Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 28, 2019
Another Major Stock Market Top at Hand? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I suggested that there would be a major top around the 22nd. That top proved to be January 18 right on the quadruple and powerful Bradley turn, as well as the Venus/Mars trine. That same weekend we had Mars square Saturn. On January 25th we had another Mars trine with Jupiter and the SPX appeared to make a failing ‘b’ wave top with only the Dow Industrials making a new high.Coming out of a rising wedge and making a double top is serious business, especially when you have P/C ratios as low as they are now and the fear has just about left the building. What I’m talking about is another drop coming like we had from October 3 to the December 24/26 bottom.
When I saw the shallow move down last week and the resulting attempt at new highs I knew the market was in trouble. Another thing I observed this week was President Trump asking his staff what important services would be affected if the government were shut down into April. He then suggested that the three week reprieve into February 15th would only last three weeks in which time he may enact his authority to create a national emergency. That got me to thinking.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 27, 2019
Stock Market Bulls Still in Charge, but… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Correcting within the very long-term bull market trend.
Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, January 27, 2019
Will Liquidity Prevail In The Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX challenged Short-term resistance at 21.77 on Tuesday, but eased back toward long-term support at 16.51 at the close on Friday. The Primary Cycle [C] that may have just started may be a multiple of the Primary Wave [C] of February 2018.
(RealInvestmentAdvice) All Quiet on the Western Front is a 1929 novel which describes German soldiers’ extreme physical and mental stress during World War I, and subsequent detachment from civilian life felt by many soldiers upon returning home. This novel was eventually made into a major motion picture.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 26, 2019
Dubai Stock Market Faces Potential Bullish Reversal / Stock-Markets / Dubai
By: MarketsToday
DFMGI
- Potential inverse head & shoulders bullish reversal setup in the daily chart for the Dubai Financial Market General Index (DFMGI). (Exposure can also be accessed via iShares MSCI UAE ETF (UAE), traded in the U.S. Although average volume is relatively low.)
- Pattern occurs off December 2,429.12 low, which completed a 34% 14-month decline from the October 2017 swing high.
- Bullish 14-day RSI divergence.
- Breakout triggered on decisive move above 2,561.
- Minimum target objective of approximately 2,716.80 as derived from the head & shoulders pattern (previously support zone from October 2018 & in area of 1.618 Fibonacci projection).
- Other potential targets are highlighted on the below chart and derived from prior price and Fibonacci confluence levels.
- Current pattern is invalid on a daily close below the right shoulder at 2,479.37.
Saturday, January 26, 2019
IMF Proposes a 10% Wealth Tax on NET WORTH / Stock-Markets / Taxes
By: Graham_Summers
They’re coming for your money.
The Everything Bubble has burst and the debt markets are in distress. We’ve already seen yields rise above their long-term downtrend, suggesting that higher debt costs are now a reality.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 25, 2019
Will the Stock Market and U.S. Dollar Fall Together Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
With the stock market stuck at its 50% fibonacci retracement, many traders are looking for a pullback/retest. While the Q4 2018 stock market decline coincided with a flat U.S. Dollar, there’s a high probability that the next pullback/retest will coincide with a falling U.S. Dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 24, 2019
These Are the 3 Biggest Market Risks in 2019 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: John_Mauldin
A Federal Reserve policy mistake is our top risk this year.
Correction: The mistake is already happening. So that’s less a forecast and more a recognition of reality.
The Fed is raising rates and reversing its quantitative easing. At the same time! They should be doing one or the other, not both.
The media and investors focus on the rates. But as you’ll learn, the global balance sheet reduction may be even more harmful.
If Jerome Powell doesn’t realize this in early 2019—or the rest of the FOMC disagrees with him—2019 could get rocky, and very quickly.
Thursday, January 24, 2019
This Rally Is a Symptom of a Stocks Bear Market, Not a Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: John_Mauldin
BY ROBERT ROSS : “Did you see that the stock market had its best day ever today?”
That’s a quote from my mother.
It was the night of December 26. Earlier that day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had surged over 1000 points.
Some people saw this as a sign that investor confidence had returned.
But big surges like this are common during bear markets. In fact, they happen more in bear markets than bull markets.
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
Is the Stocks Bull Market Over? Or Will There be 1 More Year like 1999? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
With the S&P 500 at its 50% retracement, many traders are looking for a pullback/retest. The bigger question is what happens next after the pullback/retest. Will there be 1 final leg in the bull market, like 1999? Or is the bull market already over?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
Will the Markets Explode One Last Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
Look… the crash of a lifetime ahead is inevitable.But, it’s looking increasingly like we’ll see a last-hurrah short boom of a lifetime first. Something I like to call the Dark Window because it’s unexpected and most miss it.
Will you?
I hope not.
I hope you’ll be ready for it because, today I’m going to give you a few insights into what to watch for…
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
Will the Nasdaq Hit 10,000 This Year? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Harry_Dent
Who would have thought I would be forecasting that the Nasdaq could zoom to 10,000 this year?Two things have changed my perspective in recent months: The Q4 2018 crash didn’t approach the typical 40% loss in the first two to three months, as was typical of most major bubbles… and my newer 90-Year Bubble Buster Cycle.
