who have reposed blind faith in risk markets without due diligence. Volatility has broken into a new normal range of 18 to 35. Bond yields are flirting at 2.9% from 2.6% earlier last year. A new normal in yields around the world. Bond investors are fleeing. The equity markets have had a damaging correction in Feb. It has dead cat bounced back but most smart traders will be exiting their long positions. This may be the final chance. We look at some key indicators to see where we stand and what the future may hold.
Thursday, March 01, 2018
Dark Cloud Covers Blue Chip Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Yesterday's trading session brought the main U.S. stock market indexes 0.8-1.5% down, as investors' sentiment worsened following Tuesday's downward reversal. Stocks broke above their short-term consolidation on Monday, but they failed to continue higher. Consequently, they fell into their last week's consolidation and the S&P 500 index got closer to 2,700 mark again. Stocks are expected to open lower today, but they may retrace some of their two-day-long sell-off. Where is a potential support level?
Stocks extended their Tuesday's move down yesterday, as the main U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.8-1.5% vs. their Tuesday's closing prices. Investors' sentiment worsened and the market got back to its last week's trading range. The S&P 500 index fell closer to 2,700 mark again. It currently trades 5.5% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.5% yesterday, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market gauge. On the other hand, the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.8% yesterday. Tech stocks were relatively stronger than the rest.
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Wednesday, February 28, 2018
Does the Stock Market Need to Make a Pullback? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
I expected the S&P 500 to make a short term pullback before rallying higher in the medium term. Hence the current rally’s intensity does surprise me a little. But I’m unfazed because 95% of my capital is traded via the Medium-Long Term Model, which ignores the short term.
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Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Stocks May be Turning Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are pulling back from their overnight high and have turned red from yesterday’s close. Yesterday may have indeed been a Cycles turn date, but delayed by the algos. However, if their motive was to bring investors back into the market, they may have succeeded.
Yesterday’s high clearly marked this rally as a Wave C of Wave (2). My original Wave count was correct. However, I allowed myself to be influenced by others who were a little less careful about Wave structure.
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Tuesday, February 27, 2018
US Stock Market in Position for Downwave #2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund explains why he believes the stock market rally of the past couple of weeks is not a resumption of the bull market.
This is a very timely point to remind ourselves that when the market broke down and plunged a few weeks ago, it did so from a parabolic blowoff top, or as we had defined it, a 4-arc Fan Ascent, which amounts to the same thing for practical purposes, a top that was accompanied by all oscillators and indicators being at record overbought extremes. While this top may not look all that extreme compared to something like Bitcoin, we should keep in mind that the broad US stock market is infinitely greater in magnitude than something like Bitcoin, and therefore vast amounts of capital are required to create any kind of parabolic blowoff. Given that there was a long lead in to this parabolic blowoff it means that the stock market is done—finished—and the bell has been rung on a new bear market.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Probable Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are up enough to complete a fifth Wave of C. The 61.8% Fibonacci level and Intermediate-term resistance at 2754.93 are still key to this retracement, although the SPX may briefly go as high as 2763.59 in a pop-n-drop to clean out any short positions with stops. This market is being vicious to those who shorted late and making it difficult to keep their positons. It may be a good time to layer in any short positons you may wish to have.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Stock Market Bull Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The rally into early Monday, February 26, 2018 is no surprise to me. The charts below were written over the weekend suggesting follow through buying into early Monday at or above SPX 2754 and then a sudden fast reversal down below the 2532 area.I’ve seen this e-wave pattern before following a wxy W Wave where Wave X sees an irregular topping pattern (coming out of a bull flag formation) catching the bulls by surprise and leading to huge down move.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Here Is The Most Ridiculous Commentary About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Whenever I write a new article on the stock market, I usually try to highlight just how ridiculous much of the commentary about the market truly is. My ultimate goal is to force you to think on your own and adopt a more intellectually honest perspective of financial markets, rather than just buying into anything you read or hear.
Two weeks ago, I noted how the pundits claimed the market dropped because of rising rates, but when the market rallied, the same pundits claimed that it was rallying because of rising rates.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Stocks Break Higher but Their Rally May Fade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks rallied on Friday, but they remained within their week-long consolidation. Which direction is next? Will bulls drive prices higher this week? Or will Friday's move up fade today? The S&P 500 index continues to trade along the level of 2,700-2,750, and it is still around 4.4% below its late January all-time high. Stocks are expected to open higher today, but will they continue upwards after 9:30 a.m.?
The main U.S. stock market indexes went 1.4-1.8% higher in Friday's trading session, as investors' sentiment improved following week-long fluctuations after previous week's rally off February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index got close to its recent local highs and it currently trades around 4.4% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off (retracement level at 2,742.92). The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.4%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8% on Friday.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – An intermediate correction from 2872 may be over.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 25, 2018
2018: The Year Of The Margin Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Rubino
Indicators of a market top began piling up way back in 2014, and since then most have gone on to unprecedented extremes. Every analyst has their favorite harbinger of financial doom, but the easiest to understand — and the most tragic — is probably margin debt.