That 90-year Cycle is a “double variation’ of my proven 45-Year Innovation Cycle. It has marked the greatest bubble peaks and “resets” since the Industrial Revolution (1837 to 1842 and 1929 to 1932).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2019
One Thing to Do in This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Rodney_Johnson
It’s time to get to work.We’ve learned a thing or two since early October…
When oil is low, it can go lower.
President Trump remains unpredictable.
The Fed can be wrong. And it can hurt stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2019
What If Stock Market Near-Term Recovery Rally Psychology is Spent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Increasingly, my view of all of the action in ES (e-mini March S&P futures contract) from the 12/25/18 electronic Christmas Day low at 2316.75 into last Friday’s (1/18/19) high at 2677.75 (+15.6%) represents three distinct psychological phases of market influence, which I have color-coded on the attached chart:
1) Red: Natural Acute Oversold Market Recovery Rally,
2) Turquoise: Fed Rate Pause-(Algorithmic Headline) Rally, and
3) Gray: China Stimulus, Positive Trade News (Algorithmic Headline) Rally.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 21, 2019
Will China Surprise The Us Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, we openly discussed the potential for global turmoil related to Europe, Asia, China, and South America. The issues before the globe are that the global economy may not be firing in sync and that there are credit and debt, as well as geopolitical, issues that persist. The interesting component of all of this is that the US stock market has staged a very impressive recovery over the past two weeks that have shocked even the best Wall Street analysts and researchers. While the US recovered from elections, the Fed, FANG price collapse and a Government Shutdown, the US stock markets appeared to be falling off a cliff. Then, almost exactly on Christmas Eve, the markets turned around – even in the midst of all of this uncertainty.
Now, nearly 3 weeks after Christmas, the US stock market appears to be shaking off the negativity and headed for higher price levels. China announced a plan to eliminate the trade barriers between the US by providing a 10-year plan to gradually eliminate any US trade deficit. Even though China has discussed this plan before, the US stock market ate it up like a starving man on a deserted island. The ES rallied over 3.35% this week. The NQ rallied over 3.0% and the YM rallied over 3.25% week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 20, 2019
Pay Attention To The Russell Stocks Index and Financial Sectors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
For those that still believe the US markets are weak and poised for a total collapse, we want to bring something to your attention. Throughout weeks of uncertainty about China trade deals, the US government shutdown, continued Brexit issues and who knows what else… oh yeah US Q4 Earnings data, guess what has been taking place in some US sectors? That’s right, a rather solid price recovery.
Two of our favorite sectors to watch for signs of strength and weakness have been rocketing higher over the past few weeks after setting up a very deep price low near Christmas 2018. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the Financial Sector ETF (XLF). While the ES, NQ, and others are still waffling around trying to find the momentum to break out to the upside, pay attention to the other sectors that could be leading the way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 20, 2019
Stock Market Counter-trend Extends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Correcting within the very long-term bull market trend.
Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Saturday, January 19, 2019
Stock Market Bull Trap? January 22 Top Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
It has been a while since I have written a public article. The current set up is just too intriguing not to write about. Therefore, let me cut to the chase. The stock market peak of October 3, 2018 and subsequent drop into Dec 26 is not over, not by any measure that I can see. In fact, a likely C wave down from January 22 (full moon/lunar eclipse in Leo, major 4 X Bradley turn due 1/18, 32 TD top plus nasty astro aspects like Mars in Aries square Saturn combined with Jupiter square Neptune 1/13,) into February 11th is about to take place. I believe the top on Tuesday will start from a high of 2685 (the top of the rising wedge… see chart below) and drop another 16% just like we did from Dec 3 into the 26th. That targets about 2250 on the S&P 500 for the February low (February 11 is the 33 week, 32 TD and 7 week low). A double bottom will likely form into March 6th, the Gann 16 TD low.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 19, 2019
After the Crash, the Stock Market Made a V-shaped Recovery. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P has now retraced more than 50%, which was the standard post-crash target outlined a few weeks ago. The stock market is exactly where it was a few months ago. This demonstrates the stock market’s “bullish bias” – it goes up more often than down. Absent significant macro economic deterioration, it’s very hard for the stock market to keep going down.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2019
Stock Market’s Medium Term is No Longer Bullish. It is Now Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
Now that the S&P 500 has reached its 50% fibonacci retracement, its medium term outlook is no longer decisively bullish. As we mentioned before, 13 of 15 historical 20% declines saw a pullback/retest after a 50% retracement.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2019
SPX and Gold; Pivotal Points at Hand / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
Leaving aside our usual inclusion of macro fundamentals and market ratios, today let’s take a simple technical look at the S&P 500 and gold.
As the US stock market was becoming deeply oversold (and over-hated, sentiment-wise) in December we planned for a holiday seasonal bounce, which finally arrived with the immediate reversal after the Christmas Eve massacre when the machines (and a few human casino patrons) drove it to its downside climax. The bounce was almost a certainty, given the sentiment backdrop of the moment.
Our (NFTRH) view however, has been for an eventual decline from a significant momentum divergence (MACD & RSI) to the obvious support of 2100-2200 (which is also the rough measurement from the bearish pattern) on SPX per this weekly chart. The current market bounce was expected and necessary to rebuild the conditions for enough downside to meet our target.
Read full article... Read full article...