This is money borrowed by (usually individual or “retail”) investors against their existing stocks to buy more stocks. Investors tend to do this when markets are rising and using leverage seems like an effortless way turbocharge their gains. But eventually the market turns down, leaving stock portfolios insufficient to cover related margin debt and generating “margin calls” in which brokers demand more money and/or start liquidating customer portfolios. This sends the market down sharply and indiscriminately, as fairly-valued babies are dumped along with overvalued bathwater. The result: a quick, brutal bear market.
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Sunday, February 25, 2018
World Stock Market Indices: What Will Happen in 2020 – 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
2020-2022 What will happen to the World Indices, A US Constitutional Crisis or Something Else?
The market move by Technical sequences, levels, and areas. Every day we see how the price moves from one area to another and relates the time frames from Subminutte cycles to the Grand Super cycles. The Idea is relating the degrees and creating sequences in each time frame in an impulse nature of 5-9-13 or corrective in 3-7-11. We track over 80 instruments at Elliottwave-Forecast.Com and we related them then divided in groups each day. We understand the nature of the Market and we knew back in 2017, that in 2018 the World Indices will be ending a Cycle degree and another cycle degree will start and run into the 2020-2022 period when many cycles will reach the 100% extreme areas within the Grand Super cycle and also reach the time 100% extension within the Super cycle degree.
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Saturday, February 24, 2018
Stock Market Volatility Attributed to 'Shenanigans' / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical expert Michael Ballanger explores the maneuvering he believes underlies current market fluctuations.
Back in January, I discussed the likelihood that global equity markets were approaching simultaneous tipping points beyond which legions upon legions of GenX-ers and Millennials would be thrown to the wolves by failing to recognize the financial mania engulfing them. I alluded to it being "Time for the Beast to Exhale," and within a few days, my volatility trade (UVXY) exploded to the upside as the "beast," better known as the global stock market ascent, finally exhaled and fell 3,300 Dow Jones points in a week.
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Friday, February 23, 2018
Are Stocks About to Start the Next Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
A key issue to note if you want to time market turns is that stocks are always the last asset class to “get it.”
Consider that high yield credit or Junk Bonds (HYG) have lead stocks from the January ’16 lows.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
How to Trade Stock Index Price Spikes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last night the stock market flashed us a quick price spike on the SP500 index and we sent this out to our members as soon as we saw it. Price spikes are the markets way to tipping its hand for us to see where the big player’s should move in the next 1-3 trading sessions. Most spikes trade targets are hit within 12 hours. Last night spike provided trades with a $300. $550, or $1050 profit per ES mini contract they traded. But with that said, spikes can be traded with SP500 index ETF’s as well as long as your broker allows you to trade Pre/Post market hours, which most brokers do allow.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stock Market Bounce May be Over... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has met its 50-day Moving Average at 2729.61 and the 61.8 Fib retracement level at 2730.00. Its high was 2731.26.
ZeroHedge comments, “Sigh...
Cash markets are open!! Buy 'em!!!”
JPM’s head quant, Marko Kolanovic now thinks it’s time to start buying.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Are These Stock Market Bear Patterns Unfolding Before Us Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
Last week, markets fell out of bed. Yesterday, they got up and dusted themselves off.I’ve been warning for months now that U.S. markets are in a rising bearish wedge. This pattern tends to be the last move in a long bull market.
Stocks go up in a last orgasmic move in a narrowing channel – or wedge – with little volatility. And then, suddenly, the music stops.
It was thanks to me identifying this wedge that I called the May 2013 top in the junk bond market – to the day!
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stock Market SPX Probable Pop-n-drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX had a bearish outside reversal yesterday. There is a slight difference between an outside and key reversal. The key reversal happens at the peak of the rally, while an outside reversal may have a lower high. Both appears to be equally bearish in these circumstances.
SPX futures bounced in overnight trading, suggesting a possible retracement as far as the 50-day Moving Average at 2729.78. Short-term support/resistance has performed a death cross with the mid-Cycle and 50-day. You can see that a violation of Short-term support is like opening the trap door.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The first part of yesterday's trading session was controlled by the bulls and the S&P 500 index was gaining ahead of the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. Then the uptrend reversed and stocks fell below Tuesday's closing prices. Investors continued taking short-term profits off the table after week-long move up from previous Friday's lows. The market trades around 6% below its late January all-time high. Stocks are expected to open slightly higher today, but will they extend their yesterday's late session sell-off or bounce and continue trading within three-day-long consolidation?
The U.S stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.7% on Wednesday, as investors continued taking profits after week-long rally from February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term fluctuations along the level of 2,700-2,750. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off. However, it bounced off that resistance level again and reversed its intraday uptrend following the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. The broad stock market index currently trades 6% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Wednesday.
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